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In this issue:
Important Notices – Goodbye Eurodollar 🙁
Trading Resource of the Week – Live Customized Trading Signals on your Charts
Hot Market of the Week – June Gold
Broker’s Trading System of the Week – E-mini SP Intraday System
Trading Levels for Next Week
Trading Reports for Next Week
Important Notices – Goodbye Eurodollar
Heads up traders:
Today we say goodbye to a commodity that for ±20 years starting in the early 2000’s held the title of largest open interest futures contract in the world: the Eurodollar. Long the benchmark for hedging short-interest rates, it is being replaced today by the Three-Month Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) Futures.
SOFR measures the cost of borrowing U.S. dollar cash overnight using Treasury securities as collateral. SOFR has been recommended by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Alternative Reference Rate Committee (ARRC) and SOFR looks set to become the main indicator of U.S. dollar interest rates around the world as global regulators encourage market participants to transition to SOFR.
CME Group launched SOFR-based futures in 2018 to support the transition. Starting today, any Eurodollar exposure where the start date is beyond June 30, 2023, will automatically convert to the corresponding CME SOFR. For more information regarding the conversion process, please visit the CME Group web site.
Trading Resource of the Week – Customized Trading Signals
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
June Gold is approaching its second upside PriceCount objective where it would be normal for the chart to react with a near term consolidation or corrective trade upon satisfying the count. At this point, IF there is another leg up to this bull run, the 3rd PriceCount objective run is towards the 2261 area.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading
Yesterday’s CPI print with FOMC minutes triggered a sell off into the market. Coming into today, the jobless claims news triggered a rally. Despite us selling off yesterday, bulls were able to regain back control as dips has been bought.
As this plays out, people who are short managed to get squeezed out fueling the market higher like today.
Is this a short covering or a resumption of short term uptrend? In my opinion tomorrow’s report will provide additional clues.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Looking at the last two trading days of the week By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker:
General: The March Consumer Price Index came in cooler than expected, showing a rise of 0.1% in March. Economists polled by Dow Jones were expecting CPI to rise by 0.2% month over month.
Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s March policy meeting showed officials feared that the economy could tilt into a mild recession later this year in the wake of the U.S. banking crisis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin futures (BTC) pushed over the $30,000 level for the first time since June 2022. This on the heels of a ±10,000-point move from March 10 when the April contract traded to an intraday low of 19,620 and closed at 20,110.
Today, May orange juice futures closed at an all-time high of $2.8490 per pound a remarkable ±80-cent / $12,000 move from late January. This year, the U.S. orange crop is forecast to be the smallest since 1937. Output has generally been in decline since peaking 25 years ago, though this year’s losses in Florida – a global top producer still – are extremely sharp. Yesterday, the USDA pegged the 2022-2023 U.S. orange crop at 62.25 million boxes, an 86-year low and down 23% on the year. That is less than 20% of U.S. output compared to the record 1997-1998 season.
May sugar futurestraded today to 6 1/2 -year highs and an intraday high of 24.85 cents/pound continuing its months-long charge from the 17-18-cent range (one cent = $1,120). News of lower-than-expected production in some key regions and tightening supplies have persisted into the year.
For the seventh consecutive session, June gold has closed above $2,000/ounce. Referencing the Fed minutes mentioned above, economists have cited rising interest rates and now a potentially more acute slowdown in lending after the collapse of several U.S. banks as a possible trigger of a recession this year. The prospect of a U.S. recession boosts safe-haven demand for gold, which has been on a tear since early-March – with a ±$200 per ounce / $20,000 move.
First Notice and Last trading Days for the month of May below
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
I hope everyone is rested from the holiday week behind us, this week’s economic number releases should keep all the traders on their toes.
CPI Wednesday! The standouts will be the March CPI data on Wednesday at 7:30 CT and retail and food services sales at 7:30 CT on Friday. The CPI will be critical to the inflation outlook for Fed policymakers.
Previous CPI reports have created velocity logic events in the stock indices at the CME. The above reports will Bookend the FOMC minutes release @1pm CT on Wednesday.
If you recall the FED Meeting Black out period was before the Bank issues so don’t expect too much verbage about the banking situation in this report. Also Remember, expectations will be baked into the market at release time, after release, the market has sustained moves when the reality is much different from the expectations.
First Notice and Last trading Days for the month of May below
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Heads up everyone, a bit of a different Good Friday schedule than years past.
Good Friday was the one holiday all commodity brokers loved as almost all markets were completely closed. With NFP out this Friday, the CME will have a few markets open to allow for risk management. Equities will remain open until 8:15 AM central Friday. Currencies & rates until 10:15 AM central.
Please see full list below. Happy Easter/ Passover to all.
Below are the contracts which are entering First Notice or Last Trading Day for the upcoming month. Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
In this session, we’ll take a look at QT Market Center, a leading trading platform used by hedgers and professional traders world wide.
When: Tomorrow ( Thursday Apr. 6th) at 2 PM Central Time
Mark Bucaro, an ex floor trader will share some of the features and tools QT offers and how you can possibly use it to help your trading.
