FOMC Results, Increased Volatility & Economic Reports 10.30.2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

 

FOMC lived up to the hype with increased volatility in many markets including stock indices, currencies, metals and mainly the bond market ( I recommend exploring the bond market for day-trading as it offers different personality and behavior look at previous blog post here ) 

 

 

  • Fed Ends QE While Keeping ‘Considerable Time’ Low-Rate Pledge

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    From bloomberg.com

    Read Full Story at bloomberg.com

    The Federal Reserve confirmed it will end an asset-purchase program that has added $1.66 trillion to its balance sheet and maintained a pledge to keep interest rates low for a “considerable time.” “Labor market conditions improved somewhat further, with solid job gains and a lower unemployment rate,” the Federal Open Market Committee said today in a statement in Washington. “A range of labor market indicators suggests that underutiliza tion of labor resources is gradually diminishing,” the panel said, modifying earlier language that “there remains signifi cant underutilization of labor resources.” Policy makers said that while … (full story)

Stock Indices React to FOMC with Largest One Day Drop in 4 Months – Aug 1st Levels

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

I have noticed many times in the past that the “real direction to FOMC announcements, will usually come the following day”. Today was a perfect example of it…..

Last time we had a meaningful correction in the SP500 was April 4th. The correction lasted 10 days and measured 90 SP points from peak to valley 1885 to 1795 as you can see in the chart below ( sounds like I am talking about earthquakes….).If symmetry decides to give us a similar reaction we can see 1896 as the next target. In between we have a support zone at 1913 – 1918 first.

 

Daily chart of the Sept. mini SP 500 with the different levels for your review below:

 

EP - E-Mini S&P 500 Equalized Active Daily Continuation
EP – E-Mini S&P 500 Equalized Active Daily Continuation

Continue reading “Stock Indices React to FOMC with Largest One Day Drop in 4 Months – Aug 1st Levels”

FOMC, Futures Trading Levels & Economic Reports 1.30.2014

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday January 30, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

I think that today’s FOMC market reaction may be a clue for the rest of the year and if I am correct we should see much higher volatility and more downside potential than we have these past 3 years.What we saw today was volatile, fast acting market action right before and following the FOMC rate. In the past couple of years, market reaction to FOMC was MUCH milder. In direct correlation to the QE which is been phased out, I think we will see higher intraday and daily volatility in stock indices and what was once limited downside potential, thanks to the FED artificial QE, will now be a little more “fair game”.Overall in my opinion, this should be good for daytraders and stock index daytraders in specific. Make sure you are aware of this potentially different market environment and hope that 2014 will be a great year!

FOMC, Futures Levels & Economic Reports 1.29.2014

Connect with Us! Use Our Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports RSS Feed.

Like us on FacebookFollow us on TwitterView our profile on LinkedInFind us on Google+Cannon Trading Futures Trading Resistance & Support Levels and Economic ReportsFind us on Yelp

1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday January 29, 2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

The FOMC interest rate decision is due at 14:00 ET in the US tomorrow ( Wednesday, Jan. 29th).

FOMC days have different characteristics than other trading days. If you have traded for a while, check your trading notes from past FOMC days that may help you prepare for tomorrow.

if you are a newcomer, take a more conservative approach and make sure you understand that the news can really move the market.

The following are suggestions on trading during FOMC days:

  • Reduce trading size
  • Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade
  • Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 1795.00 with a stop at 1789.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 1789.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example.
  • Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement
  • Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
  • Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
  • Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues
  • This is another great example why a trading journal would be an asset, as you can go back and check your notes from previous FOMC days.
  • Be patient and be disciplined

Continue reading “FOMC, Futures Levels & Economic Reports 1.29.2014”

FOMC Tomorrow plus Trading Levels and Reports for December 12, 2012

 

Jump to a section in this post:

1. Market Commentary
2. Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Economic Reports for Wednesday December 12, 2012

 

Hello Traders,

The FOMC interest rate decision is due at 12:30 ET in the US tomorrow ( Wednesday, Dec. 12 ). Also more than a few economic numbers ahead of the announcement.

