FOMC Interest Rate Decision & Economic Reports - 6.18.2014

Support & Resistance Levels

This Blog provides futures market outlook for different commodities and futures trading markets, mostly stock index futures, as well as support and resistance levels for Crude Oil futures, Gold futures, Euro currency and others. At times the daily trading blog will include educational information about different aspects of commodity and futures trading.

FOMC Interest Rate Decision tomorrow & Economic Reports 6.18.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday June 18, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!


FRONT MONTH for stock index futures and currencies is now SEPTEMBER.

A quick analysis I did for about crude oil futures at:



The FOMC interest rate decision is due at 14:00 ET in the US tomorrow ( Wednesday, June 18th ).


FOMC days have different characteristics than other trading days. If you have traded for a while, check your trading notes from past FOMC days that may help you prepare for tomorrow.


if you are a newcomer, take a more conservative approach and make sure you understand that the news can really move the market.


The following are suggestions on trading during FOMC days:


  • Reduce trading size
  • Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade
  • Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 1925.00 with a stop at 1919.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 1919.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example.
  • Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement
  • Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
  • Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
  • Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues
  • This is another great example why a trading journal would be an asset, as you can go back and check your notes from previous FOMC days.
  • Be patient and be disciplined


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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Futures Trading Levels

Contract Sept. 2014  SP500 (big & Mini) Nasdaq100 (big & Mini) Dow Jones (big & Mini) Mini Russell Dollar Index
Resistance 3 1950.58 3807.50 16879 1193.37 81.09
Resistance 2 1943.17 3796.75 16819 1184.13 80.93
Resistance 1 1938.58 3784.50 16773 1176.57 80.82
Pivot 1931.17 3773.75 16713 1167.33 80.65
Support 1 1926.58 3761.50 16667 1159.77 80.54
Support 2 1919.17 3750.75 16607 1150.53 80.38
Support 3 1914.58 3738.50 16561 1142.97 80.27
Contract August Gold July Silver July Crude Oil September Bonds  Sept. Euro
Resistance 3 1292.2 2011.8 108.09 136 30/32 1.3633
Resistance 2 1282.8 1992.7 107.63 136 17/32 1.3613
Resistance 1 1276.7 1981.8 106.92 135 27/32 1.3581
Pivot 1267.3 1962.7 106.46 135 14/32 1.3561
Support 1 1261.2 1951.8 105.75 134 24/32 1.3529
Support 2 1251.8 1932.7 105.29 134 11/32 1.3509
Support 3 1245.7 1921.8 104.58 133 21/32 1.3477
Contract July Corn July Wheat July Beans July SoyMeal July bean Oil
Resistance 3 444.9 585.8 1423.17 472.30 40.52
Resistance 2 442.6 584.9 1418.08 467.70 40.12
Resistance 1 440.7 583.3 1408.17 459.20 39.90
Pivot 438.3 582.4 1403.08 454.60 39.50
Support 1 436.4 580.8 1393.2 446.1 39.3
Support 2 434.1 579.9 1388.08 441.50 38.88
Support 3 432.2 578.3 1378.17 433.00 38.66
5. Economic Reports


All times are Eastern time Zone (EST)

Date 4:15pm Currency Impact Detail Actual Forecast Previous Graph
WedJun 18  Tentative EUR German 10-y Bond Auction 1.41|1.1
8:30am USD Current Account -96B -81B
10:30am USD Crude Oil Inventories -0.6M -2.6M
2:00pm USD FOMC Economic Projections
USD FOMC Statement
USD Federal Funds Rate <0.25% <0.25%
2:30pm USD FOMC Press Conference

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.

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