FOMC Day Strategy, NEW WEBINAR THURSDAY, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Can’t Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on December 10th, 2025

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FOMC Day Strategy Consideration

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4175.67 4207.43 4229.57 4261.33 4683.47

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

56.87 59.05 60.17 62.36 63.48

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

57.51 57.95 58.56 59.00 59.61

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

114 21/32 114 30/32 115 10/32 115 19/32 115 31/32

FOMC Day Strategy Consideration

FOMC Tomorrow

FOMC tomorrow and the markets are expecting .25 BPS cut in rates, however, traders will pay close attention to the verbiage in an attempt to predict future moves in 2026 based on the presser with Jerome Powell 30 minutes after the data release.

As of now, markets see opportunities for additional reductions in the three meetings before the June 2026 meeting and will that change as a result of the presser?

The following are suggestions on trading during FOMC days:

·      Reduce trading size

·      Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade

·      Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini–SP at 6825.00 with a stop at 6815.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 6810.00 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example (consider current volatility along with support and resistance levels).

·      Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement

·      Expect to see some “vacuum” (low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.

·      Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.

·      Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues

·      Be patient and be disciplined

·      If in doubt, stay out!!

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Daily Levels for Dec. 10th, 2025

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Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Happy Thanksgiving, Traders! Possible market moves, Levels, Reports; Your Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures during the Thanksgiving Weekend, 2025

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Thanksgiving Modified Trading Hours

thanksgiving

From all of us at Cannon Trading, we wish you and your families a very Happy Thanksgiving filled with good food, great company, and well-deserved time away from the screens.

We are truly grateful that you continue to trust Cannon Trading with your futures and commodities trading. Whether you’ve been with us for decades or just opened your account this year, your partnership means the world to us and drives us to keep delivering the fastest executions, tightest margins, and the most responsive support in the industry.

As we head into the final stretch of 2025, the futures markets remain full of opportunity ( as well as risks!): record moves in metals, historic volatility in energies, and renewed momentum across the grain and financial complexes. We look forward to standing beside you through every tick, every rollover, and every winning (or learning) trade in the year ahead.

Our trade desk and 24-hour support lines remain available throughout the holiday period should you need anything.

Thank you again for making Cannon Trading part of your trading journey. Here’s to a safe, relaxing Thanksgiving and to crushing the charts together when we’re all back at it!

Wishing you full bellies and fuller accounts,

The Entire Team at Cannon Trading

1-800-454-9572 | support@cannontrading.com

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Some interesting data on the different future markets Year to Date! See the full images below HERE

Keep in mind that while Friday is a short trading week, in past years we saw some large moves on variety of markets on the Friday following Thanksgiving!

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In observance of the Thanksgiving Holiday, the market hours below will be in effect.

Please insure your accounts are fully margined by the early close for both the Thursday and Friday sessions.

Thursday, November 27th

With the exception of CBOT Grains CME Livestock, all markets will open at their regular times for Thursday, Nov. 27th trading.

  • CME Indices and CBOT Interest Rates will close at 12:00 P.M., Central Time

  • NYMEX Energies and COMEX Metals will close at 1:30 P.M., Central Time

  • CME Currencies will close at 4:00 P.M., Central Time

  • Cryptocurrencies will close at 4:00 P.M., Central Time

  • CBOT Grains, CME Livestock, Dairy, and Lumber will be closed

Friday, November 28th

·       CME Livestock will open at 8:00 A.M., Central Time

·       CBOT Grains will open at 8:30 A.M., Central Time

·       CME Lumber will open at 9:00 A.M., Central Time

______________________________________________________________________

·       CME Indices and Interest Rates will close at 12:15 P.M., Central Time

·       NYMEX Energies and COMEX Metals will close at 1:45 P.M., Central Time

·       CME Currencies will close at 1:45 P.M., Central Time

·       Cryptocurrencies will close at 1:45 P.M., Central Time

·       CBOT Gains, CME Livestock and Lumber will close at 12:05 P.M., Central Time

Questions about platforms? Margins? Options & Spreads trading? Indicators?

✅ Schedule a one on one No Obligation Broker Consultation

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Daily Levels for Nov. 27-28th, 2025

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Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Short Trading Week, January Canola, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on November 25th, 2025

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Short Trading Week Ahead Started with Powerful Moves Across the Board

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Dec (GCZ5)

4039.80 4103.90 4136.70 4200.80 4233.60

Silver (SI)

— Dec (SIZ5)

49.43 50.63 51.24 52.44 53.05

Crude Oil (CL)

— Dec (CLZ5)

56.84 57.91 58.48 59.55 60.12

 Dec. Bonds (ZB)

— Dec (ZBZ5)

116 29/32 117 10/32 117 17/32 117 30/32 118 5/32

trading

General Trading:

Investors are heading into the shortened Thanksgiving trading week still debating the odds of an interest-rate cut.  On Monday, Christopher Waller joined another influential policymaker, John Williams, in say he’s advocating an interest-rate cut in December. Investors put the chances of a rate cut at the Fed’s upcoming Dec. 9-10 policy meeting at about 75%, according to the CME FedWatch tool.  Fed officials appear deeply divided over whether another reduction will be appropriate following cuts in September and October.

