Rollover Notice and Futures Levels 9.13.2019

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Friday the 13th is tomorrow……
No commentary today, enjoy this video on using counter trend indicators when day-trading crude oil futures!
If you are trading stock indices and currencies, it is time to rollover your Sept. into December currencies.
Example 6eu19 to 6ez19
ESU19 into ESZ19

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

 

Futures Trading Levels

09-13-2019

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Economic Reports, source: 

bettertrader.co

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Educational Trading Videos & Futures Levels 9.12.2019

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Dear Traders,

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Educational Videos
by: Cannon Trading Brokers
Cannon Trading is happy to share with you a few videos focusing on trading techniques, ideas and tools you can add to your trading arsenal. In this week’s newsletter we are sharing the following 3 videos, about 5 minutes each, ready for immediate viewing on the following topics:
1. Identifying Support And Resistance Using A Line Chart.
2. Finding Levels of Support Resistance
3. Day Trading crude oil futures using fear and greed….

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

 

Futures Trading Levels

09-12-2019

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81a83524 92d3 450a b637 1247ec14e498


Economic Reports, source: 

bettertrader.co

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Options as Trading Weapon & Futures Levels 9.11.2019

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Dear Traders,

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Trading 102: Weekly Options as Trading Weapon by John Thorpe
There are 100’s of indicators available to traders to assist with decision making that can be applied to technical analysis, which is precisely the reason to utilize a sound and inexpensive weekly ES strategy to compliment a day trading strategy.
  1. There are two main uses for the Weekly options As a hedge, no need for stops
  2. As a pure speculation. A relatively inexpensive way to speculate on market direction in a time frame that can be for minutes, hours or a few days without the need to use stops.
Briefly, the definition of an option contract from the National Futures Association is: An investment vehicle which gives the option buyer the right—but not the obligation—to buy or sell a particular futures contract at a stated price at the specified expiration date. There are two separate and distinct types of options: calls and puts. These weekly options are European Style, Exercisable to the nearest futures contract at 3pm Central time on Friday. If in the money by any amount, the exercise is automatic.
Weekly ES options have……* Update: Mini SP now has Monday, Wednesday and Friday ( weekly options) Expiration!

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

 

Futures Trading Levels

09-11-2019

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Economic Reports, source: 

bettertrader.co

84d1aced 593b 4c52 9fef ce64e92e37a8

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Futures Trading Levels 9-10-2019

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Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

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Dear Traders,

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No commentary today!
A series of short videos regarding different trading tips available here.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

 

Futures Trading Levels

09-10-2019

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88bcfd16 a21b 46ed ac8e a62300ed74f1


Economic Reports, source: 

bettertrader.co

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

High Market Volatility & Futures Levels 9.06.2016

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Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

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Dear Traders,

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China trade War is moving the markets in a very volatile way.
One day traders could not buy silver/gold fast enough, the next day silver sells off over 80 cents and more than a $1 move from high to low ( approx. 4.2% move!)
The same with stock indices, one day traders can’t sell it fast enough and the next day buying volume dominates.
If you are a day-trader, be aware, adjust technique and know what the news are and if there is a certain directional bias.
If you are a swing trader, I recommend using options as a tool to either speculate or hedge futures positions.
we are here to assist if you need a second opinion/feedback or just a second pair of eyes to look over some trades.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

 

Futures Trading Levels

09-06-2019

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88bcfd16 a21b 46ed ac8e a62300ed74f1


Economic Reports, source: 

bettertrader.co

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Futures Trading vs Options: What’s the Difference?

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Futures Trading vs Options: What’s the Difference?

Written by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

The answer to this piece’s title question is: there are quite a few differences between futures and futures options. Let’s get right to it. There are two types of options – call options and put options. Their risks and opportunity potential differ depending on whether you’re analyzing purchased / long calls and puts or sold / short calls and puts. So, we’re really comparing futures with four different types of options: long call options, short call options, long put options and short put options. If you’re already chafing at the confusion you see coming, hold steady and we’ll try to clear things up.

