Crude Oil Outlook 8.26.2016

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Friday August 26, 2016

Hello Traders,

Greetings!

Crude Oil Futures Are Reaching a Decision Point
I like the potential of being bullish on crude oil futures for next few weeks! Here are a few ways you can do this:

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Crude oil futures have been providing quite a bit of excitement the last few months. Most traders, myself included, like excitement when it comes to trading. It means two things: opportunities and risks.

The recent pullback in crude oil future prices present a buying opportunity, in my opinion.

Looking at the daily chart of crude oil below, you will see that I marked what I feel should be a support level for resumption of the upside move.

Read the Rest of the article along with charts here

Continue reading “Crude Oil Outlook 8.26.2016”

Mental Stops? – Trading Futures 8.25.2016

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday August 25, 2016

Hello Traders,

Greetings!

Mental Stops…..

Every so often I hear clients tell me, ” they don’t use hard stops…they use mental stops”

While the mental stop idea can work 8 out of 10 times, the 1-2 times it does not work will wipe out your account.

Try using mental stops when you were trading crude yesterday and all of a sudden news about Iran looking to comply with production hit the market and market went up over 80 cents in few minutes…

or maybe you had a mental stop on long gold early this morning when all of a sudden in a few minutes gold dropped $14 per contract.

I have seen it happen before with the SP and other stock indices, I have seen it happen in all markets I watch and trade at one time. it’s not a question if, but rather when. Big moves happened and will happen. Not every day, not in every market at the same time but they will happen in all markets at one given time or another.

So unless you have unlimited amounts of risk capital and/ or crystal ball-  use hard stops in the system OR learn how to hedge your positions using options and weekly options.

Continue reading “Mental Stops? – Trading Futures 8.25.2016”

Trading Crude Oil Futures on EIA Report Time 8.24.2016

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday August 24, 2016

Hello Traders,

Greetings!

Tomorrow, like almost every Wednesday, we will have EIA report at 9:30 AM Central Time. This report definitely moves the energy sector, crude oil, heating oil and unleaded gas.

The one I follow the most, as I feel it is suitable for day trading is Crude oil. I have shared many of my observations about trading crude on this blog before. Today I want to talk specifically about the report.

Two main ways in my opinion to trade the report:

  1. Don’t trade it…Get out 5 minutes before and wait 5-10 minutes after the smoke clears before you resume trading.
  2. Be flat before the report and place limit orders with corresponding stops and profit targets to buy low and/ or sell high. Perhaps look at bollinger bands on the 15 minute chart and use sell and buy limits around the extreme. If you brave enough , have enough risk capital and experience to go about it, make sure you have stops attached to these limit orders as the market can move very FAST. Not just that, you can also expect slippage. That being said, I have seen crude oil make some extreme moves right on the number only to come back either way before making another extreme move…If you looking to try this I HIGHLY recommend to use a demo account first and see how it goes. Don’t jump in with real money just because you read about it somewhere….( here in this case).

Below you will see 10 seconds chart for last Wednesday to give somewhat of an example, followed by the 15 minute chart below.

Continue reading “Trading Crude Oil Futures on EIA Report Time 8.24.2016”

Trading Futures Using Fear and Greed 8.23.2016

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday August 23, 2016

Hello Traders,

Greetings!

Trading 201: Day Trading Using fear and greed ( using Crude Oil futures as an example)

Crude Oil Futures volatility offers a “different market personality” than stock index futures. Here is some of the things you need to know about day trading crude oil futures:
By: Ilan Levy-Mayer, Cannon Trading Commodities Broker & VP

Crude Oil is one of MY favorite futures markets for day trading. Before I dive in and share with you how the volatility in crude oil fits my risk tolerance for day trading and provide a couple of chart examples, we should review some of the specifications ofCrude Oil Futures.

Crude Oil Futures have monthly expirations. So each month we trade a different contract month, so one needs to know when the first notice day and last trading day for crude oil futures are, in order to always make sure we are trading the proper month with the most liquidity and avoid any chance of getting into a delivery situation.

Next is the contract size. Crude Oil futures are based on 1000 barrels. To be honest from a day trading perspective all I care is that each tick or 1 cent fluctuation is $10 against me or in my favor per contract. That means that a move from 92.94 to 92.74 = $200.

Another factor is trading hours. At the time I am sharing my thoughts with you, April 8th 2013 ( I wrote this one a while back but the examples and logic are still very current!) , crude oil futures trade on the CME Globex platform and trade from 5 PM CDT until the next day at 4 PM CDT. That is 23 of straight trading hours. I definitely don’t recommend day trading this market 23 hours…but it is good to know the trading hours.

Continue reading “Trading Futures Using Fear and Greed 8.23.2016”

Trading Levels for Futures 8.19.2016

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Friday August 19, 2016

Hello Traders,

Greetings!

As some of you know, Cannon has the advantage of clearing through different clearing houses using multiple trading platforms. Note below applies only to clients trading through Transact.

Update to our Clients using Transact and Shogun:

As many of you know, Transact gatekeeper experienced a failure today which prevented some clients from logging in to the software and trade earlier today.

Many clients/ traders who were already logged in, did not experience any interruptions to their trading.

We apologize for the inconvenience this may have caused to some clients. This is the first time we experienced a failure such as this in our 14 years of clearing business through Transact.

Continue reading “Trading Levels for Futures 8.19.2016”

Trading Weekly Futures Options 8.18.2016

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday August 18, 2016

Hello Traders,

Greetings!

 I promised yesterday a full article about weekly options, so here it is written by my colleague John Thorpe.

While this specific article focuses on mini SP500 weekly options, keep in mind that the information is relevant to other weekly options such as gold, crude oil, bonds, currencies and more!

Continue reading “Trading Weekly Futures Options 8.18.2016”

Have You Heard About Weekly Options? 8.17.2016

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday August 17, 2016

Hello Traders,

Greetings!

Weekly options:

In the last few years the CME group added weekly options to a variety of markets. It started with the highly liquid mini SP 500 contract and then trickled down to other markets such as crude oil, gold, bonds, grains and currencies to name a few.

So what’s the big deal you may ask as there are many different futures contacts and options contracts listed on more than a few global exchanges?

From my point of view, the weekly options are a great tool for short term traders to have in their trading arsenal for two main reasons:

  1. Ability to use these weekly options as a way to speculate on the direction of the markets without the need to use stops.
  2. The weekly options offer the short term traders who use futures an alternative to placing stops by using the options as protection/insurance.

If you ever day-traded futures or traded futures for short term duration ranging from hours to days you know that trading without a stop is detrimental for your physical and financial well being…yet that being said many of us got stopped out to see the market coming right back to where we thought and wanted it to move towards…. Continue reading “Have You Heard About Weekly Options? 8.17.2016”

Take Profits or Wait for Home Run? 8.16.2016

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday August 16, 2016

Hello Traders,

Greetings!

Do I hold on for the “big winner” or take small profits?

To start with, this is a good problem…this means you are taking some winning trades. The answer is not a simple yes or no.

One must have a combination of both smaller, consistent winners. Also a few “runners” large profit trades, regardless if you are day trading, position trading or swing trading.

Some traders solve the problem by breaking their trading size into more than just 1 unit.

Entering Multiple Contracts: Philosophy

I think that entering multiple contracts does 3 good things for you…

Reduces fear…

Reduces greed…

And gives you a chance to hang in there for the large winners or what I call a “runner”….

Continue reading “Take Profits or Wait for Home Run? 8.16.2016”

Sugar Rally – How Sweet?

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday August 12, 2016

Hello Traders,

Greetings!

How Sweet Will The Sugar Rally Be? Ilan Levy-Mayer |

The sugar market has made a significant upside move over the past few days and weeks.

Weather concerns for part of the growing areas in Asia, as well as strength in Brazilian real contributed to this rally.

From a technical point of view, I feel this market is overbought and over-extended, but when fundamentals take over, you can use the charts for wall decoration…That being said, I will be looking for signs of exhaustion on the daily and weekly charts.

The chart below is a monthly chart of sugar, and you will see that we are trading right against recent highs and I got a sell signal in the shape of my red diamond. However, I don’t have a crystal ball, hence I will look on the daily chart for a similar clue before trying to go against the trend and go short.

Read the full article along with my chart set up at:
https://www.equities.com/news/how-sweet-will-the-sugar-rally-be

Continue reading “Sugar Rally – How Sweet?”

Few Ways to Enter a Futures Trade 8.11.2016

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday August 11, 2016

Hello Traders,

Few ways to enter a trade….

There are so many different aspects to trading.

From financial, emotional aspects to actual details of when to enter a trade, when to exit a trade and SO MUCH more in between…..

An important part of trading is trade entry. Assuming a trader knows why he/ she about to enter a trade the next step sounds simple right? Simply buy or sell the contract you wish to trade….

Many times it is that simple; depending on the time frame you are trading you may simply buy @ market and get the market price at that time. Some traders try to make small profits where every tick counts hence they may use the “buy bid” or “sell ask” button in order to get in at the best market price at that time. Many times you may save a tick by doing so but other times you may find yourself chasing the bid or the ask…

Continue reading “Few Ways to Enter a Futures Trade 8.11.2016”