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Category: Energy Futures

Finish the Week Strong! + Trading levels for 12.08.2022

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

What to Look for as we Finish the Trading Week

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Energy:

After starting the year near $72 per barrel, by June, West Texas crude oil (Jan. ’23 futures contract) climbed to its highs above $108 per barrel. Today, Jan. crude oil traded to an intraday low of $71.75, a ±$36 per barrel (±$36,000) leap and fall.

Not to be out don’t, after breaching $10.00 per million British thermal units in early August, natural gas traded below $5.34 intraday yesterday, a whopping ±46% cut in the asset’s value and a ±$46,000 move for a single futures contract (Jan. ’23 futures contract).

Metals:

Albeit experiencing a slight correction this week so far, gold (Feb. ’23 futures contract) managed to hold nearly all of its ±$170 rally through $1,800 per ounce off its multi-year lows of early November near $1,635 per ounce – a ±$17,000 move in one month.

Announcements:

Keep an eye on the calendar for important U.S. government reports this Friday, starting with the Labor Department’s release of its Producer Price Index showing the cost of wholesale goods and services. The reading reflects what companies pay for supplies such as grains, fuel, metals, lumber, packaging and so forth. This is a key inflation gauge in the midst of four-decade high wholesale prices. Release time: 7:30 A.M., Central Time.

Also on Friday, the USDA will release its Crop Production Report along with its World Supply/Demand report (likely the more critical). It’s delivered at 11:00 A.M., Central Time.

A Cannon broker will be able to assist, provide feedback and answer any questions.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

for 12-08-2022

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SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100 #NQ_FDow Jones #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Feb. Gold #GC_F March Silver #SI_F Jan. Crude Oil #CL-F March Bonds #ZB_F March 10 yr #ZN_F March Corn #ZC_F March Wheat #ZW_F March Beans #ZS_F March SoyMeal #ZM_F Jan. Nat Gas #NG_F March Coffee #KC_F March Cocoa #CC_F March Sugar #SB_F March Cotton #CT_F March Euro Currency

 

Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter 1112: Trading Futures Spreads + Futures Support Resistance Levels for the Week Ahead

Posted on by Ilan

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1112

Dear Traders,

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Trading 201: Trading Futures Spreads – Basic But Important Strategy

“A Basic And Important Strategy For Commodities Traders Using Spread Trading.”
By: Mark O’Brien, Cannon Trading Commodities Broker
Over my 20+ year career as a commodities broker, I have studied and traded a wide range of approaches to trading the futures markets. From candlestick formations to the commodity channel index, from condors to turtle trading, there’s an enormous catalog of tools and methods available for traders to consider.
One method I have noticed is surprisingly underrepresented among retail traders is futures spread trading, where a single position in the market consists of the simultaneous purchase of one futures contract and sale of a related futures contract as a unit. I call it surprising because some of the most invested players in futures trading – and arguably the most sophisticated – include large speculators and commercial firms who regularly employ spreads. This includes traders in the markets who often actually buy and sell the physical commodities we trade. Farmers, ranchers and other food growers along with food producers, petroleum companies who either drill for oil or natural gas or refine these products – or both, financial institutions with enormous holdings in treasuries, equities or currencies, mining interests and their buyers – all these areas of production and distribution employ spreads from time to time as an important aspect of their businesses. Indeed, spread trading is a fundamental and essential part of the commodities futures markets.
At the same time, despite the remarkable increase in interest and in the growth in the volume of the futures markets over the years, spread trading is typically dismissed by most other traders in search of a trading strategy. With so much attention focused on other approaches related to straightforward directional trading (and within that category, day-trading) it’s not difficult to see how spread trading can be overlooked.

 

 

Market Pick Review for the Week:

September Natural Gas touched $10.028 per million British thermal units intraday this week, a 14-yr. high.
Futures Natural Gas Chart
Would you like to get daily support & resistance levels?
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Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

08-16-2022

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Weekly Levels

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Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates
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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading

FOMC Minutes, Crude Oil Inventories + Futures Trading Levels 8.17.2022

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!
Busy Wednesday tomorrow as traders will listen closely and try to analyze the FOMC minutes of the last FOMC meeting. Before that retail sales numbers will be watched closely as well.
9:30 AM Central time we will have crude oil numbers in a volatile energy sector.
Did you know that the MICRO crude Oil contract is trading with good volume?
At times when volatility is high, it is not a bad idea to consider the smaller, 1/10th the size micro CRUDE Oil contract.
December Coffee is front month.
Sierra Charts Teton Order Routing demo

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

08-17-2022

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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Micro Crude Oil + Trading August 9th Futures Levels

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Crude Oil Trading Updates, Opportunities and Risks:

