Another two markets I like to touch on when it comes to “other markets to daytrade beside the mini SP 500” are Crude Oil Futures and Gold futures.
More than a few similarities between the two markets.
They are both volatile, can move VERY fast. I have seen some very large moves happen in matter of minutes if not seconds. The “fear & greed” factor really plays a role in these specific two markets.
Both have active trading hours starting with Far East trading around 10 PM est all the way to the next morning until about 3 PM est. Good volume generally speaking but not close to the mini SP or ten year notes. So you may see some slippage on stops but the volume is more than enough to trade size.
Each tick on gold is $10, so every dollar move =$100 against you or in your favor. Crude is similar, each tick = $10. One full $1 move = $1000.
Time sure does tick a bit different in the commodities and futures world….
Some traders know time has passed quickly when it is time to change to the Dec. contract versus the Sept. contract, others may notice it when they think “wow, monthly unemployment is this Friday, time sure flies…” and still other traders, perhaps professionals and money managers notice it when one month ends and another starts and it is time to share monthly results with their clients…..
Either way you look at it, hope October will be a great trading month!
Today I noticed a couple of market behaviors I have noticed in the past and wanted to share with you.
The first is us Bonds trading behavior on the last trading day of the month on the last 15 minutes of the old pit session, i.e. 13:45 to 14:00 central time.
While I did not spend any time trying to predict the direction of the move, I seen it many times, the bonds will make a 10-15 ticks ( 15 tick in bonds = $500 per contract) move during the last 15 minutes as large traders position themselves ahead of months close.
Below is a 15 minute chart of Bonds from today….notice the very tight range all day long until the last 15 minutes….if you go back to the last trading day of the month, you will notice this pattern more often than not. Of course, I leave the important work to you…and that is which way and how can one try to take advantage of it….PS: My trade system below missed entering the short by 1 tick )-:
Custom USA – 30Yr US Treasury Bonds (Globex), Equalized Active 15Min Continuation
The second pattern for you to investigate if interested is the behavior of crude oil futures around “round numbers”. Today was obviously a HUGE move in crude ( down over $3 or $3000 per contract or 3.5%) but notice the 10 seconds chart I am sharing with ( yes, seconds, not minutes…) of what happened when crude broke below 93.00 and 92.00 today…..Once again, the million dollar question, how and can you take advantage of it? Obviously in this case it seems like there were MANY sell stops placed right below the round numbers which resulted in another accelerated move to the down side.
Volatility has picked up again! Make sure you adapt as markets are always changing and what may work for range bound/ low volatility days will not work for wide range/ higher volatility days.
I see major support for SP500 at 1795 and it will be interesting to see price reaction if we test this level in the next few days.
On a different note, I wrote a quick analysis along with chart for Crude Oil futures at:
Not an easy market to read right now in my opinion.
It is showing signs like it would like to visit some lower levels, yet there is enough buying interest to keep it above 1127.
This Friday monthly unemployment levels will be watched closely.
If the market breaks below 1127, it has a chance of picking some more speed to the downside.
On the flip side, bulls will need to see new highs in order to get back in control of price action.
Daily chart with some price levels to watch for your review below:
RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.