CPI, PPI, Crude Oil, Treasury Bonds, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 16th, 2025

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CPI Gone, PPI & Beige Book Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

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  C.P.I. has come and gone

In what used to create excess volatility, the C.P.I. posted it’s numbers pre stock market opening and was met by futures market equity participants with little enthusiasm. PPI, which has always followed a day later, will be released tomorrow .

The Mini S&P had a 15 point swing in less then twenty minutes and proceeded to trade lower, slowly throughout the live session. The Mini-Nasdaq popped with a 71 point range as it too, slowly marched with little enthusiasm lower the rest of the day.

It can be said that the only thing moving the markets these days in a consistent direction has been  a focus on tariffs. Not monetary policy, not fiscal policy, as more data is released, the negative cloud over the markets had been inflation and the effects tariffs would have on inflation. The economic data is just not materializing as Tariff hawks would have been inclined to bet the farm on.

Today, major earnings were reported in the first tranche of earnings reports for Q2 from the banks   JPM, Wells Fargo, Blackrock, Citi, B of NY, State Street. Tomorrow, we continue with more large money center banks namely PNC, B of A, J & J, Gold Sachs, Morgan Stanely in addition to Alcoa, a market measure of industrial demand.

 Tomorrow: 

Econ Data:  PPI, Capacity Utilization, Industrial Production, EIA Crude Stocks, Beige book

       FED  8:15am CT Hammack, 9 am Barr, 5:30 pm Willams

Earnings: PNC, B of A, J & J, Gold Sachs, M. Stanely, Alcoa

Tariff news:  Anything goes!

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September Lumber

September lumber satisfied its second upside PriceCount objective and is correcting lower. From here, IF the chart can sustain further strength we have the ‘liberation day’ gap to aim for followed by the third count to the 714 area which would be consistent with a challenge of the contract high. The low percentage fourth count – not shown here – comes in at 836.

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Daily Levels for July 16th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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