4 Timely Lessons from the Week’s Sharpest Index Futures Decline, May Meal, Non Farm Payroll

9dc1e02e d5f7 4ff4 abf7 1df60775f196

Index Futures

index futures 2

+

Extreme Volatility

+

Non Farm Payroll Tomorrow

non farm payroll

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

As of this typing stock index futures and other futures contracts (but particularly index futures) have experienced single-day downward moves not seen in years:

Index Futures

index futures

→ E-mini Dow Jones: down ±1,600 points / 3.7%

→ E-mini S&P 500: down ±260 points / 4.5%

→ E-mini Nasdaq: down ±1,025 points / 5.1%

→ E-mini Russell 2000: down ±128 points / 6.2%

With tomorrow ushering in the Labor Dept.’s release of its monthly Non-farm payrolls report and the furtherance of what looks to be the beginning of a global trade war, expect no drop-off in market volatility.

Index Futures

Traders not only need to be extra cautious in making trading decisions, it’s also important to be aware of important aspects of the markets they’re trading.

Key among these are the daily price limits of the markets you’re trading. A price limit is the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in each trading session. When markets hit the price limit, different actions occur depending on the product being traded.

Index Futures

Some markets may temporarily halt until price limits can be expanded or trading may be stopped for the day based on regulatory rules. Different futures contracts will have different price limit rules; i.e. Equity Index futures have different rules than Agricultural futures.

Price limits are re-calculated daily and remain in effect for all trading days (except in certain physically-deliverable markets, where price limits are lifted prior to expiration so that futures prices are not prevented from converging on prices for the underlying commodity).

Index Futures

Equity Indexes futures have a three level expansion: 7%, 13% and 20% to the downside, and a 7% limit up and down in overnight trading.

Follow the links below to the CME Group web site to find more information on price limits generally and specific price limits for the markets you’re trading:

Find daily price limits for CME Group Agricultural, Cryptocurrency, Energy, Equity Index, Interest Rates, and Metals products: click here.

Index Futures

S

May Meal

soybean 2

May meal has resumed its break into fresh contract lows. The chart is approaching its second downisde PriceCount objective in the $287 area where it would be normal to get a near term reaction in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. IF we can sustain further weakness, there is a third count near $249 although we’d first have to contend with formidable weekly chart support in the $280 area.

That’s May Meal

a100f8cb afb9 4151 95fc e0ce93896d95

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 4th, 2025

eddcf476 d2d8 4735 bfaa 4f1e0f0f6510

Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

822b33c5 2339 45ed bc84 e9c8f8c7358e

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

613d6733 4860 4b59 87ff 3945dafcd142

Find us on Trustpilot

stars

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

S
Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn
S
ef3ab1c9 8d6d 4e60 a3f1 af5d9d4ecbb3
Services
Software
Tools
Community
Contact

Confident Outlook for First Notice & Last Trading Days: 2 Strategic Exit Dates and a Bullish Setup for Treasury Traders

9dc1e02e d5f7 4ff4 abf7 1df60775f196

First Notice & Last Trading Day

first notice

Below are the contracts which are entering

First Notice / Last Trading

 For April.

Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day.

First Notice & Last Trading Day

0bf6e338 6104 423e bbd1 267bee431e41

Try MICRO Grains, grain futures and many other futures with our REALTIME state of the art FREE platform! 

FREE DEMO HERE

9f3eab12 0be2 4642 a818 c691aca1e265

That’s all for

First Notice & Last Trading

Days

June 10 Year Treasury Notes

June 10 year treasury notes satisfied a first upside PriceCount objective last month and spent time consolidating with a sideways trade. Now, the chart is attempting to resume its rally where new sustained highs would project a possible run to the second count in the 113^26 area.

b7fbe7a3 9849 4b2c b282 2a8b9afb2e2f

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 3rd, 2025

9a8c1c4b 0000 4456 b28c c355e228e632

Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

822b33c5 2339 45ed bc84 e9c8f8c7358e

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

f53be6b3 926e 4892 9640 518df09051af

Find us on Trustpilot

stars

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

S
Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn
S
ef3ab1c9 8d6d 4e60 a3f1 af5d9d4ecbb3
Services
Software
Tools
Community
Contact

Significant Surge? 113^26 Target Looms as Treasury Notes Eye Bullish Breakout, Micro Grains

9dc1e02e d5f7 4ff4 abf7 1df60775f196

Trump Speaks Tomorrow

During Market Hours!

