Mastering Micro Bitcoin Futures: Basics and Strategies for Traders

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 Bitcoin

Micro Bitcoin basics

Micro Bitcoin futures (MBT) provide an efficient, cost-effective new way to fine-tune bitcoin exposure and enhance your trading strategies. Offering multiple benefits for traders, it’s important to understand the contract mechanics. This course will cover the basics of Micro Bitcoin futures, the fundamentals behind the contract, and different ways to use.

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Daily Levels for January 14th, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Wheat Future Contract

The wheat future contract has been a cornerstone of the agricultural futures market for centuries, allowing producers, processors, and investors to hedge against price fluctuations in a volatile global market. Today, futures trading has evolved into a sophisticated financial tool supported by cutting-edge technology and regulatory frameworks. This article will explore the evolution of wheat futures and other farm crop contracts, providing real-life anecdotes, case studies, and hypothetical trading scenarios to illustrate their significance. Additionally, we’ll delve into why Cannon Trading Company, with its decades of experience, stellar reputation, and wide selection of free platforms, stands out as a premier choice for trading wheat and other agricultural futures like class 3 milk futures and the corn futures contract.

The Evolution of Wheat Futures and Farm Crop Contracts

The origins of wheat future contracts date back to the mid-19th century with the establishment of the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) in 1848. Farmers and grain merchants needed a system to protect themselves from unpredictable price swings caused by weather, supply chain issues, and geopolitical events. Enter the futures market: a standardized contract to buy or sell wheat at a predetermined price on a specific future date.

Over time, the concept expanded to include other farm crop contracts, such as the corn futures contract and class 3 milk futures. Initially, futures trading was dominated by local farmers and merchants. However, the advent of electronic trading in the late 20th century democratized access, attracting institutional investors, hedge funds, and individual traders from around the globe.

Technological advancements have played a pivotal role in this evolution. Today, platforms like those offered by Cannon Trading Company provide traders with real-time market data, advanced charting tools, and risk management features, making futures trading more accessible and efficient than ever before.

Real-Life Anecdotes and Case Studies

The 2008 Wheat Price Surge

One of the most dramatic examples of volatility in the wheat market occurred in 2008. Global wheat prices skyrocketed due to poor harvests, rising demand from emerging markets, and export restrictions imposed by major producing countries. For farmers in the U.S. Midwest, this presented both challenges and opportunities.

A Kansas wheat farmer, for example, used wheat future contracts to lock in a sale price of $12 per bushel in March 2008, months before harvesting. By the time his crop was ready, spot prices had dropped to $8 per bushel due to improved weather conditions and easing supply concerns. His decision to hedge through futures saved his business from significant losses, highlighting the value of futures trading for risk management.

The Corn Belt Hedge Fund

In the 2010s, a small hedge fund based in Illinois recognized the interconnectedness of farm crop contracts. By analyzing weather patterns, they predicted a poor corn harvest in the Midwest, leading them to short corn futures contracts while going long on wheat future contracts due to substitution effects in animal feed markets. Their calculated bets paid off handsomely, yielding a 35% return for the year and showcasing how futures can be used for speculative gains as well as hedging.

Hypothetical Trading Scenario: A Dairy Processor

Imagine a dairy processor who relies on milk as a primary input. Concerned about rising costs, they decide to trade class 3 milk futures to secure a stable price for the next six months. By locking in a price of $17.50 per hundredweight, they mitigate the risk of price spikes caused by fluctuating feed costs for dairy cattle. Meanwhile, a speculator on the other side of the trade takes on the risk, hoping to profit from price movements. This mutually beneficial arrangement demonstrates the dual nature of futures markets: risk transfer and price discovery.

The Role of Cannon Trading Company in Futures Trading

Cannon Trading Company has established itself as a trusted partner for traders of all experience levels. Its wide selection of free platforms, including advanced tools for analyzing wheat future contracts, class 3 milk futures, and the corn futures contract, makes it an excellent choice for anyone engaged in futures trading. Here’s why:

  1. User-Friendly Platforms
    Cannon Trading offers an array of platforms tailored to different trading styles and needs. Whether you’re a novice looking for simplicity or a seasoned trader requiring advanced analytics, Cannon has you covered. Real-time data, customizable charts, and automated trading options empower traders to make informed decisions.
  1. Decades of Experience
    With over three decades in the industry, Cannon Trading has weathered market ups and downs, earning a reputation for reliability and expertise. Their deep understanding of markets like wheat future contracts and farm crop contracts positions them as invaluable advisors to clients navigating the complexities of futures trading.
  1. Regulatory Excellence
    Cannon Trading Company’s exemplary track record with regulatory bodies underscores its commitment to transparency and integrity. In an industry where trust is paramount, this reputation provides peace of mind to traders.
  1. Educational Resources
    For newcomers to futures trading, Cannon offers a wealth of educational resources, including webinars, tutorials, and market analysis. These tools help traders understand the nuances of markets like the corn futures contract and class 3 milk futures, enabling them to trade with confidence.
  1. Stellar Customer Support
    Cannon’s 5-star ratings on TrustPilot reflect its dedication to customer satisfaction. Their team of experienced brokers is available to assist clients with everything from platform setup to strategy development, ensuring a seamless trading experience.

Why Trade Wheat Futures?

Trading wheat future contracts offers several advantages:

  • Risk Management: Farmers and processors can hedge against price fluctuations, ensuring stable income and cost structures.
  • Liquidity: The wheat market is highly liquid, making it easy to enter and exit positions.
  • Leverage: Futures allow traders to control large amounts of wheat with relatively small initial investments, amplifying potential returns (and risks).
  • Diversification: For investors, wheat futures provide exposure to a commodity that behaves differently from stocks and bonds, enhancing portfolio diversification.

Risks and Rewards in Futures Trading

While futures trading offers significant opportunities, it’s not without risks. Leverage can magnify losses as well as gains, and market movements can be unpredictable. However, with the right tools and strategies—like those provided by Cannon Trading Company—traders can navigate these challenges effectively.

The Future of Farm Crop Contracts

As climate change and geopolitical tensions continue to impact agricultural markets, the role of farm crop contracts like wheat future contracts, class 3 milk futures, and the corn futures contract will only grow in importance. Technological innovations, such as blockchain-based smart contracts and AI-driven market analysis, promise to further revolutionize futures trading, making it more transparent and efficient.

The journey of wheat future contracts and other farm crop contracts from their humble beginnings to today’s sophisticated markets is a testament to the resilience and adaptability of the agricultural sector. Real-life examples and hypothetical scenarios illustrate the value of these contracts for hedging and speculation alike. For traders seeking a reliable partner in this dynamic market, Cannon Trading Company stands out with its top-rated platforms, extensive experience, and commitment to customer success.

Whether you’re trading wheat future contracts, class 3 milk futures, or the corn futures contract, Cannon Trading provides the tools and support you need to succeed. By leveraging their expertise and resources, you can navigate the complexities of futures trading with confidence.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

 

Weekly Newsletter: Week Ahead+ World Cup Championship, Trading Levels for Jan 13th

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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In this issue:

  • StoneX/E-Futures Platform Updates
  •  Important Notices – Earnings, CPI, PPI, Housing
  • Futures 102 – World Cup Trading Championship
  • Hot Market of the Week – March 10 Year Notes
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week
To our clients whose accounts are with StoneX and currently using the E-Futures Platform:

  • The new StoneX Futures platform will be up and running Monday, Dec. 16th.

 

  • Your existing LIVE user name and password will be accepted.

 

  • Your existing exchange data subscriptions will migrate to the new platform.
  • To login to the new trading interface please login here:

https://m.cqg.com/stonexfutures

  • If you like a demo ( and did not have a demo of StoneX Futures yet) CLICK HERE
  • In the mean time, your E-Futures platform will stay active until a date no earlier than Fri., Dec. 27th, with a firm decommission date to be announced
Important Notices – Next Week Highlights:

The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

766 corporate earnings reports as the season swings into action with the largest U.S. Banks! A number of meaningful Economic data releases including CPI, PPI and There will be a series of FED Speakers throughout the week.

 

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Quiet (59rpts mid and smallcaps)
  • Tue. Quiet (25rpts Mid and smallcaps)
  • Wed. (162 rpts) Pre-Open JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Black Rock, Citigroup, Bank of NY, Oracle after the close
  • Thu.  ( 186 rpts) Pre-open Tiawan Semiconductor, United HealthCare, BofA, Morgan Stanley, US Bank.
  • Fri. Quiet (108 mid and small caps rpts)

 

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tues. Schmid 9 am CST, Williams 2:05 CST
  • Wed. Barkin 8:20 CST, Kashkari 9 am CST, Williams 10 am CST, Goolsbee 11 am CST
  • Thu. Quiet
  • Fri. Quiet

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Consumer Inflation Expectations,
  • Tues. RedBook, PPI
  • Wed. CPI, NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
  • Thur. Jobless claims, Philly Fed, Retail Sales, Business Inventories, NAHB Housing Market Index
  • Fri. Building Permits, Housing Starts, Industrial Production

Futures 102: World Cup Trading Championship

Minimum Starting Balance

The minimum starting account balance is $10,000 for Futures and $5,000 for Forex.