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker
Have you had an opportunity to trade the financially settled Micro WTI Crude oil contract? I have and this contract is just what the doctor ordered. When you are faced with the high price and volatility we have seen over the past few years you won’t have to make a decision to either be out or be in the WTI Crude oil contract where we have seen $10,000.00 daily price swings.
With the Micro, which is one tenth the size of the 1000 barrel WTI Crude contract or 100 barrels only, each dollar move per contract in the price of Crude oil is $100.00 rather than $1000.00. What this allows you to do is adjust the amount of leverage you want and not expose yourself to the volatility of the larger CL contract.
The symbol is MCL U22 for the current September contract.
According to the CMEGroup, 33,000 unique traders have come to the CME to trade this contract since it was listed a year ago. The CME Group declares traders from over 145 countries trade the Micro crude oil contract and traders from over 33 countries have traded the new Options contracts on the Micro Crude contract.
Transaction Costs are inexpensive for this contract as exchange fees are .50 per contract.
As always, plan your trade and trade your plan. Please contact your broker or Cannon Trading with any questions.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

08-08-2022

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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Natural Gas New Highs & Futures Support and Resistance Levels 5.26.2022

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

The State of Affairs in Energy Futures

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker
In recent weeks, we’ve seen declines in global equity markets as well as in consumer and investor sentiment. We’re on the leading edge of a near 8-month rise in inflation to 40-yr. highs – rising at an equal 40-year record pace.
At the same time, some of the latest global inflation data has been inconclusive. Short-term inflation momentum which measures a three-month annualized rate as opposed to the pace of price increases in one month compared with the same month a year earlier (think CPI) have started to soften. The Commerce Department’s monthly personal-consumption expenditures report has shown consumers are shifting to a more-normal balance of spending on goods and services compared to the demand surge earlier in the Covid-19 pandemic.
Regardless of how conditions play out in the coming weeks and months, don’t count on energy prices falling off any time soon. Nationally and globally, even if we experience an economic decline and energy demand subsides, the aftereffects will be slight. Both the supply and demand sides of the equation will account for stubbornly high prices both at the pump and in natural gas. Strategic stockpiles are in need of replenishing, the expanding ban on Russian imports is only beginning to impact prices, structural adjustments to realign energy supply chains to accommodate for the war will take months or longer and seasonal summer demand is on the horizon.
EVEN BETTTER…reach out to a Cannon Trading broker.
Good Trading!
Natural Gas Monthly Chart

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

05-25-2022

Futures Support and Resistance Levels 5.26.2022

 

 

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

NASDAQ Futures Down 3% + Futures Trading Levels for 01.06.2022

Posted on by Jenny Collins
Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!
Hello Traders,
Happy and prosperous New Year from the Cannon Trading Team!
We appreciate the chance to serve your futures trading needs and are here to assist.
FOMC Minutes report triggered one of the larger sell offs we have seen in recent months. NQ and RTY were both down over 3% when the trading day was over.
Hope it helps.
*While I have no idea were the market is going from day to day, minute to minute, week to week etc. I do know that in the past, some of the sharpest and largest rallies were short covering after a large sell off. More often than not market sell offs and volatility like we are seeing do not end up as V type of action but more like U or W when it is all said and done.
*Expect the unexpected…
* Have an idea of what you are looking to do, keep in mind possible risk and have a game plan. Now more than ever, plan your trade and trade your plan!
* Think money management, hedging risk while you are still trying to figure out how to profit.
* Know what is going on, reports, current margins, current limits and more.
*Consider short term options instead of futures and/or MICROS
*Trade smaller. The bands are much larger. Watch the VIX.
* DO NOT assume anything…if you are not sure, contact us and we will try our best to assist with the combined, vast experience we have here as a team.
* Wash hands, take this seriously and do your best to stay healthy….
My colleague, John Thorpe, Ex floor broker, contributed the following on the VIX and the VVIX:
“We recommend all stock indices intraday traders to keep an eye on the VIX for directional clues and study, many of you have access through other means to view this critical trading barometer, VIX now trades 5 days per week ,23 hours per day. if you need to add the VIX data to your trading platforms , it’s 3 bucks per month, penny wise and pound foolish if you don’t. Contact your broker on how to add the Volatility Index traded through the CBOE to your trading platform.”

Futures Trading Levels

01-06-2022

Support & Resistance Levels For 01.06.2022


Economic Reports, Source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

BetterTrader Reports 01.06.2022

 

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Energies Insight w/ OPEC and Futures Support and Resistance Levels 01.04.2022

Posted on by Ilan
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Happy and prosperous New Year from the Cannon Trading Team!
We appreciate the chance to serve your futures trading needs and are here to assist.

Energies Insight by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

O.P.E.C. will make a decision on output policy for February when they meet tomorrow. Please expect and prepare accordingly in the early A.M. and anticipate additional volatility not only in the energy markets , CL, NG, RBOB and Heating oil but also in the Equity indices ES, MES, NQ, MNQ, YM, MYM, RTY , and food markets as OPEC will be meeting in Vienna at 8a.m. EST (1 p.m. Central European TIme zone ) in light of the current restrictions and challenges related to the COVID-19 pandemic, please find the expected hours of release useful. Will their decision add to the existing inflationary concerns or will OPEC concede it’s output tightening instituted in 2020 has run it’s course and agree to raise it’s output limits in a measured approach or more substantially? The bond market has taken a nose dive in recent days and interest rates are expected to rise , tightening credit, Metals have also sold off in anticipation of easing inflationary pressures. Manage your risk well this week.
1. The 36th JMMC Meeting is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, 4 January 2022, at
13:00 (CET) via videoconference.
2. On the same day, 4 January 2022, the 24th OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting
is slated to convene at 14:00 (CET) via videoconference.

 

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

01-04-2022

Futures Support and Resistance Levels 1.04.2022


Economic Reports, Source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Crude Oil Futures Market Review and Daily Chart Analysis & Support and Resistance Levels 11.18.2021

Posted on by Ilan

Dear Futures Trader,

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

Crude Oil Futures Market Review and Daily Chart Analysis

Looking at both price and time FIB analysis, on the daily crude oil chart below (click here for LARGE IMAGE) I am showing a potential for crude oil to find support and have a short term reversal to the upside. I wont fight the short term trend and will look for a buy signal using 30 minute chart before I jump in front of this downward train…
What do I mean by that?
Daily chart still showing a good strength on the LONGER term scale ( see both Elliott Wave counts and trend strength). Short term we can see the strong sell of the highs made towards the end of October.
I ran both a Fibonacci retracement on prices from lows to high, as well as Fibonacci TIME retracement from the time of lows to highs to see the next TIMING window to look at.
We are getting close to a match on both time and price ( concept I was made aware of by Carolyn Boroden Strategies for Intraday Trading Fibonacci Retracements | Fibonacci Queen) so I will now look for a bullish trigger in the form of MACD cross over on the 30 minutes chart or possible turning up of RSI on the 30 minutes chart before simply trying my luck…..
As always the key will be risk and trade management if/when set up happens.
Keep in mind FRONT month for crude oil is now January! CLF22
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Crude Oil Futures Daily Chart

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

11-18-2021

Support and Resistance Levels 11.18.2021

 


Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

BetterTrader Economic Indicators 11.17.2021

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Natural Gas, Crude Oil, Stocks and Rates, Support & Resistance Levels 10.05.2021

Posted on by Jenny Collins

Dear Traders,

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!
Separator
Natural Gas, Crude Oil, Stocks and Rates
They all work together with a strong relationship. At times with direct correlation, at times with inverse correlation.
Do some homework, overlay some charts, look for clues that can help you while trading and provide even the smallest edge.
Natural gas, Crude oil have been on a bullish stretch lately. See a weekly chart of Natural gas below.
Other commodities like cotton and oats are also experiencing strong bull runs – is this due to in inflation? Supply chain fears? New “COVID world” environment?
Current levels to watch for on the major markets mentioned above:
Nov. Natural Gas:
Pivot 5.72
Support 5.14
Resistance 6.80
Nov. Crude Oil:
Pivot 74.72
Support 74.02
Resistance 79.25
Dec. 30 year bonds:
Pivot 161.12
Support 158.22
Resistance 164.02
Dec. Mini SP500:
Pivot 4437.00
Support 4251.00
Resistance 4540.00
Natural Gas Weekly Chart Cannon Trading

Futures Trading Levels

10-05-2021

Support & Resistance Levels 10.05.2021
Did you know?
Cannon offers over 10 TRADING PLATFORMS CLICK HERE for a demo

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

Better Trader Report 10.05.2021

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.

October Natural Gas Rally and Review & Support and Resistance Levels 9.16.2021

Posted on by Ilan

Dear Traders,

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!
Separator

Wednesday Sept. 15th insight by Mark O’Brien, Cannon Senior Futures Broker:

Market Insight: Natural Gas

In just three weeks of trading (Aug. 25-today), Oct, natural gas has made a massive ±$1.50 rally ($15,000 per contract), doubling in price from a year earlier reaching prices not seen since early 2014. Yet, at ±$5.50 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), natural gas prices are a fraction of that in Europe and Asia where prices have approached $18.00-20.00 MMBtu! The fundamental bases for these high prices: the U.S. is behind schedule stocking up for the winter. At the same time, it’s an important exporter to Europe which is in its own precarious supply situation with storage for winter ±16% below its 5-yr. average.
What’s next for prices depends largely on what kind of winter is in store for the U.S. and Europe and the degree to which U.S. producers can ramp up on storage. Catching up on the 5-yr. average build-up will be closely monitored.

Daily Chart below

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss.
The recommendations contained in this letter are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits.
Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.
Natural Gas Futures Chart
Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

9-16-2021

Support and Resistance Levels 9.16.2021

 

Futures Trading And Commodity Trading Daily Insight and Information via Facebook group
Did you know?
Cannon offers over 10 TRADING PLATFORMS CLICK HERE for a demo

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.

RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.