+

Treasury Notes, Micro Grains

treasury notes

 

Tomorrow should be another volatile day!

With Trump speaking, Fed speaker, ADP weekly claims and crude oil inventories – we suspect the current volatility will continue.

On a different note – MICRO GRAINS are available

MICRO GRAINS

micro grains 3

After the first three weeks of trading, we are approaching just under a half million Micro Grains contracts traded for Micro Corn, Micro Soybean, Micro Soybean Oil, Micro Soybean Meal, and Micro Wheat, as well as some other quick hits below.

ed91c8b3 f1a7 43cc a0a7 0714e6a8cec3

Try MICRO Grains, grain futures and many other futures with our REALTIME state of the art FREE platform!

FREE DEMO HERE

June 10 Year Treasury Notes

June 10 year treasury notes satisfied a first upside PriceCount objective last month and spent time consolidating with a sideways trade. Now, the chart is attempting to resume its rally where new sustained highs would project a possible run to the second count in the 113^26 area.

b7fbe7a3 9849 4b2c b282 2a8b9afb2e2f

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 2nd, 2025

7b05d03b 8d9b 4ede 8a62 2f514e672cbd

Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

822b33c5 2339 45ed bc84 e9c8f8c7358e

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

313447f8 4e84 46c5 8d0d afee5acd2820

Find us on Trustpilot

stars

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

S
Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn
S
ef3ab1c9 8d6d 4e60 a3f1 af5d9d4ecbb3
Services
Software
Tools
Community
Contact

3 Explosive, Novel Opportunities in Bitcoin & Cocoa Futures You Can’t Miss

7cfe5b36 db9f 4933 824a 7f264613e7fe

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1235

May Cocoa, Bitcoin Futures

cocoa 2

  • The Week Ahead – Inflation Data, Earnings & Housing
  • Futures 102 – Intro to Bitcoin Futures
  • Hot Market of the Week – May Cocoa

  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Mini SP500 intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

First week of Spring!

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Where will volatility come from next week?

 

Highlights next week will include more Housing data and plenty of “Soft Data” about consumer confidence and hard data about inflation. Earnings are in the bottom of the Ninth inning, I have included below the largest cap stocks reporting next week, you will agree: these should not have much of an impact on the price of any of the indices.

Finally, the FED Speakers are back! 9 separate speeches, the times are below.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. McCormick Spice co
  • Tue. Gamestop
  • Wed. Cintas, Paychex,inc, Dollartree
  • Thu. Lululemon
  • Fri. Quiet

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon.     Bostic 12:45 CDT, Barr 2:10 CDT,
  • Tues.     Kugler 7:40 CDT, Williams 8:05 CDT ,
  • Wed.     Kashkari 9:00 CDT, Musalem 9:10 CDT
  • Thu.      Barkin 3:30 CDT
  • Fri.       Barr 11:15 CDT, Bostic 2:30 CDT

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Chicago Fed Nat’ l activity index, S&P Global composite PMI
  • Tue. Redbook, Case Schiller Home Price index, Consumer confidence, New Home Sales, Richmond Fed Mfg. Index,
  • Wed. Durable Goods, EIA Crude Stocks
  • Thur. GDP Final (consensus 2.3 % ann growth rate) , Core PCE (consensus 2.7%) Initial Jobless Claims, Pending Home Sales, EIA Nat Gas.
  • Fri. Core PCE M o M, Michigan Consumer Sentiment