As we head toward the end of another calendar year, commodities futures prices across nearly every asset class have experienced periods of price volatility to extreme highs – like stock indexes, gold, silver, Bitcoin, coffee, cocoa, cattle – and lows – like grains, natural gas and sugar. Many of these included all-time high/low prices. For these to have occurred within a single year are the likes of which we’ve never scene. Don’t be surprised to see outsize volatility remain in the futures markets into 2026.

There’s a growing thinking that in geopolitics, we’re seeing a quickening trend toward deglobalization where global institutions are shifting away from each other and protectionist policies – like tariffs and the consolidation of supply chains – are accelerating. As well, the risk of a major geopolitical conflict is increasing. Commodity futures will continue to be the vehicle to trade that volatility – in all probability for many months to come.

Livestock:

Several front and deferred month Live Cattle and Feeder Cattle futures closed limit down on today following news over the weekend that Tyson Foods, the largest meat company in the U.S., will be closing a large beef processing plant in Nebraska and reducing production at a Texas plant.

Equity Indexes:

Stock index futures stuck to its risk-on rally on Friday with strong follow-through today to start the shortened Thanksgiving trading week. The Dec. E-mini Nasdaq was up over 2.5%, its biggest daily jump since May. The E-mini S&P 500 advanced more than 1.5% and the E-mini Dow Jones put on nearly 0.5%.

Cryptocurrency:

Dec. Bitcoin futures also rose as it looked to bust out of a month-long slump. It was last seen hovering above $89,000 after falling near $80,000 late last week.

Questions about platforms? Margins? Options & Spreads trading? Indicators?

✅ Schedule a one on one No Obligation Broker Consultation

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January Canola

January Canola satisfied its second upside PriceCount objective and corrected lower. At this point, IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a possible run to the 682 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Nov. 25th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

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Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Volatility: What to do when it strikes your markets, January Natural Gas, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important, Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on November 21st, 2025

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What is the first step to take when volatility explodes?

by Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Dec (GCZ5)

3997.30 4036.20 4072.90 4111.80 4148.50

Silver (SI)

— Dec (SIZ5)

48.93 49.58 50.58 51.23 52.22

Crude Oil (CL)

— Dec (CLZ5)

57.63 58.17 59.14 59.68 60.65

 Dec. Bonds (ZB)

— Dec (ZBZ5)

115 26/32 116 13/32 116 25/32 117 12/32 117 24/32
volatility

With recent volatility sweeping through markets like gold, silver, the E-mini Nasdaq, and the E-mini S&P 500, one of the most effective ways traders can adapt is by reducing position size. In fast-moving conditions, smaller size allows for wider stops and more flexible targets—critical tools for managing risk and staying in the game.

For example, if you typically trade 5 lots, consider scaling down to 2 and giving your trades more breathing room. If you’re trading 1 lot of the ES, switching to 4 lots of the Micro E-mini (MES) can offer similar exposure with more granular control.

With most major futures contracts now offering liquid micro versions, traders have more tools than ever to stay nimble and protect capital when volatility spikes.

✅ Schedule a one on one No Obligation Broker Consultation

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January Natural Gas

January natural gas completed its first upside PriceCount objective and corrected. Now, the chart is challenging its recent high where a sustained breakout would project a possible run to the second count in the 5.07 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Nov. 21st, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Zero-DTE Options: Pros v. Cons, January Lumber, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important, Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on November 18th, 2025

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Zero-DTE Options

by Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Dec (GCZ5)

3950.57 3995.13 4051.37 4095.93 4152.17

Silver (SI)

— Dec (SIZ5)

48.38 49.17 50.14 50.94 51.91

Crude Oil (CL)

— Dec (CLZ5)

58.65 58.18 59.74 60.27 60.83

 Dec. Bonds (ZB)

— Dec (ZBZ5)

116 116 11/32 116 22/32 117 1/32 117 12/32

zero-dte

Zero-DTE Options: Leveraging CME Liquidity in Volatile Markets

Recent volatility and sharp intraday swings in stock index futures and metals have created unique opportunities for active traders – possibly as an alternative for using futures with a stop loss. One increasingly popular tool for navigating these conditions is Zero-DTE (Zero Days to Expiration) options, available on CME Group’s deep and liquid markets.

