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New Quarter!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

A Fresh Quarter! Independence Day, BBB, Non-Farm Payrolls a day early.

quarter

Day one of Quarter number 3 in the U.S. is behind us. What trends continue and which ones appear to be reversing? Below is a list of contracts whose trends continued for at least the past 2 weeks.

Markets heading Lower, still! Corn, Hogs, Feeder and Live Cattle, Natural Gas, U.S. Dollar, Sugar, Coffee, Soymeal.

Markets going Sideways, still! Crude Oil, Heating Oil, Unleaded Gasoline, Gold, Silver, Canadian Dollar.

Markets going Higher, still! S&P, Dow 30, Nasdaq 100, U.S 30yr Bonds, 10yr Notes, Palladium, Platinum, Copper, Euro, Assie $, B. Pound, S. Franc

Markets Reversing, Rough Rice lower, Oats higher.

This week we have abbreviated trading sessions on both Thursday and Friday. Subdued Volatility, for the moment, conflicts and trade deals have relaxed for the near term.

Although Friday is the 4th of July holiday you may be as surprised as we were when we saw the trading schedule for this upcoming week. In addition to market hour changes we also have the All-important Non-Farm Payrolls report, ordinarily released on the first Friday of the month, the release will occur on Thursday this month @ 7:30 am CDT. If you are an index trader, the markets will have abbreviated hours on Both Thursday and Friday.

Regular hours on Thursday for all other futures contracts with many of the AG’s closed until Monday morning; Metals, Energies, Interest Rates, Currencies and indices will have early closings on the 4th itself.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data: ADP Employment Change, EIA Crude oil stocks, New Home Sales

FED Quiet the rest of the week

Earnings: Unifirst Corporation

Tariff news: Anything goes!

FND/LTD:

Below are the contracts which are entering First Notice or Last Trading Day for July.

Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day

Sept. 10 Year Treasury Notes

The September 10 year treasury notes completed a second upside PriceCount objective this spring and after a correction lower, spent time consolidating with a sideways trade. IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a possible run to the 115^27 area.

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 2nd, 2025

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