Futures Levels & Economic Reports for 1.31.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Friday January 31, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Each market has different personality, different behavior along with different times of the day when it is most active. If you are finding that the ES is not giving you enough risk/opportunities then start monitoring a couple of other markets and perhaps explore them in demo / simulated mode.

I will try over the next few blogs to shed some light on other markets i think are suitable for day-trading along with what is unique about these markets, personality and most active trading hours.

Today I am going to start with interest rates, mostly the ten year and 30 year.

In most platforms, the symbols are ZB for 30 year bonds and ZN for 10 year notes. The current front month is March which is U. So ZBH4 for example.

Product Symbol ZB
Contract Size The unit of trading shall be U.S. Treasury Bonds having a face value at maturity of one hundred thousand dollars ($100,000) or multiples thereof
Price Quotation Points ($1,000) and 1/32 of a point. For example, 134-16 represents 134 16/32. Par is on the basis of 100 points.
Product Symbol ZN

 

Underlying Unit One U.S. Treasury note having a face value at maturity of $100,000.
Deliverable Grades U.S. Treasury notes with a remaining term to maturity of at least six and a half years, but not more than 10 years, from the first day of the delivery month. The invoice price equals the futures settlement price times a conversion factor, plus accrued interest. The conversion factor is the price of the delivered note ($1 par value) to yield 6 percent.
Price Quote Points ($1,000) and halves of 1/32 of a point. For example, 126-16 represents 126 16/32 and 126-165 represents 126 16.5/32. Par is on the basis of 100 points.
Tick Size
(minimum fluctuation)
One-half of one thirty-second (1/32) of one point ($15.625, rounded up to the nearest cent per contract), except for intermonth spreads, where the minimum price fluctuation shall be one-quarter of one thirty-second of one point ($7.8125 per contract).
Contract Months The first five consecutive contracts in the March, June, September, and December quarterly cycle.

These contracts are often affected by many of the economic reports that come out at 8:30 Am Eastern and there is very active volume between the hours of 8 am EST and 3 PM EST

Volume on both contracts is very good. Ten years will often have 1 million contracts traded per day ( might be the second most active US futures market after the mini SP 500) and the bonds will avg. around 300,000 contracts.

These markets can experience very volatile movements during and right after different reports but then will often trade smooth or in an intraday trend the rest of the day.

Another BONUS for trading these two markets is that the exchange fees are lower, hence making your total transaction cost cheaper!

Follow these two markets in demo mode for a while if you have not traded them before and get a feel for the movement, reaction to reports, execution etc.

If you have any questions, feel free to contact me.

Below is a 60 minute chart of the US bond market or what i refer to as the 30 year bonds ZBH4. The dollar value difference per one contract between the high and the low marked on the chart is: $1661.50 per one contract.

 

ps: if you like a trial of the indicators you see in the chart, please email me.
Custom USA - 30yr US Treasury Bonds, (Globex), Equalized Active 60 Min Continuation
Custom USA – 30yr US Treasury Bonds, (Globex), Equalized Active 60 Min Continuation

FOMC, Futures Trading Levels & Economic Reports 1.30.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday January 30, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

I think that today’s FOMC market reaction may be a clue for the rest of the year and if I am correct we should see much higher volatility and more downside potential than we have these past 3 years.What we saw today was volatile, fast acting market action right before and following the FOMC rate. In the past couple of years, market reaction to FOMC was MUCH milder. In direct correlation to the QE which is been phased out, I think we will see higher intraday and daily volatility in stock indices and what was once limited downside potential, thanks to the FED artificial QE, will now be a little more “fair game”.Overall in my opinion, this should be good for daytraders and stock index daytraders in specific. Make sure you are aware of this potentially different market environment and hope that 2014 will be a great year!

FOMC, Futures Levels & Economic Reports 1.29.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday January 29, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

The FOMC interest rate decision is due at 14:00 ET in the US tomorrow ( Wednesday, Jan. 29th).

FOMC days have different characteristics than other trading days. If you have traded for a while, check your trading notes from past FOMC days that may help you prepare for tomorrow.

if you are a newcomer, take a more conservative approach and make sure you understand that the news can really move the market.

The following are suggestions on trading during FOMC days:

  • Reduce trading size
  • Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade
  • Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 1795.00 with a stop at 1789.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 1789.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example.
  • Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement
  • Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
  • Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
  • Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues
  • This is another great example why a trading journal would be an asset, as you can go back and check your notes from previous FOMC days.
  • Be patient and be disciplined

Continue reading “FOMC, Futures Levels & Economic Reports 1.29.2014”

Minis S&P Chart, Futures Trading Levels & Economic Reports 1.28.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday January 28, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Last Thursday I wrote:

PS: I think if we do break 1813, we can see more powerful leg down. Just my opinion…..

I happened to be right this time and below you will see updated outlook. Looks like next levels of support come at 1754 and 1730.

On the way up 1792 is sticking up as a very important level.

Lets not forget we have FOMC coming out Wednesday which is a market mover and in between we are in the midst of earnings season….

Updated chart for your review below:

 

EP - E-Mini SAP 500, Equalized Active Daily Continuation
EP – E-Mini SAP 500, Equalized Active Daily Continuation

Continue reading “Minis S&P Chart, Futures Trading Levels & Economic Reports 1.28.2014”

Mini S&P Daily Chart, Futures Levels & Economic Reports 1.24.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Friday January 24, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Good intraday volatility today across many markets. This volatility can be a friend to many traders and a foe for many others…

Looks like bonds and gold had an upside breakout move while stock indices showed earlier weakness on China news but as you can see from chart below, bounced nicely off support levels.

I think for tomorrow we need to see either a break of 1830 or 1813 to favor the long or short, otherwise I anticipate an inside day with possible moves both ways.

PS: I think if we do break 1813, we can see more powerful leg down. Just my opinion…..

 

EP - E-Mini SAP 500, Equalized Active Daily Continuation
EP – E-Mini SAP 500, Equalized Active Daily Continuation

Continue reading “Mini S&P Daily Chart, Futures Levels & Economic Reports 1.24.2014”

Australian Dollar Chart, Futures Levels & Economic Reports 1.22.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday January 22, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

I need your help!

I have gotten and getting great feedback from many of you and would appreciate if you can take a couple of seconds to vote at:

Traders Planet Awards

 

There are more than a few markets one can daytrade beside stock indices….

Today I would like to talk a little about the currency futures markets. I personally prefer currency futures over FOREX any day. More than a few reasons but the main ones are: currency futures trade on one, regulated main exchange ( CME) while FOREX trades through different interbanks and other means of transactions that are not necessarily regulated. FOREX are “commission free” but in reality there is a spread built in that dealer marks up each time you buy or sell which makes FOREX more expensive than futures.

The main ones I like to follow are:

The Euro, The Yen, The British Pound, The Australian. All are paired versus the US$.

Each market will have different times of higher volume which can allow for traders in all time zones to pick their market. Simply open an hourly chart, like the example i am showing below of the Australian $ and add the volume indicator to observe what times the market has the most action.

  • 1 Euro tick is $12.50
  • 1 Yen tick is $12.50
  • 1 Aussie tick is $10
  • 1 British tick is $6.25

Currency futures will often trend better than other segments and will experience different levels of volatility during economic reports in the different parts of the world.

Another point is that currencies also have MICRO contracts, which may be a great transition from demo mode to LIVE mode, as these contracts are pretty small ( one tenth of the normal size)

If you plan on following any currencies, start in demo mode, know what reports are coming that affect the specific currency you are trading, take a look at the daily, weekly charts to get a feel and monitor the action for a while.

Any questions and i will be happy to assist.

 

DA 6 - Australian Dollar (Globex), Equalized Active 60 Min Continuation
DA 6 – Australian Dollar (Globex), Equalized Active 60 Min Continuation

Martin Luther King 2014 – Futures Trading Holiday Schedule

ICE

ICE Futures US Softs including US Grains & Oilseeds Closed Fin Gas, Power & Emissions:

Early Close 13:30 ET

Russell Index

Early close 11:30 ET

USDX & FOREX

Early Close 13:00 ET

ICE Futures US Softs including US Grains & Oilseeds Closed Fin Gas, Power & Emissions:

Early Close 13:30 ET

Russell Index

Early close 11:30 ET

USDX & FOREX

Early Close 13:00 ET

CME Group

Download Martin Luther King Holiday Trading Schedule for CME Group in PDF format.

For more information, please visit: https://www.theice.com/marketdata/Calendar.shtml?calendars=Holiday&expirationEnabled=false&calendars=SpecialTradingHours

The above sources were compiled from sources believed to be reliable.  Cannon Trading assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions.  It is meant as an alert to events that may affect trading strategies and is not necessarily complete.  The closing times for certain contracts may have been rescheduled.

 

Tick Charts, Futures Levels & Economic Reports 1.17.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Friday January 17, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Using tick charts and oscillators for day-trading (by Ilan Levy-Mayer VP of Cannon Trading and CTA at Levex.net )

I really don’t think anyone has found a “perfect way” to day-trade.

Different techniques work well in different market environment.

In this week short educational feature, I will touch about one technique one can add to their trading arsenal. This technique works better on choppy, two sided ways. It DOES NOT work well when the market has a strong trend.

The chart below illustrates a few principals I like:

  1. It uses a tick chart rather than a time chart. I like tick charts better when day-trading shorter time frames for the simple reason it already includes a big factor in the market, VOLUME. If you are using 5 minutes chart for example, you may get signals simply because time “has passed” and certain indicators you are using adopt certain values. When using tick charts, at times where there is lots of movement in the market, you won’t have to wait until your time frame bar closes to get your signal, volume becomes a bigger more important part of your trading decision.

READ THE REST

Continue reading “Tick Charts, Futures Levels & Economic Reports 1.17.2014”