What Are Zero-DTE Options?

Zero-DTE options are contracts that expire on the same day they are traded. CME Group offers same-day expiring options on major benchmarks like E-mini S\&P 500, Nasdaq-100, and key metals futures. These instruments allow traders to capitalize on short-term price action while avoiding overnight risk.

Advantages of Using CME Zero-DTE Options

  • Access to Benchmark Liquidity: CME Group provides unmatched liquidity in index and metals options, ensuring efficient execution even during volatile sessions.
  • Defined Risk Profiles for LONG options: LONG Options allow traders to manage exposure with clear maximum loss, unlike outright futures positions.
  • Strategic Flexibility: Ideal for intraday hedging, directional plays, or advanced strategies like spreads and iron condors.
  • Capital Efficiency: Lower upfront cost compared to futures, with margin benefits when combined with CME futures positions.

Key Considerations

  • Rapid Time Decay: With only hours to expiration, options lose value quickly if the market doesn’t move as anticipated.
  • Gamma Sensitivity: Price changes in the underlying can lead to significant swings in option value.
  • Execution Discipline: Liquidity is strong, but spreads can widen near expiration—precision matters.
  • Risk Management: Fast-moving markets require a clear plan and strict controls.

Consult with a Broker

Zero-DTE options on CME Group products can be powerful tools for active traders, but they require knowledge and discipline. Our experienced brokers can help you evaluate strategies, manage risk, and take full advantage of CME’s liquidity and product depth. Contact us today to learn more.

✅ Schedule a one on one No Obligation Broker Consultation

January Lumber

January Lumber is completing the third downside PriceCount objective. It would be normal to get a near term reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade, at least. At this point, IF the chart can sustain another leg down, we are left with the low percentage fourth count to aim for in the 454 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Nov. 18th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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NFP? The Week Ahead, January Heating Oil, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures the Week of November 17th, 2025

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1267

  • The Week Ahead – NFP? FOMC minutes , 14 Fed Speakers, NVIDIA reports.
  • Futures 201 – Utilizing Options on Futures Webinar Recording!
  • Hot Market of the Week – January Heating Oil
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Gold Day Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Dec (GCZ5)

3928.07 4006.03 4110.57 4188.53 4293.07

Silver (SI)

— Dec (SIZ5)

47.73 49.12 51.25 52.64 54.76

Crude Oil (CL)

— Dec (CLZ5)

57.86 58.87 59.67 60.68 61.68

 Dec. Bonds (ZB)

— Dec (ZBZ5)

115 19/32 116 2/32 116 28/32 117 11/32 118 5/32

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

NFP? From September dropping next week. FOMC minutes, 14 Fed Speakers, NVIDIA reports.

Due to the recent government shutdown (ending November 12, 2025), many standard monthly reports (e.g., jobs, CPI, retail sales) for October and possibly November have been delayed. Agencies like the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), and Census Bureau are still finalizing revised schedules, with updates expected imminently. As of November 14, only a limited number of reports are confirmed for next week. Delayed data may be released in batches, potentially including October figures, but exact timing remains fluid.

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As for earnings reports?  Next week we will see the numbers over 200 stocks.

What Market has been range bound and now breaking out? The longer the range trade the harder and faster the breakout becomes. Watch the Nat Gas as a breakout to the upside has been looming and ready to rock.

 Expect continued volatility next week as the markets have not been able to receive Gov’t data due to the ongoing, politician-imposed shutdown. Don’t be fooled, this is about politics NOT Policy.

We’ll see you next week! Please enjoy a safe and memorable weekend.

 Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue. Home Depot, Medtronic
  • Wed.  NVIDIA, TJX Palo Alto Networks, JDeere, Lowe’s, Target
  • Thu. Ross
  • Fri.   Quiet

FED SPEECHES: (all times CDT)

  • Mon.  Williams, 8am, Jefferson 8:30 am, Kashkari 12pm, Waller 2:35 pm, Logan 6:35 pm
  • Tues.  Barr 9:30am
  • Wed.   Williams  1pm , FOMC MINUTES 1PM
  • Thu. Hammack 7:45 am, Cook 10am, Goolsbee 12:40
  • Fri. Jefferson 77:45am, Logan 8am

Economic Data week:

  • Please see calendar below of additional report dates, be mindful of the mid-week NonFarm Payrolls !
  • EIA is continuing normal operations and will report Crude oil and Nat Gas numbers.