In this webinar you will learn and see live examples:
• Proprietary Price Counts Price Forecasting Tool
• Realtime Agricultural/Livestock/Ethanol-Energy News, Weather, Audio Charts, & Quotes and more all from one platform – Desktop, Tablet, Smartphone Accessible
• Daily Chart of the Day Subscription with Price Counts Price Forecasting Levels Included
• Profitability Cost Calculator – Input your costs and get your profitability results in seconds
• Web based Platform Access, Desktop (Smartphone & Tablet Access included Free) from virtually anywhere there is an internet connection
• Cost Effective, Reliable and Fast
• Reduced Live and Snapshot Quotes Fee Cost Options Available
• Realtime Live Streaming Agricultural & World Weather Audio Market Commentary Updates (accessible from Desktop, Tablet & Smartphone when out in the field)
• Access Current and 11+ years of Archived USDA Reports,
Heads up everyone, a bit of a different Good Friday schedule than years past.
Good Friday was the one holiday all commodity brokers loved as almost all markets were completely closed. With NFP out this Friday, the CME will have a few markets open to allow for risk management. Equities will remain open until 8:15 AM central Friday. Currencies & rates until 10:15 AM central.
Please see full list below. Happy Easter/ Passover to all.
Good Friday Hours for this Friday Below:
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
ADP early tomorrow, followed by ISM to provide direction on a SHORT TRADING week ahead.
Heads up everyone, a bit of a different Good Friday schedule than years past.
Good Friday was the one holiday all commodity brokers loved as almost all markets were completely closed. With NFP out this Friday, the CME will have a few markets open to allow for risk management. Equities will remain open until 8:15 AM central Friday. Currencies & rates until 10:15 AM central.
Please see full list below. Happy Easter/ Passover to all.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
A big Note, BIG.. Good Friday is the same day as the Non Farm Payrolls release
The cash equities will be closed but the Futures will be open for the report and only 45 minutes after!
That’s right, just 45 minutes for the market to absorb the jobs data.
NonFarm Payrolls will be released @ 8;30 ET and the market is closing @ 9:15 ET until a Sunday night reopen
The bonds will be open until 10.15ET
The focus in the April 3 week will be on labor market data, just how tight employment remained at the end of the first quarter 2023 and what that means for the economic outlook and monetary policy.
Note that April 7 – Good Friday – is not a federal holiday in the US. However, there is an early close at 2:00 ET that day for the capital markets; the stock market will have a full close.
The February JOLTS report at 10:00 ET on Tuesday It will almost certainly show the number of people voluntarily quitting a job is declining as the imbalances in the labor market improve.
The ADP national employment report for March at 8:15 ET on Wednesday should indicate where private payrolls are growing. tech companies and some financial services may be weaker. Also important to note will be if wage growth is easing up.
The Challenger report for March at 7:30 ET on Thursday will highlight the sectors where layoffs announcements are taking place. In recent months it has been the tech sector that has dominated the story, but the February report hinted that layoffs are becoming more broad-based due to deteriorating business conditions.
The employment situation for March at 8:30 ET on Friday is expected to show that payrolls continued to rise at a healthy pace, although not as quickly as in January and February. March payrolls can be tricky to seasonally adjust due to the timing of spring breaks for various school systems and the Easter/Passover observances.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
The above sources were compiled from sources believed to be reliable. Cannon Trading assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. It is meant as an alert to events that may affect trading strategies and is not necessarily complete. The closing times for certain contracts may have been rescheduled.
Important Notices – Good Friday Schedule and NFP Report
Heads up traders. This coming Friday, April 7th will be somewhat of an irregularity. It is a trading holiday (Good Friday) and simultaneously the first Friday of the month, when the Labor Department will release its monthly Non-farm payrolls report.
While the major CME Group futures markets with 4:00 P.M. Central Time closings will finish the week’s trading at that regular time on Thursday, June 5th, at the regular 6:00 P.M. start of trading, energy, grains and metals will remain closed. Only interest rate, equities, currencies and cryptocurrencies will open and will close early Friday morning as follows:
Interest rate: 10:15 A.M. Central Time
Equities: 8:15 A.M.
Currencies: 10:15 A.M.
Cryptocurrencies: 10:15 A.M.
This will give some of the most actively traded and report-sensitive instruments only a limited amount of time to react to what is widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy – on a day that will likely see reduced volume.
QT Market Center – Trading Terminal for Professional Traders & Hedgers (Grain, Livestock, Energies, Metals and More!)
When: Thursday April 6th at 2 PM Central Time
Mark Bucaro, an ex floor trader will share some of the features and tools QT offers and how you can possibly use it to help your TRADING and HEDGING.
In this webinar you will learn and see live examples:
• Pre-Opening Comments for Financials, Metals, Ags, and Softs.
• Cycle Timing Commentary for Grains
• David Hightower daily market analysis
• Market Calendar
• Web based Platform Access, Desktop (Smartphone & Tablet Access included Free) from virtually any computer anywhere there is an internet connection
• Easy to use Point and Click with Multi Screen Capability
• Profitability Cost Calculator – Input your costs and get your profitability results in seconds
• Realtime Live Streaming Agricultural & World Weather Audio Market Commentary Updates (accessible from Desktop, Tablet & Smartphone when out in the field)
• Access Current and 11+ years of Archived USDA Reports,
• Realtime Agricultural/Livestock/Ethanol-Energy News, Weather, Audio Charts, & Quotes and more all from one platform – Desktop, Tablet, Smartphone Accessible
• Daily Chart of the Day Subscription with Price Counts Price Forecasting Levels Included
• Proprietary Price Counts Price Forecasting Tool
• Chart Overlays
• Seasonal Charts
• Grain Bids Directory with approximately 16,000 bids
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
May silver has rallied back for a challenge of the winter highs. At this point breakout into new sustained highs would project a run to the third PriceCount objective of the 26.13 area.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading
RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.