30 Yr Bond Futures & Crude Oil Futures 5.29.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Friday May 29, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

Time sure does tick a bit different in the commodities and futures world….

Some traders know time has passed quickly when it is time to change to the Sept. contract versus the June contract ( like we are doing with BONDS right now), others may notice it when they think “wow, monthly unemployment is next Friday, time sure flies…” and still other traders, perhaps professionals and money managers notice it when one month ends and another starts and it is time to share monthly results with their clients…..

Either way you look at it, hope June will be a great trading month!

Today I want to share a couple of market behaviors with you, I have noticed in the past.

The first is US Bonds trading behavior on the last trading day of the month on the last 15 minutes of the old pit session, i.e. 13:45 to 14:00 central time.

While I did not spend any time trying to predict the direction of the move, I seen it many times, the bonds will make a 10-15 ticks ( 15 tick in bonds = $500 per contract) move during the last 15 minutes as large traders position themselves ahead of months close.

Continue reading “30 Yr Bond Futures & Crude Oil Futures 5.29.2015”

Trading Psychology from a Futures Broker 5.14.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday May 14, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

Today I must share an observation that may help many of you.

So many times as a broker I see clients who know how to make money…I see it in the daily statements, good winning %, consistent profits UNTIL….something happens. Either the client who is normally a day-trader decides to carry his/hers losing position and make it into a swing trade…..OR the trader is down and refuses to accept the fact it may be a losing day and decides to double down and get more aggressive because if this trade is a winner he will have another winning day….the examples go on and no I am not referring to anyone specific although many of you probably think I am talking about them.

Continue reading “Trading Psychology from a Futures Broker 5.14.2015”

FOMC Results & Futures Levels 4.30.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday April 30, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

FOMC came and gone, Fed did not supply any new clues about timing for future rate increase and market volatility was a bit less than other FOMC meetings.

Many times the real reaction comes over night, the next trading day. Be ready for a possible volatile day tomorrow. The futures trading business is not an easy one, one moment of losing control, one moment of not following your rules can be very costly.

Make sure that every morning / start of trading day you are ready to trade. If you are sick, if your kids are home and taking your attention, master the level of maturity to tell yourself: “I should not be trading today”.

Continue reading “FOMC Results & Futures Levels 4.30.2015”

Futures Market Recap & Futures Levels 4.21.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday April 21, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

Big turn around on equities between Friday and today thanks to China news….will be interesting to see what tomorrow will bring…..

From our friends at TradeTheNews.com weekly summary below, followed by mid session update from today, to provide you with a bit more of the fundamentals moving the markets:

” The Shanghai Composite rose higher for the sixth straight week, tacking on another 6%, making for impressive rally of over 30% for the year. Investors have been undeterred by the apparent slowdown in the economy, as showcased by Q1 GDP and the bulk of data-points for the month of March. First quarter GDP growth of 7% was right in line with consensus and matched the overall 2015 target but still marked a 6-year low. Retail sales grew just 10.2% y/y, the slowest since February 2006 and missing forecasts. Industrial output grew 5.6%, the slowest since November 2008 and well below estimates at 7%e. Fixed-asset investment grew at a 14-year low of 13.5%.

Continue reading “Futures Market Recap & Futures Levels 4.21.2015”

Day Trading Futures 101 & Futures Levels 4.15.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday April 15, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Hello Traders,

Day Trading 101: Tight Stops? Wide Stops? Which one should I Use?

Today I decided to touch more on an educational feature rather than provide a certain market outlook.

Many of my clients and blog readers know that when it comes to short term trading I am a fan of adjusting your trading technique/ game plan according to your assessment of the type of trading day that is developing in front of you. Continue reading “Day Trading Futures 101 & Futures Levels 4.15.2015”

Crude Oil Futures & Economic Reports 3.25.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday March 25, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

One of my favorite markets for day trading is crude oil. Actually not this month… it has taken way too much money out of my system… but normally it is. I like the fast action and some of the set ups both fear and greed present in this market.

Tomorrow is API (American Petroleum Institute) report that normally comes out Wednesday at 9:30 CDT (on short weeks, holidays etc. , this report will be pushed to Thursday at 10 AM CDT). I tell my clients that this report is way too volatile and I like to be out 5 minutes before and not resume trading 5 minutes until after the report comes out. This report by itself deserves a writing but on short, the report provides information on how our stock pile is doing ( = supply/demand) and the market will move based on the numbers versus what was expected. Again as a day trader, your main job is to know about this report, when it comes out and in my opinion stay out of the market during this time.

Observe crude oil futures tomorrow during the time of report to get a feel.

If you never traded crude oil futures before, observe for a bit and try doing so in demo mode first.

I wrote an article about this topic, you can access at:

https://www.cannontrading.com/community/newsletter/Day-Trading-Commodities-with-Crude-Oil-Futures#one

Continue reading “Crude Oil Futures & Economic Reports 3.25.2015”

Futures Trading Levels & Economic Reports 2.26.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday February 26, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

I thought the following information is very interesting and might actually be useful for traders mostly for swing and day-trading. The chart/link below will provide you with the % correlation between different markets for the past 180 days!
MRCI's Inter-Market Correlations(prev 180 trading days) - Mar 12, 2015
MRCI’s Inter-Market Correlations(prev 180 trading days) – Mar 12, 2015

http://www.mrci.com/special/correl.htm

Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels & Economic Reports 2.26.2015”

Futures Day Trading Pointers & Futures Levels 2.11.2015

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday February 10, 2015

Hello Traders,

For 2015 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Few pointers for you day-traders out there. I am sure you have heard some from different resources but never hurts to read and absorb this again:

  1. Be patient
  2. Limit the number of hours you trade
  3. Know your DAILY risk before the day begins and this will dictate
  4. the number of contracts you trade
  5. Choose markets with high liquidity. Try to follow more than one market for diversification.
  6.   Know what reports come out every day and their impact on the markets
  7.   Understand that even the best methods will have losing days
  8.   Learn to accept loses
  9.   use RISK CAPITAL only
  10.   Don’t try to trade and do other things at the same time….
  11.   Educate yourself
  12.   Keep a trading journal
  13.   Evolve, be flexible.

Continue reading “Futures Day Trading Pointers & Futures Levels 2.11.2015”