RECORDED WEBINAR

Unlocking the Power of Options on Futures: A Smarter Way to Trade

WATCH THE RECORDED VIDEO NOW

Description

Ready to take your retail trading strategy to the next level? Join CME Group’s Ryan Gorman for a fast-paced, high-impact webinar that demystifies Options on Futures—a dynamic tool that blends the leverage of futures with the defined risk of options.

In this session, you’ll discover WATCH THE RECORDED VIDEO NOW:

• How options on futures are priced and settled

• Core strategies like buying calls/puts for speculation

• Income-generating tactics like covered calls

• Ways to hedge your portfolio and express market views with precision

Whether you’re trading commodities, indices, or currencies, this webinar will equip you with actionable insights to manage risk and enhance your trading edge.

WATCH THE RECORDED VIDEO NOW

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

January Heating Oil

January heating oil is challenging the June spike reversal high. At this point, IF the chart can break out with new sustained highs, the third upside PriceCount objective would project a possible run to the 2.63 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

RP GC Trading System

Markets Traded:   Gold

System Type: Day Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Not Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $23,000

Developer Fee per contract: $50 Monthly Subscription

Get Started

Learn More & Detailed Results

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Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

System Trades Disclosure:

System Description

“System Description” is based upon information obtained from specific system marketing documents, system developers and/or system vendors themselves. While the information is believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its completeness or accuracy.

Actual Monthly Performance

The table and charts represent the monthly/quarterly/annual summation of actual trades based on system-specified contract(s) executed through Striker Securities, Inc. using the referenced trading system or system vendor for the stated time period. Commissions and monthly vendor fees are deducted from the tabulation. Results are based on 1 contract.

If a client trades 2 contracts his gain or loss is twice as displayed (and so on). This table is presented for information purposes only and is not a solicitation for the referenced system or vendor. The purpose of this information is for clients to compare their brokerage statements to what is displayed on Striker’s site. Striker as a matter of policy has no ownership with the referenced system or vendor or any other trading system or vendor. Past trade history may not be indicative of future results.

The results indicated here may or may not be typical of the performance of this system and, ALTHOUGH WE BELIEVE THIS INFORMATION TO BE ACCURATE, CANNON TRADING COMPANY MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE. This is not the only trading system that Striker executes for its clients.

Potential traders should carefully investigate, evaluate and compare trading systems before investing capital. Some or all trading systems may involve an inappropriate level of risk for potential traders. It is the nature of commodity trading that where there is the opportunity for profit, there is also the risk of loss. In opening an account through CANNON TRADING COMPANY, Customer acknowledges and agrees that he/she will rely solely upon the information that CANNON TRADING COMPANYprovides to you. Thus, all prior third-party materials provided are superseded by the information and disclosures provided by CANNON TRADING COMPANY.

Important Information About this Trading System Analysis

Statistics, tables, charts and other information on trading system monthly performance are based on actual trading unless otherwise specified. Actual dollar and percentage gains/losses experienced by investors would depend on many factors not accounted for in these statistics, including, but not limited to, starting account balances, market behavior, developer fees, incidence of split fills and other variations in order execution, and the duration and extent of individual investor participation in the specified system.

While the information and statistics given are believed to be complete and accurate we cannot guarantee their completeness or accuracy as they results are key punched and subject to human error. Performance information is not the performance of a single account, but a compilation of several accounts over time, and is based on the physical trading ticket.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED FOR EDUCATIONAL/ INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND USED BY CURRENT CLIENTS TO AUDIT THEIR STATEMENTS TO STRIKER SITE. These results are not indicative of, and have no bearing on, any individual results that may be attained by the trading system in the future.

This trading system, like any other, may involve an inappropriate level of risk for prospective investors. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. Prior to purchasing or leasing a trading system from this or any other system vendor or investing in a trading system with a registered commodity trading representative, investors need to carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for them in light of their own specific financial condition.

In some cases, futures accounts are subject to substantial charges for commission, management, incentive or advisory fees.

It may be necessary for accounts subject to these charges to make substantial trading profits to avoid depletion or exhaustion of their assets. In addition, one should carefully study the accompanying prospectus, account forms, disclosure documents and/or risk disclosure statements required by the CFTC or NFA, which are provided directly by the system vendor and/or CTA’s.

The information contained in this report is provided with the objective of “standardizing” trading systems measurements, and it is intended for educational /informational purposes only. All information is offered with the understanding that an investor considering purchasing or leasing a system must carry out his/her own research and due diligence in deciding whether to purchase or lease any trading system noted within or without this report.

