The Week Ahead: Key Market Moves, May Wheat Futures, & Futures Trading Insights

Cannon Weekly Newsletter #1228

May Wheat Futures

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In this issue:

  • StoneX/E-Futures Platform Updates
  •  The Week Ahead – NFP, GOOG and AMZN, Fed Speeches, Full Week!
  • Futures 102 – FREE Trading Course – Option Greeks
  • Hot Market of the Week – May Wheat
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week
To our clients whose accounts are with StoneX and currently using the E-Futures Platform:

  • The new StoneX Futures platform is up and running.

 

  • Your existing LIVE user name and password will be accepted.

 

  • Your existing exchange data subscriptions will migrate to the new platform.
  • To login to the new trading interface please login here:

https://m.cqg.com/stonexfutures

  • If you are a current client with funds in your account, you can login to the live platform and have access to simulated account so you can practice. Simply login, click on the account number ( top right corner) and select the Demo/Sim account in yellow!
  • If you are not a client and like a demo ( and did not have a demo of StoneX Futures yet) CLICK HERE
  • Please note that the E-Futures platform will be set to READ-ONLY and will no longer support trade execution after January 31st.
Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

A full trading week ahead Non-Farm Payrolls Friday, the most impactful of the data reports the FED considers, 12 Fed Speakers, 2 more Trillion dollar market cap babies report earnings, 518 corporate earnings reports total as the meat of the season continues with GOOG, AMZN, and a cast of others listed below including other High Market cap companies reporting past earnings and futures guidance.

Economic releases are relatively light this week with one exception: Non-Farm Payrolls pre-market Friday. The Fed Speakers will return to the podium for the foreseeable future as we don’t have another Fed rate decision until late March.

 

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. lite earnings
  • Tue. GOOGLE, Merck, Pepsi, Advanced Micro Devices, Pfizer
  • Wed. Disney, Qualcomm, ARM, Boston Scientific
  • Thu.  AMAZON, Eil Lilly, Phillip Morris, Honeywell
  • Fri. CBOE Global Markets

 

 

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon. Bostic 11:30 AM CST, Musalem 5:30 PM CST
  • Tues. Bostic 10am CST, Daly 1 PM CST
  • Wed. Barkin 8 am CST, Goolsbee 12:00 PM CST, Bowman 2:00 PM, Jefferson 6:30 PM CST
  • Thu. Waller 11:30 CST, Daly 2:30 CST
  • Fri. Bowman, 7:25 am CST, Kugler 11:00 am CST

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. ISM Manufacturing, Construction Spending
  • Tues. Redbook, JOLTS,
  • Wed. ISM Svcs
  • Thur. Initial Jobless Claims,
  • Fri. Non-Farm Payrolls, Michigan Consumer Sentiment
S

Futures 102: Option Greeks

Course Overview

Option prices are driven by multiple variables including changes in the underlying price, interest rates, passage of time, and changes in the expected volatility in the market. Collectively, these are called “the Greeks” because the symbols used to represent the sensitivities of these complex derivatives come from calculus and use the Greek Alphabet. Gain a basic understanding of how “the Greeks” are integral to managing a portfolio of options.

Start Course.

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    • Hot Market of the Week

    Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

    FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

    May Wheat

    May wheat futures satisfied its first upside PriceCount objective to $5.82 and reacting with a corrective trade. At this point, IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the second count would project a possible run to the $5.98 area.

     

    PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

ES NZL

PRODUCT

Mini SP500

 

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

 

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$36,000

 

COST

USD 199 / monthly

 

Get Started

 

Learn More

NET, LIVE results below!

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

Daily Levels for February 3rd, 2025

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  • Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Wheat Futures in the US: A Comprehensive Overview

Learn more about trading wheat futures with Cannon Trading Company here.

Wheat futures are an essential aspect of the American agricultural landscape, serving as a vital risk management tool for farmers, traders, and consumers alike. Understanding wheat futures requires an exploration of the growing areas in the United States, futures contract sizes, exchanges where wheat futures are traded, as well as the seasons for planting and harvesting. Additionally, weather patterns, including droughts, significantly impact wheat production and prices. Furthermore, there are various types of wheat grown in the US, such as winter wheat and spring wheat, each with its unique characteristics and uses.

Growing Areas in the United States

The United States is one of the largest producers of wheat in the world, with numerous regions contributing significantly to its cultivation. The primary wheat-growing areas include the Great Plains region, commonly known as the Wheat Belt. This vast expanse encompasses states like Kansas, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Oklahoma. The region’s fertile soils, semi-arid climate, and adequate rainfall provide optimal conditions for wheat cultivation.

Other significant wheat-producing states include Montana, Texas, Colorado, Washington, and Idaho. Each state has distinct climatic and soil conditions that influence the type of wheat grown and its overall yield.

Futures Contract Sizes

Wheat futures contracts are standardized agreements that allow traders to buy or sell a specified quantity of wheat at a predetermined price and delivery date in the future. In the US, wheat futures contracts generally represent 5,000 bushels of wheat. This standardized contract size provides liquidity to the market and enables efficient trading and hedging against price fluctuations.

Exchanges where Futures are Traded

The primary exchange for trading wheat futures in the US is the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), which is part of the CME Group. The CBOT, with its long-standing history, provides a robust platform for wheat futures trading, attracting a diverse range of participants, including farmers, millers, and speculators.