Win a Bull & Bear Trophy

1st place finishers win a coveted pewter bull and bear trophy. 2nd and 3rd place finishers win beautiful crystal bull and bear trophies.

Global media exposure.

Prove your abilities on the world’s stage and build credibility.

Launch Your Trading Career

Top finishers may be invited to have their trading featured on WorldCupAdvisor.com. Subscribers may pay to follow their trades automatically.

ENTER NOW

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  • Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

 

March 10 Year Treasury Notes

The March 10 year treasury notes have resumed their break into a new low. At this point the chart is taking aim at its third downside PriceCount objective to the 106^24 area.

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

ES NZL

 

PRODUCT

Mini SP500

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$36,000

COST

USD 199 / monthly

Get Started

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?
Yes
No

Daily Levels for January 13th, 2025

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Weekly Levels

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Market Highlights and Key Announcements: Jobless Claims, Non-Farm Payrolls, and Commodity Winners

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

 

General:

 

In a one-day early release, the Labor Department said on Wednesday that the number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits fell to an 11-month low last week.  Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 10,000 to a seasonally adjusted 201,000 for the week ending Jan. 4, the lowest level since February 2024.  The report was published a day early as federal government offices are closed today in honor of former President Jimmy Carter who died on Dec. 29 at the age of 100.

 

Coming up tomorrow, the first Friday of the month, the Labor Dept. releases its monthly Non-farm payrolls report.  It’s widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy.  Forecasters predict the U.S. created a modest 155,000 new jobs in the final month of 2024.  The economy added 227,000 jobs in November. The unemployment rate is forecast to be unchanged at 4.2%.  The report is released at 7:30 A.M., Central Time.

 

Stock Indexes:

 

U.S. stock index futures closed today in a mark of respect for the late former president.  President Joe Biden declared a National Day of Mourning following Carter’s passing.

 

Grains:

 

Also due out Friday: the latest USDA crop production and world supply & demand report as well as the final production numbers and stocks as of Dec. 1.  These reports are released at 11:00 A.M. Central Time.

 

Softs:

 

The hands down 2024 commodity price gain winner: cocoa.  Despite new all-time highs in Bitcoin futures, eclipsing 110,00 in mid-December and gold surpassing $2,800 per ounce in late October, cocoa nearly tripled in price over 2024, far outpacing other commodities.  The March ’25 futures contract hit an intraday and record high of $12,931 a metric ton on Dec. 18.  Top cocoa producers Ivory Coast and Ghana have suffered crop losses due to adverse weather and bean disease.

 

Energy:

 

In the meantime, Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures posted a second consecutive annual decline in 2024 as supply outstripped a rebound in demand growth.

 

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Daily Levels for January 10th, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Silver Futures Price

Silver futures price is a topic of immense importance for futures traders, both novice and experienced. The ability to predict and trade silver futures effectively requires a deep understanding of historical price trends, the dynamics of futures contract trading, and the factors influencing the value of this precious metal. This article delves into the evolution of trading silver, its price fluctuations over time, and the advantages and disadvantages of silver futures trading. To illustrate key points, we include real-life anecdotes, case studies, and hypothetical scenarios. Additionally, we explore why Cannon Trading Company stands out as a top choice for trading futures.

Evolution of Trading Silver

Historical Context

Silver has been traded for centuries, with its value historically tied to its dual role as a monetary asset and an industrial commodity. During the Roman Empire, silver coins were a primary medium of exchange, anchoring economies with a standardized weight and purity. Fast forward to the 19th and early 20th centuries, silver’s role shifted as the gold standard dominated monetary policy. However, silver remained integral to global trade and industrial applications.

The establishment of futures markets in the 19th century transformed silver trading. The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) introduced standardized contracts, enabling traders to hedge and speculate on price movements effectively. This innovation made futures trading accessible, offering a regulated platform for trading futures contracts based on silver.

Price Fluctuations

Silver’s price has experienced dramatic fluctuations. For instance, in the late 1970s, the Hunt brothers attempted to corner the silver market, driving prices from $6 per ounce in 1979 to an all-time high of $49.45 in January 1980. This bubble burst shortly after, causing prices to plummet, underscoring the volatility inherent in silver futures trading.

