Crude Oil Numbers Tomorrow 9.28.2016

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday September 28, 2016

Greetings!

We have a full day tomorrow!

Crude Oil numbers, Fed. members speaking, Draghi speaking, durable goods….

I wrote before on trading or not trading during big numbers.
Each of you is a different person, different trader and hence the importance of keeping a personal trading journal. If you trade crude oil, you will be able to look back at your journal and decide if to trade or not during crude numbers and read from past weekly reprots which will greatly help you preparing for tomorrow report.

Presidential debate Tonight! 9.26.2016

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday September 27, 2016

Greetings!

Be aware, the presidential debate is this evening!

I think we should see some moves during the evening night time and some of the markets will be thinner than normal.

Just giving you the heads up…. 

Continue reading “Presidential debate Tonight! 9.26.2016”

What’s Your Trading Blood Type? 9.23.2016

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Friday September 23, 2016

Greetings!

What’s your trading blood Type?

This article was published by the Stocks, Futures, & Options Magazine in June, 2004 and was written by our VP, Ilan Levy-Mayer. We think this article is timeless and whether you are beginner or advanced trader, you will enjoy it.

Perhaps the greatest luxury I have in this business is the ability to observe the experiences of many traders with different personalities, life schedules and risk capital, each trading in a variety of markets. What most astute brokers realize is that, over time, as some individuals prematurely exit winners while others desperately cling to losers, it becomes quite possible to match different “blood types” of those traders with their correct “trading diets.” Clearly, we’re not talking the medical blood type here, but in the figurative sense it makes the right point. With practice, it’s not too hard to determine blood types (type of trading best suited to the individual) based on the personality of the trader, and then prescribe a diet based on that individual trader’s capital, experience, risk profile and schedule.

Discovering Your Blood Type and Trading Diet

Just like a diet, where there is no right plan for everyone, in trading there is no single plan for all traders. Before deciding whether to “cut out the carbs,” “add more fiber,” or simply avoid certain markets, do some self-assessment, starting with personality. For example, are you hesitant or impulsive? Patient or short-tempered? Identify strengths and weaknesses, and then let someone close to you help pinpoint those personality pros and cons. Have a tough skin; it’s for your own good.  Please fill out the form below to download the “What’s Your Trading Blood Type” PDF.

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Continue reading “What’s Your Trading Blood Type? 9.23.2016”

Open Interest in Future Options, Option Heat Map Tool 9.22.2016

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3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday September 22, 2016

Greetings!

Interesting tool by the CME!!

See which strikes are heating up with the Options OI Heatmap Tool

Track the concentration of positions with the new Options Open Interest Heatmap Tool, which provides a dynamic view into the most active strikes.

  • Available for Eurodollar, Treasury and Fed Fund options, as well as all CME Group benchmark options (S&P 500, Crude Oil, Euro FX, Gold, Corn, etc.)
  • View put/call OI and volume distribution by strike and underlying expiry
  • View OI and volume change on a 1-day, 1-week or 1-month horizon

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Check out our trading systems results!

Continue reading “Open Interest in Future Options, Option Heat Map Tool 9.22.2016”

FOMC on Sept. 21 2016

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3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday September 21, 2016

Greetings!

Two things today….
The first, from The New York Times, an interesting read…..:

‘Trust Your Gut’ Might Actually Be Profitable Advice on Wall Street, Study Says

A study published on Monday in Scientific Reports suggests that high-frequency traders who were more sensitive to their bodies made more profitable trades.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/20/business/dealbook/trust-your-gut-might-actually-be-profitable-advice-on-wall-street-study-says.html

The second, tomorrow is an anticipated FOMC meeting.

Be careful.

The FOMC interest rate decision is due at 2:15 ET in the US tomorrow as well as Crude Oil Inventories.