The easiest starting point is to look first at the risks and opportunities in trading a straight futures contract. This is so because there are only two positions you can take in a futures contract. You can buy a futures contract, often termed “going long,” or you can sell a futures contract, described as “going short.” Regardless of whether you’re long or short a futures contract, the risk of loss and the opportunity for profit is equally measureable by the price change in that futures contract. If each single price change in a futures contract – called a tick – is equal to $10, then a 10-tick move up and a 10-tick move down are both equal to a $100 move. The result of a 10-tick move up for a long futures contract would be a gain of $100. The result of a 10-tick move down for a long futures contract would be a loss of $100. Conversely, the result of a 10-tick move down for a short futures contract would be a gain of $100. The result of a 10-tick move up for a short futures contract would be a loss of $100. So, whether you’re long or short a futures contract, you’re risk and opportunity potentials are the same.

Probably one of the more imposing aspects of trading straight futures contracts – at least at first – is that there are about fifty different principal futures contracts available for trading – in categories such as metals, grains, currencies, energies, livestock and more – and their tick values can differ. Each tick in the British Pound is equal to $6.25; each tick in Unleaded Gas is $4.20; each tick in Coffee is $3.75; each tick in Gold is $10. Further, some futures contracts’ minimum incremental price moves can be more than one tick at a time. The minimum price move for Sugar is one tick; the minimum price move for Copper is five ticks; the minimum price move for Live Cattle is 2 ½ ticks. How confounding is that?

Yet, like any new information you’re attempting to stockpile in your brain – especially when your trading account’s money is at stake, with exposure comes familiarity. So, whether you’re actively taking positions in dozens of markets each day, or concentrating your trading on one or two sectors or even one or two markets, you’ll want to become familiar with the contract specifications of what you’re trading.

If you’re looking to trade options, you have more homework. The first important distinction between futures contracts and futures options lies in their risks and opportunities. Remember, whether you’re long or short a futures contract, you’re risk and opportunity potentials are the same. Not so with futures options. The risks and opportunities are very different depending on whether you’re the option buyer (long) or the option seller (short).

In terms of risk, for the option buyer, the loss risk is limited to the purchase price of the option. So, if the price of the option loses value, it can only lose all its value – no more than that. On the opportunity side of the ledger, purchased options can increase in value based on the underlying asset it might eventually become if it was exercised. A purchased (long) call option will increase in value if its underlying asset (a long position in the market) increases in value. A purchased (long) put option will increase in value if its underlying asset (a short position in the market) decreases in value.

For the option seller, the risk/opportunity parameters are flipped. The limited loss assumed by the option buyer is also the limited opportunity afforded the option seller. The amount received in the sale of the option is as much as the option seller can ultimately collect. Conversely, sold options can increase in value based on the underlying asset it might eventually become if it was exercised. A sold (short) call option will increase in value if its underlying asset (a long position in the market) increases in value. A sold (short) put option will increase in value if its underlying asset (a short position in the market) decreases in value.

To encapsulate, the risk to purchased (long) options – both call options and put options – is limited to their purchase price. Their opportunities lie in the degree to which the underlying assets move favorably, that they could be converted to if they were exercised. The opportunity for sold (short) options – both call and put options – is the original price at which they are sold – the amount of premium – collected at the sale. Their risks lie in the degree to which the underlying assets move unfavorably and that they could be converted to if they were exercised.

This brings up another important power given to the option buyer not given to the option seller. The option buyer has the right to exercise the option and convert it to a position in its underlying asset. The option seller, on the other hand, is at the whim of the option buyer to see their option converted to a position in the market. So, only the option buyer can – if they wish – exercise their option and convert it to a futures contract

All these risks and opportunities come with two universal components that influence the value of every option: 1.) the option’s strike price and 2.) time. All options have a strike price. An option’s strike price represents the price to which the option is tied if it’s ever exercised and becomes a futures contract. A call option’s strike price is equal to the price at which a long position in the underlying futures contract is taken if the call option is exercised. A put option’s strike price is equal to the price at which a short position in the underlying futures contract is taken if the put option is exercised.

All options – no matter when they are purchased or sold – have lifespans. They all have expiration dates. And during their lifespans up until their expiration dates, their underlying assets are constantly changing price – fluctuations up and down, moving toward and away from strike prices up and down the market’s price range. Options whose expiration dates lie in the far distant future possess greater amounts of time with which to witness the underlying futures contract trade and potentially move toward its strike price or away from it. For this reason, they are valued more highly than those with closer-in-time expiration dates. So, as the saying goes, “time is money,” the term “time value,” is used to describe that part of an option’s overall value as it relates to the option’s expiration date. The farther away the option’s expiration date, the more time value is possesses.

