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Tag: Crude Oil and Futures

Weekly Newsletter #1081 Day Trading Commodities with Crude Oil Futures & Support and Resistance Levels for the Week Ahead

Posted on by Ilan

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1081

Dear Traders,

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Trading 102: Day Trading Commodities with Crude Oil Futures

Crude Oil Futures Volatility Offers A “Different Market Personality” Than Stock Index Futures. Here Is Some Of The Things You Need To Know About Day Trading Crude Oil Futures:
By: Ilan Levy-Mayer, Cannon Trading Commodities Broker & VP
Crude Oil is one of MY favorite futures market for day trading. Before I dive in and share with you how the volatility in crude oil fits my risk tolerance for day trading and provide a couple of chart examples, we should review some of the specifications of Crude Oil Futures.
Crude Oil Futures have monthly expiration. So each month we trade a different contract month, so one needs to know when is the first notice day and last trading day for crude oil futures in order to always make sure we are trading the proper month with the most liquidity and avoid any chance of getting into delivery situation.
Next is the contract size. Crude Oil futures are based on 1000 barrels. To be honest from a day trading perspective all I care is that each tick or 1 cent fluctuation is $10 against me or in my favor per contract. That means that a move from 92.94 to 92.74 = $200.
Another factor is trading hours. At the time I am sharing my thoughts with you, April 8th 2013, crude oil futures trade on the CME Globex platform and trade from 5 PM CDT until the next day at 4 PM CDT. That is 23 of straight trading hours. I definitely don’t recommend day trading this market 23 hours…but it is good to know the trading hours.
Volume in crude oil futures is pretty good to trade in my opinion. Averaging about 300,000 contracts per day.
One last pointer to touch on is the API (American Petroleum Institute) report that normally comes out Wednesday at 9:30 CDT (on short weeks, holidays etc. , this report will be pushed to Thursday at 10 AM CDT). I tell my clients that this report is way too volatile and I like to be out 5 minutes before and not resume trading 5 minutes until after the report comes out. This report by itself deserves a writing but on short, the report provides information on how our stock pile is doing ( = supply/demand) and the market will move based on the numbers versus what was expected. Again as a day trader, your main job is to know about this report, when it comes out and in my opinion stay out of the market during this time..Fill out the form below to read the full article.
WorldCup Trading Championships 2022

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

01.10.2022

Support and Resistance Levels 1.10.2022

 

Weekly Levels

Weekly Support and Resistance Levels

 

Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

 

MRCI Reports 1.10.2022

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading

OPEC Meeting cause for Higher Volatility in the Futures Markets, Crude Oil Chart Review & Support and Resistance Levels 12.03.2021

Posted on by Ilan

Dear Futures Trader,

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

OPEC meeting today took crude oil and products into even higher volatility.

In my opinion, many markets took que from crude oil price movement, especially stock index futures.
While this may be a temporary situation, you may want to watch crude oil prices even if you are trading only the mini SP or even grains for that matter….
Crude oil daily chart for your viewing pleasure….
DON’T FORGET we have monthly unemployment numbers tomorrow…NFP, non farm payroll.

Daily Crud Oil Chart 12.02.2021

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

12-03-2021

Futures Support and Resistance Levels 12.03.2021


Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Crude Oil Futures Market Review and Daily Chart Analysis & Support and Resistance Levels 11.18.2021

Posted on by Ilan

Dear Futures Trader,

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Crude Oil Futures Market Review and Daily Chart Analysis

Looking at both price and time FIB analysis, on the daily crude oil chart below (click here for LARGE IMAGE) I am showing a potential for crude oil to find support and have a short term reversal to the upside. I wont fight the short term trend and will look for a buy signal using 30 minute chart before I jump in front of this downward train…
What do I mean by that?
Daily chart still showing a good strength on the LONGER term scale ( see both Elliott Wave counts and trend strength). Short term we can see the strong sell of the highs made towards the end of October.
I ran both a Fibonacci retracement on prices from lows to high, as well as Fibonacci TIME retracement from the time of lows to highs to see the next TIMING window to look at.
We are getting close to a match on both time and price ( concept I was made aware of by Carolyn Boroden Strategies for Intraday Trading Fibonacci Retracements | Fibonacci Queen) so I will now look for a bullish trigger in the form of MACD cross over on the 30 minutes chart or possible turning up of RSI on the 30 minutes chart before simply trying my luck…..
As always the key will be risk and trade management if/when set up happens.
Keep in mind FRONT month for crude oil is now January! CLF22
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Crude Oil Futures Daily Chart

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

11-18-2021

Support and Resistance Levels 11.18.2021

 


Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

BetterTrader Economic Indicators 11.17.2021

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

FOMC Reaction in the Futures Market & Support and Resistance Levels 11.04.2021

Posted on by Ilan

Dear Futures Trader,

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

FOMC came out and stocks reacted with another leg up – what’s next?

