Commodities and Tariffs, Crude Oil, AG & Energies, September KC Wheat; Your 6 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 8th, 2025

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Commodities Face Pivotal Tariff Week Post 4th of July

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Commodities, Tariffs on the AG & Energy Markets

Description: Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, breaks down the post-holiday movements in the AG & Energy markets. This week’s key drivers include:

  • Crude oil volatility following OPEC’s surprise output announcement.
  • Heavy losses in corn, soybeans, and wheat tied to favorable U.S. weather.
  • Tariff countdown: U.S. trade negotiations with 18 countries near critical deadlines.
  • China’s geopolitical squeeze and strained EU-China relations.
  • Potential impact of new trade frameworks with the EU & Vietnam.

This week is shaping up to be pivotal. Will new trade deals support the commodities? Or will weather and global politics keep pressure on the markets? Don’t forget to Like, Subscribe, and turn on notifications to stay updated on key market insights.

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Sept. Kansas City Wheat

September KC wheat is testing the contract lows established in May. If this support level doesn’t hold, new sustained lows would project a slide to the second downside PriceCount objective to the $5.02 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 8th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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4th of July Trading Hours, September Mini SP 500; Your 2 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures July 4th – 7th 2025

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4th of July Friday – Happy Independence Day USA!

Blog will resume Monday afternoon!

4th of July
Stock index futures will close early tomorrow at 12:15 Central time

Grains, Livestock, Softs are CLOSED!

Happy 4th of July!

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4th of July Holiday Trading Schedule:

Globex:

Grains

Friday – Closed

Sunday – 7:00 p.m. CT Re-open

 

Livestock

Friday – Closed

Monday – 8:30 a.m. CT Re-open

 

Cryptocurrencies

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

 

Energy

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

 

FX

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

 

Interest Rates

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

 

Metals

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

 

Stock Indices

Thursday – 12.15 p.m. CT Close

Thursday – 5.00 p.m. CT Re-open

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

ICE US

Sugar, Coffee, Cotton, Cocoa, FCOJ

Friday – Closed

Monday – Regular Hours (Cotton re-open at 7.00 a.m. CT)

Canola

Friday – Regular Hours

U.S. Dollar Index

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

Your 4th of July Trading Hours

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Sept. Mini SP 500

Although the weekly chart is trading at an all-time high, the September Emini S&P daily chart is challenging its contract high. At this point, a breakout with new sustained highs would project a run to the second upside PriceCount objective to the 6479 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 4th & 7th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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NFP, 4th of July Trading Hours, Stock Market Stats; Your 3 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 3rd, 2025

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NFP Tomorrow + 4th of July Friday

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

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NFP is tomorrow rather than the usual Friday release!

Stock index futures will close early tomorrow at 12:15 Central time

Take care that the markets are in “holiday mode,” meaning trade participation and thus liquidity can decrease into the Independence Day holiday on Friday. This is more relevant than usual in that it comes along with the early release of this month’s employment report.

NFP

U.S. June Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data will be released tomorrow morning at 7:30 A.M., Central Time, a day earlier that its typical first-Friday-of-the-month release.

Economists are forecasting non-farm payrolls to come in at +110,000 compared to the previous month’s +139,000. The June jobless rate is expected at 4.3%, up +0.1% compared to the previous month. Average hourly earnings are expected up +0.3% month over month. On top of that, weekly Jobless Claims will be released simultaneously.

Please see the schedule below for trading hours tomorrow and Friday. Note that trading hours will be abbreviated tomorrow and Friday.

Found some stock market stats: per data from the St. Louis Federal Reserve, the wealthiest Americans control a majority of shares. The top 1% own half of all corporate equities and mutual funds in the U.S. When factoring in the top 10% of Americans by wealth, ownership of the group rises to close to 90% of all stock market holdings.

This number has not changed meaningfully over time, with the percentage oscillating between 80% and 90% in data that goes back to the end of the 1980’s.

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4th of July Holiday Trading Schedule:

Globex:

Grains

Friday – Closed

Sunday – 7:00 p.m. CT Re-open

 

Livestock

Friday – Closed

Monday – 8:30 a.m. CT Re-open

 

Cryptocurrencies

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

 

Energy

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

 

FX

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

 

Interest Rates

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

 

Metals

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

 

Stock Indices

Thursday – 12.15 p.m. CT Close

Thursday – 5.00 p.m. CT Re-open

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

ICE US

Sugar, Coffee, Cotton, Cocoa, FCOJ

Friday – Closed

Monday – Regular Hours (Cotton re-open at 7.00 a.m. CT)

Canola

Friday – Regular Hours

U.S. Dollar Index

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

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Sept. Mini SP 500

Although the weekly chart is trading at an all-time high, the September Emini S&P daily chart is challenging its contract high. At this point, a breakout with new sustained highs would project a run to the second upside PriceCount objective to the 6479 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 3rd, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

 Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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A Fresh Quarter! Independence Day, BBB, Non-Farm Payrolls, FND/LTD for July, September 10-Year Treasury Notes; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 2nd, 2025

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New Quarter!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

A Fresh Quarter! Independence Day, BBB, Non-Farm Payrolls a day early.

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Day one of Quarter number 3 in the U.S. is behind us. What trends continue and which ones appear to be reversing? Below is a list of contracts whose trends continued for at least the past 2 weeks.

Markets heading Lower, still! Corn, Hogs, Feeder and Live Cattle, Natural Gas, U.S. Dollar, Sugar, Coffee, Soymeal.

Markets going Sideways, still! Crude Oil, Heating Oil, Unleaded Gasoline, Gold, Silver, Canadian Dollar.

Markets going Higher, still! S&P, Dow 30, Nasdaq 100, U.S 30yr Bonds, 10yr Notes, Palladium, Platinum, Copper, Euro, Assie $, B. Pound, S. Franc

Markets Reversing, Rough Rice lower, Oats higher.

This week we have abbreviated trading sessions on both Thursday and Friday. Subdued Volatility, for the moment, conflicts and trade deals have relaxed for the near term.

Although Friday is the 4th of July holiday you may be as surprised as we were when we saw the trading schedule for this upcoming week. In addition to market hour changes we also have the All-important Non-Farm Payrolls report, ordinarily released on the first Friday of the month, the release will occur on Thursday this month @ 7:30 am CDT. If you are an index trader, the markets will have abbreviated hours on Both Thursday and Friday.

Regular hours on Thursday for all other futures contracts with many of the AG’s closed until Monday morning; Metals, Energies, Interest Rates, Currencies and indices will have early closings on the 4th itself.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  ADP Employment Change, EIA Crude oil stocks, New Home Sales

FED Quiet the rest of the week

Earnings: Unifirst Corporation

Tariff news: Anything goes!

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FND/LTD:

Below are the contracts which are entering First Notice or Last Trading Day for July.

Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day

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Sept. 10 Year Treasury Notes

The September 10 year treasury notes completed a second upside PriceCount objective this spring and after a correction lower, spent time consolidating with a sideways trade. IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a possible run to the 115^27 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 2nd, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. 

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

You may lose all or more of your initial investment.

Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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USDA Numbers, Brazilian Real, Levels & Reports; Your 4 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on July 1st, 2025

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USDA Numbers from Today

usda

Tomorrow, we start July with a plethora of reports as we will have a short trading week with 4th of July on Friday.

USDA pegged this year’s planted corn acreage at 95.203 million acres, with soybeans at 83.380 million – both coming in slightly below USDA’s March 31 estimate and below the average pre-report trade guess. The soybean acreage may come in even lower in August, based on our expectations that the late wheat harvest will prevent some double-cropped soybeans to get planted.

That likely would not have fully been accounted for in this June 1 survey. All wheat acreage rose slightly, with small gains across the board for winter and spring wheat. None of these acreage numbers are really market movers, other than the fact that an even lower soybean acreage estimate leaves us more vulnerable to a weather scare.

The June 1 quarterly stocks survey results were relatively close to pre-report estimates as well, although both soybeans and wheat came in a bit higher than expected. The corn, soybean and wheat stocks estimate suggest less residual usage, which translates into less feed usage for wheat for the previous marketing year, with implications then for the current year as well.

That’s been a pattern for USDA in recent years, suggesting that perhaps it is under-estimating the size of U.S. wheat crops. But overall, this is one of the tamer June 30 sets of reports that I’ve seen in a while, with the market now moving on to trade weather, potential trade agreements, and biofuel policy.

USDA inspected 53.9 million bushels of corn for export in the week ending June 26, along with 8.3 million bushels of soybeans, 16 million bushels of wheat, and 0.4 million bushels of grain sorghum. Marketing year to date export inspections total 2.163 billion bushels, up 490 million bushels or 29% from the previous year’s pace, and up 138 million bushels from the seasonal pace needed to hit USDA’s target for the marketing year that ends on August 31.

As such, look for USDA to increase its old-crop corn export target again in its July WASDE crop report, although the trade is now focused on new crop growing conditions. The gap continues to grow week to week. Marketing year to date soybean export inspections total 1.685 billion bushels, up 158 million bushels or 10% from the previous year’s pace. The total exceeds the seasonal pace needed to hit USDA’s target by 66 million bushels, but that gap continues to shrink each week.

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Brazilian Real

The weekly Brazilian real chart established a long term low last fall. Now, on the correction higher, we have activated upside PriceCount objectives to aim for.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for July 1st, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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PCE, August Soymeal, Levels & Reports; Your 4 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on June 27th, 2025

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PCE Tomorrow

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PCE

Core PCE is watched closely by the Fed in relation to inflation and this report has the potential to move the market.

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August Soymeal

August soymeal is extending its bear slide with fresh contract lows. The chart is extremely oversold short term but at this point, over time, we appear to be taking aim at the third downside PriceCount objective to the $256 area. This target is consistent with a test the major weekly chart low from 2016.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for June 27th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

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All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. 

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment.

Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Full Day of Trading Reports Tomorrrow! PCE, Weekly Unemployment, Natural Gas, August Live Cattle; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on June 26th, 2025

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Trading Day Full of Reports Ahead!

reports

REPORTS TOMORROW: Core PCE, weekly unemployment, natural gas numbers, Fed speakers, GDP, Durable goods and more….

FULL DAY OF NEW REPORTS AHEAD.

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August Live Cattle

August live cattle recently activated downside PriceCount objectives from the June highs. The first count projects a possible slide to the 206.40 area. The low percentage fourth upside count near 257 is not shown here for presentation purposes.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for June 26th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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VIX, 12-Day War, Sept. Coffee; Your 3 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on June 25th, 2025

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Take a Look at the VIX

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

vix

12-Day War; Volatility and THE VIX

The Fragile state of the 12-day war will create more angst in our markets if the ceasefire does not hold. President Trumps impact reaches beyond the tariff wars as more negotiations will be revealed as western leaders meet in the Netherlands the next few days. And as Europe’s NATO leaders gather in The Hague to agree on a historic defense spending target of 5 percent, the answer may come as a surprise.

Rather than doing a market recap today; below is a brief I put together regarding The Volatility Index or simply “The Vix Index”. This instrument is a futures contract traded at the Chicago Board Options Exchange which is the pre-eminent American Stock Option Exchange.

Call your Cannon Broker if you think you would benefit from live or even delayed VIX data on your trading platform.

The VIX Index is a calculation designed to produce a measure of constant, 30-day expected volatility of the U.S. stock market, derived from real-time, mid-quote prices of S&P 500® Index (SPX℠) call and put options. On a global basis, it is one of the most recognized measures of volatility — widely reported by financial media and closely followed by a variety of market participants as a daily market indicator.

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future with its ebbs and flows.

Choose your opportunities wisely. Today’s market swings were largely back to normal (pre tariff talk normal)

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  Building Permits, EIA Crude oil stocks, New Home Sales

FED Chair Powell Congressional Testimony (Senate) 9:00 am

Earnings: Micron, General Mills

Tariff news: Anything goes!

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The VIX Index is a calculation designed to produce a measure of constant, 30-day expected volatility of the U.S. stock market, derived from real-time, mid-quote prices of S&P 500® Index (SPX℠) call and put options. On a global basis, it is one of the most recognized measures of volatility — widely reported by financial media and closely followed by a variety of market participants as a daily market indicator.

The inverse can easily be represented by looking at the Daily S&P chart

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Sept. Coffee

September coffee satisfied its second downside PriceCount objective and is consolidating its trade. At this point, IF the chart can resume its slide with new sustained lows, the third count would project a possible slide to the 282 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for June 25th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. 

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment.

Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Iran, Energy, Grain, Oil, Fertilizer; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on June 24th, 2025

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Iran

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Two-day Fed Chair Powell congressional testimony (historically more volatility on day 1) starting tomorrow!

Video below on U.S. Strikes Iran: Oil, Fertilizer &

Market Fallout Analysis:

Description: Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, reports live from the trading floor following a major U.S. military strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities. In this special June 23 market update, we break down the strike’s implications for:

  • Oil markets and Strait of Hormuz risks
  • Fertilizer supply chains under threat
  • Grain and energy prices in early trading
  • Potential geopolitical escalation—and how traders are reacting
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July Class III Milk

July class III milk continues to slide and has negated the remaining unmet upside PriceCount near 23 cents (not shown for presentation purposes) with the trade below the late April reactionary low. At this point, the chart would need to violate the contract low before it could take aim at the third downside count to the 16.89 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for June 24th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Iran – Israel Conflict, July Class III Milk, Day Trading Futures Pt. 2; Your 3 Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures the Week of June 23rd, 2025

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1247

  • The Week Ahead – Israel – Iran, End of Quarter 2, Powell Testimony

  • Futures 102 – Podcast – Day Trade Futures?

  • Hot Market of the Week – July Milk

  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Mini Dow Jones Swing Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Iran – Israel Conflict

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Treachery in the Middle East, 2-day Fed Chair Powell congressional testimony (historically more volatility on day 1), Heavy Fed Speakers and the end of Quarter # 2, 2025.

Remember that current market drivers for Equities are hard data on Jobs, Inflation, Trump tweets and Geopolitics, clearly the Isreal/Iran conflict jumps to the top of the list here.

Continued volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to whatever comes out of the Israel/Iran conflict, The FRB, U.S. Govt leadership relating to conflicts cessation and trade deals.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. KB Home
  • Tue. Fedex, Carnival
  • Wed. Micron, General Mills
  • Thu. Nike, Walgreens
  • Fri. Oracle

FED SPEECHES: (all time CDT)

  • Mon.  Waller 2:00am (from the Central Banking conference in Prague), Bowman 9:00        am, Goolsbee 12:10 pm, Kugler 1:30 pm
  • Tues. Hammack 8:15 am, Chair Powell Congressional Testimony 9:00 am (House), Williams 11:30 am, Collins 1:05 pm, Barr 3:00 pm
  • Wed. Chair Powell Congressional Testimony (Senate) 9:00 am
  • Thu.  Barkin 7:00am, Hammack 8:00am, Barr 12:15pm
  • Fri.   Williams 6:30 am, Cook and Hammack 8:15 am

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. SP composite PMI, Existing Home sales
  • Tue.  RedBook, Case-Schiller Home data, CB Consumer Confidence, Richmand Fed,
  • Wed. Building Permits, EIA Crude oil stocks, New Home Sales
  • Thur. Chicago Fed Index, Core PCE, Durable Goods, GDP Growth Final, Retail Inventories, Pending Home Sales, EIA NAT GAS Storage,
  • Fri. Core PCE, Mich. Consumer Sentiment,
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Ask a Broker: What is Day Trading Futures, Part 2?

Watch Video Now 

Ask a Broker: Why Trade Bitcoin Futures?

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

July Class III Milk

July class III milk continues to slide and has negated the remaining unmet upside PriceCount near 23 cents (not shown for presentation purposes) with the trade below the late April reactionary low. At this point, the chart would need to violate the contract low before it could take aim at the third downside count to the 16.89 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Position Trading Cont v.3_ E-mini Dow Jones YM

Markets Traded:   YM – Mini Dow Jones

System Type: Swing Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Partially Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $25,000

Developer Fee per contract: $140.00 Monthly Subscription

Get Started

Learn More

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Disclaimer: The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

IMPORTANT RISK DISCLOSURE

Futures trading is complex and carries the risk of substantial losses. It is not suitable for all investors. The ability to withstand losses and to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can adversely affect investor returns.

The returns for trading systems listed throughout this website are hypothetical in that they represent returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real-time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on backadjusted data (backadjusted).

Please read carefully the CFTC required disclaimer regarding hypothetical results below. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW.

NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING.

FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

Please read full disclaimer HERE.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?

Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for June 23rd, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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