FOMC Week & Economic Reports 9.16.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday September 16, 2015

 

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Big FOMC this week! Meeting takes place tomorrow and Thursday with much anticipated announcement and language on Thursday, 2 PM EST.

Futures Options 101:

Market Strategies

1. Bullish Market Strategies

Futures Options Trading
Spread Strategy
Description Reason to Use When to Use
Buy a call Strongest bullish option position Loss limited to premium Undervalued option with volatility increasing
Sell a put Neutral bullish option position Profit limited to debt Small debit, bullish market
Vertical Bull Calls Buy call, sell call of higher strike price Loss limited to debt Small debit, bullish market
Vertical Bull Puts Buy put, sell put of higher strike price Loss limited to price difference Large credit, bullish market

2. Bearish Market Strategies

Futures Options Trading
Spread Strategy
Description Reason to Use When to Use
Buy a put Strongest bearish option position Loss limited to premium Undervalued option with volatility increasing
Sell a call Neutral bearish option position Profit limited to premium Option overvalued, market flat, bearish
Vertical Bear Calls Buy at the money put, sell out of the money put Loss limited to debt Small debit, bearish market
Vertical Bear Puts Sell call, buy call of higher strike price Loss limited to stroke price difference minus credit Large credit, bearish market

3. Neutral Market Strategies

Futures Options Trading
Spread Strategy
Description Reason to Use When to Use
Strangle Sell out of the money put and call Maximum use of time value decay Trading range market with volatility peaking
Arbitrage Bull and sell similar simultaneously Profit limited to debt Any time credit received
Calendar Sell near month, buy far month, same strike price Near month time value decays faster Small debit, trading range market
Butterfly Buy at the money call (put), sell 2 out of the money calls (puts), buy out of the money call (put) Any time credit received
Guts Sell in the money put and call Receive large premium Futures Options have time premium and market in trading range
Box Buy at the money put, sell out of the money put Small debit, bearish market
Ratio Call Buy call, sell calls of higher strike price Neutral, slightly bullish Large credit and difference between stroke price of option bought and sold
Conversion Buy futures, buy at the money put, and sell out of the money call Any time credit received

Futures Options Writing

Have you ever wondered who sells the futures options that most people buy? These people are known as the option writers/sellers. Their sole objective is to collect the premium paid by the option buyer. Option writing can also be used for hedging purposes and reducing risk. An option writer has the exact opposite to gain as the option buyer. The writer has unlimited risk and a limited profit potential, which is the premium of the option minus commissions. When writing naked futures options your risk is unlimited, without the use of stops. This is why we recommend exiting positions once a market trades through an area you perceived as strong support or resistance. So why would anyone want to write an option? Here are a few reasons:

Futures Levels & Economic Reports 8.18.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday August 18, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

Today I must share an observation that may help many of you.

So many times as a broker I see clients who know how to make money…I see it in the daily statements, good winning %, consistent profits UNTIL….something happens. Either the client who is normally a day-trader decides to carry his/hers losing position and make it into a swing trade…..OR the trader is down and refuses to accept the fact it may be a losing day and decides to double down and get more aggressive because if this trade is a winner he will have another winning day….the examples go on and no I am not referring to anyone specific although many of you probably think I am talking about them.
I have done it before as a trader. It is the inability to accept a loss that creates this snow ball.
I am not a psychologist nor a professional writer ( English is my second language if you did not tell by now (-:

Top 50 Futures Trading Rules 8.14.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Friday August 14, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

Most Common Pitfalls To Avoid When Trading Futures-Commodity Futures

Separator

500 experienced futures brokers were asked what caused most futures traders to lose money when comes to trading futures.

Their answers reflected the trading experience of more than 10,000 futures traders.  Download the PDF and find out what they said. Continue reading “Top 50 Futures Trading Rules 8.14.2015”

25 Strategies to Trade Futures Options 8.12.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday August 12, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

25 Proven Strategies for Trading Options

by CME Group

25 Proven Options Trading StrategiesIf you are currently trading options on futures or are interested in exploring them further, check out our newly updated trading guide, featuring 25 commonly used options strategies, including butterflies, straddles, strangles, back spreads and conversions. Each strategy includes an illustration demonstrating the effect of time decay on the total option premium involved in the position. Options on futures rank among our most versatile risk management tools, and are offered on most of our products. Whether you trade options for purposes of hedging or speculating, you can limit your risk to the amount you paid up-front for the option while maintaining your exposure to beneficial price movements. To learn more about CME Group options, you can also visit our Options page.

Complete the simple form below and you will receive a link to download the 25 Proven Strategies brochure immediately. This eBook is free to you and no-obligation. Learn about the 25 Proven Strategies for trading options on CME Group Futures for FREE!

Don’t wait… Download the eBook “25 Proven Strategies for Trading Options” NOW!

 

Did you know Cannon offers FOREX trading including the MT4 platform?

Check out our Trading Systems/ALGO Trading and Managed Accounts section!

Many ways to trade any market, many ways to lose money in any market and only very few ways to lock in gainsIf you need help creating a trading plan, visit our broker assist services.  

 

GOOD TRADING

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

If you like Our Futures Trading Daily Support and Resistance Levels, Please share!

Futures Trading Levels

Contract Sept. 2015 SP500 Nasdaq100 Dow Jones Mini Russell Dollar Index
Resistance 3 2128.58 4667.08 17759 1233.53 98.35
Resistance 2 2115.17 4625.92 17654 1226.17 98.00
Resistance 1 2097.58 4567.83 17506 1216.93 97.61
Pivot 2084.17 4526.67 17401 1209.57 97.26
Support 1 2066.58 4468.58 17253 1200.33 96.87
Support 2 2053.17 4427.42 17148 1192.97 96.52
Support 3 2035.58 4369.33 17000 1183.73 96.13
Contract Dec. Gold Sept. Silver Sept. Crude Oil Sept. Bonds Sept.   Euro
Resistance 3 1146.1 15.75 47.61 160 30/32 1.1234
Resistance 2 1132.6 15.56 46.47 160 4/32 1.1163
Resistance 1 1120.3 15.43 44.96 159 15/32 1.1106
Pivot 1106.8 15.25 43.82 158 21/32 1.1035
Support 1 1094.5 15.12 42.31 158 1.0978
Support 2 1081.0 14.93 41.17 157 6/32 1.0907
Support 3 1068.7 14.80 39.66 156 17/32 1.0850
Contract Dec. Corn Sept. Wheat Nov Beans Dec. SoyMeal Sept. Nat Gas
Resistance 3 407.4 539.9 997.25 351.30 2.93
Resistance 2 403.3 532.1 990.50 347.10 2.89
Resistance 1 395.4 519.7 981.00 339.60 2.87
Pivot 391.3 511.8 974.25 335.40 2.83
Support 1 383.4 499.4 964.8 327.9 2.8
Support 2 379.3 491.6 958.00 323.70 2.77
Support 3 371.4 479.2 948.50 316.20 2.75
Economic Reports

source:http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

All times are Eastern time Zone (EST)

Date 4:34pm Currency Impact Detail Actual Forecast Previous Graph
WedAug 12 4:00am EUR Italian Trade Balance 2.81B 3.98B 4.14B
5:00am EUR Industrial Production m/m -0.4% -0.1% -0.2%
5:32am EUR German 10-y Bond Auction 0.61|1.3 0.88|1.1
8:30am USD FOMC Member Dudley Speaks
10:00am USD JOLTS Job Openings 5.25M 5.33M 5.36M
10:30am USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.7M -1.6M -4.4M
1:01pm USD 10-y Bond Auction 2.12|2.4 2.23|2.7
2:00pm USD Federal Budget Balance -149.2B -133.5B 50.5B

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.

 

Types of Futures Trading Days & Economic Reports 8.05.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday August 4, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

In the last few days we witnessed “summer trading” with low volume and range bound trading which encouraged me to share the following with you on the different types of trading days:

  • In my opinion there are 3 main types of future trading days.

1. The most common day are two sided trading action with swings up and down – this type of trading day is most suitable for using support and resistance levels along with overbought/oversold indicators.

2. Strong trending days, mostly one directional – this type of trading day is the least common, many times will happen on Mondays and maybe 3-5 times a month at most – this type of trading day is most suitable for using ADX, MACD crossovers and pretty much looking for pullbacks to jump on the trend.

3. Slow and/or choppy trading days – this type of trading day is best suited for taking small profits from the market by looking at volume spikes, using stochastics as possible entry signals and usually wait for a pullback before jumping in.

Continue reading “Types of Futures Trading Days & Economic Reports 8.05.2015”

Futures Levels & Economic Reports 7.16.2015

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Like us on FacebookFollow us on TwitterView our profile on LinkedInFind us on Google+Cannon Trading Futures Trading Resistance & Support Levels and Economic ReportsFind us on Yelp

1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday July 16, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

Why Didn’t I Get Filled?

“A treatise to Demo Traders”, on behalf of Commodities brokers everywhere.

By Cannon Trading Commodities Broker

Demo Trading. Also known as simulated trading, paper trading, playing with Monopoly money; whatever you’d like to call it, a demo can be your best friend or your worst enemy. Every Futures broker dreads having this conversation with their clients, as it is necessary with every new trader; however, much to a broker’s chagrin, every new trader will say that they already understand when in fact they rarely do. Let me assure you, if you’re a new or even intermediate trader, you probably don’t. You may understand one popular issue of the conversation but odds are if you have been paper trading for five years waiting to be “successful” or to “understand the futures markets” in the simulated world before moving on, you have less of a chance of being successful in the live futures markets because you’re setting yourself up for failure (if you ever do, in fact, trade in the live markets). You should seriously consider speaking with a licensed commodities and futures broker before diving in.

For the uninitiated, demo trading is the practice of trying out an online trading platform on a simulated basis-in a free demo trading account, you’re granted simulated funds, you’re placing simulated orders in the markets and you’re shown simulated profits and losses on what your trades might have done for you if you were futures trading on a live platform with live funds. First and foremost, it’s a wonderful technological tool for testing out a platform to see if it will suit your trading methodology. It can also be used to try different trading strategies, but problems arise when one equates simulated trading too much with live futures trading.

Read the Rest

Futures Levels & Economic Reports 7.09.2015

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Like us on FacebookFollow us on TwitterView our profile on LinkedInFind us on Google+Cannon Trading Futures Trading Resistance & Support Levels and Economic ReportsFind us on Yelp

1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday July 9, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

I was asked today on how to adjust stops and targets when volatility increases, while I don’t have an exact black and white answer, couple of ways I found to be helpful are :

  • Using ATR as a measure
  • Using support and resistance levels.

ATR stands for Average true Range. I use it at times to measure average range for days on specific periods, sometimes I use it when looking at intraday charts. Knowing the ATR can help you in stretching or shrinking your stops and targets.

Here is an example: If you are looking at an hourly chart and using an ATR with 14 periods and it shows value of 8 points for the mini SP, what it tells you is that in one hour you can expect on average moves of around 8 points from high to lows. Knowing that figure can help you in placement of stops as well as targets. Comparing this to periods of low volatility where ATR shows value of 4 which in that case should encourage you to take smaller profits and use smaller stops as statistically there are less chances for bigger moves.

Continue reading “Futures Levels & Economic Reports 7.09.2015”

Futures Levels & Economic Reports 7.08.2015

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Like us on FacebookFollow us on TwitterView our profile on LinkedInFind us on Google+Cannon Trading Futures Trading Resistance & Support Levels and Economic ReportsFind us on Yelp

1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday July 8, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

Benjamin Graham, “The investor’s chief problem – and even his worst enemy – is likely to be himself.”

Tom Basso, “Investment psychology [my italics] is by far the most important element [of trading], followed by risk control, with the least important consideration being the question of where to buy and sell.”

Read, then read again and one more time….think about your trading behavior….start spending more time on money management and trader management in order to succeed.

Mini Russell Heikin-Ashi Chart & Economic Reports 7.07.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday July 7, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

Markets gaped heavily lower after the vote in Greece but to be honest that was about it….volume was much lighter than anticipated and price action once cash opened was NOT impressive to say the least.

Did the shorts got their hand burnt these past few years with QE? Was the FED able to “condition and scare the short sellers? or perhaps now that Greece and other European countries are facing financial crisis the market figures “maybe the FED wont raise rates this year after all?

Continue reading “Mini Russell Heikin-Ashi Chart & Economic Reports 7.07.2015”