 

FOMC days have different characteristics than other trading days. If you have traded for a while, check your trading notes from past FOMC days that may help you prepare for tomorrow.

 

if you are a newcomer, take a more conservative approach and make sure you understand that the news can really move the market.

 

The following are suggestions on trading during FOMC days:

 

  • Reduce trading size
  • Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade
  • Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 1425.00 with a stop at 1419.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 1419.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example.
  • Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement
  • Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
  • Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
  • Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues
  • Be patient and be disciplined

 

AT A GLANCE: FOMC Takes No Action; Still Sees ‘Significant Risks’ | Support and Resistance Levels

Jump to a section in this post:
1. Market Commentary
2. Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000
3. Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Support and Resistance Levels – March Corn, March Wheat, Jan Beans, March Silver
5. Economic Reports for Monday, December 12, 2011

 

divider black 190

1. Market Commentary and Daily Mini S&P 500 Chart

Front month for equity indices is MARCH 2012

mini SP, mini Nasdaq, mini Russell, Mini Dow and few more are all March 2012

Symbol in most platforms for March mini SP is ESH2. Pay attention please!

AT A GLANCE: FOMC Takes No Action; Still Sees ‘Significant Risks’

12/13/11 13:45
THE STORY
The Federal Open Market Committee, the policy-setting arm of the Federal Reserve Board, left its policy options open for 2012 but took no actions Tuesday and offered an assessment of the economy that was guardedly more upbeat, but still marked by “significant downside risks.”
Nine out of 10 Fed officials voted to keep the central bank’s easy-credit policies unchanged for the second meeting in a row in what was the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting of the year. It took place on Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s 58th birthday.
Officials reiterated that short-term interest rates are likely to stay close to zero until mid-2013 at least. In their assessment of the economy, they said indicators pointed to some improvement in the U.S. jobs market.
Data since the FOMC last met at the sta! rt of November suggest the “economy has been expanding moderately, notwithstanding some apparent slowing in global growth,” Fed officials said in a statement.
The U.S. unemployment rate fell to 8.6% in November, the lowest level since March 2009, and the number of people filing for unemployment benefits has fallen recently.
Still, the Fed is concerned the U.S. economy could be hit by higher taxes and continued government layoffs next year, as well as the repercussions from the debt crisis in Europe, which has close financial and trade ties with the U.S.
The Fed is looking at revamping its communication strategy, which could be a step toward easier monetary policy. Officials are considering whether to make their internal interest-rate forecasts public. If they do this, and those forecasts suggest short-term interest rates will stay low for even longer than investors now believe, that could drive long-term rates down and be a boost to growth.
The post-! meeting statement gave no indication of the state of that debate. This suggests the Fed has left it to be resolved next year. Minutes of the meeting, due out in three weeks, might reveal more.
Prior to the meeting, few analysts expected the policymakers to introduce any new stimulus measures since its latest stimulus plan–known as Operation Twist–was disclosed less than three months ago. Under Operation Twist, the Fed will exchange $400 billion of its short-term Treasury securities for longer-dated ones.
In December, the central bank aims to purchase $45 billion worth of U.S. government debt through 13 operations and sell $52 billion via seven sales. An extra auction of about $8 billion was added this month because of a canceled sale on Nov. 30.
Operation Twist will keep the Fed’s balance sheet size steady. By purchasing longer-term Treasurys, the Fed hopes to push long-term borrowing costs lower for consumers and businesses to facilitate the economic recovery. Continue reading “AT A GLANCE: FOMC Takes No Action; Still Sees ‘Significant Risks’ | Support and Resistance Levels”

Futures Trading Levels, FOMC Members Dudley, Evans and Yellen Speak Tomorrow

Cannon Trading / E-Futures.com

Have a great weekend and a good trading week.

Below is daily chart of SP500 with some potential levels for the “minor sell signal” I got 2 days ago. Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels, FOMC Members Dudley, Evans and Yellen Speak Tomorrow”