As a high risk trading type, futures trading is not for someone who is faint-hearted. Though there are a number of different ways of investing in futures , it is important to stick to what you know. Treading into unknown waters is not something that you should do when dealing in futures.
From managing margins to ordering trades to doing market analysis and more if you want to, you can do that all by yourself – but you may betaking double the risk. Therefore, when trading in futures, it may be better to seek advice from a professional trader.
Professional trading experts at Cannon Trading can help you with your futures trading. We are also there to keep you updated with the latest on futures trading and market news. All the news and latest articles on futures trading are published on our site under the category Archive Futures Trading News, which you are currently browsing through. Read more and the latest here and keep updated.
Full day of reports tomorrow along with OPEC meeting, please refer to economic reports section below.
Below are the contracts which are entering First Notice or Last Trading Day for the upcoming month. Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day. If you have any questions please contact the Trade Desk
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
for 10-05-2022
SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100 #NQ_FDow Jones #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Dec. Gold #GC_F Dec. Silver #SI_F Oct. Crude Oil #CL-F Dec. Bonds #ZB_F Dec. 10 yr #ZN_F Dec. Corn #ZC_F Dec. Wheat #ZW_F Nov. Beans #ZS_F Dec. SoyMeal #ZM_F Oct. Nat Gas #NG_F Dec. Coffee #KC_F Dec. Cocoa #CC_F October Sugar #SB_F Dec. Cotton #CT_F Sept. Euro Currency
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Supplementing your current strategy with a holistic, measured approach for better trading results (hopefully!)
By John Thorpe, Senior Broker
When I trade I want to be mindful of the leverage I am employing..
Just because the apple is hanging low and enticing you to grab it and take a bite doesn’t mean you do it, even if you are hungry. My most successful trades have been those trades where I avoided that temptation.
What I speak of is the temptation to over lever the account I am trading.
I take this approach because I want to last a long time engaged with this game, this industry, with these omnipresent trading opportunities.
But which ones? All of the markets move; some faster than others.
.. As an office colleague, repeats, “ there are services that are much smarter than I am” and so I use a number of services from which to get my trading ideas.
I like to trade positions where I am in the market over a period of Time. And when I diversify my portfolio to include different contracts in unrelated markets, my chances for success are even greater than if I am solely fishing from the same pond or eating from the same apple tree.
When I trade intra commodity and inter commodity spreads in my portfolio, this gives the account an even greater opportunity for what I call “Net Liquidating Value stability”.
Spreads attempt to take advantage of price relationships between either two different time periods (Intra commodity spread) or different seasonal tendencies between unrelated but similar industry group products (inter commodity spreads, eg, Heating Oil and WTI Crude Oil or Corn and Wheat. Often times the Leverage is much less than the outright margin the exchange charges for a single leg of a spread. For instance: If I believe corn will rally in the next two months I may buy the front month contract and sell the deferred contract fully anticipating the price to go higher , faster on the long leg than the short leg. Because these contracts are of the identical deliverable grade but have different delivery dates ( current vs future) and I am long one and short the other, I can expect, over time, that these will both move in the same direction, either up or down.
As a result , the initial margin deposit is simply 450.00 for the spread vs. 2750.00 for the outright.
Fast price movements = Fast (evaporating ) opportunities and we are mostly, as humans, too slow to capture these potential windfalls, Fast money=Fast losses, I see it over and over again.
It is MY OPINION: By using a structure , a service and becoming familiar with the service ( trusting, not Blindly) and utilizing no more than 25-40% of your available capital AND diversifying your holdings, you can have long term success trading futures.
I hope you will want to learn more in the future and utilize a few of the services I like to supplement your current strategies. START HERE
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
for 10-04-2022
SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100 #NQ_FDow Jones #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Dec. Gold #GC_F Dec. Silver #SI_F Oct. Crude Oil #CL-F Dec. Bonds #ZB_F Dec. 10 yr #ZN_F Dec. Corn #ZC_F Dec. Wheat #ZW_F Nov. Beans #ZS_F Dec. SoyMeal #ZM_F Oct. Nat Gas #NG_F Dec. Coffee #KC_F Dec. Cocoa #CC_F October Sugar #SB_F Dec. Cotton #CT_F Sept. Euro Currency
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
“One way our brain helps keep us safe is to protect us from an awareness of our weaknesses. The brain believes that it is better to be falsely confident than recognize the real risks. This protective mechanism tends to work against us in trading.” Kenneth Reid, Ph.D
MINDING THE MIND
The mind can play tricks on us. Intuitive Trading is an attempt to mind read the market, which makes us susceptible to whipsaws. Hindsight Bias causes traders to underestimate the difficulty of trading, while Competency Bias causes us to over-estimate our abilities. These are mental banana peels that set us up for a fall.
INTUITIVE TRADING
Intuitive trading is a natural response to excessive randomness and non-linearity in the market. But making informed guesses is not the same as formulating a rule-based pattern-recognition system that gives a trader a true edge. Without a rule-based plan, intuitive traders expend a great deal of energy mindreading the market, which will not improve your odds of success. In fact, professional traders make a good living exploiting the emotionally-driven behavior of intuitive amateurs.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
10-03-2022
SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100 #NQ_FDow Jones #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Dec. Gold #GC_F Dec. Silver #SI_F Oct. Crude Oil #CL-F Dec. Bonds #ZB_F Dec. 10 yr #ZN_F Dec. Corn #ZC_F Dec. Wheat #ZW_F Nov. Beans #ZS_F Dec. SoyMeal #ZM_F Oct. Nat Gas #NG_F Dec. Coffee #KC_F Dec. Cocoa #CC_F October Sugar #SB_F Dec. Cotton #CT_F Sept. Euro Currency
Weekly Levels
Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading
Tomorrow is the last trading day for September. Last and first trading days of the months can at times be more volatile and at times have a chance to become a trending day.
Trader’s Check List:
· Review prior day statement
· Check for any working orders on your platforms.
· Be aware of contract rollover dates
· Set a daily loss limit and learn NOT to overtrade
· Understand what reports are coming out today
· Make sure you are not distracted
· Calculate appropriate trading size based on current volatility and account size
· Start with Larger Time Frame charts to get proper perspective
· Understand what your goal is
· Measure your success or lack of
· Spend time furthering your trading education and exploring different methods
· Put trading in perspective and make sure the overall psychology of trading fits you.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
for 09-30-2022
SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100 #NQ_FDow Jones #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Dec. Gold #GC_F Dec. Silver #SI_F Oct. Crude Oil #CL-F Dec. Bonds #ZB_F Dec. 10 yr #ZN_F Dec. Corn #ZC_F Dec. Wheat #ZW_F Nov. Beans #ZS_F Dec. SoyMeal #ZM_F Oct. Nat Gas #NG_F Dec. Coffee #KC_F Dec. Cocoa #CC_F October Sugar #SB_F Dec. Cotton #CT_F Sept. Euro Currency
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Don’t fight it. You will have losing days. I have been in the futures industry for 22 years now and never have I met a trader who did not have a losing day…and I will never meet one….impossible.
Understand it and accept it. One of your hardest jobs as a day trader is to make sure a losing day does NOT become a disaster…Our human emotions and our brain is not programmed very well to learn how to lose. Yet one of the key differences between traders and those who try to become “traders”…is that traders first learn how to lose. They understand losing is part of trading. The others, refuse to take a losing day and will make many mistakes along the way to make a “normal losing” day into a disaster. That may be carrying positions overnight when they normally don’t, reversing, pyramiding and many other mistakes that they would normally not make. That turns a “normal losing day” (maybe for an account of $10,000, a normal losing day would be down $700?) into one of those days where they wipe out half of their account, if not more.
Have realistic expectations. Under the statistics of your own trading. Keep notes.
Sometimes we need to learn how to lose before we can excel in trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
09-28-2022
SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100 #NQ_FDow Jones #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Dec. Gold #GC_F Dec. Silver #SI_F Oct. Crude Oil #CL-F Dec. Bonds #ZB_F Dec. 10 yr #ZN_F Dec. Corn #ZC_F Dec. Wheat #ZW_F Nov. Beans #ZS_F Dec. SoyMeal #ZM_F Oct. Nat Gas #NG_F Dec. Coffee #KC_F Dec. Cocoa #CC_F October Sugar #SB_F Dec. Cotton #CT_F Sept. Euro Currency
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Tuesday is going to be an extremely busy day for FED Speak! and early too! The EARLY Kickoff begins at 3:30 am ET and again at 6:15 am ET for Chicago Fed Chair Charles Evans. To be followed by Jerome Powell Fed Chair at 7;30 am ET BEFORE MARKET OPEN. James Bullard will also be presenting @ 9:55 am ET. We can throw into the mix a few economic data releases as well. Durable goods orders will be released at 8;30 am ET some housing data at 9am and consumer confidence , new home sales at 10amET., Money supply released at 1PM ET this should all make for a volatile Tuesday session, please adjust your trading size accordingly.. On Wednesday the 28th we have more speeches from Fed members Bostic, Bullard, Powell and Bowman 8:35 am ET, 10:10 am ET, 10:15am ET and 11am ET respectively. Advance international trade in goods will be released @ 8:30am ET, these should all keep the energy in the markets moving. Thursday the 29th we get the all important GDP, the third iteration of the 2nd quarter number with a consensus range of -7%- -5% quarter over quarter annual rate, a deviation from this consensus may be enough to shock market direction in a very short period of time.. then jobless claims should also effect the market direction, Both will be issued at 8:30 am ET . and Finally, for Friday, the equity markets will need to unwind a bit before the weekend, but first it will need to digest Personal Income and Outlays; this report is released at 8:30 am ET with 2 more fed speakers ,Barkin and Brainard at 8:30 am and 9:30 am Respectively. Make it a solid week and remember to plan your trade and trade your plan!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
09-27-2022
SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100 #NQ_FDow Jones #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Dec. Gold #GC_F Dec. Silver #SI_F Oct. Crude Oil #CL-F Dec. Bonds #ZB_F Dec. 10 yr #ZN_F Dec. Corn #ZC_F Dec. Wheat #ZW_F Nov. Beans #ZS_F Dec. SoyMeal #ZM_F Oct. Nat Gas #NG_F Dec. Coffee #KC_F Dec. Cocoa #CC_F October Sugar #SB_F Dec. Cotton #CT_F Sept. Euro Currency
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Financials: for the third time in as many Federal Open Market Committee meetings, the twelve voting members unanimously approved a 0.75% rate increase for the benchmark federal funds rate – the overnight rate on lending between banks. With this the fifth consecutive rate increase from near 0% in March and the steepest rise since the 1980’s, not since 2008 has the fed. funds rate been set to this level. With two more FOMC meetings scheduled for the remainder of the year, the full 19-member committee signaled fed. funds are projected to continue their upward trajectory with 4.25% to 4.50% the expected target by year’s end.
The Federal Reserve also announced a program of reducing stimulus by shrinking its $8.8 trillion asset portfolio through attrition. As debt securities mature – to the tune of ±$95 billion a month – the Fed reduces its holdings by up to $95 billion a month.
Of course, all this is the Federal Reserve’s effort to quell inflation, the annual forecast of which officials revised up for the third time to 4.5% (core rate). “Inflation is running too hot. You don’t need to know much more than that,” said FOMC chairman Jerome Powell in his post-announcement news conference.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
09-22-2022
SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100 #NQ_FDow Jones #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Dec. Gold #GC_F Dec. Silver #SI_F Oct. Crude Oil #CL-F Dec. Bonds #ZB_F Dec. 10 yr #ZN_F Dec. Corn #ZC_F Dec. Wheat #ZW_F Nov. Beans #ZS_F Dec. SoyMeal #ZM_F Oct. Nat Gas #NG_F Dec. Coffee #KC_F Dec. Cocoa #CC_F October Sugar #SB_F Dec. Cotton #CT_F Sept. Euro Currency
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
09-20-2022
SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100 #NQ_FDow Jones #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Dec. Gold #GC_F Dec. Silver #SI_F Oct. Crude Oil #CL-F Dec. Bonds #ZB_F Dec. 10 yr #ZN_F Dec. Corn #ZC_F Dec. Wheat #ZW_F Nov. Beans #ZS_F Dec. SoyMeal #ZM_F Oct. Nat Gas #NG_F Dec. Coffee #KC_F Dec. Cocoa #CC_F October Sugar #SB_F Dec. Cotton #CT_F Sept. Euro Currency
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Futures, futures options, stock options and single stocks all expire tomorrow morning right on the open of the stock market.
Keep in mind that September mini SP and it’s relatives ( mini Dow, mini Nasdaq etc.) EXPIRE tomorrow and cash settle based on special settlement price….Markets can get volatile tomorrow morning right before and around the open.
The September contract will simply cease to trade. If you have not switched to December yet, now is the time…..
Also start trading December currencies!
Would you like to trade futures using MT5? if so, reply back to this email!
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
09-16-2022
SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100 #NQ_FDow Jones #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Dec. Gold #GC_F Dec. Silver #SI_F Oct. Crude Oil #CL-F Dec. Bonds #ZB_F Dec. 10 yr #ZN_F Dec. Corn #ZC_F Dec. Wheat #ZW_F Nov. Beans #ZS_F Dec. SoyMeal #ZM_F Oct. Nat Gas #NG_F Dec. Coffee #KC_F Dec. Cocoa #CC_F October Sugar #SB_F Dec. Cotton #CT_F Sept. Euro Currency
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
CPI report lived up to the hype! MAJOR volatility in speed and magnitude of the move!
The Mini SP 500, one of the most liquid markets in the world, sold off over 100 points in less than 1 minute!!
Traders “pulling out the bids” ahead of the report as well as the fast move caused many stop orders to get rejected!!
How can that be?
When impactful economic reports are released, we expect large , violent price swings. which may leave your open positions unprotected , even with stop orders. What creates the volatility? people cancel their bids and offers making for large orders, that would easily be absorbed by the market during normal conditions moving the market precipitously in either direction. As a result, the exchange wants a “balanced order book and created a Price band within which reasonable orders will be maintained, but if the market moves outside the band within seconds those orders are cancelled and not longer working, just like a stop with a limit would function.
We will expand on this topic in depth on tomorrows blog.
PPI tomorrow….Today was one of the highest volume days in recent month for stock index futures.
Below a 10 second chart of the ES from today! Click image to enlarge. A move of almost $6,000 in 45 seconds!
Stock Index futures are entering the “rollover period”.
December is now the front month/ higher volume.
September will expire this coming Friday at 8:30 Am Central time.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
Futures Trading Levels
09-14-2022
SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100 #NQ_FDow Jones #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Dec. Gold #GC_F Dec. Silver #SI_F Oct. Crude Oil #CL-F Dec. Bonds #ZB_F Dec. 10 yr #ZN_F Dec. Corn #ZC_F Dec. Wheat #ZW_F Nov. Beans #ZS_F Dec. SoyMeal #ZM_F Oct. Nat Gas #NG_F Dec. Coffee #KC_F Dec. Cocoa #CC_F October Sugar #SB_F Dec. Cotton #CT_F Sept. Euro Currency
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.