The rules vary among exchanges that trade options, but generally an option buyer, if they ever choose to do so, can exercise their option at any time during the option’s lifespan – right up to its expiration date – and convert it to a position in the underlying futures contract. Conversely, the exercise of the long option causes a short option holder – an option seller – to be “assigned” the opposite position in the underlying futures contract.

At an option’s expiration date, a new set of rules comes into play. This is the date when – depending on the price of the underlying asset – an option is either “in the money,” or “at the money,” or it’s “out of the money.” If it’s a call option, it’s at or in the money if at expiration the underlying futures contract is trading at or above its strike price. If it’s a put option, it’s in the money if the underlying futures contract is trading at or below its strike price. This is the point in time and price when all options in or at the money are automatically converted and become positions in the underlying futures contract. All out-of-the-money options are not converted and become nothing. They expire worthless.

When you combine the selection of option strike prices up and down an underlying futures contract’s price range, with a range of expiration dates from nearby in time to far out, then offer long call options, short call options, long put options and short put options, the range of risk and opportunity in trading futures options is literally limitless. Never mind the added range of risk and opportunity available when trading any combination of futures options, or a combination of futures options and futures contracts (a discussion for a future article).

Hedging Futures Price Risk Through the Futures Market

Hedging Futures Price Risk Through the Futures Market

Written by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Would you pay $700.00 for a one way airplane ticket between Chicago and Dallas?  Economy? How about $650.00 one way between Oakland and Seattle in a middle seat?  What if the price of your favorite coffee-chino increased by 50% or even 90%, how much will you be willing to pay to get that same fix? Or would you buy a lesser product? Is it rational we as consumers are forced to change our buying habits due to unexpected price increases?

A jeweler needs to buy resources (platinum, silver, gold, etc.) to make what he is going to sell, even when resources are sparse and costs are high. A farmer may be forced to sell his product when there is an abundance and prices are low. This doesn’t seem fair to the jeweler, who needs his supplies even when their costs skyrocket, or the farmer, who toils through a growing season and takes on the risks of weather, insects, and disease. These prices can fluctuate dramatically on the world market, and yet it is important for sellers to keep their prices a steady as possible to please their customer base. Perhaps where it is most apparent how important these fixed prices are is with your daily cup of coffee. A coffee roaster like Starbucks must try to control the cost of inputs even when the price for raw coffee bean fluctuates, sometimes dramatically, on the world market. If they couldn’t control the cost of the coffee, then you would not be able to depend on your daily $5.00 fix.  Even Airlines are subjected to price variability in the form of costs for jet fuel. As fuel costs rise, the ticket price needs to cover the expense, and a rational increase in the price of a coach ticket should be expected; Budget prices no more. Irrational market price moves for the basic inputs of industry are long and storied throughout human history.

All of the above  hedge price risk, to try to offset some of that price risk. But where do they begin?

Futures markets temper and offset price risk for producers of products, shippers, retailers, and end users. But why is price risk so important to understand, and how can you protect yourself buy hedging or how can you lock in a price for future delivery of goods? You will through the futures market.

What is a Futures Contract?

A futures contract is a contract between two parties where both parties agree to buy and sell a particular standardized asset of specific quantity and at a predetermined price, on a specified date in the future. These legal contractual obligations can be offset at any time prior to contract expiration. A good faith deposit or performance bond equal to approximately 5% of the notional value is required and is called the margin requirement

Who trades in the futures markets? 

Well, the farmer, the jeweler, the airlines and Starbucks all do. Large corporations, farm cooperatives, import/export companies and even your next-door neighbor might. These are all entities who could be hedging, so we call them Bona Fide Hedgers. 

There are other participants that we call speculators. These could be banks or individual investors who use the markets as a supplement and compliment to their investment portfolio.

The History of Futures

The History of Futures markets and hedging is long and varied. 

