US January Non-Farm Payroll Report: Key Forecasts and Market Impact

9dc1e02e d5f7 4ff4 abf7 1df60775f196

NFP Tomorrow – Non Farm Payrolls Tomorrow

Non Farm Payrolls

US January Non-Farm Payrolls data will be released Friday morning at 7:30 am CT. Economists are forecasting non-farm payrolls +170,000 compared to the previous month’s +256,000. The January jobless rate is expected at 4.1%, unchanged compared to the previous month. Average hourly earnings are expected up +0.3% month over month.

S
With Non-Farm Payroll coming in tomorrow, We suspect a busy, volatile Friday as other reports and speakers will be out. Make sure to check calendar below.

April Hogs satisfied a second upside PriceCount  objective before turning sideways with a range bound trade. At this point, IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a potential run to the 100.96 area.

d8637136 270b 4df5 b526 1b4fa9f92e59

 

Daily Levels for February 7th, 2025

00a1999e acfc 426e 9ff2 0bc552783452

 

822b33c5 2339 45ed bc84 e9c8f8c7358e

 

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

ca6e8523 4dbe 4434 aaf9 ebdf7841ccd1

Find us on Trustpilot

stars

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

S
Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn
S
ef3ab1c9 8d6d 4e60 a3f1 af5d9d4ecbb3
Services
Software
Tools
Community
Contact

 

Market Turbulence and Global Tensions: Key Developments in Politics, Economy, and War

9dc1e02e d5f7 4ff4 abf7 1df60775f196

 

Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Market turbulence and volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future as global tensions rise.

Choose your opportunities wisely.

Updated: February 4, 2025 11:19 am

WSJ on Tuesday now reporting President Trump and China’s leader Xi will not speak to each other later today

Updated: February 4, 2025 11:24 am

Bloomberg reported on Tuesday that around 20,000 US federal employees accepted buyout offers. The Washington Post today is reporting layoffs of federal employees is likely if too few of them choose to accept buyouts or quit.

 

Updated: February 4, 2025 2:17 pm

Pres. Trump said he would have talks with his Iranian counterpart, but also said Iran is too close to having and cannot have nuclear weapons

 

Updated: February 4, 2025 2:23 pm

Pres Trump he would like to Palestinians taken in by Egypt and Jordan, adding they have no alternative but to leave. He is not in favor of Israeli’s settling in Gaza

Russia – Ukraine War Update

–Reuters reports Ukraine’s military said on Tuesday its air force had struck a Russian military command post in Russia’s Kursk region the previous day causing sustained significant damage and casualties. Reuters could not independently verify the statement.

–Ukraine’s military has reported numerous strikes on Russian military and energy facilities in recent weeks. Ukrainian forces have been battling Russian troops in the Kursk region since Ukraine mounted a cross border operation there last year.

–A pro-Russian Ukrainian paramilitary leader, Armen Sarkisyan, was killed along with one other person, and three more people were wounded in a bomb blast inside a residential building in northwest Moscow, Russian state news agency TASS reports.

–Russia’s Investigative Committee said it opened a criminal inquiry after the explosion on charges of murder by means injurious to the public, attempted murder of two or more people and arms trafficking.

–Ukrainian forces are believed to be behind a series of assassinations in Russia. In mid-December, Russian General Igor Kirillov died in a remote-controlled blast in Moscow.

–The United Nations echoed Ukraine’s growing concerns that Russia killed 79 captured Ukrainian soldiers in 24 separate incidents since September.

–A former United Kingdom MP, Jack Lopresti, has joined the Ukrainian International Legion to help fight against Russia, media reports said. Lopresti reportedly travelled to Kyiv in November to help a charity.

 

S
–Russia’s Ministry of Defense said Moscow’s air defense units intercepted and destroyed 70 drones in a Ukrainian offensive overnight. The ministry said Kyiv had also targeted energy facilities, including an oil refinery in Volgograd which had caught fire.

–Ukraine’s military claimed responsibility for strikes on Russian energy facilities, claiming that it hit a Russian oil refinery in Volgograd and a gas processing plant in Astrakhan. Both establishments supplied fuel to the Russian Army, according to the military.

–State Emergency Service workers of Ukraine work at the site of a rocket strike on a residential building in Poltava

Ukrainian rescuers working at the site of a rocket strike on a residential building in Poltava, where at least seven people died and 17 others, including four children, were injured, on February 1, 2025 [Handout/State Emergency Service of Ukraine via EPA-EFE]

–Kyiv’s Air Force said it destroyed 38 of 71 Russian drones launched at Ukraine in an overnight attack. Some 25 drones disappeared from radars without reaching their targets, the Air Force said.

–According to the Reuters news agency, Moscow also said that it was too early for Russia to consider the four-way peace talks model proposed by Zelenskyy, which would include the US, Ukraine, Russia and the EU. Zelenskyy previously said it would be very dangerous if Washington and Moscow held ceasefire talks without involving Kyiv.

–Russia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson, Maria Zakharova, criticized the Finnish government over the publication of an information package for its citizens who are planning or considering volunteering on Ukraine’s side in the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war.

–US President Donald Trump told reporters in the Oval Office that he is seeking a secure supply of rare earth metals from Ukraine in exchange for US aid.

–Moldova’s Foreign Ministry issued a statement denouncing the invasion of its airspace by a drone and said it was discussing with allies how to boost airspace defense. The statement detailed that the drone entered from Ukraine’s airspace, but did not identify the origin or likely operator of the drone.

Tomorrow: Disney before the open, Qualcomm Earnings after the close! ADP, Balance of Trade, Barkin Speech 8am CST, ISM Svcs., Fed Jefferson Speech 6:30 pm CST

 

Daily Levels for February 5th, 2025

b7dfff27 aaba 4c7f b255 4a353832214f

822b33c5 2339 45ed bc84 e9c8f8c7358e

 

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

92e065fa b229 46da 97ba ab6e3c708abf

Find us on Trustpilot

stars

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

S
Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn
S
ef3ab1c9 8d6d 4e60 a3f1 af5d9d4ecbb3
Services
Software
Tools
Community
Contact

First and Last Commodity Trading Days February 2025

9dc1e02e d5f7 4ff4 abf7 1df60775f196

 

First Notice & last trading Days for February

Please see below First Notice and Last Commodity Trading days for February! Make it a disciplined trading month.

4e55af64 47cb 4e91 9f17 a0fa24bf020a

cdedb386 b6b2 4845 bd69 e2abcd75328c

 

Daily Levels for February 4, 2025

05c4db2f f9d3 44c3 beb7 4f08f980f6fe

822b33c5 2339 45ed bc84 e9c8f8c7358e

 

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

b0d49e0c b3dc 48f9 aa69 f11dfdd4220d

Find us on Trustpilot

stars

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

S
Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn
S
ef3ab1c9 8d6d 4e60 a3f1 af5d9d4ecbb3
Services
Software
Tools
Community
Contact

April Gold Futures Hit Record High Amid Tariff Concerns and Weaker Dollar

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

C105

Gold Futures Trading at All Time Highs!

April gold futures – the most-active futures contract – hit a new all-time high as the dollar pushed lower and traders sought safety amid concerns over the new U.S. administration’s tariff measures. April gold settled up 2.7% at $2,845.20 per ounce, after hitting a record intraday high of $2,853.20 earlier in the day. The prior record of $2,800.80 was set in late October.

 Gold Weekly Chart with Possible targets for your Review Below:

Trade gold futures and select from three different contract sizes – 100-oz., 50-oz. and 10-oz. – with a FREE, top-of-the-line trading platform that includes built-in charts, hundreds of indicators, a great DOM and super low day trading margins.

Don’t have time to do it yourself? Work with an experienced broker!

6b0f4c26 ea3d 4096 94ec 89cea35d7caa

6e33dc1c 4869 43ac a651 4490e63317c6

Daily Levels for January 31st, 2024

06ee3ca1 7c2a 4e0f 8ed6 7b1904632070

820c712f f614 495c 8984 d361bf2d99c3

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
4638364d e842 4ec1 8dbb f2a61bdaf8c3
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Russell 2000 Futures

The Russell 2000 Futures contract is a cornerstone of the futures trading world, providing traders with a robust tool to speculate on or hedge against movements in small-cap equity markets. Since its inception, the Russell 2000 Futures, often abbreviated as RUT 2000 Futures, has undergone significant evolution, becoming a vital component of modern futures trading. This piece explores its origins, development, and role in the market, while highlighting why trading futures with Cannon Trading Company is an exceptional choice for traders at all experience levels.

The Birth of the Russell 2000 Futures Contract

The Russell 2000 Index, launched in 1984 by the Frank Russell Company, tracks the performance of the smallest 2,000 stocks within the Russell 3000 Index, representing U.S. small-cap companies. The introduction of the Russell 2000 Futures Contract followed shortly after, in response to increasing demand for products enabling investors to trade on the performance of small-cap stocks in a standardized, liquid manner.

The Key Figures Behind the Inception

Several financial pioneers were instrumental in bringing the Russell 2000 Futures to life. William F. Sharpe, a Nobel laureate and consultant to the Frank Russell Company, helped refine the methodology for index construction. His contributions ensured that the Russell indices offered an accurate reflection of market segments.

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), a leading futures exchange, played a central role in facilitating the trading of these contracts. Key figures at CME, such as Leo Melamed, known as the “father of financial futures,” were advocates for innovation in derivatives markets. Under Melamed’s leadership, the CME expanded its offerings, including equity index futures like the RUT 2000 Futures.

Early Trading Anecdotes and Challenges

When trading began, many small-cap companies featured in the Russell 2000 were relatively unknown. Traders found the RUT 2000 Futures offered an efficient way to manage exposure to this high-risk, high-reward market segment. Anecdotes from early trading sessions illustrate the volatility of small-cap stocks and the corresponding opportunities in the futures market. For instance, a trader who identified a trend in burgeoning tech startups in the early 1990s could leverage RUT 2000 Futures to magnify returns or hedge against broader market risks.

One notable early trade occurred during the dot-com boom. A hedge fund manager, anticipating a bubble in small-cap tech stocks, used Russell 2000 Futures contracts to short the index. When the bubble burst, this strategic use of futures resulted in substantial profits for the fund, solidifying the contract’s reputation as a powerful tool for both speculation and risk management.

Evolution and Modern-Day Use

Over the decades, the Russell 2000 Futures have evolved in terms of accessibility, technology, and utility. Originally traded in open-outcry pits, the advent of electronic trading platforms revolutionized futures trading. CME’s Globex platform, introduced in 1992, allowed traders worldwide to access RUT 2000 Futures, increasing liquidity and efficiency.

Contract Specifications

The modern Russell 2000 Futures contract has standardized terms that make it attractive to a broad range of traders. Key specifications include:

  • Contract Size: $50 times the Russell 2000 Index value.
  • Tick Size: 0.10 index points, equivalent to $5 per tick.
  • Settlement: Cash-settled to the final index value.

These attributes make it suitable for individual traders and institutional investors alike. Additionally, the introduction of E-mini and Micro E-mini RUT Futures has lowered barriers to entry, enabling smaller traders to participate without excessive capital requirements.

Hypothetical Trading Scenario

Consider a trader bullish on small-cap stocks due to favorable economic conditions. With the Russell 2000 Index trading at 1,800 points, the trader buys two RUT 2000 Futures contracts at this level. Each contract’s notional value is $90,000 ($50 × 1,800), requiring a margin deposit of roughly $6,000 per contract.

The index rises to 1,850, yielding a gain of 50 points. For two contracts, the profit is $5,000 ($50 × 50 points × 2 contracts). This example demonstrates how RUT 2000 Futures enable traders to amplify returns with minimal upfront capital, though the risks of leveraged losses must also be acknowledged.

The Role of Futures Brokers

The evolution of futures trading platforms and brokerage services has been crucial in shaping the market. Futures brokers serve as the backbone of trading, offering access to platforms, market data, and educational resources.

Cannon Trading Company: A Premier Futures Broker

Cannon Trading Company has established itself as a top-tier futures broker, earning 5-star ratings on TrustPilot and accolades for its decades of experience. Here’s why Cannon Trading is a standout choice for trading futures contracts:

  • Diverse Platform Selection: Cannon Trading provides access to industry-leading platforms such as NinjaTrader, TradeStation, and CQG. Each platform is tailored to different trading styles, ensuring both novice and seasoned traders have the tools they need.
  • Educational Resources: Cannon Trading offers extensive resources for futures traders, including market analysis, webinars, and trading guides. This focus on education empowers clients to make informed decisions.
  • Regulatory Excellence: With a stellar reputation among regulatory bodies like the NFA and CFTC, Cannon Trading emphasizes transparency and compliance, giving traders peace of mind.
  • Personalized Service: Unlike generic online brokers, Cannon Trading provides personalized service, pairing clients with experienced brokers who understand their unique needs.

Real-Life Case Studies

Case Study 1: Hedging Risk with RUT 2000 Futures

In 2020, a small-cap mutual fund manager faced uncertainty amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Concerned about potential market downturns, they used RUT 2000 Futures to hedge their portfolio. By selling futures contracts, the manager mitigated losses as the index fell, demonstrating the contracts’ value for risk management.

Case Study 2: Leveraged Gains

An individual futures trader, recognizing strong earnings growth in small-cap companies in 2021, decided to go long on E-mini RUT Futures. With precise entry and exit strategies, the trader achieved a 25% return on initial margin, highlighting the profit potential of leveraged futures trading.

The Future of Russell 2000 Futures Trading

As technology advances, the Russell 2000 Futures market will continue to grow. Innovations like AI-driven trading algorithms and blockchain-based clearing systems promise to enhance efficiency and transparency. Moreover, the increasing globalization of markets means more traders from diverse backgrounds will access RUT 2000 Futures, further boosting liquidity.

The Russell 2000 Futures contract has evolved from a niche product into a vital instrument for traders worldwide. With its origins rooted in the vision of financial pioneers, the RUT 2000 Futures now serve as a powerful tool for hedging and speculation in the small-cap equity market. For traders seeking an exceptional futures broker, Cannon Trading Company stands out for its unparalleled platform selection, regulatory excellence, and client-focused approach. Whether you are a novice futures trader or an experienced market participant, Cannon Trading provides the resources and support necessary to succeed in the dynamic world of futures trading.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Tech Turmoil, AI Competition, and the FED Decision: A Pivotal Week for Markets

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

C102

Movers and shakers!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

What a reversal!  After yesterday’s huge tech sell off initiated by a realization that a new AI app uses cheaper chips, The AI challenge from China shook the trading consciousness to the very roots of the U.S. AI talking points/ narrative. If true, what a breath of fresh air, think about it, the barriers to entry for innovation have been lowered 10 fold or more!, More competition in the A.I. zeitgeist is critical to reaching innovative success.

Tomorrow is FED Rate decision day, followed by Chairman Powell’s presser at 1PM CDT and 1:30 PM CDT respectively.

According to CME’s FEDWATCH tool , expectations are for no change from the current 4.25-4.50 fed funds rate, the rate charged to borrowing banks. Higher inflation, leads to higher Bond yields, Higher Yields lead to lower bond prices, and greater hesitancy by the FED to lower rates anytime soon.

Watch out for post cash close Earnings tomorrow and a number of other events.

 

Today’s Movers

**US December Advanced Durable Goods: -2.2%; prior -1.2%

**US December Advanced Durable Goods ex Trans: +0.3%; prior -0.1%

**US December Advanced Durable Goods ex Def: -2.4%; prior -0.3%

Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales Headline Recap

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.5% in the first four weeks of January 2025 vs January 2024

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.9% in the week ending January 25th vs yr ago wee

Case Schiller 20 US Metro-Area Home Prices Recap

**Case Schiller 20 US metro area home prices for November Y/Y: +4.3% from the year ago month

**Case Schiller 20 US metro area home prices for November M/M: +0.4% vs prior month

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Headline Recap

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Index: -4.0 ; prior -10.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Shipments Index: -9.0 ; prior -11.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing New Orders: -4.0 ; prior -11.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Employees: +3.0 ; prior -8.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Prices Paid: +2.37 ; prior +2.86

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Prices Received: +1.21 ; prior +1.71

**Richmond Fed January Service Sector Index: +4.0 ; prior +23.0

Tomorrow’s Movers and Shakers:

7:30 AM CST Goods Trade Balance and Retail/Wholesale inventories.

1:00 PM CDT Fed Rate Decision

1:00 PM CDT Fed Press Conference

  Earnings:

(95 rpts) Pre-Open Alibaba, MSFT, META, TSLA, IBM all after the cash close.

Plan your trade and trade your plan.

820c712f f614 495c 8984 d361bf2d99c3

 

 

Daily Levels for January 29th, 2024

bb4e93f0 319d 4e9e 8338 d19aee26a696

 

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
a8e20ef9 a64a 46ef 9010 6534b5b8b01c
6e33dc1c 4869 43ac a651 4490e63317c6
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Gold Investment Guide: Choosing Between Gold Futures and Gold ETFs

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

Price Gold Futures

Discover the right gold investment for you

US stocks gapped lower after Chinese AI competitor DeepSeek rose to the top spot on US app stores over the weekend, supplanting OpenAI. The NASDAQ plunged ~4% before the opening bell. Nvidia shares were routed, loosing some $500B in market cap falling below its 200-day moving average for the first time since fall 2023. The entire AI stack including semiconductors, nearly all things related to data centers, and electrical power generation saw whipsaw pullbacks on worries that a significantly cheaper, opensourced AI model could upend the boom in spending seen around US LLMs. Defensive flows into staples, healthcare, and some small caps could not offset the selling seen across the AI ecosystem, but breadth was much more positive relative to the declines seen in the S&P and NASDAQ. US Treasury markets saw prices surge too, and rates fell ahead of the FOMC meeting. The US 10-year yield fell back to 4.5% before bouncing. The US dollar index remained heavy. Crude and natural gas prices fell. 

If you’re considering investing in gold, you might be wondering whether Gold futures or gold ETFs are the better fit for your portfolio. Our latest article delves into the key differences between these two investment options, helping you make an informed decision.

In this article, we explore:

  • The significant differences in the liquidity, exposure and costs between Gold futures and gold ETFs.
  • How individual investors can participate in the performance of gold.
  • The opportunities for maximizing returns and potential tax advantages of Gold futures.

2253eea7 0a48 4e02 8503 5fa010229794

820c712f f614 495c 8984 d361bf2d99c3

Daily Levels for January 28th, 2024

7981017c 37a5 4715 8f8d 649852e89b9b

 

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
956dbd8a 0351 45c9 a4d2 4ab4d8dfd21f
6e33dc1c 4869 43ac a651 4490e63317c6
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

NG Futures

Natural Gas (NG) futures have long captured the imagination of traders and investors worldwide, providing a unique blend of opportunity and volatility. Over the decades, natural gas evolved from a standard utility resource to a speculative commodity that drives significant activity in the futures markets. Understanding how this transition occurred, the factors influencing price movements, and the key figures involved in the rise of NG futures sheds light on their current prominence. Additionally, examining why Cannon Trading Company is a premier choice for trading futures contracts solidifies the importance of aligning with experienced brokers in navigating this dynamic market.

The Evolution of Natural Gas Futures as a Speculative Commodity

Natural gas, historically, was viewed as a straightforward energy resource—a reliable, abundant fuel for heating, electricity, and industrial uses. However, the deregulation of the energy markets in the late 20th century set the stage for its transformation into a speculative commodity. Before deregulation, natural gas prices were tightly controlled by government policies, ensuring stability but limiting market-driven price discovery. The Natural Gas Policy Act of 1978, followed by the full deregulation of wellhead prices in 1989, opened the floodgates for free-market dynamics.

As a result, natural gas began trading on commodity exchanges. The New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) played a pivotal role, launching its first NG futures contracts in 1990. These contracts offered a standardized way to hedge and speculate on natural gas prices, providing transparency and liquidity to the market. Futures traders were drawn to the market’s volatility, driven by weather patterns, geopolitical events, and supply-demand dynamics.

Key Figures in the Rise of NG Futures

  • Richard Sandor: Often dubbed the “father of financial futures,” Sandor’s vision for commodity markets extended to natural gas. His early work laid the groundwork for the development of energy futures, including NG futures.
  • J. Aron & Company: This firm, which later became part of Goldman Sachs, was instrumental in pioneering energy trading strategies. J. Aron’s involvement in the natural gas markets during the early days of deregulation set the tone for speculative activity.
  • Enron Corporation: Enron’s aggressive entry into the natural gas market in the 1990s exemplified the speculative nature of the commodity. The company’s rise and eventual collapse highlighted both the opportunities and risks inherent in NG futures trading.

These key players, alongside innovative traders and market makers, helped shape natural gas into the speculative powerhouse it is today.

Price Movements and Expectations for 2025

Natural gas prices are notoriously volatile due to their sensitivity to supply-demand imbalances, weather conditions, and geopolitical developments. Traders in 2025 can expect this volatility to persist, driven by several key factors:

  1. Weather Patterns and Seasonal Demand
    Natural gas consumption spikes during extreme weather conditions—increasing in winter for heating and in summer for electricity-driven cooling. For instance, during the Polar Vortex of 2021, natural gas prices surged as demand outstripped supply. In 2025, similar weather phenomena could lead to sharp price swings.
  2. Global Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Markets
    The growing role of LNG in connecting U.S. natural gas supplies with global markets introduces new layers of complexity. Price movements in 2025 will likely reflect global economic conditions, international demand, and shipping constraints.
  3. Regulatory and Environmental Policies
    With the global push toward renewable energy, regulations affecting fossil fuels will play a significant role. Policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions or incentivizing renewable energy could impact natural gas demand and, consequently, futures prices.
  4. Technological Innovations in Energy Extraction
    Technological advancements in hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling have made natural gas extraction more efficient, affecting supply levels. Traders will need to monitor these developments closely in 2025 to anticipate changes in production trends and costs.

Hypothetical Trading Scenario for 2025

A futures trader anticipating a colder-than-usual winter might buy NG futures contracts in late summer when prices are typically lower. If severe weather materializes, driving up demand, the trader could sell the contracts at a premium. Conversely, if the forecast proves inaccurate, the trader could face losses. This scenario underscores the importance of market research and risk management.

In another scenario, a futures trader could analyze global LNG shipping trends and identify potential supply chain disruptions. By purchasing NG futures in anticipation of these disruptions, the trader positions themselves to capitalize on the resulting price increases.

Real-Life Anecdotes and Case Studies

One of the most notable cases in natural gas trading involves hedge fund Amaranth Advisors, which lost $6.6 billion in 2006 due to poorly managed NG futures bets. The firm’s trader, Brian Hunter, had taken large positions expecting a rise in natural gas prices that did not materialize. This cautionary tale emphasizes the inherent risks in futures trading and the need for disciplined strategies.

In contrast, savvy traders like John Arnold, a former Enron trader and founder of Centaurus Advisors, have successfully navigated the natural gas markets. Arnold’s ability to anticipate market trends and manage risk made him a legend in the energy trading world.

Another compelling example is the 2021 winter storm in Texas, which disrupted natural gas supply chains. Traders who had hedged their positions effectively managed to profit from the unforeseen supply shortages. This highlights the value of using NG futures to mitigate risk and capitalize on market opportunities.

Why Choose Cannon Trading Company for Futures Trading?

For traders seeking to navigate the complexities of NG futures, partnering with a reputable broker is paramount. Cannon Trading Company stands out as a top choice for several reasons:

  1. Wide Selection of Top-Performing Trading Platforms
    Cannon Trading offers a range of platforms tailored to meet the needs of both novice and experienced traders. Whether you prefer a user-friendly interface or advanced analytics, Cannon has a platform to suit your trading style.
  2. Decades of Experience
    With over 30 years in the futures markets, Cannon Trading has a deep understanding of market dynamics. Their seasoned brokers provide valuable insights and support, helping traders make informed decisions.
  3. Exemplary Reputation with Regulatory Bodies
    Cannon Trading maintains a stellar reputation with regulatory bodies, ensuring compliance and transparency. This commitment to integrity builds trust with traders and reinforces their position as a leading futures broker.
  4. 5 out of 5-Star Ratings on TrustPilot
    Customer satisfaction is a cornerstone of Cannon Trading’s success. The firm’s high TrustPilot ratings reflect its dedication to providing exceptional service and support.
  5. Comprehensive Educational Resources
    Cannon Trading provides a wealth of educational materials to help traders enhance their knowledge. From webinars to in-depth guides on NG futures, these resources empower traders at every experience level.

Natural gas futures have evolved into a vital component of the global energy markets, offering opportunities for hedging and speculation. The market’s journey from a regulated utility resource to a speculative commodity underscores the transformative power of deregulation and innovation. Traders entering the NG futures market in 2025 can expect continued volatility influenced by weather, global LNG trends, regulatory developments, and technological advancements.

For those looking to trade NG futures, Cannon Trading Company provides the tools, expertise, and trustworthiness needed to succeed. With its wide selection of trading platforms, decades of experience, and impeccable reputation, Cannon Trading is an ideal partner for navigating the dynamic world of futures trading.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572(International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

Futures Trading Insights for Jan. 23rd: Equity Gains, Energy Dips, and Gold Surges

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

C102

What you need to know before trading futures on Jan. 23rd:

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

Stock Indexes:  

Equity index futures rose today, powered by a rise in technology stocks after the new administration announced mammoth spending plans for artificial intelligence infrastructure, while the U.S. Dollar Index traded to a two-week low as tariffs were delayed.

Late on Tuesday, Pres. Trump announced that OpenAI, Japan’s SoftBank and Oracle will form a joint venture and invest up to $500 billion to build data AI centers.  Shares of SoftBank surged 10.6% in Tokyo, Oracle gained 7.6% on Wall Street, adding to Tuesday’s 7.2% jump.  The March E-mini Nasdaq lead U.S. stock index futures with a ±1.45% / ±300-point ascent, while the March E-mini S&P 500 gained ±.7% / ±40 points.  The March E-mini Dow lagged somewhat with a ±.25% / 120-poing upswing.

Energy:   

Oil prices eased to a fresh one-week low today as the market considers how the new administration’s proposed tariffs could affect global economic growth and demand for energy.

March West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) traded 39 cents, or 0.5%, lower to settle at $75.44.

That puts WTI down for a fourth day in a row for the first time since November. Both crude benchmarks – WTI and Brent – closed at their lowest since Jan. 9 for a second day in a row.

Crude Oil numbers will be out tomorrow due to MLK holiday this past Monday.

Metals: 

Gold futures (Feb.) prices traded to near three-month highs Tuesday, fueled in part by the weaker dollar and a seemingly lack of clarity around the new administration’s policy plans, which investors fear could trigger trade wars and elevate market volatility.

Feb. Gold added ±$7 to $2,766 per ounce as of this typing. Prices were at their highest since Nov. 5 when they hit their intraday high of $2,782.8.

820c712f f614 495c 8984 d361bf2d99c3

Daily Levels for January 23rd, 2024

 

f4490e92 42a6 4063 86be 035727b81810

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
a52ce1de 0ef3 4197 9981 90cb76be313c
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Post-MLK Market Moves: Dollar Dives, Commodities Rally, and Equities Surge

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

C77

Movers and shakers!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Post MLK Holiday and the 60th  U.S. Presidential Inauguration the markets are on the move.

 

The U.S.Dollar is getting whacked, down 1.35 ( Crypto headlines emanating from the Whitehouse perhaps?)

 

From the Energy Markets giving back some of their gains “Drill baby Drill” from the past few trading sessions, to the Precious metals , inching a little higher after a tremendous downward push last night producing a Bullish engulfing pattern after today’s session. (lower lows , higher highs and closing on the high side during the same trading session)

Soybeans, really took off, up 33 plus cents in the front months (old Crop) along with all the row crops, Corn, Wheat, Oats. The deferreds were strong as well, Novemebr and Jan 2026 up 20 cents

Equities have re asserted their rally maintaining the bullish push from the day election rally.

ECB President LaGarde Speaks @9:15 CST a.m.

 

Plan your trade and trade your plan

f2d63535 9dfd 44d4 b277 f1d013efd682

Daily Levels for January 22nd, 2024

1a039ead a3d5 4357 9fd9 d32e10a84924

 

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
0199e076 6f09 4132 8bab 955d07b93ab1
Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.