Futures Levels & Economic Reports 3.27.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday March 27, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Option Strategies for Both Hedgers and Speculators going into the March Prospective Plantings report.

http://www.cmegroup.com/education/files/hightower-report-2014-03-24.pdf

Continue reading “Futures Levels & Economic Reports 3.27.2014”

Futures Levels & Economic Reports 3.25.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday March 25, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Day-Trading Emini Index Futures – 9 Key Trading Concepts by TradingEmini.com

Tradingemini.com’s 9 Rules to help keep you in the 10% winning club Vs 90% of traders who lose money.

Trading is inherently risky but by following eight fundamental money management rules you can keep your capital safer while building your trading experience.

1. Look for high volume markets with a thin spread, so orders are filled quickly and it has high volatility, so there are opportunities for 2 to 4 good trades during the day. The Emini S&P500 Index Future is a good example of this type of market (Each point is worth $50, split into 4 ticks of $12.50 and there are 4 contracts a year, traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange).

2. Only risk 1% of your capital per trade, then your capital can absorb 100 consecutive bad trades. Even the best systems can expect 20% loosing trades, so the 1% rule gives you room to maneuver.

3. $10-$15k is the minimum recommended risk capital you should have per Emini S&P500 contract traded – then if you lose $1000-$1500 it only represents 10% of you capital, which is recoverable compared to a $3k account where the same loss equals 50% of your account, consequently you are more likely to lose the remainder of your capital rather than recover the loss.

4. Limit the hours you trade – we prefer the first 60-90 minutes, when typically there is a good trend before the lunch time chop – many professional traders trade this time period.

5. Limit the number of trades you make per day – 2-6 is good as the Emini usually has up to 3 trends per day and you should aim to catch 1-2 out of the 3. Overtrading racks up commission fees and increases the risk of revenge trading. A few ticks loss per trade quickly mounts up – 4 trades fired like a machine gun can easily become four losers, at 8 tick stops, that’s $400 loss, 4% of a $10k account. Patience is key, stalk trades.

6. On any one day stop trading when losses hit 5-10% of capital, which is recoverable, and indicates you are reading the market wrong, so stop, evaluate your errors and record them in your Trading Journal.

Continue reading “Futures Levels & Economic Reports 3.25.2014”

Mini Russell 2000 Chart, Futures Levels & Economic Reports 2.20.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday March 20, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

As expected and forewarned in this blog….very quiet, tight trading until the announcement and then HIGH volatility. I personally, do not like to trade this way as I feel the risk is greater than reward, however there are certain type of traders who can’t wait for the big reports to trade….

Here is what the daily chart of the Mini Russell 2000 looks like after today. June is front month now for stock indices, currencies and financials.

TFE - Russell 2000 Index Mini, Equalized Active Daily Continuation
TFE – Russell 2000 Index Mini, Equalized Active Daily Continuation

Continue reading “Mini Russell 2000 Chart, Futures Levels & Economic Reports 2.20.2014”

How Crude Oil Prices Affect Gas Prices

There are a few different aspects that factor into how crude oil prices affect what consumers pay at the pump. Oil is directly affected by geopolitical events, weather patterns, distribution costs, supply, demand and State and Federal taxes, to name a few. As the aforementioned forces are unpredictable and as they become more volatile, so becomes crude oil. Understanding each factor and the role it plays with respects to the rise and fall in prices, may help someone understand how to utilize the information to make better trading decisions.

Supply

First and foremost supply is affected by various socioeconomic and political factors within and around the region of origin. Also, OPEC, an organization commenced in 12 of the top oil producing companies and producing just fewer than 50% of the world’s oil supply, regulate their portion of crude oil produced. Often OPEC will be in positions to sell or barter away the oil they produce in exchange for currency or other assets that will benefit their interests. The United States itself houses around 700 million barrels in its Strategic Petroleum Reserves for use in the event of political dissensions with oil producing nations, as well as for emergencies such as natural disaster affected regions of the country.

Demand

The driving forces behind the demand for crude oil can be a number of factors. The most obvious, of course, is the rate and amount of oil each country uses. According to the CIA World Fact book, the United States tops of the market at 21%, the EU uses 15% of the world’s oil and China consumes 11%. As countries develop, particularly within their middle class infrastructure, this creates more consumers and more consumers using vehicles, driving the demand higher. On the back end of developments like this, oil refineries must adjust production to suit the growing need, which also incurs a higher cost in that production.

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Mini Russell 2000 Chart, Futures Levels & Economic Reports 3.4.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday March 04, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Here are the current front months, active months for the more popular futures contracts. I will send a separate, special notice before stock index futures roll over in two weeks:

 

  • Stock index ( mini SP, mini Russell etc.) MARCH
  • Financials ( bonds, 10 years etc.) JUNE
  • Crude oil, Natural gas other energies: APRIL
  • Gold: APRIL
  • Silver, copper: MAY
  • Beans, wheat, corn and other grains: MAY
  • Currencies ( euro, yen, Swiss etc.) MARCH
  • Coffee, Cocoa, Sugar, Cotton: MAY
  • Meats ( cattle, hogs) APRIL

 

On a different note, below is my mini Russell chart from the last few days:

TFE - Russell 2000 Index Mini, Equalized Active Continuation: Range Bar, 36 Tick Units
TFE – Russell 2000 Index Mini, Equalized Active Continuation: Range Bar, 36 Tick Units

Would you like to have access to my DIAMOND and TOPAZ ALGOs as shown above and be able to apply for any market and any time frame on your own PC?  You can now have a three weeks free trial where I enable the ALGO along with few studies for your own sierra/ ATcharts and/or CQG Q trader.