Futures 102: Introduction to Cryptocurrency futures

Course overview

Cryptocurrency futures, available at CME Group, provide market participants with multiple products for cryptocurrency risk management or market expression. Expand your understanding of the cryptocurrency markets, products, and underlying reference rates. This course covers:

 

  • Bitcoin

  • Ether
  • Micro Bitcoin

  • Micro Ether
  • Options on Bitcoin futures

  • BTIC on Cryptocurrency futures

Start FREE Course Now

7ff121ea ac42 4d48 817e 10e9ae7e26e4

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

May Cocoa

May cocoa completed its first downside PriceCount objective early this month and spent time trading sideways in a consolidation trade. Now, the chart is threatening to break down again where new sustained lows would project a possible slide to the second count in the 7130 area.

3ba1a70b fa55 4537 93e2 4a9d5e119841

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Abacus Momentum Trading System

System Description

Market Sector: Stock Indexes

Markets Traded:  ES ,

System Type: Day Trading

Risk per Tradevaries

Trading Rules: Not Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $19,500

System Description: 

An ES day trading system currently traded by the developer who has 15+ years’ experience. The system seeks to catch significant intra-day moves (long or short) on days when market movement is expected to be above average.

Short positions trade one contract but long positions trade two contracts to reflect a lower risk/reward profile. Correlation to the S&P500 index is very low and the system is designed to perform in both bull and bear markets. The system is robust with simple logic and averages 5-6 trades a month without the risk of overnight positions.

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$20,000

COST

Developer Fee per contract: $145.00 Monthly Subscription

Get Started

Learn More

97d2bc9e 5724 4855 9975 336d6774b1f2

Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

Transactions in securities futures, commodity and index futures and options on futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged”. A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you.

You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position. If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position.

If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit.

Please read full disclaimer HERE.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?
Yes
No

Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for March 24th, 2025

015995ef 1a0d 46aa 90ca 84e0eb0b3d46

Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
Yes
No

Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

175bb7ef 98e7 4a69 92bf ed5a317d9a1d

Find us on Trustpilot

stars

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

S
Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn
S
ef3ab1c9 8d6d 4e60 a3f1 af5d9d4ecbb3
Services
Software
Tools
Community
Contact

Triple Witching Friday; Powerful Market Shift! 3 Crucial Facts About Triple Witching Friday

9dc1e02e d5f7 4ff4 abf7 1df60775f196

Triple Witching!

triple witching

Triple Witching tomorrow!

Stock Index March contracts (i.e., the E-mini and Micro S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones and Russell 2000.) expire Friday, March 21st (8:30 A.M., Central Time). At that point, trading these contracts halts. Stock index futures are CASH SETTLED contracts. If you hold any March futures contracts through 8:30 A.M., Central Time on Friday, they will be offset with the cash settlement price, as set by the exchange.

Triple Witching!

FRONT MONTH IS NOW JUNE, the symbol is M25, example for MICRO mini SP is MESM25

Things to know about Triple Witching

A “triple witching,” is NOT without risk for holders of futures and futures option contracts.

A triple witching is the simultaneous expiration of stock options, index futures, and index futures options that occurs four times a year.

The first triple witching of 2025 will take place this Friday. Futures Stock indices and futures Options cease to allow trading at the opening bell of the Cash Stock market and settle, NOT to the final traded price at that time but, at a fixed settlement price based on where all the stocks making up the index have opened, this becomes the cash settled price for those contracts not offset prior to the trading halt.

Triple Witching!

S

Bloomberg Commodity Index

The Bloomberg Commodity Index is a basket of 24 commodities spread across energy, grains, softs, livestock, industrial and precious metals. The weekly chart has developed a 2-year sideways range of trade. IF the chart can break out to the topside, there are upside PriceCount objectives in place which suggest that this index would have significant potential to run.