  •  “Many individuals grew suddenly rich. A golden bait hung temptingly out before the people, and, one after the other, they rushed to the tulip marts, like flies around a honey-pot. Every one imagined that the passion for tulips would last forever, and that the wealthy from every part of the world would send to Holland, and pay whatever prices were asked for them. The riches of Europe would be concentrated on the shores of the Zuyder Zee, and poverty banished from the favoured clime of Holland. Nobles, citizens, farmers, mechanics, seamen, footmen, maidservants, even chimney sweeps and old clotheswomen, dabbled in tulips.”                 
    •  Mackay, Charles (1841), Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds, London: Richard Bentley

“When Tokugawa Yoshimune became Japan’s shogun in 1716, he sought to reform the state’s finances. Rice played an important role in his reforms, since it accounted for 90 percent of the government’s revenues.  The shogunate also paid the bannermen (an important group of samurai who formed the civil and military administrations) fixed amounts of rice each year to secure their support.a Low rice prices in the late 1720s strained the samurai’s finances, which had already deteriorated significantly over the previous century. Potentially as a result of several good harvests, the price of rice in 1729 was only 40 percent of what it had been in 1721, and samurai incomes had thus dropped sharply.  In fact, since 1710 the nominal income of the bannermen had fallen by nearly 50 percent, and their real income had also decreased significantly, though less so since other prices had dropped as well.”

-Moss, David, Professor at The Harvard Business School, “The Dojima Rice Market and the Origins of Futures Trading” (2010)

 

Simply, from these two examples we can see that the need for price stability of commodity costs drove the creation of futures markets. 

Getting Started in Futures

Currently, hundreds of different Futures contracts are available for hedgers. View some, not all markets used for hedging    

The mechanics of a hedge are varied and a hedging professional can help you with your unique situation. 

People always ask me if they have to take delivery of the product they are hedging and the answer is no. However, you can take delivery of many of the futures contracts if it happens to be suitable for the strategy you are engaged in. Some futures contracts are financially or cash settled. For instance, if you buy a mini crude oil contract at $55.00 per barrel and on expiration day, the contract is priced at $57.50 and your account will be credited with a $2.50  x 500 barrels or $1250.00 per contract. Which brings us to a few hedging examples I would like to share. The first one is a currency hedge utilized buy grain processors between Canada and the U.S.

(The following example is compliments of the CME “Hedging Foreign Exchange Rate Risk with CME FX Futures” 2014)

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Capital Press research put this clear example together on how farmers use futures options as price insurance in their hedge.

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If you would like to know more about hedging or simply how to use the futures markets for price risk mitigation or speculation, please contact a futures Professional at www.cannontrading.com to walk you through the steps to open an account and begin the process of protecting your commerce.

Disclaimer – Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

 

Crude Oil Numbers Tomorrow & Trading Levels 9.05.2019

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Dear Traders,

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Crude oil numbers are tomorrow at 11 AM EST
Natural Gas numbers are at 10:30 AM EST
Lots of see-saw action in various markets and volatility is increasing.
Know your risk BEFORE entering the trade…..don’t enter with out having a game plan in mind: what are you looking for? how much will you risk?
trade size? possible targets?
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Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

 

Futures Trading Levels

09-05-2019

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9ecc8c69 acbc 4ad7 b186 7c8352129bc8


Economic Reports, source: 

bettertrader.co

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Futures Levels 9.04.2019

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Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

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Dear Traders,

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Below are the contracts which are entering First Notice or Last Trading Day for the upcoming month. Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is our policy that all LONG positions be exited the day prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day. If you have any questions please contact your broker.
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Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

 

Futures Trading Levels

09-04-2019

d8aa47db 21f9 44ac bb57 8e90e247ba7f

 

9ecc8c69 acbc 4ad7 b186 7c8352129bc8


Economic Reports, source: 

bettertrader.co

7544a3f5 c34b 4b66 a6d5 eab4db2d8558

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Labor Day Trading Hours & Levels 8.30.2019

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Dear Traders,

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Tomorrow is the last trading day of the month, a day full of reports and ahead of Labor Day Weekend here in the US!
Should be a very interesting trading day and my guess is will be volatile….but I have been wrong before….
Labor Day Trading Hours below, have a safe and enjoyable holiday!
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Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

 

Futures Trading Levels

08-30-2019

d8aa47db 21f9 44ac bb57 8e90e247ba7f

 

9ecc8c69 acbc 4ad7 b186 7c8352129bc8


Economic Reports, source: 

bettertrader.co

93a969c6 5309 4343 a89a 19769b7488e2

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.