FEDERAL RESERVE BEGAN
TAPPERING ITS $120 BILLION A MONTH PROGRAM.
$10 BILLION A MONTH OF
TREASURIES
$5 BILLION A MONTH OF
MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES
WAS:
$80 BILLION OF TREASURIES
$40 BILLION OF MORTGAGE BACKED
$1.44 TRILLION FOR THE YEAR
Gold sold off before hand and only bounced slightly.
Bonds sold off slightly.
Crude sold off the most but in my opinion it was API/ OPEC related and not FOMC related.
Many times, the real reaction to FOMC comes out the next day so price action, asset allocation across the different markets is important to watch.
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

11-04-2021

Futures Support & Resistance Levels 11.04.2021

 


Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

BetterTrader Economic Reports 11.03.2021

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Gold Chart Review and Outlook & Support and Resistance Levels 10.29.2021

Posted on by Ilan

Dear Traders,

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!
*Heads up: Start trading January beans – November beans entering first notice day.
You should be already trading December natural gas.

Gold Daily Chart below…..

Potential long signal was generated today( based on personal technical factors I use) – Looking at the quote below, my biggest battle in this hypothetical example would be:
  1. Entry level ( market? wait for lower price? enter if price breaks above?)
  2. Exit in case of loss
  3. Exit in case of profit
  4. Trade size?
  5. If at a loss will I exit all? or in parts?
  6. If profit achieved will I exit part of the trade? ( assuming I am trading more than 1 contract or perhaps MICROS)
  7. Do I need to bring stop to breakeven at any point ( if certain profit achieved?)
Obviously the answer to all of the above will change from trader to trader but bringing these points up can hopefully help you approach trading from a different angle.
“Every battle is won or lost before it is ever fought.”
Sun Tzu
The Art of War
This passage – dating back the 6th century B.C. – can aptly be applied to trading futures. Prepare for each trade. Set your risk. If the initial outcome is favorable, use your enemy’s resources (move your stop) to sustain your trading.
Don’t engage in extended battles (over trade) and consume your resources (money, time, mental energy).
Your “enemy,” (the market) only has the power to destroy your account if you let it.
Gold Futures Chart

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

10-29-2020

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Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Free Course – An Introduction to Crude Oil & Support and Resistance Levels 10.13.2021

Posted on by Ilan

Dear Traders,

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!
🙂

Trading 101: Free Course – An Introduction to Crude Oil

Today’s energy crude oil market is truly global. From West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to Brent and DME Oman, the crude oil market fuels many of the world’s leading economies and impact nearly every nation. Energy crude oil futures and options provide the tools the industry needs to manage risk. Explore the key concepts and structure of today’s energy markets, including the factors that affect supply and demand and move prices. Learn how to use these instruments to hedge exposure and unlock opportunities
  • WTI Overview
  • Understanding Crude Oil in the USA
  • Importance of Cushing, Oklahoma
  • Understanding European Crude Oil
  • Understanding Crude Oil Across Asian Region
  • And Much More!

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

10-13-2020

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Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Natural Gas, Crude Oil, Stocks and Rates, Support & Resistance Levels 10.05.2021

Posted on by Jenny Collins

Dear Traders,

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!
Separator
Natural Gas, Crude Oil, Stocks and Rates
They all work together with a strong relationship. At times with direct correlation, at times with inverse correlation.
Do some homework, overlay some charts, look for clues that can help you while trading and provide even the smallest edge.
Natural gas, Crude oil have been on a bullish stretch lately. See a weekly chart of Natural gas below.
Other commodities like cotton and oats are also experiencing strong bull runs – is this due to in inflation? Supply chain fears? New “COVID world” environment?
Current levels to watch for on the major markets mentioned above:
Nov. Natural Gas:
Pivot 5.72
Support 5.14
Resistance 6.80
Nov. Crude Oil:
Pivot 74.72
Support 74.02
Resistance 79.25
Dec. 30 year bonds:
Pivot 161.12
Support 158.22
Resistance 164.02
Dec. Mini SP500:
Pivot 4437.00
Support 4251.00
Resistance 4540.00
Natural Gas Weekly Chart Cannon Trading

Futures Trading Levels

10-05-2021

Support & Resistance Levels 10.05.2021
Did you know?
Cannon offers over 10 TRADING PLATFORMS CLICK HERE for a demo

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

Better Trader Report 10.05.2021

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.

Weekly Newsletter #1053 Trading Signals Directly to your Inbox, Crude Oil Recap & Trading Levels for Week Ahead 6.7.2021

Posted on by Ilan

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1053

Dear Traders,

Like us on FaceBook!
Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

VAREA Signal Trading Alerts

Directly to your Inbox!

  • A dynamic research tool for Futures traders based on revolutionary algorithmic IP. Experienced management team has combined decades of trading experience with superior programming capability to produce this unparalleled algorithmic trading product.
  • Daily email to traders identifying trading opportunities (signals) on more than 20 specific tickers per a discrete set of rules and conditions/algorithms.
  • Packages are signals only (Basic, $99/month) or signals with execution suggestions by VAREA trading specialists (Premium, $199/month) and get a free month of the Premium product when you sign up. Contact your broker for implementation instructions to get you started.
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Market Pick Review for the Week:

Crude Oil Weekly Chart
The market trading against resistance on the weekly chart. Failure at these levels can generate a quick sell off, a break above $70 can trigger the next leg up.
Crude Oil Weekly Chart
Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

6-7-2021

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Weekly Levels

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Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading

Weekly Newsletter #1044 Day Trading Commodities with Crude Oil Futures & Trading Levels for Week Ahead 3.22.2021

Posted on by Ilan

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1044

Dear Traders,

Like us on FaceBook!
Get Real Time updates and market alerts on Twitter!
Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!
Trading 102: Day Trading Commodities with Crude Oil Futures
Crude Oil Futures Volatility Offers A “Different Market Personality” Than Stock Index Futures. Here Is Some Of The Things You Need To Know About Day Trading Crude Oil Futures:
By: Ilan Levy-Mayer, Cannon Trading Commodities Broker & VP
Crude Oil is one of MY favorite futures market for day trading. Before I dive in and share with you how the volatility in crude oil fits my risk tolerance for day trading and provide a couple of chart examples, we should review some of the specifications of Crude Oil Futures.
Crude Oil Futures have monthly expiration. So each month we trade a different contract month, so one needs to know when is the first notice day and last trading day for crude oil futures in order to always make sure we are trading the proper month with the most liquidity and avoid any chance of getting into delivery situation.
Next is the contract size. Crude Oil futures are based on 1000 barrels. To be honest from a day trading perspective all I care is that each tick or 1 cent fluctuation is $10 against me or in my favor per contract. That means that a move from 92.94 to 92.74 = $200.
Another factor is trading hours. At the time I am sharing my thoughts with you, April 8th 2013, crude oil futures trade on the CME Globex platform and trade from 5 PM CDT until the next day at 4 PM CDT. That is 23 of straight trading hours. I definitely don’t recommend day trading this market 23 hours…but it is good to know the trading hours.
Volume in crude oil futures is pretty good to trade in my opinion. Averaging about 300,000 contracts per day.
One last pointer to touch on is the API (American Petroleum Institute) report that normally comes out Wednesday at 9:30 CDT (on short weeks, holidays etc. , this report will be pushed to Thursday at 10 AM CDT). I tell my clients that this report is way too volatile and I like to be out 5 minutes before and not resume trading 5 minutes until after the report comes out. This report by itself deserves a writing but on short, the report provides information on how our stock pile is doing ( = supply/demand) and the market will move based on the numbers versus what was expected. Again as a day trader, your main job is to know about this report, when it comes out and in my opinion stay out of the market during this time..Fill out the form below to read the full article.
Weekly chart of Crude Oil futures for your review below. Click here for Larger image.
Crude Oil Weekly Chart
Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

3-22-2021

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Weekly Levels

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Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

MRCI Reports

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading

Saudi Arabia, Crude Oil and Futures Trading Levels for 11.30.2017

Posted on by Ilan

____________________________________________________________________

Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on TraderPlanet for 2016!!  

____________________________________________________________________

Dear Traders,

Front month for Silver and most grains is now March.

Front month for gold is now February.

Front month for bonds and other interest futures is now March 2018. 

Saudi Arabia: Turbulence on the Horizon?

  • 21 Nov 2017
  • By Erik Norland
  • Topics: Economic Events

There is considerable change underway in Saudi Arabia, from how the country is governed and managed to an even more activist role in the politics of the volatile Middle East. Options markets, however, appear to be almost entirely unconcerned about recent developments in the country, the world’s largest exporter of crude oil and a key U.S. ally in the Middle East.

At-the-money implied volatility on West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil options has been trading near its lowest point since late 2014 and is well below its long-term average.  For example, on November 17, 90-day WTI options closed at 23% implied volatility, well below their 31% average so far this decade (Figure 1).  Are markets too complacent in the face of potential political disruption in Saudi Arabia and its neighboring countries. READ THE REST

Continue reading “Saudi Arabia, Crude Oil and Futures Trading Levels for 11.30.2017”

RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.