2aad4e38 a7bc 41e4 acd9 f2709d9d25fc

Chart above is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normalfor the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for March 21st, 2025

d8ade829 a3ed 41e9 b32f 40e8157071f7

Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

822b33c5 2339 45ed bc84 e9c8f8c7358e

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

280a59ac 9d9b 45c4 9938 d470749cb78d

Find us on Trustpilot

stars

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

S
Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn
S
ef3ab1c9 8d6d 4e60 a3f1 af5d9d4ecbb3
Services
Software
Tools
Community
Contact

Standard and Poor 500 Futures

The Standard and Poor 500 futures contract is one of the most actively traded financial instruments in the world. Often referred to as S&P 500 futures contracts, these derivatives allow investors to speculate on the future price movements of the Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures and hedge their portfolios against market volatility. As the cornerstone of futures trading, futures on S&P 500 are widely used by institutions, hedge funds, and individual traders alike.

The Rise of Standard & Poor’s 500 Index Futures

The S&P 500 future didn’t emerge in a vacuum. The foundation for this contract was laid in the early 1980s when financial markets began adopting electronic and index-based trading instruments. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) pioneered the introduction of futures trading based on stock indices, with the launch of futures on S&P 500 in 1982. This marked a watershed moment for the industry, making the SPX index futures an essential trading tool.

Before the introduction of these contracts, traders and institutional investors had limited avenues to hedge against broad market movements without individually trading numerous stocks. The advent of futures SP500 contracts revolutionized risk management and speculation by providing a single, liquid instrument that mirrored the broader market.

Key Figures Behind the Innovation

Several key figures played pivotal roles in developing and popularizing the S&P 500 futures contract. Among them was Leo Melamed, chairman of the CME, who spearheaded the development of financial futures. Working alongside economist Richard Sandor, often dubbed the “father of financial futures,” Melamed championed the concept that stock indices could be effectively used as underlying assets for future trading.

Richard Dennis, a legendary futures trader, also had a profound impact on the early adoption of futures on S&P 500. Dennis, known for his famous “Turtle Traders” experiment, was one of the earliest speculators to see the potential in index-based futures trading. Alongside traders like Paul Tudor Jones, who used Standard and Poor’s 500 futures to hedge his equity exposure, these pioneers helped cement the contract’s place in the financial ecosystem.

Forgotten Terms and Trading Techniques

Many traders today overlook some of the early terminology and trading techniques used in futures trading for stock indices. Terms such as “program trading,” “delta hedging,” and “synthetic futures” were once part of the daily jargon among traders.

  • Program Trading: Introduced in the 1980s, this involved using computer algorithms to execute large buy or sell orders in futures SP500 contracts.
  • Delta Hedging: A strategy used to manage risk by offsetting price fluctuations in the S&P 500 future through options.
  • Synthetic Futures: Created using a combination of options to mimic the price movements of SPX index futures.

Notable Trades and Case Studies

One of the most famous trades in Standard and Poor’s 500 futures history occurred during the 1987 Black Monday crash. Large institutional traders employed portfolio insurance, a strategy involving selling futures on S&P 500 to hedge against falling stock prices. However, this strategy exacerbated the downturn, leading to a record 22% drop in the market.

Another significant case study involves the 2008 financial crisis. During this period, hedge funds and proprietary trading firms leveraged futures SP500 to hedge against credit defaults. Traders such as John Paulson and Michael Burry made billions betting against subprime mortgage securities while managing risk through S&P 500 futures contracts.

Risks Associated with Trading Standard & Poor’s 500 Index Futures

Despite their benefits, futures trading in the S&P 500 future market is not without risks. Some of the most significant risks include:

  • Leverage Risk: Because futures trading involves significant leverage, traders can experience amplified gains or losses.
  • Market Volatility: Standard and Poor 500 futures are highly sensitive to macroeconomic events, geopolitical risks, and Federal Reserve policies.
  • Liquidity Risk: While SPX index futures are highly liquid, sudden market shocks can lead to slippage and unexpected losses.
  • Margin Calls: Traders must maintain sufficient margin in their accounts to avoid forced liquidations.

The Role of a Good Futures Broker

Navigating future trading successfully requires the right futures broker. This is where Cannon Trading Company excels. With decades of experience, Cannon Trading Company provides traders with access to high-performance trading futures platforms, professional guidance, and a robust regulatory standing. Their commodity brokerage services cater to traders of all experience levels, offering:

  • Top-tier Trading Platforms: Access to cutting-edge tools for futures trading e mini futures and micros futures.
  • 5-Star Ratings on TrustPilot: A testament to their superior customer service and reliability.
  • Comprehensive Educational Resources: Helping traders understand what is futures trading and how to navigate the complexities of futures SP500 markets.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Ensuring transparency and adherence to industry best practices.

The Standard and Poor 500 futures contract has cemented itself as an indispensable financial instrument for traders and institutional investors alike. Its evolution from an innovative financial tool in 1982 to a globally traded contract has been marked by influential figures, technological advancements, and historic market events. While futures trading offers immense potential, understanding the risks, strategies, and market nuances is crucial for success.

For traders looking to excel in futures on S&P 500, choosing the right futures broker is critical. Cannon Trading Company stands out with its top-tier commodity brokerage services, commitment to client success, and a range of powerful trading platforms. Whether engaging in futures SP500, S&P 500 futures contracts, or micros futures, partnering with an experienced broker like Cannon Trading Company can make all the difference in achieving trading success.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572(International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

The High-Stakes Crude Oil & CPI Report: 3 Critical Signals for Market Movers

9dc1e02e d5f7 4ff4 abf7 1df60775f196

Crude Oil

crude oil

Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

CPI and EIA Petroleum Stocks

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely.

Prepare for shocks, on CPI and Stocks.

CPI Tomorrow before the Cash Open 7:30 am CST

Updated: March 11, 2025, 12:20 pm

US February consumer price index (CPI) data is forecast by analysts up +0.3% month-to-month, which compares to the previous month’s +0.5%. Core CPI on monthly terms is expected +0.3% in February compared to the prior month’s +0.4%. The data will be released at 7:30 am CT Wednesday morning. CPI on annualized terms is forecast up +2.9% from the year ago month, the core year-over-year figure is expected up +3.2%.

EIA Crude Oil Inventories Tomorrow

EIA Weekly Petroleum Stocks Estimates for Wednesday, March 12 at 9:30 AM CT

in million barrels per day (mln bpd)

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  CPI, EIA Crude Inventories, Beige Book

630ac786 c874 4cc8 ba42 5324fdf46483

Daily Levels for March 12th, 2025

55546f30 079b 4ae8 877f a2690700854e

Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.

822b33c5 2339 45ed bc84 e9c8f8c7358e

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

8fdad7f6 8d17 46c6 8cf8 581955abca4c

Find us on Trustpilot

stars

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

S
Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn
S
ef3ab1c9 8d6d 4e60 a3f1 af5d9d4ecbb3
Services
Software
Tools
Community
Contact

Shocking Surge: 3 Powerful Ways to Survive Expanding Volatility in Trading

9dc1e02e d5f7 4ff4 abf7 1df60775f196

Volatility Expands

volatility

See below NQ 15 minute chart for an illustration of the expanded volatility, speed, size of moves etc.

The “bands” are expanding, consider reducing trading size? Possibly trading MICROS?

Evaluating your stops and targets to make sure they adjust to volatility?

3d26d227 5d16 4e32 927f aeb2eaa0076f

Daily Levels for March 11th, 2025

2a2b7415 e8c7 420e 939a 5c3a46075ae4

Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.

822b33c5 2339 45ed bc84 e9c8f8c7358e

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

1f564477 7f2b 4887 9050 a9ba8379b292

Find us on Trustpilot

stars

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

S
Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn
S
ef3ab1c9 8d6d 4e60 a3f1 af5d9d4ecbb3
Services
Software
Tools
Community
Contact

Oil Futures Contracts

The world of futures trading is vast, intricate, and, at times, obscured by layers of jargon and complexity. Among the most actively traded financial instruments in this domain are oil futures contracts, a crucial commodity derivative that influences global economies. Understanding these contracts—how they work, the potential risks, and their historical impacts—can make a critical difference for any futures trader seeking success.

What Are Oil Futures Contracts?

An oil futures contract is a legal agreement to buy or sell a specific amount of crude oil at a predetermined price at a future date. These contracts are standardized and traded on exchanges such as the CME Group’s New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). They allow producers and consumers to hedge against price fluctuations while providing opportunities for commodity brokerage firms and traders to speculate on oil price movements.

Oil futures come in various forms, including e-mini futures and micros futures, which allow for different contract sizes to cater to traders with varying risk appetites and capital.

10 Obscure Facts About Oil Futures Contracts That Traders Should Know

  1. The Market Has Negative Prices—And It Happened in 2020
    • On April 20, 2020, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures for May delivery fell to -$37.63 per barrel. Due to an extreme storage shortage, holders of contracts were willing to pay others to take the contracts off their hands.
  2. Contango vs. Backwardation Can Make or Break a Trade
    • In futures trading, a market in contango means that future prices are higher than spot prices, often due to storage costs. In backwardation, future prices are lower, typically due to high demand. Understanding these states helps traders plan their strategies effectively.
  3. ‘Crack Spread’ Trading Exploits Oil Product Refining Margins
    • Futures traders use the “crack spread” strategy to hedge or profit from the difference between crude oil and refined products like gasoline or diesel. This spread reflects refinery margins and demand shifts.
  4. Oil Futures Contracts Expire Differently Than Stock Options
    • Unlike stock options, which expire monthly, oil futures have contract rollovers that can create price volatility around expiry dates. If a trader doesn’t roll over before expiry, they may have to accept physical delivery.
  5. Oil Price Moves Don’t Always Correlate With Global Events Immediately
    • While geopolitical events (like wars and OPEC decisions) impact oil, price reactions can be delayed due to hedging and algorithmic trading, making predictive trading challenging.
  6. Hedging by Airlines and Trucking Companies Influences Prices
    • Large-scale fuel consumers like airlines hedge fuel costs using oil futures contracts, impacting market dynamics. For example, Southwest Airlines famously saved billions by hedging its jet fuel costs during the 2000s.
  7. The ‘Tanker Trade’ Can Affect Oil Futures Prices
    • Oil traders sometimes buy physical crude oil and store it in tankers, waiting for higher prices in a contango market. This floating storage impacts oil futures market liquidity.
  8. Algorithmic Trading Dominates Oil Futures
    • High-frequency trading (HFT) algorithms execute over 50% of futures trading volume, reacting to news, order flow, and price trends faster than human traders.
  9. Oil Futures Are Prone to Flash Crashes
    • Sudden price collapses (flash crashes) can happen due to electronic trading malfunctions or massive stop-loss triggers. One example occurred in 2018 when oil prices dropped 7% in a matter of minutes.
  10. ‘The Widowmaker’—A Dangerous Spread Trade
    • The natural gas futures spread trade between winter and summer contracts is nicknamed “The Widowmaker” because of its extreme volatility. Though unrelated to oil, it often moves in correlation, impacting oil-based hedging strategies.

Understanding the Risk Potential of Oil Futures Contracts

Like all futures trading, oil futures contracts come with significant risks:

  • Leverage Risk: Futures contracts use leverage, meaning traders can control large positions with relatively small amounts of capital. However, leverage magnifies both gains and losses.
  • Volatility Risk: Oil prices can swing wildly due to geopolitical events, natural disasters, or economic reports.
  • Margin Calls: If a trader’s position moves against them, brokers may issue margin calls, requiring additional capital to maintain the position.
  • Liquidity Risk: While oil futures are generally liquid, extreme events can lead to price gaps and limited exit opportunities.
  • Regulatory Risk: Governments and regulatory bodies can impose new rules affecting oil trading. For example, position limits or increased margin requirements can change market conditions suddenly.

Case Studies: Real-Life Oil Futures Trading Lessons

Case Study 1: The 2020 Oil Price Crash

As mentioned earlier, WTI crude oil prices went negative in April 2020. Some traders who failed to roll over their contracts in time were forced to take delivery of oil, with no storage options available. The lesson: Always have an exit strategy before contract expiry.

Case Study 2: The 2008 Oil Price Surge and Crash

In 2008, crude oil surged to an all-time high of $147 per barrel, only to plummet to $33 by year-end. Many traders who went long near the peak suffered devastating losses. The takeaway? Markets can remain irrational longer than traders can stay solvent.

Case Study 3: How a Small Trader Profited from the Crack Spread

A trader noticed gasoline refining margins widening and strategically went long on gasoline futures while shorting crude oil. This classic crack spread trade yielded substantial profits as gasoline prices rose.

Why Cannon Trading Company is a Great Choice for Trading Oil Futures

For both new and experienced traders, having the right futures broker is essential. Cannon Trading Company stands out for several reasons:

  • Wide Selection of Trading Platforms: Offering cutting-edge platforms like CQG, Rithmic, and Sierra Chart, Cannon Trading ensures traders have the best tools.
  • TrustPilot 5-Star Ratings: With consistently high ratings, Cannon Trading has built a reputation for reliability and client satisfaction.
  • Decades of Experience: Established in 1988, the firm has deep industry expertise in commodity brokerage and futures trading.
  • Regulatory Excellence: Fully compliant with NFA and CFTC regulations, Cannon Trading provides a secure and transparent trading environment.
  • Support for All Trader Levels: Whether trading e-mini futures, micros futures, or full-sized contracts, Cannon Trading accommodates all experience levels.

Trading oil futures contracts is a high-risk, high-reward endeavor requiring deep market knowledge. From forgotten trading techniques like the crack spread to modern risks such as algorithmic-driven volatility, futures traders must stay informed. Cannon Trading Company, with its best-in-class platforms, compliance, and experience, is an excellent choice for anyone looking to engage in future trading with confidence.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

Future S&P 500

Trading futures, particularly the future S&P 500 contracts, offers substantial opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on market movements. However, beyond common concerns like leverage and margin requirements, advanced traders may face complex and lesser-known issues that can significantly impact their strategies. Understanding these uncommon problems is crucial for futures traders, and finding effective solutions requires experience, insight, and risk management expertise. This article outlines ten uncommon challenges in trading futures, ranking multiple solutions for each in terms of effectiveness and risk mitigation.

10 Uncommon Problems Advanced Traders May Not Know About in Trading S&P 500 Futures

  1. Hidden Liquidity Gaps in After-Hours Trading

  2. While the E-mini futures and other S&P 500 derivatives appear liquid during regular market hours, unexpected liquidity gaps occur in after-hours trading, leading to severe slippage.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Limit Orders – The best way to mitigate this risk is to strictly use limit orders, ensuring that trades execute at predetermined prices. (Low risk)
    2. Monitor Market Depth with DOM (Depth of Market) Tools – This allows traders to see actual liquidity and adjust strategies accordingly. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade Only During High Liquidity Periods – If possible, stick to high-liquidity windows (e.g., overlap between European and U.S. sessions). (Moderate risk)
    4. Utilize Market Makers or Algorithmic Trading Strategies – Some market makers provide liquidity in off-hours, but it requires algorithmic expertise. (High risk)
    1. Sudden Margin Requirement Changes

    Futures brokers and clearinghouses can change margin requirements unexpectedly, affecting capital allocation.

    Solutions:

    1. Keep Excess Margin in Reserve – The safest way to combat this is to maintain excess margin in accounts to withstand unexpected changes. (Low risk)
    2. Use Brokers with Predictable Margin Policies – Some futures trading brokers offer transparency in advance about margin shifts. (Moderate risk)
    3. Hedge Positions with Options – Using options to hedge S&P 500 futures can minimize exposure to margin increases. (High risk due to premium costs)
    1. Volatility-Induced Stop Hunting

    Some traders notice that during high volatility, stop orders are frequently triggered just before the price reverses.

    Solutions:

    1. Place Stops Beyond Key Levels – Understanding market psychology allows traders to place stops beyond resistance/support levels. (Low risk)
    2. Utilize Time-Based Exits Instead of Stop Orders – This prevents premature exits but requires discipline. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade with Larger Capital to Avoid Stops Altogether – High capital can weather swings but is capital-intensive. (High risk)
    1. Decoupling of S&P 500 Futures from the Index

    At times, futures prices diverge significantly from the underlying index.

    Solutions:

    1. Arbitrage with ETFs (SPY) or Other Instruments – Professional traders arbitrage these discrepancies for profit. (Low risk)
    2. Monitor Premium/Discount Metrics on Bloomberg – Awareness of fair value premium can guide better entries. (Moderate risk)
    3. Avoid Trading During Key Economic Announcements – Futures prices often decouple during major news events. (High risk if mismanaged)
    1. Technical Failure of Trading Platforms

    Even with the best futures trading brokers, platform failures can occur during crucial moments.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Redundant Trading Accounts – Keeping accounts with multiple brokers mitigates risk. (Low risk)
    2. Automate Emergency Phone Orders with Broker Support – Calling a broker to execute trades manually during downtime can save losses. (Moderate risk)
    3. Use Cloud-Based Trading Over Locally Installed Software – Some traders rely on cloud platforms, but they still face latency issues. (High risk)
    1. Execution Delays During Flash Crashes

    High-frequency traders (HFTs) dominate the market, sometimes causing delays in execution.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Marketable Limit Orders – These ensure fast execution while controlling price slippage. (Low risk)
    2. Monitor Order Flow Through Level II Data – Helps gauge when to enter/exit trades. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade Away from Peak HFT Periods – Some traders avoid key HFT periods, but it limits trading opportunities. (High risk)
    1. Exchange Circuit Breaker Halts

    Trading halts due to extreme movements can trap traders in positions.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Hedging Strategies with Inverse ETFs – This helps mitigate loss during trading halts. (Low risk)
    2. Keep Cash Reserves for Post-Halt Trading – Allows capitalizing on post-halt movements. (Moderate risk)
    3. Preemptively Close Positions Before Expected Volatility – Difficult to time accurately. (High risk)
    1. Frontrunning by Large Institutions

    Institutional traders often place massive orders before retail traders, shifting the market.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Iceberg Orders – Hides trade size from the market. (Low risk)
    2. Trade During Off-Peak Hours – Reduces exposure to large players. (Moderate risk)
    3. Follow Institutional Order Flow Analysis – Helps mimic large orders but is difficult. (High risk)
    1. Tax Complexity in Futures Trading

    Futures taxation (60/40 rule) can be confusing and impact net returns.

    Solutions:

    1. Work with a Tax Professional Specializing in Futures – Ensures correct tax handling. (Low risk)
    2. Utilize Tax-Efficient Trading Structures – Certain entities reduce tax burdens. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade Through Tax-Advantaged Accounts – Limited accessibility for all traders. (High risk)
    1. Broker Insolvency Risk

    Not all futures trading brokers are financially stable, leading to potential fund losses.

    Solutions:

    1. Trade with Well-Capitalized Brokers like Cannon Trading – Choosing established brokers minimizes risks. (Low risk)
    2. Use Segregated Accounts for Funds – Reduces risk in case of broker collapse. (Moderate risk)
    3. Split Trading Capital Among Multiple Brokers – Adds complexity but mitigates single-point failures. (High risk)

The Legacy of Futures Trading and Cannon Trading Company

Futures trading has been an integral part of financial markets for centuries due to its role in hedging, speculation, and price discovery. The commodity brokerage sector has evolved, but firms like Cannon Trading Company, a premier futures broker since 1988, have consistently adapted to industry innovations. By prioritizing trader support, transparent execution, and compliance with NFA regulations, Cannon Trading remains a trusted name in futures trading. The firm’s resilience through market shifts, technological advances, and regulatory changes underscores why trading futures continues to be a cornerstone of global financial markets.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading