Whether a person or a firm, a commodity broker is there to help you with your commodity trading needs. They either have a team of commodity traders under them or a platform that they manage electronically.
For all commodity trading beginners, commodity brokers are a point of contact that can be approached with individual commodity trading needs. To do good in commodity trading, it is important to take the advice of the commodity broker seriously. Under this category archive we discuss everything about commodity brokers and their expert skills.
We at Cannon Trading are there to help your commodity trading requirements. Whether you want to consult us and seek advice or to play a more active role for you in the markets, we are there to serve you with the best of our services. It is essential for you to choose only a certified broker and so, you can always trust us when it comes to qualifying on all quality parameters. No matter which commodity interests you, our trading experts give you the right and real-time advice always. Read our archive; share posts with your friends; or bookmark this page to stay up-to-date on commodity brokers.
Then here is your golden opportunity. CME Group will be launching the Go for Gold Precious Metals Trading Challenge coming this June.
You’ll have the opportunity to practice trading highly liquid Precious Metals products while competing against other traders for the chance to win the grand prize of a 1 oz. bar of gold*.
During the challenge, you’ll explore our suite of precious metals contracts and test-drive strategies in a simulated environment. We’ll send you exclusive, daily education materials on precious metals contracts in order for you to feel prepared to trade and confidently compete against your peers.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
The week ahead, more inflation data and the Elephant in the room. Joe Biden is heading into a critical week with congressional leaders over the debt limit . A battle that neither side wants, that neither side wants to compromise on, but both sides need to resolve. A Tuesday meeting will provide odds of a resolution happening in the few weeks remaining before the debt default deadline, June 1st. Be prepared for the volume on each sides megaphone’s to be amplified by the ten’s of decibels. What we do know this week is that no less than 4 Fed board governors will be speaking, 2 on Tuesday during market hours; 7:30 am CDT and 11:05 am CDT respectively, 9:15am CDT Wednesday with Bullard wrapping up the speaking engagements after the Friday close, potentially impacting Sunday nights trade. Inflation DATA : Fasten your seat belts for these 2 numbers CPI Wednesday morning @ 7:30 CDT , economists expectations are really no change from the previous months data, that seems like more of a hope to me, be ready if you like to trade the CPI for anything. Speaking of being ready for anything, Thursday mornings release of the PPI @ 7:30 am CDT may also create unnatural volatility as economists are expecting producer prices to have increased in April from the March reports decline. prepare yourselves for large intraday moves. keep your ears to the wall as you listen for clues to further fed tightening or pauses as these Fed Governors’ speak. At Cannon we are known for creating a trading plan and trading that plan.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Join our private Facebook group for additional insight into trading and the futures markets!
In this issue:
Important Notices – CPI, PPI, Crop Reports is this Week!
Trading Resource of the Week – FREE Trading Psychology Course
Hot Market of the Week – July Bean Meal
Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Browse Hundreds of “Hands Free” Systems
Trading Levels for Next Week
Trading Reports for Next Week
Important Notices
This week we have CPI, PPI and crop report!
Trading Resource of the Week – Get An Edge With the Trading Psychology Course FREE
Trading 102: Commitment of Traders Report – What Lies beneath
Many experienced traders say that the stiffest challenge you’ll face in becoming a futures trader is conquering your own psyche. Why? Because losing is part of trading, and people hate to lose.
In this “Trading Psychology” Course you will learn:
How to examine your patterns and behaviors and recognize when they are holding you back
Maintaining self-confidence as a trader even in the face of inexperience
The mathematical expectation model and how it can decrease your losses
Determining the trading plan that is right for your trading personality
Understanding and using Motivation – Risk – Reward to its full advantage
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
July soybean meal completed its second downside PriceCount objective in March and corrected higher. Now, the chart is threatening to break down where new sustained lows from here would project a run to the third count in the $412 area where it will be normal to see some consolidation price action.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Hundreds of “Hands Free” Automated Systems to Choose from!
Are you too busy to trade? Perhaps you’re not confident enough and you’re trading. Maybe you’re looking to the diversify your own trading with algorithmic trading or what we call automated trading. Browse over 500 trading systems. Review back test results, live results, drawdowns, returns and much more!!
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading
Join our private Facebook group for additional insight into trading and the futures markets!
In this issue:
Important Notices – FOMC is this Week!
Trading Resource of the Week – What are the “Big Boys” Up To?
Hot Market of the Week – June Heating Oil
Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Free Consultation
Trading Levels for Next Week
Trading Reports for Next Week
Important Notices – FOMC this week with statement and rate decision due Wednesday
The following are my PERSONAL suggestions on trading during FOMC days:
· Reduce trading size
· Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade
· Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 3925.00 with a stop at 3919.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 3919.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example ( consider current volatility along with support and resistance levels).
· Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement
· Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
· Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
· Keep in mind statement comes out at 1 Pm Central time, the news conference which dissects the language comes out 30 minutes later so the volatility window stretches out.
· Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues
· Be patient and be disciplined
· If in doubt, stay out!!
Trading Resource of the Week – What are the Big Boys up to?
Trading 102: Commitment of Traders Report – What Lies beneath
In this 24 page PDF booklet, Gary Kamen of Trends in Futures reviews the commitment of traders report, what it means, how traders can utilize it and much more.
Sign up and instantly download the booklet and learn about:
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
June heating oil completed its second downside PriceCount objective last month and corrected. Now, the chart is threatening to break down where new sustained lows from here would project a run to the third count in the 2.05 area
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Are you too busy to trade? Perhaps you’re not confident enough and you’re trading. Maybe you’re looking to the diversify your own trading with algorithmic trading or what we call automated trading. One of the best resources you can utilize is our Brokers will be happy to provide feedback and consultation based on your specific needs, risk tolerance, and goals.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading
Looking at the last two trading days of the week By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker:
General: The March Consumer Price Index came in cooler than expected, showing a rise of 0.1% in March. Economists polled by Dow Jones were expecting CPI to rise by 0.2% month over month.
Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s March policy meeting showed officials feared that the economy could tilt into a mild recession later this year in the wake of the U.S. banking crisis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin futures (BTC) pushed over the $30,000 level for the first time since June 2022. This on the heels of a ±10,000-point move from March 10 when the April contract traded to an intraday low of 19,620 and closed at 20,110.
Today, May orange juice futures closed at an all-time high of $2.8490 per pound a remarkable ±80-cent / $12,000 move from late January. This year, the U.S. orange crop is forecast to be the smallest since 1937. Output has generally been in decline since peaking 25 years ago, though this year’s losses in Florida – a global top producer still – are extremely sharp. Yesterday, the USDA pegged the 2022-2023 U.S. orange crop at 62.25 million boxes, an 86-year low and down 23% on the year. That is less than 20% of U.S. output compared to the record 1997-1998 season.
May sugar futurestraded today to 6 1/2 -year highs and an intraday high of 24.85 cents/pound continuing its months-long charge from the 17-18-cent range (one cent = $1,120). News of lower-than-expected production in some key regions and tightening supplies have persisted into the year.
For the seventh consecutive session, June gold has closed above $2,000/ounce. Referencing the Fed minutes mentioned above, economists have cited rising interest rates and now a potentially more acute slowdown in lending after the collapse of several U.S. banks as a possible trigger of a recession this year. The prospect of a U.S. recession boosts safe-haven demand for gold, which has been on a tear since early-March – with a ±$200 per ounce / $20,000 move.
First Notice and Last trading Days for the month of May below
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
I hope everyone is rested from the holiday week behind us, this week’s economic number releases should keep all the traders on their toes.
CPI Wednesday! The standouts will be the March CPI data on Wednesday at 7:30 CT and retail and food services sales at 7:30 CT on Friday. The CPI will be critical to the inflation outlook for Fed policymakers.
Previous CPI reports have created velocity logic events in the stock indices at the CME. The above reports will Bookend the FOMC minutes release @1pm CT on Wednesday.
If you recall the FED Meeting Black out period was before the Bank issues so don’t expect too much verbage about the banking situation in this report. Also Remember, expectations will be baked into the market at release time, after release, the market has sustained moves when the reality is much different from the expectations.
First Notice and Last trading Days for the month of May below
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
A big Note, BIG.. Good Friday is the same day as the Non Farm Payrolls release
The cash equities will be closed but the Futures will be open for the report and only 45 minutes after!
That’s right, just 45 minutes for the market to absorb the jobs data.
NonFarm Payrolls will be released @ 8;30 ET and the market is closing @ 9:15 ET until a Sunday night reopen
The bonds will be open until 10.15ET
The focus in the April 3 week will be on labor market data, just how tight employment remained at the end of the first quarter 2023 and what that means for the economic outlook and monetary policy.
Note that April 7 – Good Friday – is not a federal holiday in the US. However, there is an early close at 2:00 ET that day for the capital markets; the stock market will have a full close.
The February JOLTS report at 10:00 ET on Tuesday It will almost certainly show the number of people voluntarily quitting a job is declining as the imbalances in the labor market improve.
The ADP national employment report for March at 8:15 ET on Wednesday should indicate where private payrolls are growing. tech companies and some financial services may be weaker. Also important to note will be if wage growth is easing up.
The Challenger report for March at 7:30 ET on Thursday will highlight the sectors where layoffs announcements are taking place. In recent months it has been the tech sector that has dominated the story, but the February report hinted that layoffs are becoming more broad-based due to deteriorating business conditions.
The employment situation for March at 8:30 ET on Friday is expected to show that payrolls continued to rise at a healthy pace, although not as quickly as in January and February. March payrolls can be tricky to seasonally adjust due to the timing of spring breaks for various school systems and the Easter/Passover observances.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
For the USDA prospective plantings report on Friday, the average trade expectation for US soybean plantings is
88.3 million acres, with a range of expectations from 87.4 to 89.6 million. This would be up from 87.5 million last
year. The USDA Outlook Forum had planted area at 87.5 million acres as well.
For the Quarterly Grain Stocks report, US March 1 soybean stocks are expected to come in around 1.728 billion bushels (range 1.600-1.910 billion) versus 1.932 billion last year. Brazil may need to supply up to half of the soybeans that Argentina will import after the worst drought in 100 years devastated its fields and cut 2023 output nearly in half.
Argentina may need to import up to 10 million tonnes of soybeans. For the weekly export sales report, traders see soybean sales near 100,000-600,000 tonnes for old crop and another 50,000-300,000 tonnes for new crop. Meal sales are expected near 75,000-250,000 tonnes and oil sales are expected near zero-20,000 tonnes.
TODAY’S MARKET IDEAS:
Look for support in November Soybeans at 1291 3/4, with 1316 and then 1337 1/2 as key resistance. July Soybean support is at 1443, with 1464 3/4 as next key resistance. July Soybean Meal support is at 447.30, with 459.10 and 465.70 as resistance.
For the USDA planted acreage report on Friday, traders see US corn plantings near 90.9 million acres, 87.7-92.1 range, as compared with 91 million acres from the USDA Outlook forum and from 88.6 million last year. We lean to the higher end of estimates.
Traders see March 1 corn stocks at 7.474 billion bushels which would be the lowest since 2014. The range of estimates is 7.240-7.830, as compared with 7.758 billion last year. For the weekly export sales report, traders see corn sales near 600,000-1.8 million tonnes for old crop and 50,000-300,000 tonnes for new crop.
For the USDA planted acreage report on Friday, traders see all wheat planted area at 48.9 million acres, 45.7-50.0 range, as compared with 49.5 million acres from the USDA Outlook Forum. Spring wheat planted area is expected near 10.9 million acres, 9.8-12.0 range, as compared with 10.8 million acres last year. Winter wheat plantings are expected near 36.3 million acres from 33.3 million in 2022. Traders see wheat stocks as of March 1 at 929 million bushels, 875-1.020 billion range, as compared with stocks last March at 1.029 billion bushels last year. For the weekly export sales report, traders see wheat sales near 125,000-300,000 tons for old crop and 0-150,000 tons for new crop.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
This Friday is First Notice Day for April gold. Holding long positions in this futures contract into Friday subjects you to receiving a delivery notice from the exchange for 100 ounces of gold. You would then be required to have the full notional value of each 100-ounce futures contract on deposit in your account.
This upcoming event may not apply to any positions in your account this time, but if you ever take a long position in a futures contract where the method of settlement for that contract is the exchange of the actual physical asset, for example 100 ounces of gold, 5,000 bushels of oats, 37,500 pound of Arabica coffee, then you need to be mindful of those dates on the calendar that relate to the futures contracts you trade – Like First Notice Day. It can be a costly mistake even if you overlook an important date and find yourself in need of having to change your mind. After being informed that your account has received a delivery notice and you move to do an about-face – called retendering in futures parlance – the exchange may present you with a fine for your disregard of the calendar. Be careful.
For the grain markets and impact on livestock prices, Friday will mark the once a year prospective plantings report.
For our Grain Traders and Bona Fide Hedgers
This piece of information from one of our partners,
QTMarketCenter ( sign up for a free trial and enjoy plathora of information!)
Offers expectations for Friday’s big and all important USDA Prospective Plantings report and USDA Quarterly Grain Stocks —
Ahead of this week’s USDA quarterly grain stocks report, analysts are forecasting as of March 1, US Soybean stockpiles at 1.73 bln bu, that compares with the 1.93 bln bu on March 1, 2022
— Ahead of this week’s USDA quarterly grain stocks report, analysts are forecasting as of March 1, US Corn stockpiles at 7.47 bln bu, that compares with the 7.76 bln bu on March 1, 2022
— Grain traders and analysts are forecasting next week’s USDA prospective planting report to show US Soybean acres at 88.3 mln, that compares with last season’s 87.5 mln acres. The data will be released Friday, March 31 around 11:00 am CT.
— Grain traders and analysts are forecasting next week’s USDA prospective planting report to show US Corn acres at 90.9 mln, that compares with last season’s 88.6 mln acres. The data will be released Friday, March 31 around 11:00 am CT.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
There are few reports with market-moving potential in the March 27 week for the financials, However, for the grain markets and impact on livestock prices, Friday will mark the once a year prospective plantings report.
The third and final estimate of GDP for the fourth quarter 2022 will be reported at 7:30 CDT on Thursday. With the first quarter 2023 already nearing its end, there is far more interest in economic conditions in the January-March period.
Meanwhile, Fed policymakers will be back in public after the end of the communications blackout period from the March 21-22 FOMC meeting. No comments will be more closely attended to than Vice Chair of Supervision Michael Barr’s appearance before the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday at 9:00 CDT. Aside from the committee’s posturing, Barr’s written testimony and responses to questioning will be a warning to other banks to clean up their risk management and any overreliance on narrow business sectors.
For our Grain Traders and Bona Fide Hedgers
This piece of information from one of our partners,
Offers expectations for Friday’s big and all important USDA Prospective Plantings report and USDA Quarterly Grain Stocks —
Ahead of this week’s USDA quarterly grain stocks report, analysts are forecasting as of March 1, US Soybean stockpiles at 1.73 bln bu, that compares with the 1.93 bln bu on March 1, 2022
— Ahead of this week’s USDA quarterly grain stocks report, analysts are forecasting as of March 1, US Corn stockpiles at 7.47 bln bu, that compares with the 7.76 bln bu on March 1, 2022
— Grain traders and analysts are forecasting next week’s USDA prospective planting report to show US Soybean acres at 88.3 mln, that compares with last season’s 87.5 mln acres. The data will be released Friday, March 31 around 11:00 am CT.
— Grain traders and analysts are forecasting next week’s USDA prospective planting report to show US Corn acres at 90.9 mln, that compares with last season’s 88.6 mln acres. The data will be released Friday, March 31 around 11:00 am CT.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.