This report does not constitute a solicitation to purchase or invest in any trading system which may be mentioned herein. CANNON TRADING COMPANY AND STRIKER SECURITES, INC. MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY OTHER TRADING SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE. THIS IS NOT A SOLICITATION TO PURCHASE OR SUBSCRIBE TO ANY TRADING SYSTEM.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

Transactions in securities futures, commodity and index futures and options on futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged”. A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you. You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position. If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position. If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit.

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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End of the Longest Shutdown? PLUS: Metals, Energies, Natural Gas; Nov. 26 Soybeans, Levels; Your 6 Important Can’t-Miss Updates for Futures Trading on November 13th, 2025

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The House of Representatives will vote on reopening the Federal Government this evening

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Dec (GCZ5)

4060.73 4131.17 4174.83 4245.27 4288.93

Silver (SI)

— Dec (SIZ5)

49.69 51.48 52.55 54.35 55.42

Crude Oil (CL)

— Dec (CLZ5)

56.51 57.47 59.27 60.23 62.03

 Dec. Bonds (ZB)

— Dec (ZBZ5)

116 27/32 117 6/32 117 17/32 117 28/32 118 7/32

shutdown

General:

Day 42 of the U.S Government shutdown, the longest on record. The House of Representatives will vote on reopening the federal government this evening. On Monday, the Senate broke through weeks of gridlock and passed the legislation to reopen the government in a 60-40 vote.

Metals:

Silver futures prices shot up over 5% today and is poised to close at a new record high,

exceeding the all-time high reached last month, which broke a 45-year-old price record. Silver futures have gained more than 11% so far this week on two of its biggest daily gains of 2025.  The last time silver prices added at least 10% in a week was last September, when futures were trading around $30.

Adjusted for inflation, silver would need to exceed $200 a troy ounce to top the 1980 peak, set before the Hunt brothers’ gambit went bust and inspired the Eddie Murphy comedy “Trading Places.”

Silver’s 73% rise this year has made the metal one of 2025’s best-performing assets, outpacing gold’s 56% jump above $4,000 an ounce, and the 17% gain in the Nasdaq composite stock index, both of which have also set new all-time highs this mont42

Energies:

Oil prices fell more than $2 a barrel today, weighed down by an OPEC report saying global oil supply will match demand in 2026, marking a further shift from its earlier projections of a supply deficit.

As well today, The Department of Energy’s statistical arm, the Energy Information Administration said in its Short-Term Energy Outlook report today that U.S. oil production is expected to set a larger record this year than previously forecast.

By mid-session, December WTI crude was down ~$2.70, or 4.4%, at $58.34 a barrel, a three-week low and below its 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages.

Notable Natural gas statistics as of yesterday’s close:

Dec. contract hit its 52-week high of $4.565 yesterday. That’s up ~68% from its 52-week low of $2.696 hit Aug. 25, 2025, a ~52% increase. Still off ~70.5% from its record high of $15.378 hit Dec. 13, 2005. Month-to-date it is up 9.92%. Year-to-date it is up 90.00 cents or 24.77%

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Nov. 13th, 2025

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Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Veterans Day, Bloomberg Commodity Index, OPTIONS WEBINAR TOMORROW, Levels; Your 4 Important Can’t-Miss Updates for Trading Futures on November 12th, 2025

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In Honor of Our Veterans

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Dec (GCZ5)

4078.93 4107.27 4131.13 4159.47 4183.33

Silver (SI)

— Dec (SIZ5)

49.80 50.42 50.78 51.40 51.76

Crude Oil (CL)

— Dec (CLZ5)

59.00 59.97 60.62 61.59 62.24

 Dec. Bonds (ZB)

— Dec (ZBZ5)

116 14/32 117 117 9/32 117 27/32 118 4/32

veterans

A Poem for Veterans.

In the hush of November’s eleventh dawn, where poppies bloom in fields of memory’s lawn, we honor the brave, the veterans true, who traded youth for skies of endless blue.

They marched through storms, where futures hung in thread, Bets placed on hope when despair loomed ahead. Like traders charting waves of rise and fall, they hedged against the night, answering the call.

Futures trading, a dance with time’s unseen hand, Where grains and gold whisper across the land. But deeper still, the veterans’ sacred art— Securing tomorrows with valor’s beating heart.

In boardrooms bright or battlefields afar, we owe our trades, our dreams, to those who bore the scar. For every contract sealed, every harvest reaped, is built on freedoms they so fiercely kept.

So, raise a glass to warriors past and near, whose sacrifices make our futures clear. In markets wild or peaceful days, we roam, their legacy endures, forever home.