Continue reading “Mini Russell 2000 Chart, Futures Levels & Economic Reports 3.4.2014”

Futures Trading Levels & Economic Reports 2.27.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Friday February 28, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Here are the current front months, active months for the more popular futures contracts. I will send a separate, special notice before stock index futures roll over in two weeks:

 

  • Stock index ( mini SP, mini Russell etc.) MARCH
  • Financials ( bonds, 10 years etc.) JUNE
  • Crude oil, Natural gas other energies: APRIL
  • Gold: APRIL
  • Silver, copper: MAY
  • Beans, wheat, corn and other grains: MAY
  • Currencies ( euro, yen, Swiss etc.) MARCH
  • Coffee, Cocoa, Sugar, Cotton: MAY
  • Meats ( cattle, hogs) APRIL

Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels & Economic Reports 2.27.2014”

How Discount Brokers Work?

Discount Futures Brokerage is formatted to provide a more cost effective way of trading futures for experienced traders who are comfortable placing trades over the internet , using their personal computer..

Discount Futures Brokers typically offer lower service fees and take a more minimal role in daily trading decisions. What you are essentially using a broker since then, is to place orders and for representation on the exchange floor. It is true that futures trading, or any trading market for that matter, could not operate without market participants and market professionals representing those participants. With commodities markets being so risky, regardless of cost it is clear that qualified brokers are vital to the success of participants of various markets.

What’s The Difference?

The biggest difference with discount brokers is the client’s ability to be more self-directed with their trading profile. The risk associated with futures trading disclaims that there is no guarantee of profit no matter who manages your money. No matter the level of involvement, brokers still represent the interests of every client and are likewise as valuable.  The need for Futures Trading Brokers will never become obsolete, so the emphasis on discount brokerage need be on discounted commissions and fees, not discounted service.

Below is a list of lesser or excluded fees associated with a discount futures brokerage:

  • Account Maintenance Fees
  • Platform Fees
  • DataFeed Fees (Online/E-Trading)
  • Low Margin Investments
  • Broker Support Fees

Another difference with discount brokerage is the type of platform often used for this type of futures brokerage service; online. Online Futures Trading is in some cases synonymous with a discount futures brokerage. The reason this is, is due to lower costs associated with online platforms that allow you to do most of the monitoring of real time market data. A wide selection of online futures companies provide the software you can download to use to trade and build a profile. When one places orders online, he doesn’t need to call his broker and place orders via phone. That saves the time of the broker and allow for lower, discounted fees.

Continue reading “How Discount Brokers Work?”

Mini S&P Chart, Futures Levels and Economic Reports 2.19.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday February 19, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Back after a long weekend and tomorrow we have Fed minutes, which can either provide the market with some power to move to the next level up or perhaps show us that the market ran out of gas….Here is the way my daily SP chart looks like:

EP - E Mini S&P 500, Equalized Active Daily Continuation

Crude Oil and Gold Futures Chart, Futures Levels and Economic Reports 2.12.2013

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday February 12, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

 

Trader Planet

 

Voted Best Blog 2013 by Trader Planet

Thanks everyone who voted!! Appreciate your help in winning the #1 blog for futures trading by Trader Planet!! Please feel free to forward our daily blog to friends and other fellow traders who might be interested.

Another two markets I like to touch on when it comes to “other markets to daytrade beside the mini SP 500” are crude Oil and Gold futures.

More than a few similarities between the two markets.

They are both volatile, can move VERY fast. I have seen some very large moves happen in matter of minutes if not seconds. The “fear & greed” factor really plays a role in these specific two markets.

Both have active trading hours starting with Far East trading around 10 PM est all the way to the next morning until about 3 PM est. Good volume generally speaking but not close to the mini SP or ten year notes. So you may see some slippage on stops but the volume is more than enough to trade size.

Each tick on gold is $10, so every dollar move =$100 against you or in your favor. Crude is similar, each tick = $10. One full $1 move = $1000.

Both markets were quiet today relatively speaking but even on a quiet day, the range on gold was  $21 or = $2100 wide using one futures contract. Crude ranges today was less than $1 or about $890 between hi/lo.

I like using overbought/ oversold indicators on the two markets as well as using range / Renko charts.

If you never traded these markets before, I highly recommend exploring in simulation/ demo mode. get a feel for the explosiveness, volatility, personality for a few weeks before trying in live mode.

As always, any questions, please feel free to email me.

Two charts from today’s session of gold and crude for your review below ( if you like to try the charts I am using along with indicators displayed, send me an email):

 

Crude 18 ticks range bar Feb. 11th 2014

CLE - Crude Lights (Globex), Equalized Active Continuation - Range Bar 18 Ticks Units

Gold, 36 ticks range bar Feb. 11th 2014

 

GCE - Gold (Globex), Equalized Active Continuation - Range Bar =, 18 Ticks Units
GCE – Gold (Globex), Equalized Active Continuation – Range Bar =, 18 Ticks Units

Continue reading “Crude Oil and Gold Futures Chart, Futures Levels and Economic Reports 2.12.2013”