FOMC days have different characteristics than other trading days. If you have traded for a while, check your trading notes from past FOMC days that may help you prepare for tomorrow.

if you are a newcomer, take a more conservative approach and make sure you understand that the news can really move the market.

The following are suggestions on trading during FOMC days:

  • Reduce trading size
  • Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade
  • Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 2165.00 with a stop at 2159.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 2159.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example.
  • Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement
  • Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
  • Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
  • Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues
  • Be patient and be disciplined

Continue reading “FOMC on Sept. 21 2016”

Be Disciplined, Be Consistent in Your Trading! 9.20.2016

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday September 20, 2016

Greetings!

Front month for stock indices (e-minis) is December.
Front month for metals is December.
Front month for currencies is December.
Front month for natural gas and crude oil / energies is November. Be consistent with your trading decision…if you have rules make sure you follow them and fight that bad voice inside that makes you deviate, usually when in a losing trade! Discipline and consistency are sometimes more important than the question of should I buy or should I sell…

Trade with confidence, Trade with a plan, Trade with discipline!

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Quadruple Witching! 9.16.2016

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1. Market Commentary
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3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Friday September 16, 2016

Greetings!

Quadruple witching tomorrow!

Not that we needed any extra events for higher volatility…Markets went from extremely low volatility to much expanded volatility….

Personally I don’t have a feel for near term direction of stock indices as the markets been making some large moves on a daily basis with no real direction so far….I guess if Nasdaq breaks the all time highs, it may  be a clue….

Trade with confidence, Trade with a plan, Trade with discipline!

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Continue reading “Quadruple Witching! 9.16.2016”

Crude Oil and Mini SP 500 Charts – Sitting on Major Support! 9.15.2016

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday September 15, 2016

Greetings!

No words of wisdom today…so instead two charts of two markets that are sitting or very close to major support.

First is the mini SP 500, followed by Crude Oil.

Mini SP 500 Daily Chart

Mini SP 500 Daily Chart

Crude Oil Daily Chart

Crude Oil Daily Chart

If you need help, feel like chatting markets or getting feedback  – we are here!

Continue reading “Crude Oil and Mini SP 500 Charts – Sitting on Major Support! 9.15.2016”

Volatility is back in the Futures Markets 9.14.2016

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1. Market Commentary
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3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday September 14, 2016

Greetings!

Front month for stock indices is December!!

Looks like volatility is back…usually it will stay for a while so time to adjust your trading strategy you were using in June, July and August and expand it to the higher volatility.

This may mean looking for larger target profits, using wider stops, perhaps smaller trade size, perhaps being “picky” with your entry level etc.

If you need help, feel like chatting markets or getting feedback  – we are here!

Continue reading “Volatility is back in the Futures Markets 9.14.2016”

Big Volatility in Stock Index Futures Last Two Days – Levels for 09.13.16

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1. Market Commentary
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4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Friday September 9, 2016

Greetings!

Front month for stock indices is December!!

I looked for some news that may explain the large sell off Friday and almost the same level of bounce today….I saw a few things but must admit none made sense to me, so my clients who are “conspiracy theory believers” may have won this one…..

I saw something about Fed officials speaking today “infused confidence back”, saw another thing that Friday was due to North Korea nuclear tests…yet another explanation spoke about rollover. Another news flash spoke about possibly removing some of the stocks from the financial segment of the SP500, specifically “good performing real estate stocks from the financial/ banking sector…..not to mention the “9/11” effect….and more and more etc. etc…..

My guess is the FED once again too concerned with keeping stock market prices higher than the paying attention to the rest of the economy…..I feel that QE in general and other FED action created artificially higher stock market prices which will one day explode in a violent way. But that is a topic for a whole new discussion.

Bottom line is I have no explanation but here is what the hourly and daily charts look like:

DAILY

S&P 500 Futures Daily Chart
Hourly
S&P 500 Futures Hourly Chart

Continue reading “Big Volatility in Stock Index Futures Last Two Days – Levels for 09.13.16”