More recently, during the 2008 financial crisis, silver prices dropped to around $9 per ounce as industrial demand waned. However, as investors sought safe-haven assets, prices rebounded to $48 in 2011. These swings highlight the interplay of macroeconomic factors, including inflation fears, currency fluctuations, and industrial demand, that affect silver futures prices.

Advantages and Disadvantages of Silver Futures Trading

Advantages

  • Leverage and Capital Efficiency Futures contract trading allows traders to control large amounts of silver with a relatively small margin. For example, a futures trader can enter a position worth $50,000 with only $5,000 in initial margin. This leverage amplifies potential returns, making futures trading attractive to investors seeking significant profits.
  • Hedging Opportunities Silver futures are a powerful hedging tool for both miners and industrial users. By locking in prices through futures contracts, businesses can mitigate the risk of adverse price movements. For instance, a jewelry manufacturer anticipating a rise in silver prices might buy futures to secure their raw material costs.
  • Liquidity and Price Transparency The silver futures market is highly liquid, ensuring that traders can enter and exit positions with ease. Exchanges like the CME Group provide transparent pricing, fostering confidence among participants.

Disadvantages

  • High Volatility Silver prices are notoriously volatile. While this volatility presents opportunities for profit, it also increases the risk of substantial losses. Traders must use risk management tools, such as stop-loss orders, to protect their capital.
  • Complexity Futures trading requires a nuanced understanding of market dynamics, margin requirements, and contract specifications. Novice traders may find it overwhelming to navigate these complexities without proper guidance.
  • Leverage Risks While leverage magnifies gains, it also amplifies losses. A futures trader who misjudges market direction can quickly face margin calls or account liquidation.

Real-Life Anecdotes and Case Studies

The Hunt Brothers’ Infamous Trade

In the late 1970s, Nelson and William Hunt sought to monopolize the silver market by amassing substantial physical holdings and futures contracts. Initially, their strategy drove prices to record highs, creating immense paper profits. However, regulatory changes, including increased margin requirements, forced the Hunt brothers to liquidate their positions. This led to a catastrophic price crash, resulting in billions of dollars in losses.

This case underscores the importance of understanding regulatory frameworks and using leverage prudently when trading futures.

Hypothetical Trading Scenario

Consider a futures trader anticipating a short-term spike in silver prices due to geopolitical tensions. The trader buys a December silver futures contract at $24 per ounce, with an initial margin of $5,000. Over the next month, silver prices rise to $26 per ounce. The trader closes the position, realizing a profit of $10,000 (2,000 ounces x $2 price increase).

Now, imagine an alternate scenario where silver prices drop to $22. Without stop-loss orders, the trader incurs a $10,000 loss, highlighting the risks associated with leverage.

Why Choose Cannon Trading Company?

Cannon Trading Company is an industry leader in futures trading, offering unparalleled advantages for futures traders of all experience levels. Here’s why it stands out:

  1. Top-Performing Trading Platforms

    Cannon Trading provides access to a wide selection of advanced trading platforms, catering to diverse needs. From user-friendly interfaces for beginners to sophisticated tools for seasoned traders, their platforms enable seamless trading futures.

  1. TrustPilot Ratings and Reputation

    With a 5 out of 5-star rating on TrustPilot, Cannon Trading has earned the trust of its clients. Positive reviews consistently highlight the firm’s exceptional customer service, knowledgeable futures brokers, and commitment to transparency.

  1. Decades of Experience

    Established in 1988, Cannon Trading boasts decades of experience in the futures markets. Their team of seasoned professionals understands the intricacies of futures trading and offers personalized guidance to clients.

  1. Regulatory Compliance

    Cannon Trading maintains an exemplary reputation with regulatory bodies like the National Futures Association (NFA) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Traders can trust that their funds and transactions are handled with the utmost integrity.

Silver futures trading offers a unique blend of opportunities and challenges. Understanding historical price trends, leveraging advantages like hedging and liquidity, and navigating the risks of volatility and leverage are essential for success. With its extensive experience, top-rated platforms, and stellar reputation, Cannon Trading Company is an excellent choice for anyone looking to trade futures contracts. Whether you are an experienced futures trader or new to the world of trading futures, Cannon Trading provides the tools and support necessary to navigate the complexities of the futures markets confidently.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

 

National Day of Mourning Adjustments: January 9, 2025 – Trading Schedules and Market Insights

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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The President has declared January 9, 2025, as a National Day of Mourning in observance of the passing of former President James Earl Carter, Jr.

All banks will remain open, margin calls and money transfers will be processed as normal.

Please take note of the following adjusted trading schedules on January 9, 2025

(*all times are US Central Time):

CME Group:

Equity Index – Close at 8:30am, settle prices derived at 12:00pm. All Equity Index options expiring January 9th will be moved to expire on January 8th.

Interest Rates – Close at 12:15pm

Ags – Close at 12:15pm

Energy, FX, Metals, Crypto – Normal Trading Hours

MIAX Futures:

Hard Red Spring Wheat – 12:15pm

ICE US Commodities – Normal Trading Hours

Regular market opening times will be in place for the January 10, 2025 trade date.

Please let us know if you have any questions.

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March Cotton

March cotton is threatening to break down once again. At this point, new sustained lows would project a possible run to the third downside PriceCount objective to the 62.18 area.

 

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

 

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for January 9th, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Movers and Shakers: Dollar Dominance, Commodity Trends, and Key Market Updates!

Pass the Knowledge – Feel Free to Forward to a Friend!

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon, or wherever you listen to podcasts!

C96

Movers and shakers!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Three trading days removed from Contract Highs in the U.S. Dollar index @ 109.325 basis the March 2025 contract and a 2 full cent retracement yesterday, the bulls certainly appear to be control of this market with a close today near the session highs @ 108.40.  The value of the dollar has numerous implications for our export markets, as the dollar becomes stronger the cost of goods become more expensive.

High Dollar values over the long term usually do not not bode well for commodity prices. Needless to say, the energy complex looks strong today with spot Feb WTI up .85 cents, nearing the $75 /bbl mark after being in the 60’s just 10 days ago.

The Grain market has nearly a mirror inverse image basis the daily charts compared to the U.S Dollar index. With one exception, The corn market.

Just an observation, the precious metals market have struggled to make new highs or even break above their 3 month Mid range price levels as the U.S. Dollar strength has been a main feature affecting the commodity markets.

The U.S Dollar is considered a safe haven.

 

Today’s Movers

Today’s News:

Updated: January 7, 2025 9:02 am

Institute of Supply Management (ISM) US Service Sector Headline Recap

 

**ISM US December Service Sector Composite Index: 54.1 ; expected 53.4 ; prior month 52.1

**ISM US December Service Sector Business Activity: 58.2 vs prior month 53.7

**ISM US December Service Sector Employment: 51.4 vs prior month 51.5

**ISM US December Service Sector New Orders: 54.2 vs prior month 53.7

**ISM US December Service Sector Prices Paid: 64.4 vs prior month 58.2

Updated: January 7, 2025 9:02 am

**US November 2024 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary (JOLTS): 8.098 mln; prior month 7.744 mln

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US weekly jobless claims will be released at 7:30 am CT Wednesday morning, a day earlier than normal due to the funeral for former Pres. Carter, initial claims are expected at 215,000, up +4,000 from the prior week.

 

 

Watch Tomorrow’s Movers and Shakers:

7:30 AM CST Waller Fed Speech

 

ADP December US Private Sector jobs net change data will be released Wednesday morning around 7:15 am CT. Analysts expect job gains of +136,000 that’s off 100,000 from the previous month’s +146,000.

 

11:00 AM CST FOMC minutes from the December Rate decision

 

Both crude oil and natural gas numbers are out tomorrow!

 

Earnings: very quiet, only 14 firms reporting

 

Daily Levels for January 8th, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Back to Business: Key Reports Tomorrow and Contract Notices to Watch!

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Busy day tomorrow with JOLTS and ISM and many of the larger traders back to thwir trading desk!

Below are the contracts entering First Notice or Last Trading Day for the upcoming month. Be advised that for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day. If you have any questions, please contact the Trade Desk

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Daily Levels for January 7th, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Coffee Futures

Coffee futures, a type of futures contract trading, have long been a staple in the soft commodities market. They allow traders to speculate on the price movements of coffee, one of the most widely consumed beverages globally. Futures contracts for coffee were introduced to provide price stability for producers and consumers. Over time, they evolved into a tool for futures traders seeking profits from price volatility.

The origins of coffee futures trace back to the early 20th century when coffee-producing countries sought ways to stabilize the volatile coffee market. In the 1920s, Brazil, the world’s largest coffee producer, played a pivotal role in developing mechanisms to manage price fluctuations. This effort laid the groundwork for coffee’s introduction to the global futures market.

Advantages of Trading Coffee Futures

Price Transparency and Liquidity

Coffee futures provide a transparent pricing mechanism influenced by global supply and demand dynamics. This transparency benefits futures traders by offering clear entry and exit points for trades. Additionally, coffee futures markets, such as those on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), are highly liquid, enabling traders to execute large trades without significantly impacting prices.

Hedging Opportunities

Futures trading offers robust hedging opportunities. Coffee producers can lock in future prices to mitigate risks associated with fluctuating market conditions. Similarly, companies reliant on coffee as a raw material can hedge against rising prices to protect profit margins. For instance, a coffee shop chain might use futures contracts to secure a stable cost of coffee for a year, ensuring predictable operating expenses.

Speculative Potential

The volatility inherent in coffee prices makes it an attractive asset for speculative trading. Factors such as weather conditions, geopolitical events, and currency fluctuations can cause significant price swings, presenting futures traders with opportunities to profit.

Disadvantages of Trading Coffee Futures

High Volatility

While volatility can be advantageous for speculative futures trading, it also poses substantial risks. Price swings driven by unpredictable factors like droughts, floods, or political instability can lead to significant losses. For example, a futures trader who goes long on coffee futures during a predicted supply shortage may face unexpected losses if a bumper crop suddenly boosts supply.

Complexity and Leverage

Futures contract trading is inherently complex and requires a deep understanding of market dynamics. Leverage amplifies both gains and losses, making it possible to lose more than the initial investment. Novice traders often underestimate these risks, leading to financial distress.

Market Manipulation Risks

Soft commodities like coffee are vulnerable to market manipulation. Large market participants can influence prices, potentially disadvantaging smaller futures traders. For instance, coordinated efforts by major players to stockpile coffee can artificially inflate prices, impacting futures contract values.

Real-Life Anecdotes and Case Studies

The 1975 Brazilian Frost

One of the most notable events in the history of coffee futures was the 1975 Brazilian frost. A severe freeze wiped out a significant portion of Brazil’s coffee crop, leading to a dramatic price surge. Futures traders who anticipated the frost’s impact reaped substantial profits, while those caught on the wrong side of the trade suffered heavy losses. This event highlighted the importance of weather monitoring in coffee futures trading.

Hypothetical Scenario: Hedging with Coffee Futures

Imagine a medium-sized coffee roaster anticipating a rise in coffee prices due to projected adverse weather conditions in Colombia. The company enters into a futures contract to buy 10,000 pounds of coffee at $1.50 per pound, locking in the price. When the market price later rises to $2.00 per pound, the roaster avoids the increased cost, saving $5,000. This hypothetical example underscores how futures trading can protect businesses from price volatility.

Anecdote: A Futures Trader’s Journey

Sarah, a novice futures trader, started trading futures contracts in 2015. She initially faced challenges understanding the nuances of soft commodities like coffee. After attending a seminar by Cannon Trading Company, she gained insights into advanced trading strategies and risk management. By leveraging the educational resources and top-performing trading platforms provided by Cannon Trading, Sarah transitioned from learning lessons to confident, informed trading within two years.

The Role of Cannon Trading Company in Futures Trading

Cannon Trading Company has established itself as a trusted partner for traders of all experience levels. With decades of experience in the futures markets, it offers an exemplary combination of technology, expertise, and customer support. Let’s explore why this firm stands out:

Top-Performing Trading Platforms

Cannon Trading provides a wide selection of trading platforms tailored to different trading styles and experience levels. Whether you are a beginner seeking user-friendly tools or an advanced futures trader requiring sophisticated analytics, their platforms cater to all needs. For instance, their Sierra Chart platform offers advanced charting tools and algorithmic trading capabilities.

Unparalleled Customer Support

Cannon Trading’s team of experienced futures brokers is committed to providing personalized support. From onboarding new clients to offering market insights, their proactive approach ensures traders feel supported at every step of their journey.

Regulatory Excellence

With a 5 out of 5-star rating on TrustPilot and an exemplary reputation with regulatory bodies, Cannon Trading demonstrates a commitment to transparency and ethical practices. This trustworthiness is crucial for traders seeking a reliable partner in the volatile world of futures trading.

Strategies for Trading Coffee Futures

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis is a cornerstone of futures trading. Traders use tools like moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, and candlestick patterns to predict price movements. For example, a trader identifying a bullish flag pattern on a coffee futures chart might decide to go long, anticipating a price increase.

Fundamental Analysis

Understanding the fundamentals driving coffee prices is equally important. Futures traders must stay informed about weather patterns, geopolitical developments, and economic trends. For instance, a report forecasting lower coffee yields in Vietnam, the second-largest coffee producer, could signal an impending price increase.

Risk Management

Effective risk management is critical for successful futures trading. Strategies like setting stop-loss orders, diversifying positions, and limiting leverage help mitigate potential losses. A seasoned futures trader might risk only 1-2% of their capital on a single trade, ensuring long-term sustainability.

Hypothetical Trading Scenarios

Scenario 1: A Bullish Trade

John, an experienced futures trader, notices that coffee inventories are at a 10-year low, and weather forecasts predict drought conditions in Brazil. He enters a long position in coffee futures at $1.40 per pound. Two months later, prices rise to $1.80 per pound due to supply constraints. John exits the trade, earning a profit of $4,000 on a 10,000-pound contract.

Scenario 2: A Bearish Trade

Maria, a futures trader with a focus on macroeconomic trends, anticipates a strengthening U.S. dollar, which typically pressures coffee prices. She sells short a coffee futures contract at $1.60 per pound. As the dollar strengthens, coffee prices fall to $1.40 per pound. Maria closes her position, securing a $2,000 profit.

Future Outlook for Coffee Futures

As global coffee consumption continues to grow, the importance of coffee futures in the trading landscape is likely to increase. Emerging technologies, such as AI-driven analytics and blockchain-based supply chain tracking, promise to revolutionize futures trading. For futures traders, staying ahead of these trends will be key to capitalizing on future opportunities.

Coffee futures represent a dynamic and rewarding segment of the futures market. With the right strategies and tools, futures traders can harness the advantages of trading futures contracts in this volatile yet lucrative commodity. Cannon Trading Company’s combination of top-performing trading platforms, experienced futures brokers, and a stellar reputation makes it an ideal partner for trading futures.

Whether you are new to futures trading or an experienced futures trader, leveraging the resources provided by trusted future brokers like Cannon Trading can significantly enhance your trading journey. By staying informed, managing risks, and continuously honing your skills, you can navigate the complexities of trading futures with confidence.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

AI Futures

The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) has significantly transformed various industries, and futures trading is no exception. From the earliest days of manually shouting orders on bustling trading floors to today’s sophisticated, algorithm-driven systems, the futures markets have undergone a seismic shift. Understanding this evolution sheds light on the advantages and disadvantages of automated and manual trading, while also highlighting why institutions like Cannon Trading Company remain pivotal for traders navigating these dynamic landscapes.

The Early Days of Futures Trading

Before the advent of AI, futures trading relied heavily on manual processes. Traders on the floor of exchanges like the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) or the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) engaged in open outcry trading. Brokers shouted and used hand signals to execute trades in pits, creating a high-energy environment driven by human intuition, relationships, and rapid decision-making.

Manual trading in this era required a deep understanding of market fundamentals, technical analysis, and quick reflexes. For example, during the 1980s, crude oil futures saw dramatic price fluctuations driven by geopolitical tensions. Brokers had to assess global news, client positions, and technical charts almost instantaneously to execute profitable trades. The experience of a seasoned futures trader often made the difference between substantial gains and significant losses.

However, the manual system had its drawbacks. Human error, emotional decision-making, and inefficiencies in communication often resulted in missed opportunities or costly mistakes. As technology advanced, these limitations became apparent, paving the way for more sophisticated methods.

The Advent of Automated Futures Trading

The introduction of computers in the late 20th century marked the beginning of a new era for futures trading. Algorithms capable of processing vast amounts of data at incredible speeds began to replace manual processes. This evolution took a giant leap forward with the advent of AI and machine learning in the 21st century.

AI-driven futures trading systems leverage historical data, real-time market information, and predictive analytics to make split-second decisions. For example, in 2010, high-frequency trading (HFT) accounted for over 60% of all U.S. equity trading volume. These AI algorithms identify patterns and execute trades faster than any human trader could manage.

One notable anecdote involves the 2010 “Flash Crash,” where the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted nearly 1,000 points in minutes before quickly rebounding. AI algorithms played a significant role in this event. While their speed and efficiency can create liquidity, their interactions can also exacerbate market volatility. This dual-edged nature of AI trading underscores the importance of regulatory oversight and robust system design.

Advantages of AI in Futures Trading

AI futures trading offers numerous benefits:

  • Speed and Efficiency: AI algorithms process data and execute trades in milliseconds, providing a competitive edge in fast-moving markets. For instance, a futures trader using AI can capitalize on microsecond price discrepancies in commodities like gold or crude oil.
  • Data-Driven Decisions: AI systems analyze vast datasets, identifying trends and patterns that might be invisible to human traders. This ability allows for more informed decision-making.
  • Emotion-Free Trading: Unlike human traders, AI systems are immune to fear, greed, or panic, ensuring objective decisions even during volatile market conditions.
  • Scalability: AI can monitor and execute trades across multiple markets and instruments simultaneously, something no human can achieve.

Case Study: Renaissance Technologies, a hedge fund founded by mathematician James Simons, has consistently delivered high returns using AI-driven strategies. Their Medallion Fund, which employs machine learning algorithms, is one of the most successful trading funds in history, generating average annual returns of 39% before fees.

Disadvantages of Automated Trading

Despite its advantages, AI futures trading has its challenges:

  • Over-Reliance on Technology: Traders relying solely on AI risk significant losses if systems fail or encounter unforeseen market conditions.
  • Black Box Problem: Many AI algorithms operate as “black boxes,” meaning their decision-making processes are opaque. This lack of transparency can be problematic, especially during unexpected market events.
  • Market Volatility: The speed and volume of AI-driven trades can amplify market fluctuations, as evidenced by events like the “Flash Crash.”
  • High Development Costs: Building and maintaining AI systems require substantial investment in technology, data, and expertise.

Hypothetical Scenario: Imagine an AI system designed to trade soybean futures based on weather data. A sudden, unprecedented weather anomaly—not included in the training data—leads to erroneous predictions and significant losses. This scenario highlights the importance of continuous monitoring and improvement of AI systems.

Manual Trading: Strengths and Weaknesses

While AI dominates modern futures trading, manual trading still has its place. Human traders bring intuition, experience, and the ability to adapt to unique market conditions. For example, during the COVID-19 pandemic, some experienced futures brokers successfully navigated unprecedented market turmoil by relying on their deep understanding of fundamentals and client needs.

Advantages of manual trading include:

  • Flexibility: Human traders can quickly adapt strategies based on evolving market conditions or unexpected events.
  • Relationship Building: Successful futures brokers often cultivate strong relationships with clients, providing personalized advice and support.
  • Intuitive Decision-Making: Experienced traders can make judgment calls that AI systems might miss.

However, manual trading also has drawbacks:

  • Emotional Bias: Fear, greed, and other emotions can cloud judgment, leading to poor decisions.
  • Slower Execution: Human traders cannot match the speed of AI systems, particularly in high-frequency trading environments.
  • Limited Scalability: Managing multiple markets and instruments simultaneously is challenging for even the most skilled traders.

Why Cannon Trading Company Excels in Futures Trading

For traders seeking the best of both worlds, Cannon Trading Company stands out as an ideal partner. Here’s why:

  • Wide Selection of Platforms: Cannon offers access to top-performing trading platforms, catering to both manual and automated trading preferences. Their platforms support advanced charting, algorithm integration, and real-time market data.
  • Trust and Reputation: With a 5-star rating on TrustPilot and decades of experience, Cannon Trading Company has earned the trust of its clients. Their exemplary reputation with regulatory bodies ensures that traders can operate with confidence.
  • Expertise Across Experience Levels: Whether you’re a seasoned futures trader or a novice exploring the markets, Cannon’s team of experienced futures brokers provides personalized guidance and support.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Cannon adheres to stringent National Futures Association (NFA) guidelines, ensuring transparency and ethical practices in futures contract trading.

Case Study: A client of Cannon Trading Company reported transitioning from manual trading to a hybrid approach using AI-driven platforms. With Cannon’s support, they successfully implemented an algorithm to trade E-mini S&P 500 futures, achieving consistent returns while retaining the ability to override trades based on market insights.

The Future of AI in Futures Trading

Looking ahead, the integration of AI in futures trading will only deepen. Innovations like natural language processing (NLP) and reinforcement learning will enable systems to interpret news articles, social media sentiment, and even geopolitical developments to inform trading decisions.

For instance, an AI system analyzing weather patterns and crop reports might predict a supply shortage in wheat, prompting traders to enter long futures contracts. Alternatively, advances in quantum computing could revolutionize the speed and accuracy of predictive models, giving traders an unprecedented edge.

However, as AI continues to evolve, ethical and regulatory considerations will remain critical. Ensuring fairness, transparency, and accountability in AI-driven markets will be paramount to maintaining trust and stability.

The evolution of AI futures trading has revolutionized the industry, offering unparalleled speed, efficiency, and data-driven insights. While automated systems have their advantages, the human touch remains invaluable, particularly in navigating complex or unprecedented market scenarios.

For traders of all experience levels, choosing the right partner is essential. Cannon Trading Company’s combination of advanced platforms, stellar reputation, and personalized support makes it an ideal choice for anyone engaged in futures trading. Whether you’re leveraging cutting-edge AI or relying on the expertise of seasoned futures brokers, Cannon provides the tools and guidance needed to succeed in today’s dynamic markets.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading