ELECTIONS MARGINS UPDATE, Managing Event Risk Around the 2020 US Election & Futures Levels 11.03.2020

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Dear Traders,

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ELECTIONS MARGINS UPDATE:
Most of Cannon clearing partners and risk managers have increased margins to full overnight or what we call 100% margins even during the day.
This does NOT apply to all platforms and clearing houses we work with. Some only raised margins for during the night time and some also raised margins through out the day.
Most platforms will have a notice when you login regarding margins.
Cannon offers over 10 different platforms via 5 different clearing houses.
If you are a client who day trades and utilize day trading margins – PLEASE confirm with your broker what are the current margins based on the platform you use and the markets you trade.
We will keep you posted to the best of our ability but make sure to reach out to your broker if you have ANY questions.
Managing event risk around the 2020 US election
To help you navigate uncertainty, we take a look at how markets moved in 2016.*
By www.cmegroup.com
Elections and referendums with distinctly divergent market scenarios depending on the outcome of the vote can create significant event risk. That type of event risk is characterized by a binary choice: “A” or “B”, with both outcomes have meaningful probabilities such as 50-50 or 60-40. We saw this back in June of 2016 with the Brexit referendum: “Do we stay or do we go?” We also saw event risk in the US Presidential election in November 2016.
Election event risk has the potential to move markets once the outcome becomes known because pre-event, markets typically price the probability-weighted average of the two conflicting scenarios; that is, essentially the mid-point of the post-event scenarios. This means that once the outcome is known, the market will move quickly to the winning scenario.
The charts below depict how the 2016 election impacted multiple products and asset classes, all offered for trading by CME Group.
*Please note, past performance is not indicative of future results
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  Source: CME Group
  • In 2016, price volatility spiked eight weeks prior to the election, followed by a downtrend.
  • In 2016, this downtrend stopped (and reversed course) on election day and in the days after.
  • Price volatility peaked on election night, and it took approximately 10 business days to revert back to the same levels as 10 days prior to the election.
  • The expanding trading range pattern prior to the election appears to be following a similar trajectory in 2020.
  • Despite the similarity in trend, the trading range in 2020 is wider compared to 2016.

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 Source: CME Group
  • In Gold, we saw a similar tightening of trading ranges, similar to E-mini S&P 500 and the 10-Year Treasury prior to the election.
  • In 2016, this downtrend stopped and reversed about 10 days prior to the election and spiked on election night.
  • Trading ranges of Gold are wider now compared to 2016.

 

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

11-03-2020

 

499e57ed 689e 4549 8485 8ca235be66a2

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

34aae36c 8e50 4803 a126 4fe776133996

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter #1027 – Margins Update, Circuit Breakers – DOW Jones Chart – Trading Levels 11.02.2020

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1027

Dear Traders,

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MARGINS UPDATE:

Upcoming elections fear, COVID resurge and other factors really helped spike up volatility.
Most of Cannon clearing partners and risk managers have increased margins to full overnight or what we call 100% margins even during the day.
This does NOT apply to all platforms and clearing houses we work with. Some only raised margins for during the night session and some also raised margins through out the day.
Most platforms will provide a notice when you login regarding margins.
Cannon offers over 10 different platforms via 5 different clearing houses.
If you are a client who day trades and utilize day trading margins – PLEASE confirm with your broker what are the current margins based on the platform you use and the markets you trade.

During this Time:

*Expect the unexpected…
* Have an idea of what you are looking to do, keep in mind possible risk and have a game plan. Now more than ever, plan your trade and than trade your plan!
* Think money management, hedging risk while you are still trying to figure out how to profit.
  • Try to use preset brackets/ automated stops and limits etc. if you are able to with your software.
* Know what is going on, reports, current margins, current limits and more.
*Trade smaller. The bands are much larger. Watch the VIX. MICROS and smaller sized contracts like mini Silver and mini crude are good alternatives.
* DO NOT assume anything…if you are not sure, contact us and we will try our best to assist with the combined, vast experience we have here as a team.
* Wash hands, take this seriously and do your best to stay healthy….

Circuit Breakers:

I’ve received some questions about the price limits or circuit breakers we have seen mostly in stock index futures. Hopefully this explains things a bit better:
A price limit is the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in each trading session.  When markets hit the price limit, different actions can occur depending on the product being traded. Markets may temporarily halt until price limits can be expanded, they may remain in a limit condition or they may stop trading for the day, based on regulatory rules.
This is for Stock Index futures but keep in mind MANY other markets are experiencing LARGE swings and moves.
Overnight limits (5:00 P.M. – 8:30 A.M., Central Time): the futures contract is limited to a 7% price move up or a 7% price move down, based on the futures contract’s prior day’s settlement price (3:15 P.M., Central Time).
If PRICE LIMITS hit 7% up or down and trading will cease until the NYSE cash market opens at 8:30am Central Time.
This is for Stock Index futures but keep in mind MANY other markets are experiencing LARGE swings and moves.
Overnight limits (5:00 P.M. – 8:30 A.M., Central Time): the futures contract is limited to a 7% price move up or a 7% price move down, based on the futures contract’s prior day’s settlement price (3:15 P.M., Central Time).
Further, if a contract market moves beyond +/- 3.5% within an hour during the overnight session, trading will be paused for two minutes.
If PRICE LIMITS hit 7% up or down and trading will cease until the NYSE cash market opens at 8:30am Central Time.
This applies to the main stock index futures contracts available, such as the ES, MES, NQ, etc.
What is so dangerous you may ask?
If you are long an ES during the night session and the market is limit down (7%) you can NOT get out. There is a chance that when the market opens up at 8:30 AM CDT that the market will then go down the 13% limit without you being able to exit. That means that on certain situations you can lose MORE than you have in your account.
If you don’t understand how the circuit breakers/ price limits work…make sure you call us and talk to a broker at + 1 310 859 9572
This only applies for the overnight session ending at 8:30 A.M. Central Time. At that point, a new set of rules kick in ONLY to the downside.

-7% Trading Halt 15 mins

-13% Trading Halt 15 mins

-20% Closed for rest of day

Trading 101: One of the Most Important (and often overlooked….) Aspects of Day Trading – Learn to Accept Losses

(I think this is a very important read during this time.)
I am frequently asked, (and many times I ask myself) about the keys to trading success in general and futures trading in specific. The list is long and, to be honest, it is not an exact science.
Successful trading is a mix of art and math, personality and discipline and much more in between. I have seen many different ways to make money in the futures and commodities world. I saw and still see clients trade and make money.
Yet, the list of clients who lose money is bigger than the ones who make money….Why?
Dow Jones Industrial Avg. Cash Index WEEKLY chart below. Notice the levels and notice the turning up in volatility on bottom of the chart.
10302020DJ Industrial Average Weekly

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

11-02-2020

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Weekly Levels

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Economic Reports, source: 

https://mrci.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Margins UPDATE, NQ Daily Chart & Futures Levels 10.30.2020

_________________________________________________

Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

_________________________________________________

Dear Traders,

Like us on FaceBook!
Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!
MARGINS UPDATE: Upcoming elections fear, COVID resurge and other factors really helped spike up volatility.
Most of Cannon clearing partners and risk managers have increased margins to full overnight or what we call 100% margins even during the day.
This does NOT apply to all platforms and clearing houses we work with. Some only raised margins for during the night time and some also raised margins through out the day.
Most platforms will have a notice when you login regarding margins.
Cannon offers over 10 different platforms via 5 different clearing houses.
If you are a client who day trades and utilize day trading margins – PLEASE confirm with your broker what are the current margins based on the platform you use and the markets you trade.
We will keep you posted to the best of our ability but make sure to reach out to your broker if you have ANY questions.
76c9f337 6b2e 4bb3 8c62 f4469b2ffa24

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

10-30-2020

e20bdb4b 8899 4953 8cbf 4e401a438f8f

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

1b414d70 6440 42f5 b0e3 b3194d1f28d6

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Dow Jones Cash Daily Chart, Price Limits & Futures Levels 10.29.2020

_________________________________________________

Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

_________________________________________________

Dear Traders,

Like us on FaceBook!
Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!
Upcoming elections fear, COVID resurge and other factors really helped spike up volatility.
Dow Jones is sitting on a MAJOR and IMPORTANT support level. Chart below.
*While I have no idea were the market is going from day to day, minute to minute, week to week etc. I feel the following may help….
*Expect the unexpected…
* Have an idea of what you are looking to do, keep in mind possible risk and have a game plan. Now more than ever, plan your trade and than trade your plan!
* Think money management, hedging risk while you are still trying to figure out how to profit.
  • Try to use preset brackets/ automated stops and limits etc. if you are able to with your software.
* Know what is going on, reports, current margins, current limits and more.
*Trade smaller. The bands are much larger. Watch the VIX. MICROS and smaller sized contracts like mini Silver and mini crude are good alternatives.
* DO NOT assume anything…if you are not sure, contact us and we will try our best to assist with the combined, vast experience we have here as a team.
* Wash hands, take this seriously and do your best to stay healthy….
__________________________________________________
I’ve received some questions about the price limits or circuit breakers we have seen mostly in stock index futures. Hopefully this explains things a bit better:
A price limit is the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in each trading session.  When markets hit the price limit, different actions can occur depending on the product being traded. Markets may temporarily halt until price limits can be expanded, they may remain in a limit condition or they may stop trading for the day, based on regulatory rules.
This is for Stock Index futures but keep in mind MANY other markets are experiencing LARGE swings and moves.
Overnight limits (5:00 P.M. – 8:30 A.M., Central Time): the futures contract is limited to a 7% price move up or a 7% price move down, based on the futures contract’s prior day’s settlement price (3:15 P.M., Central Time).
If PRICE LIMITS hit 7% up or down and trading will cease until the NYSE cash market opens at 8:30am Central Time.
This is for Stock Index futures but keep in mind MANY other markets are experiencing LARGE swings and moves.
Overnight limits (5:00 P.M. – 8:30 A.M., Central Time): the futures contract is limited to a 7% price move up or a 7% price move down, based on the futures contract’s prior day’s settlement price (3:15 P.M., Central Time).
Further, if a contract market moves beyond +/- 3.5% within an hour during the overnight session, trading will be paused for two minutes.
If PRICE LIMITS hit 7% up or down and trading will cease until the NYSE cash market opens at 8:30am Central Time.
This applies to the main stock index futures contracts available, such as the ES, MES, NQ, etc.
What is so dangerous you may ask?
If you are long an ES during the night session and the market is limit down (7%) you can NOT get out. There is a chance that when the market opens up at 8:30 AM CDT that the market will then go down the 13% limit without you being able to exit. That means that on certain situations you can lose MORE than you have in your account.
If you don’t understand how the circuit breakers/ price limits work…make sure you call us and talk to a broker at + 1 310 859 9572
This only applies for the overnight session ending at 8:30 A.M. Central Time. At that point, a new set of rules kick in ONLY to the downside.
-7% Trading Halt 15 mins
-13% Trading Halt 15 mins
-20% Closed for rest of day
b3e308bf 830f 4e4f b747 4705533fde32

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

10-29-2020

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Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

3652b815 5109 419b a007 45bf11292a24

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Trading Signals For Buying And Selling (NQ Chart) & Futures Trading Levels 10.28.2020

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Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

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Dear Traders,

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A little example of how I set my intraday NQ chart screen, using 54 range ticks chart along with what I call “turning points” indicators which can be fantastic trading signals.
Red diamonds = possible sell, green diamonds = possible buy.
You can try this for yourself, if you like – for FREE TRIAL.  Build out your own trading signals today!
Trading Signals

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading. A good way to keep up with these sorts of things is with trading signals.

 

Futures Trading Levels

10-28-2020

 

trading signals

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

trading signals

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Volatility in Stock Index Futures Extremely High & Futures Levels 10.27.2020

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Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

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Dear Traders,

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Volatility in stock index futures is extremely high.
You may want to consider the following:
Reduce trading size.
Adjust stops and entries based on volatility ( ATR/ Parabolics).
Be extra picky on entries without chasing trades.
No trade is better than a bad trade.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

10-27-2020

18ec0f2a a5aa 4c6d 985c 0ecdac87ae5e

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

5de99716 4ffa 4f5d 9495 f935236c04fd

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1026 – Levels 10.26.2020

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Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

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Dear Traders,

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Trading Videos: Curious on an indicator that can help you with EXITS? How about using a certain indicator as a trailing stop?
Watch the latest trading videos we have posted and see if you can pick a tip or two on trading smarter!
In this blog entry today we are sharing four videos, each a few minutes long. The videos discuss practical tips for trading and sharing our experience with you
1. Using Bollinger Bands as a possible tool for exiting trades
2. One way you can use the Parabolics study ( also known as PSAR) to manage current positions, possibly as a trailing stop
3. Different ways traders can utilize support and resistance levels in their trading.
4. Entering trades on a stop, using “price confirmation”.
5. Utilizing Range Bar charts for shorter term trading as a way to try and filter out some noise.
By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP
This week’s highlighted Market is Natural Gas futures. Natural Gas is part of the energy sector along with its cousins, Crude Oil, RBOB – Unleaded gas and heating oil. All traded on the NYMEX/GLOBEX exchange.
Natural gas is still the nation’s dominant fuel source but democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden touted his $2 trillion clean energy plan seeks to end natural gas use within 15 years. No one knows what the result of the presidential election will be, but in between Nat Gas has seen heightened volatility.
Very volatile market with wild moves recently as well as large intraday trading ranges.
Natural Gas Futures Specs. (this market also offers a mini Nat Gas futures contract which is half the size)
Hours: 5:00 PM to 4:00 PM the following day, Central Time
Margins: $2970 initial, $2700 maintenance ( as of the date of this newsletter
Point Value: full point = $100 ( Example: 404.0 to 405.0 ). Min. price fluctuation is 0.1 = $10 ( Example: 404.1 to 404.2)
Settlement: Physical, deliverable commodity
Months: Monthly cycle, All Months
Weekly Options: YES
Some of the basic fundamentals to keep in mind when you are considering trading the Nat Gas market:
1. Longer term view of current market prices
2. Supply and Demand
3. Seasonality, i.e. heating and cooling cycles
4. Be aware of Thursday morning’s EIA gas storage report at 9:30 AM CDT
Our brokers here at Cannon will be happy to chat about the Natural Gas market, other energies, other futures, options, futures spreads and much more! Feel free to contact us at any time.
natGas10232020

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

10-26-2020

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Weekly Levels

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Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Using Volume Charts & Trading Levels 10.23.2020

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Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

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Dear Traders,

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Debate tonight! Should create some volatility.
Using volume charts, MICRO ES along with automated trade management – trade example from Oct. 21st 2020
https://youtu.be/vtmtRu-oCx0 

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

10-23-2020

18a447e5 083b 4a90 80da a980159f5c0e

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

761ef19a ec7a 4f33 944e acf8ebb41dad

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Using Preset Trade Management When Trading Futures & Futures Levels 10.22.2020

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Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

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Dear Traders,

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Take a look at a video from today where I share some set ups on the ES using volume charts and review preset of auto exits and trade managements. In this video you will see a 45 minutes trade condensed into 15 minutes.
When markets are moving SO FAST like the NQ/ ES and others have recently, I like using automated stops and limits. One can do so using brackets or even built in strategies where you specify different limits, stops, when to move your stop as a trailing stop and much more.
This morning at 11:22 AM central time, high on NQ was approx. 11738, 11 minutes later the low was 11648 – that is close to $2000 LOSS if you are trading one mini nasdaq and in the wrong direction…..
I know my stomach feels much better when I have stops and limits working in the system working….( also maybe use MICROS for the same reason?)
Using volume charts, MICRO ES along with automated trade management – trade example from Oct. 21st 2020

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

10-22-2020

 

ec3d56ee 3e92 48ea 83aa 7fcfd844addc

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

74c8ed53 1ff4 4f4f 8ddd d4edace3f0fb

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Trading the NQ/ES & Futures Trading Levels 10.21.2020

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Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

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Dear Traders,

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When markets are moving SO FAST like the NQ/ ES and others have recently, I like using automated stops and limits. One can do so using brackets or even built in strategies where you specify different limits, stops, when to move your stop as a trailing stop and much more.
This past week I have seen the NQ make 50-100 points moves in matter of seconds based on a tweet or news etc.
I know my stomach feels much better when I have stops and limits working in the system working….( also maybe use MICROS for the same reason?)

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

10-21-2020

ec3d56ee 3e92 48ea 83aa 7fcfd844addc

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

c9f23ed4 6358 41f4 9c6c 4de4c700a055

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.