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Master Options on Futures — Your Edge Starts Here

WEBINAR TOMORROW

Unlocking the Power of Options on Futures: A Smarter Way to Trade

Date & Time:

November 12, 2025

11:30 AM PT

Are you ready to trade smarter, not harder? Join CME Group’s Ryan Gorman for an exclusive, fast‑paced webinar that will show you how to harness the unique advantages of Options on Futures—combining the leverage of futures with the defined risk of options.

In just one session, you’ll learn how to:

  • ✅ Understand how options on futures are priced and settled
  • ✅ Apply core strategies like calls and puts for speculation
  • ✅ Generate income with tactics such as covered calls
  • ✅ Hedge your portfolio and express market views with precision

Whether you’re focused on commodities, indices, or currencies, this webinar delivers actionable insights you can use immediately to sharpen your trading edge.

Seats are limited — reserve your spot today and take the next step toward smarter futures trading.

Register Now – Space is Limited!

Bloomberg Commodity Index

The Bloomberg Commodity Index is a weighted index of commodities from the grains, meats, energy, metals, and soft sectors. The weekly chart is breaking out of its extended range of trade that will provide a base to take aim at its upside PriceCount objectives.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Nov. 12th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Government Shutdown drags on as the longest in US History, missing reports, December Heating Oil, Levels; Your 4 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures the week of November 10th, 2025

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1266

 

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Dec (GCZ5)

3955.23 3983.07 4009.43 4037.27 4063.63

Silver (SI)

— Dec (SIZ5)

47.31 47.78 48.26 48.73 49.21

Crude Oil (CL)

— Dec (CLZ5)

58.72 59.27 59.86 60.41 61.00

 Dec. Bonds (ZB)

— Dec (ZBZ5)

116 16/32 116 25/32 117 4/32 117 13/32 117 24/32

shutdown

WASDE Monday CXL’D due to Government Shutdown 

Without this report, farmers must depend on local elevator bids, private forecasts, and regional university data instead of the usual official numbers. That shift increases market volatility and complicates forward sales, hedging, and crop planning. Traders and risk managers now have to make decisions with incomplete information, which can amplify price swings across commodities like corn, soybeans, and wheat.

Veterans Day Tuesday the 11th

Originally Armistice day following WWI, Veterans Day serves as a reminder of the sacrifices made by those who have served in the military. It is a day for Americans to express gratitude and respect for the bravery and dedication of veterans across the nation. Because of the ongoing government shutdown, numerous key US economic data releases are unavailable and will not be reported during the week of November 10, 2025. Agencies like the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), and the Census Bureau have suspended their operations. Even if the shutdown ends this weekend.

Potentially Delayed Reports (from shutdown-affected agencies):

  • Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Core CPI (November 13): Released by BLS (Department of Labor). This measures inflation and is often delayed during shutdowns.
  • Producer Price Index (PPI) and Core PPI (November 14): Also from BLS. Tracks wholesale inflation; commonly postponed.
  • Retail Sales (November 15): From the Census Bureau (Department of Commerce). Covers consumer spending data.
  • Import and Export Prices (November 15): Jointly from BLS and Census Bureau. Would likely be affected.
  • Business Inventories (potentially November 15): From Census Bureau. Often delayed.

Reports Likely Unaffected:

  • Federal Reserve Beige Book (if scheduled that week): Issued by the Fed, which operates independently and isn’t impacted by shutdowns.
  • Jobless Claims (November 14): From the Department of Labor, but sometimes partially released if essential staff are exempted.
  • Any private-sector reports (e.g., from ADP or ISM) or market data not tied to federal agencies.

As for earnings reports? Next week we will see the numbers over 1200 stocks.

What Market has been range bound and now breaking out? The longer the range trade the harder and faster the breakout becomes. Watch the U.S. Dollar as a breakout to the upside has been looming and ready to rock.

Expect continued volatility next week as the markets have not been able to receive Gov’t data due to the ongoing, politician-imposed shutdown. Don’t be fooled, this is about politics NOT Policy.

We’ll see you next week! Please enjoy a safe and memorable weekend.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue. Quiet
  • Wed. Cisco
  • Thu. Baba, Disney, AMAT, Brookfield
  • Fri.  Quiet

FED SPEECHES: (all times CDT)

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tues. Quiet
  • Wed.  Williams 8:20 am, Paulson 9:00am, Bostic 11:15am
  • Thu. Hammack 11:20am
  • Fri. Schmid 9:05am, Logan 1:30pm, Bostic 2:20pm

Economic Data week:

  • EIA is continuing normal operations and will report Crude oil and Nat Gas numbers. However, due to Veterans Day, Crude will be moved to afternoon Thursday @ 3:30pm CST and Nat gas to Friday Morning @ 9:30am CST.

Trading Challenge! – Simulated Environment, REAL CASH Prizes!