Seasons for Planting and Harvesting

Wheat cultivation in the US follows seasonal patterns, with planting and harvesting occurring at specific times of the year. The exact timing varies based on the type of wheat and regional climate conditions.

  1. Winter Wheat: Winter wheat, which is the most widely grown type in the US, is typically planted in the fall, from September to November. The young wheat plants go through a period of dormancy during the winter months and resume growth in the spring. Harvesting takes place in late spring to early summer, between May and July, depending on the region.
  2. Spring Wheat: As the name suggests, spring wheat is planted in the spring, from March to April, once the soil temperatures have warmed sufficiently. This type of wheat requires a shorter growing season and is typically harvested in late summer, between August and September.

The planting and harvesting schedules are carefully planned to optimize the use of resources and align with the climatic conditions that best support each type of wheat.

Weather Patterns and Droughts

Weather patterns have a substantial impact on wheat production and prices. Wheat is a hardy crop, but its yield is greatly influenced by factors such as temperature, rainfall, and soil moisture.

Excessive rainfall during the growing season can lead to waterlogged fields and increase the risk of diseases, potentially reducing the crop’s quality and yield. On the other hand, drought conditions can severely affect wheat production. Insufficient moisture during critical growth stages can cause stunted growth and poor kernel development, resulting in lower yields and diminished grain quality.

Droughts, in particular, pose a significant risk to wheat farmers and can lead to reduced harvests, higher wheat futures prices, and increased volatility in the market.

Types of Wheat

In the US, various types of wheat are grown, each with its distinct characteristics and uses. Some of the major types include:

  1. Hard Red Winter Wheat: This is the most widely grown type in the Wheat Belt. It is known for its high protein content, making it suitable for bread production.
  2. Soft Red Winter Wheat: Primarily cultivated in states like Ohio, Illinois, and Indiana, this type has lower protein content and is commonly used for pastries, cakes, and cookies.
  3. Hard Red Spring Wheat: Grown in northern states like North Dakota and Montana, this wheat has high protein content and is often used for bread and other baked goods.
  4. Soft White Wheat: Cultivated mainly in the Pacific Northwest, this wheat is used for products like cakes, pastries, and crackers.

Wheat futures in the US are a critical component of the agricultural industry, allowing farmers and traders to manage price risk and ensure stability in the wheat supply chain. Understanding the growing areas, contract sizes, trading exchanges, planting, and harvesting seasons is vital for participants in the wheat futures market. Furthermore, the impact of weather patterns, particularly droughts, cannot be overstated, as they significantly influence wheat production and prices. With various types of wheat cultivated in the US, each with its unique characteristics, wheat futures continue to play a pivotal role in ensuring a stable and resilient wheat market in the United States.

Ready to start trading futures? Call 1(800)454-9572 and speak to one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and start your futures trading journey at Cannon Trading Company today.

DisclaimerTrading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

7 things to know before trading Wheat Futures 4.19.2018

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Voted #1 Blog and #1 Brokerage Services on  TraderPlanet   for 2016!!

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Author: Joseph Easton, Senior Broker at Cannon Trading

Dear Traders,

  1. The Basics:

There are two types of Wheat most commonly traded…

“Chicago Soft Red Winter (SRW) and KC Hard Red Winter (HRW) are the global industry standards for wheat. Chicago SRW Wheat is the most liquid Wheat futures contract in the world, trading the equivalent of more than 15 million tons each day in 2013-9 ½ times more than the largest European contract. Producers, processors, millers and exporters continue to look to Chicago SRW and KC HRW Wheat for the liquidity that is critical for any risk management solution.

Liquidity means that you can execute positions quickly, effectively and efficiently. Liquidity offers more flexibility in structuring hedging strategies to meet your timing and market needs. And when the world is facing new challenges in Wheat risk management, liquidity provides the security you need in order to respond with confidence” – CME Group

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Continue reading “7 things to know before trading Wheat Futures 4.19.2018”

7 Things to Know Before you Start Trading Wheat Futures

Author: Joseph Easton, Senior Broker at Cannon Trading

  1. The Basics:

There are two types of Wheat most commonly traded…

”Chicago Soft Red Winter (SRW) and KC Hard Red Winter (HRW) are the global industry standards for wheat. Chicago SRW Wheat is the most liquid Wheat futures contract in the world, trading the equivalent of more than 15 million tons each day in 2013–9 ½ times more than the largest European contract. Producers, processors, millers and exporters continue to look to Chicago SRW and KC HRW Wheat for the liquidity that is critical for any risk management solution.

Liquidity means that you can execute positions quickly, effectively and efficiently. Liquidity offers more flexibility in structuring hedging strategies to meet your timing and market needs. And when the world is facing new challenges in Wheat risk management, liquidity provides the security you need in order to respond with confidence” – CME Group

  • Types of  Wheat Futures: Chicago SRW Wheat Futures  and KC HRW Wheat Futures
  • Contract specifications: One contract (5,000 bushels) of deliverable (~ 136 Metric Tons)
  • Common Symbol:  CME Globex: ZW  and CME Globex: KE

Continue reading “7 Things to Know Before you Start Trading Wheat Futures”