Weekly Newsletter: Bean Oil Outlook, Crude Oil System+ Trading Levels for Oct. 28th

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C86

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1214

In this issue:

  • Important Notices – Earnings & NFP, Consumer Confidence
  • Futures 102 – Recognizing Chart Patterns
  • Hot Market of the Week – December Bean Oil
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Crude Oil Swing Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

 

The Week Ahead

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

We’re a week away from the Labor Dept.’s release of its monthly Non-farm payrolls report. It’s widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy. The report is released at 7:30 A.M., Central Time on the first Friday of the month.

U.S. Election Day (Nov. 5th) countdown: 11 days

 

Next week’s earnings include some of the largest U.S. companies by market cap.:

 

Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet (Google), Amazon, Meta (old Facebook), Berkshire Hathaway, Visa, Exxon Mobile, Chevron, Merck, McDonalds, Caterpillar, Uber

 

Apple and Microsoft each boast a market cap. of over $3 trillion. That’s 3,000,000,000,000. Google and Amazon come in at about $2 trillion.

 

Tuesday, Oct. 29th:

 

9:00: Consumer Confidence

 

Wednesday, Oct 30th:

 

7:30: Gross Domestic Product (3rd qtr.)

ADP Employment

 

Thursday, Oct. 31st:

 

7:30: Personal Income / Spending

7:30: Personal Consumption & Expenditures – Index & year-over-year

8:45: Chicago Purchasing Managers Index

 

Friday, Nov. 1st:

 

Non-Farm Payrolls / U.S. Unemployment Report

 

Futures 101: Ask a Broker!!

Ask a Broker: Why Trade Bitcoin Futures?

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Before Your next Trade, learn to recognize charts and patterns!

Learning the different types of charts and patterns will be another arsenal in your Trading Tools!

  • What is an Ascending Triangle Futures Chart Pattern?

What is an Ascending Triangle Futures Chart Pattern?

An ascending triangle is a bullish futures pattern that can indicate a breakout in the upwards direction.

How do I Recognize an Ascending Triangle Futures Chart Pattern?

An ascending triangle is formed when resistance remains flat and support rises.

What Does a Ascending Triangle Chart Pattern Mean?

The price will rise and fall within the triangle until support and resistance converge. At that point, the apex, breakout occurs, usually upwards.

  • What is a Broadening Top Futures Chart Pattern?
  • Head & Shoulders?
  • Bull Flags?
  • Bear Flags?
  • Rectangle Bottoms?
  • Rectangle Tops?
  • See ACTUAL Charts Patterns images AND many more patterns you should know as a trader!

LEARN THE REST

 

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    • Hot Market of the Week – December Hogs

    Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

    FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

    December Bean Oil

    December bean oil is attempting to break out as it challenges the October highs. New sustained highs would open up the chart to take aim at its upside PriceCount objectives where the first count would project a run to the 46.29 area.

     

    PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

   Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

Position Trading Cont v.22 _ CRUDE

PRODUCT

CL – Crude Oil

 

SYSTEM TYPE

Swing Trading

 

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$25,000

 

COST

USD 165 / monthly

 

Get Started

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
Yes
S
No
S

Daily Levels for October 28th, 2024

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Weekly Levels for the week of October 28th, 2024

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Metals Retreat, Stocks Drop 1.6%: Market Slump Amid Rate Speculation – Gold Hits Record High Before Pullback

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Gold T

Metals Off Highs, Stocks Fall 1.6%

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

General / Indexes:

 

Stock index futures slumped today with the Dec. E-mini Dow Jones futures contract losing over 650 points (a ±$3,250 per contract move) at its intraday low around 1:00 Central Time.  The E-mini S&P 500 shed over 90 points (a ±$4,500 per contract move) at its lows and the E-mini Nasdaq lost over 450 points (a $9,000 move) intraday.  The latter erased two weeks of higher closing prices.

The rally in stocks has stalled as investors debate how quickly the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates over the next year and sowed worry of rates staying higher for longer.

 

Metals:

 

Gold futures are getting shinier by the day.  The price of the front month December contract touched another all-time record high overnight, trading briefly at $2,772.60 per ounce before heading on a ±$50 pull-back into its old 10:30 A.M., Central Time pit session close this morning.

 

Since the start of this year, gold prices have risen by a third, hovering over the $2,700 per ounce mark in the last few trading sessions.  Much of the credit for the increased demand can be tied to simmering tensions in the Middle East and the uncertainty over the upcoming presidential elections in the U.S.

 

The 2024 gains have unfolded after uninspiring price movement over the last ten years.  The price of gold reached the vicinity of $1,900 per ounce in 2011, swooned for nearly eight years trading not far from $1,000 per ounce much of the time, then started advancing back to ±$1,900 around mid-2020 where it vacillated little into 2022.  After being subdued for so long, gold prices shot up, delivering a 70% jump in the past two years.  Looking at the institutional interest in gold several large commercial banks have forecast the current upward price move continuing into next year.

Analysts at Citi raised their three-month forecast for gold prices to $2,800 per ounce.  They look for a move to $3,000 over the next 6–12 months.  J.P. Morgan has also proposed that gold’s fundamentals point to further upside.

 

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Daily Levels for Oct. 24th 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by:ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
Contact
S
Cannon Trading Company
12100 Wilshire Boulevard
Suite 1640
Los Angeles, CA 90025
(800) 454-9572
Follow Us
Facebook  Twitter  Instagram
Visit Our Website

 

Weekly Newsletter: Hogs Outlook, Mini Russell System+ Trading Levels for Oct. 21st

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Hogs

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1213

In this issue:

  • Important Notices – Earnings & Fed Speakers
  • Futures 101 – Ask a Broker: Day trading Futures? Margins?
  • Hot Market of the Week – December Hogs
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Mini Russell Day Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

 

The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

A fair amount of Speakers, Data and Earnings .

Just 2 ½ weeks to the U.S. Presidential Election. Nov 5th.

 

Economic Data:

Mon. CB Leading Indicators

Tue. Redbook, Richmond Fed

Wed. Mortgage Index

Thu. Chicago Fed Activity Index, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, New Home Sales

Fri. Durable Goods, Michigan Consumer Sentiment.

 

Fed and ECB Speakers:

Mon. Logan, Kashkari, Schmid

Tue. 9A.M. Central ECB President Lagarde,  Harker

Wed. Bowman, LaGarde 9 A.M. Central, Barkin

Thu. Hammack

Fri. quiet

 

Earnings: 608 3rd QTR. Reports this week

Prominent Companies reporting

Wed. Tesla, IBM, Coca-Cola

  • Thu. UPS

 

Futures 101: Ask a Broker!!

What is Futures Margin?

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What is Day Trading Futures?

 

“Trading Around Key Economic Reports” FREE SHORT Course you will learn:

  • What is GDP?
  • About the Retail Sales Report
  • What is NFP ( non farm payroll) Report?
  • Understanding US housing Data
  • FOMC
  • Understanding Oil Data Report
  • Importance of Consumer Confidence Survey

ACCESS THE COURSE

 

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    • Hot Market of the Week – December Hogs

    Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

    FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

    December Hogs

    December hogs satisfied their first upside PriceCount objective early this month and have consolidated their trade. At this point, the second count would project a possible run to the 82.15 area IF you can resume the rally and break out above resistance at the April high.

     

    PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

   Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

MVA 998 RTY 208

PRODUCT

RTY – Mini Russell 2000

 

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

 

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$10,000

 

COST

USD 80 / monthly

 

Get Started

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
Yes
S
No
S

Daily Levels for October 21st, 2024

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Weekly Levels for the week of October 21st, 2024

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Gold Futures Hit All-Time Highs: Margin Updates and Chart Review

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

Gold Futures

All time highs on gold futures today!

See both daily and weekly charts below.

On a different note, as the CME raises margins, the day trading margins may be higher as well.

Depending on the trading platform you are using, your day trading margins may be a percent of the overnight margins. If you are using the E-Futures International, then your day trading margins between 7:45 AM central and 3:30 PM central are as below:

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Any questions, please reach out to your broker.

Gold Daily and Weekly Charts below for review:

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Any questions, please reach out to your broker.

 

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Daily Levels for Oct. 18th 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by:ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
Contact
S
Cannon Trading Company
12100 Wilshire Boulevard
Suite 1640
Los Angeles, CA 90025
(800) 454-9572
Follow Us
Facebook  Twitter  Instagram
Visit Our Website

 

Quick Videos on Trading Techniques + Futures Trading Levels for 9.25

Get Real Time updates and more by joining our Private Facebook Group! Subscribe to our YouTube Channel Listen to our Market Recap Podcasts on Apple Podcasts
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Trading Videos

Instant Viewing

Watch a series of short videos, where our VP, Ilan Levy-Mayer shares his personal preferences and opinions on different trading topics.

  • Ever wondered when to exit a trade? Take a look at what Ilan has to share on Bollinger Bands and a study called PARABOLICS
  • Some common uses you can make of support and resistance levels.
  • Filter out the noise with range bar charts
  • “Price Confirmation”

WATCH NOW

 
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Daily Levels for September 26, 2024

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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572. Explore trading methods. Register Here
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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.   #Equities, #Consolidation phase, #Interest rates, #Precious metals, #Gold, #Silver, #US Dollar, #Crude oil prices, #HurricaneHelene, #Middle East tensions, #Chinese stimulus, #Redbook US Retail Sales, #Case Schiller US Metro-Area Home Prices, #Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, #Service Sector Index, #Consumer Confidence, #New Home Sales, #Micron Technology

Weekly Newsletter: FOMC next Week, Bonds Outlook & Trading Levels for April 29th

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

C47

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1191

In this issue:
  • Important Notices – FOMC & NFP Next Week
  • Futures 101 – Understanding Volume
  • Hot Market of the Week – June Bonds
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

    • FOMC Rate Announcement Wed.
    • Heavy Earnings, AMZN and AMD Tues, AAPL Thur. all after the close
    • Heavy Data, Chicago PMI, Consumer Confidence, Construction Spending, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Jobless Claims.
    • NON FARM Payrolls to cap off the week on Fri. , preopening

 

 

Futures 101 : Understanding VOLUME

Volume is reported for all futures contracts. It is calculated by counting the number of contracts that have been bought and sold over a given time. You can track volume using different time intervals like daily or intraday.
When a futures contract is traded, whether bought or sold, it counts towards volume for that contract.
For example, a trader closes a short position in the E-mini S&P 500 (ES) futures contract by buying one contract in the ES, so volume will increase by 1.
Traders often use and interpret the rise or decline of volume in a futures contract to help make trading decisions.
Volume can give important information to traders such as:
  • Indicate the price levels at which traders are more or less interested in trading a futures contract
  • During the roll, indicate to traders when to switch to trading the front month futures contract as volume decreases in the expiring contract
  • Identify the times of day when a futures contract is most liquid
Price Levels
When volume changes as price of a futures contract moves towards certain levels, this can indicate to a trader that a change in direction may occur. Some traders may use this information to indicate whether to buy or sell at those key levels.
­Contract Roll
During the futures rollover, traders pay attention to the contract that is taking the higher levels of volume. Traders use this information to determine when to start trading the next month contract. As volume decreases in the expiring contract, trading will shift to the next available month contract.
For example, say the June ES (E-mini S&P 500) futures contract is about to expire and September will become the new front month. On the Thursday of rollover week, watch how the June contract starts to lose volume and the September contract begins to pick up volume. When the September contract has more volume than the June contract, it is time to switch to the September contract.
Active Periods
Traders typically prefer higher volume times to trade, as it means that more traders are actively interested in buying and selling. When volume is high, the bid-ask spread is typically smaller, orders are filled faster and less gaps may exist between ticks.
For example, markets can have lower volume between the hours of 12:00 p.m.-2:00 p.m. ET, before major economic releases; conversely, market often see higher volume around the open and close of the trading day.
Traders also can look at average daily volume over a longer time period, such as a few weeks or months, to see if the markets currently are in a lower or higher volume than is typical.
Summary
What volume can’t show however, is whether traders are buying or selling, or opening or closing a position.
For example, if the ES contract is trading at 2375 and suddenly pushes down to 2360 while volume increases, the volume that comes into the market could be from traders opening new long positions at key levels of support. That could indicate a bullish sentiment. Volume also can be generated by liquidation of exiting long positions or opening of new short positions, a possible bearish indication.
A spike in volume at 2360 doesn’t necessarily mean that buyers are coming into the market and that the price will bounce.
Volume data is readily available for each futures contract and for the market as a whole. Although traders may use volume in different ways to interpret how to trade, volume can be an important factor to help inform your trading decisions.

 

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  • Hot Market of the Week – June Bonds
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
June 30 Year T-Bonds
The June 30 Year T-Bond break found temporary stability at its second downside PriceCount objective recently. Now, the chart has resumed its slide into new lows which, if sustained, would project a run to the third count in the 109^20 area.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
PRODUCT
SYSTEM TYPE
Intraday
COST
USD 110 / monthly
Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital
$10,000
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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
Yes
S
No
S

 

Daily Levels for April 29th 2024

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Trading Reports for Next Week

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First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

GDP Tomorrow, Earnings Season in Full Play  + Levels for April 25th

Get Real Time updates and more by joining our Private Facebook Group!
Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

 

C30

 

A few tips for tomorrow:

  • If you are trading stock index futures, note price action has been VERY choppy during the day session as most earnings come out after the close…
  • Coffee and Coca volatility is as high as I have seen in recent months. Large intraday and overnight moves in both, as much as +/- 8% per day!
  • We have GDP and home sales tomorrow.
  • Big pullback in both silver and gold and the key question is: Was this profit taking/ deflation of geo political fear and GOOD entry to the long side? OR…is this the near term top for both markets??
  • Corn daily chart for your review below.

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stars

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Daily Levels for April 25th, 2024

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thumbnail?url=http%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FJnHAMUGdNoM%2Fhqdefault

Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
7d0dfe51 9084 4e90 9e70 216bff610617

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements  + Levels for April 24th

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

 

C37

Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements   

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

General:  

 

Futures traders with positions in deliverable futures contracts keep an eye on the calendar for important dates at the end of the month. First Notice Day (FND) and Last Trading Day (LTD) for many futures contracts are close at hand. Make sure you steer safely clear of receiving delivery notices for physical commodities (FND), or greatly reduced liquidity (LTD). If you’re unsure, contact your Cannon Trading Co. broker.

 

The economic calendar for the rest of the week is scarce with Thursday’s Q1 GDP report taking center stage.

 

Prospects for a fed rate cut announcement at the Fed’s 4/30-5/1 meeting, as well as its mid-June meeting have all but evaporated and many Fed watchers expect the central bank to keep its “higher for longer” mantra in place for most and possibly all of 2024.

 

Worries over a wider Middle East conflict have subsided and traders are discounting the risk of further escalations. Case in point, June gold lost ±67 per ounce (±2%) yesterday after posting its latest all-time record high close of $2,413.80/ounce on Friday. Iran downplayed Israel’s retaliatory drone strike against it, in what appeared to be a move aimed at averting regional escalation.

 

Energies: 

 

  • The ±$2.50/barrel selloff in May crude oil and the ±¢9.75/gallon May RBOB gasoline futures last week likely signaled the markets do not see an Iranian supply disruption in the near future, so the markets will be given to focusing on global energy demand going forward

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Softs:  

 

May Cocoa futures declined sharply yesterday and today, down nearly $1,300/ton (a $13,000 per contract move) marking its worst two-day slump since February. This after a 3-day / Wed.-Fri. rally of $1,635/ton to its all-time record high close of 11,878/ton on Friday. ICE U.S. has set the initial margin requirement to $11,260 per contract.

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Daily Levels for April 24th, 2024

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Economic Reports
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All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Notes from a Day Trader + Levels for April 23rd

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C15

 

The Week Ahead and Controlling your Emotions

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

No Fed speakers this week, it is the blackout period in advance of next weeks FED meeting and rates decision.

Look for earnings to move the market this week  MSFT, GOOG, META, XOM, Visa, TSLA

Last week, my colleague posted an article about FOMO just about the same time a client of mine was battling his own fear of missing out.

Of course I asked my client if , after redacting account information, he wouldn’t mind if I shared his “journal Entry” with everyone.

 

John,

I’ll give you an explanation of what happened yesterday. After we talked I left for my job. I returned at 2:30 and saw that I missed all the “short” activity yesterday.

Disappointed, I made the mistake of trying to catch up . I had several positive trades and then several negative trades that put me in the negative for the day.

I was active in a “short” trade, sitting at my desk. I nodded off. I don’t know how long, but it must have been enough seconds that the price action had dramatically turned “long”. Unfortunately, I nodded off with my hand on my mouse. It seems that I touched the mouse and now I discovered that I had clicked a second contract. I was hoping to recover the $1800 loss but it was too late.

1. I went back to practice simulation. First on the 15th from 9 AM and with 3 clicks I had made $2300. Then stopped while ahead.

2. Today I again started practice at 9 AM and within 2 hours made $530. Then stopped while ahead My mistakes. What do I learn from this:

1. Don’t fall asleep while trading.

2. Don’t fall asleep with your finger hovering over the mouse.

3. Stop when you’re ahead and don’t try to make money on the short price action movements.

4. Reminding again to only trade with the trend.

One of the most common pitfalls of traders in Futures Trading is the fear of missing out (FOMO).

Understanding FOMO in Trading:

  • FOMO, or the fear of missing out, is a powerful emotion that can cloud judgment and lead to impulsive decisions.
  • Recognizing the signs of FOMO is crucial for traders to maintain a disciplined approach to their strategies.

The Role of Emotions in Trading:

  • Emotions play a significant role in trading, influencing decisions and reactions to market movements.
  • Acknowledging emotions like greed, fear, and excitement is the first step towards effective emotional control.

Strategies for Controlling Emotions: 

1/ Establishing a Trading Plan:

Having a well-defined trading plan helps set clear goals and guidelines, reducing the influence of emotions.

2/ Setting Realistic Expectations:

Realistic expectations prevent disappointment and impulsive actions based on unrealistic goals.

3/ Utilizing Risk Management:

Implementing risk management strategies ensures that trades are within acceptable risk limits.

4/ Taking Breaks:

Stepping away from the screen during intense market movements can provide a fresh perspective and prevent emotional reactions.

Mindfulness Techniques:

  • Incorporating mindfulness practices, such as deep breathing or meditation, can help traders stay focused and calm during stressful trading situations.

Learn from Past Trades:

  • Analyzing past trades, especially those influenced by emotions, provides valuable insights for improvement.
  • Keeping a trading journal helps identify patterns in emotional responses and areas for growth.

 

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Daily Levels for April 23rd, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
76e28bf7 7b35 4327 b631 29adba0cf3b5

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Coffee Outlook, Beige Book and Crude Oil Numbers + Levels for April 17th

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C33

 

Powell spoke and stock index futures traded in a volatile, zig zag type of trading most of the day unable to break one way or the other and closing near the unchange.

On the daily chart, both the SP and NASDAQ are noticing more pressure to the downside.

One of the keys for day Traders is to try and establish early on what type of day trading environment they are in.

Is this going to be a trend day it is this going to be a choppy low volatility trading day? is the day unfolding has a potential to be a volatile two-sided type of trading day?

Being aware of the top of trading day that is unfolding in front of you can help you decide which strategies to apply on that trading day.

Knowing what reports are coming out. the general direction of the long term charts can help you.

Different strategies will work better in different type of trading environments.

On a different note, softs, i.e. Cocoa, cotton, Coffee , Sugar, OJ are experiencing much higher volatility than historical norms. Cocoa just dropped close to 8% today after trading above the historical mark of $100 per metric ton.

below you will see a daily chart of Coffee futures and possible future direction.

 

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stars

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Daily Levels for April 17th, 2024

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thumbnail?url=http%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FJnHAMUGdNoM%2Fhqdefault

Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
611bf28a 191a 4e89 bb29 ea18ac3b07a0

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.