Get ready to put your trading skills to the test! Cannon Trading is proud to be part of the upcoming CME Group Trading Challenge, running November 9–14, 2025, where participants can compete in a risk‑free, simulated futures environment. Each trader starts with a $25,000 virtual account and the chance to trade across a wide range of CME Group products—including equities, energy, metals, FX, interest rates, agriculture, and even cryptocurrency contracts. Along the way, you’ll gain insights from industry veteran Bob Iaccino, access exclusive educational content, and compete for cash prizes of up to $2,500. Enrollment is free, but spots are limited—register today and see how your strategies stack up against fellow traders.

Join the Challenge for Free!

Trading Challenge! – Simulated Environment, REAL CASH Prizes!

Get ready to put your trading skills to the test! Cannon Trading is proud to be part of the upcoming CME Group Trading Challenge, running November 9–14, 2025, where participants can compete in a risk‑free, simulated futures environment.

Each trader starts with a $25,000 virtual account and the chance to trade across a wide range of CME Group products—including equities, energy, metals, FX, interest rates, agriculture, and even cryptocurrency contracts.

Along the way, you’ll gain insights from industry veteran Bob Iaccino, access exclusive educational content, and compete for cash prizes of up to $2,500. Enrollment is free, but spots are limited—register today and see how your strategies stack up against fellow traders.

Join the Challenge for Free!

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

December Heating Oil

December heating oil is challenging its contract highs. At this point, a breakout into new sustained highs would project a possible run in the third upside PriceCount objective to the 2.60 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Abacus Upside ES Trading System

Markets Traded:   Mini SP 500

System Type: Swing Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Not Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $28,000

Developer Fee per contract: $175 Monthly Subscription

 

Get Started

Learn More & Detailed Results

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Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

System Trades Disclosure:

System Description

“System Description” is based upon information obtained from specific system marketing documents, system developers and/or system vendors themselves. While the information is believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its completeness or accuracy.

Actual Monthly Performance

The table and charts represent the monthly/quarterly/annual summation of actual trades based on system-specified contract(s) executed through Striker Securities, Inc. using the referenced trading system or system vendor for the stated time period. Commissions and monthly vendor fees are deducted from the tabulation. Results are based on 1 contract. If a client trades 2 contracts his gain or loss is twice as displayed (and so on).

This table is presented for information purposes only and is not a solicitation for the referenced system or vendor. The purpose of this information is for clients to compare their brokerage statements to what is displayed on Striker’s site. Striker as a matter of policy has no ownership with the referenced system or vendor or any other trading system or vendor.

Past trade history may not be indicative of future results. The results indicated here may or may not be typical of the performance of this system and, ALTHOUGH WE BELIEVE THIS INFORMATION TO BE ACCURATE, CANNON TRADING COMPANY MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE.

This is not the only trading system that Striker executes for its clients. Potential traders should carefully investigate, evaluate and compare trading systems before investing capital. Some or all trading systems may involve an inappropriate level of risk for potential traders. It is the nature of commodity trading that where there is the opportunity for profit, there is also the risk of loss.

In opening an account through CANNON TRADING COMPANY, Customer acknowledges and agrees that he/she will rely solely upon the information that CANNON TRADING COMPANYprovides to you. Thus, all prior third-party materials provided are superseded by the information and disclosures provided by CANNON TRADING COMPANY.

Important Information About this Trading System Analysis

Statistics, tables, charts and other information on trading system monthly performance are based on actual trading unless otherwise specified. Actual dollar and percentage gains/losses experienced by investors would depend on many factors not accounted for in these statistics, including, but not limited to, starting account balances, market behavior, developer fees, incidence of split fills and other variations in order execution, and the duration and extent of individual investor participation in the specified system.

While the information and statistics given are believed to be complete and accurate we cannot guarantee their completeness or accuracy as they results are key punched and subject to human error. Performance information is not the performance of a single account, but a compilation of several accounts over time, and is based on the physical trading ticket. THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED FOR EDUCATIONAL/ INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND USED BY CURRENT CLIENTS TO AUDIT THEIR STATEMENTS TO STRIKER SITE. These results are not indicative of, and have no bearing on, any individual results that may be attained by the trading system in the future.

This trading system, like any other, may involve an inappropriate level of risk for prospective investors. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. Prior to purchasing or leasing a trading system from this or any other system vendor or investing in a trading system with a registered commodity trading representative, investors need to carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for them in light of their own specific financial condition.

In some cases, futures accounts are subject to substantial charges for commission, management, incentive or advisory fees. It may be necessary for accounts subject to these charges to make substantial trading profits to avoid depletion or exhaustion of their assets. In addition, one should carefully study the accompanying prospectus, account forms, disclosure documents and/or risk disclosure statements required by the CFTC or NFA, which are provided directly by the system vendor and/or CTA’s.

The information contained in this report is provided with the objective of “standardizing” trading systems measurements, and it is intended for educational /informational purposes only.

All information is offered with the understanding that an investor considering purchasing or leasing a system must carry out his/her own research and due diligence in deciding whether to purchase or lease any trading system noted within or without this report. This report does not constitute a solicitation to purchase or invest in any trading system which may be mentioned herein.

CANNON TRADING COMPANY AND STRIKER SECURITES, INC. MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY OTHER TRADING SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE. THIS IS NOT A SOLICITATION TO PURCHASE OR SUBSCRIBE TO ANY TRADING SYSTEM.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

Transactions in securities futures, commodity and index futures and options on futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged”. A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you. You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position.

If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position. If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?

Daily Levels for Nov. 10th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Time Average Bands vs. Bollinger Bands, December Natural Gas, NEW WEBINAR NEXT WEEK, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Vital Need-To-Knows For Trading Futures on November 7th, 2025

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Time Average Bands

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Dec (GCZ5)

3941.53 3965.37 3997.03 4020.87 4052.53

Silver (SI)

— Dec (SIZ5)

46.76 47.31 47.96 48.52 49.17

Crude Oil (CL)

— Dec (CLZ5)

57.95 58.76 59.63 60.44 61.31

 Dec. Bonds (ZB)

— Dec (ZBZ5)

115 31/32 116 20/32 117 1/32 117 22/32 118 3/32

Time Average Bands

Shaun Downey – www.cqg.com sign up for a free demo!

bands

Definition

The average range for each bar’s time of day is computed over a user-defined period. For example, on a 30-minute chart, the 12 p.m. bar has its range calculated over the last n days. Then the highest and lowest value of range for that time of day is computed over a much larger sample of bars. The difference between the current range is recorded against the highest and lowest range, and depending on the difference, an exponential moving average is calculated.

This average is given a user-defined minimum and maximum range which in the examples in the chapter are between a three and twenty-one period. The conclusion is that if, range is narrow in relationship to the history of that time of day, the average slows, but if range is large, the average speeds up. Due to the often-large differences in range between consecutive intraday bars the differences in the speed of the average from one bar to the next can be considerable.

Comparison with Adaptive Moving Averages

The performance of the average has similar characteristics to an adaptive moving average in that it will speed up when price trends (especially if range expands for the time of day as well) and slows down in sideways action. The adaptive average will often lose all movement in sideways and move horizontally. In a trend they can behave in contrasting fashion.

Adaptive averages will simply accelerate with a trend whilst the Time Average will do likewise in association with the time of day. This means there will be times when it is more sensitive than the Adaptive and others when it is slower.

The other key difference is that because the Time Average is always looking back to the previous period’s time of day the current bar’s average is already computed and does not move when we look at the current bar. This means there is always a fixed reference point.

Concept of a moving average that adjusted based on the:

  • time of the day
  • range
  • comparison between that range and the long-term average of range to create a dynamic average

However, whilst this is flexible, it does little to help in understanding risk and extremes. Once again in order to try and understand extremes 1,2 and 3 standard deviations are placed around the variable average.

Time Average Bands versus Bollinger Bands

Given that the moving average changes on every bar and looks at the relationship between range as opposed to the close-to-close, the behavior of the standard deviations is significantly different from how a traditional Bollinger Band would perform. The first major difference is that the Time Average Bands normally do not expand in opposite directions in a strong trend. This is because of the differences in analyzing range instead of the close.

This is a far more stable relationship as the differences in range are not as large as the difference between one close and the next. Typically, if the market trends up, this will cause the average to rise and the top bands will expand upwards as well, but the bottom bands will also move higher. The only time that the bands will move in opposite directions is if there is a significant change in range.

If the market then pauses and range contracts, it will take a considerable time for the bands to come back together. The example on the 60-Minute Cable chart shows the basic premise. The bands were close together before the economic number at 3 p.m. The effect of the number causes a huge expansion of range and prices close below the 3rd standard deviation down.

The bands expand, indicating a strong breakout. However, subsequent to the initial break the market inevitably calms down and range contracts. From that point onwards the first deviation band down marks short-term exhaustion points and the moving average as a resistance point.

Read the rest, see chart samples and more!

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Dec. Natural Gas

December natural gas made a low just short of the final downside PriceCount objective. Now, on the correction higher, the chart has activated upside counts with the first objective projecting a run to the 4.53 area.

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