Gold Soars, Wheat Shrinks: 7 Powerful Stats from a Wild Trading Day

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Turbulence in Equities & Commodities

Gold & Wheat, Emini S&P COTD

Buckle your seatbelts, Turbulence in equities and Commodities

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Please speak with your broker about ways that you may not be aware of to assist you with your risk management plans. They may surprise you with the creative solutions you may find more efficient than simple stop orders or the old “hand on the mouse blow yourself out” strategy.

Wheat

wheat

Why the turbulence in the Grain markets? USDA prospective plantings report was revealed, although largely in line with expectations, it’s a surprise that planted acres are down for soybeans, wheat and 12% lower for cotton while farmers are switching out of beans and planting corn instead, as seed and fertilizer costs are lower for these compliments in production.

Wheat for all winter varieties planted is the second smallest crop since records have been kept from 1919. The weather market begins now in earnest for the Wheat complex for the next 8 weeks.

    Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely.

 What in the world was going on with equity prices today, first the big dump was attributed to Liberation Tariff Day, coined by the media, only to see the markets stage a brave comeback against all talking point odds! Was this merely a technical correction? Or a combination of oversold and some positive tariff news?

 Mini Dow’s range today? 786 points $value? = $3930.00 from hi to lo

  Mini S & P’s range today? 111.25 points $ Value? = $5562.50 from hi to lo

Mini Nasdaq’s range today? 439 points $value? = 8785.00 from hi to lo

How Gold is your Portfolio?

Gold

gold nugg

All-time highs in gold today. 3162.00 per troy gold ounce currently trading @ 3155.00 + over $40.00 per gold oz. yet the industrial metals were negative today, Dr. Copper and Silver. We offer all exchange traded contract sizes, from 1 oz to 100 ounces.

Secondary tariffs on Russian oil talk had the Crude oil futures up over $2 per bbl safely above the $70.00 /bbl price level.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  Redbook, ISM Mfg. Final, JOLTS, Dallas Fed.

FED Speak: Quiet

Earnings: Quiet

Tariff news: Anything goes!

June Emini S&P

The June Emini S&P corrected after it fompleted its second downside PriceCount objective earlier this month. Now, the chart has resumed its slide into a new low which, if sustained, would project a run to the third count in the 5371 area.

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Emini

Chart above is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 1st, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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USDA, Non Farm Payroll, & Powell; 3 Poised to Drive Market Volatility in Triple Threat!

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USDA

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1236

  • The Week Ahead – Non-Farm Payroll, Prospective Plantings and Fed Chair Powell
  • Futures 102 – Intro to Crude Oil Futures
  • Hot Market of the Week – Bloomberg Commodity (CRB) Index
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Combo Breakout Swing System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Non Farm Payroll Friday!

non farm payroll

June gold is front month!

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

USDA, Non Farm Payroll, Prospective Plantings and Fed Chair Powell?

USDA

One of the most impactful Agricultural reports of the year will be released Monday at 11:00 am CDT. The Prospective Plantings report and Grain Stocks released by the USDA will offer a needed insight into prospective acreage plantings for grains and oilseeds.

I have included commentary from The Progressive Farmers’ DTN top analyst for your review: DTN Pre-Report analysis

usda

More volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting, as they have been, to the Global Tariff talk.

Non Farm Payroll

Highlights next week will include the aforementioned Grain report. Non farm Payroll (NFP) Friday followed by Fed Chair J. Powell and other Fed Speakers. This may be the final Q4 2024 Earnings guidance as we will see a mere 67 releases the entire week.

USDA, Non Farm Payroll

 Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue. Quiet
  • Wed. Quiet
  • Thu. Conagra, Constellation Brands
  • Fri. Quiet

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon.    Bostic 12:45 CDT, Barr 2:10 CDT,
  • Tues.    Kugler 7:40 CDT, Williams 8:05 CDT ,
  • Wed.    Kugler 3:30 CDT
  • Thu.     Jefferson 11:30 CDT, Cook 1:30 CDT
  • Fri.       Fed Chair J. Powell 10:25 CDT, Barr 11:00 CDT, Waller 11:45 CDT

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Chicago PMI, Dallas Fed, USDA Prospecting Plantings and Grain Stocks
  • Tue. Redbook, ISM Mfg. Final, JOLTS, Dallas Fed.,
  • Wed. EIA Crude Stocks, ADP, Factory Orders
  • Thur. Initial Jobless Claims, ISM Svcs Final, EIA Nat Gas
  • Fri. Non-Farm Payroll

USDA, Non Farm Payroll

Futures 102: Introduction to Crude Oil futures

Course overview

crude oil

Today’s energy crude oil market is truly global. From West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to Brent and DME Oman, the crude oil market fuels many of the world’s leading economies and impact nearly every nation. Energy crude oil futures and options provide the tools the industry needs to manage risk.

Explore the key concepts and structure of today’s energy markets, including the factors that affect supply and demand and move prices. Learn how to use these instruments to hedge exposure and unlock opportunities.

Start FREE Course Now

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USDA, Non Farm Payroll

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

Bloomberg Commodity Index

The Bloomberg Commodity Index is a basket of 24 commodities spread across energy, grains, softs, livestock, industrial and precious metals. The weekly chart has developed a 2-year sideways range of trade. IF the chart can break out to the topside, there are upside PriceCount objectives in place which suggest that this index would have significant potential to run.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

USDA, Non Farm Payroll

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Combo Breakout 1 Trading System

Market Sector: Diversified / Multiple

Markets Traded:  C , KW , S , W , CL , HO , NG , RB , KC , SB , FGBL , TU , FV , BP , EC , JY , SF , DX , FESX , GC , EMD , NQ , RTY , ES , YM ,

System Type: Swing Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Partially Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $50,000

Developer Fee per contract: $200.00 Monthly Subscription

System Description: 

Portfolio Combo Breakout I consists of 5-6 daytrade and swing strategies using different symbols, timeframes, and session templates. All strategies are developed by simple, structured, and proven breakout models based on strong fundamental logics.

All strategies are fully robustness tested as well as stress tested with no position sizing, more contracts can be traded. The 5-6 strategies have very low correlations (Less than 0.1) in order to achieve smoother portfolio equity curve.

Combo Breakout I is specially designed to trade with Combo Breakout II and Combo Breakout III for their low correlations in the portfolio level.

Get Started

Learn More

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USDA, Non Farm Payroll

Disclaimer: The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

Transactions in securities futures, commodity and index futures and options on futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged”.

A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you.

You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position. If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position.

If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for March 31st, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com 

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Surging Demand: Weekly Energy Options Jump 17.8% Amid Global Trade Shakeups

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WORLDWIDE WHIRLWIND

Options

Options

Amid geopolitical and macroeconomic movements, Weekly options offer hedging opportunities

Since his inauguration on January 20, President Donald Trump has regularly made headlines for his international trade policy moves. These fluctuating tariff policies have added volatility to commodity markets, as traders strategize how to navigate uncertainty.

On Monday, March 10, Beijing implemented tariffs on multiple farm products from the U.S. Facing a 15% tariff includes chicken, wheat and corn, while soybeans, pork, beef and fruit face a 10% tariff. China is the largest overseas market for American agricultural products. As policy continues to develop, or‌ stays the same, traders can use Ag Weekly options to insulate their portfolios from uncertainty, now available every day of the trading week. Ag Weekly options hit a record in early March, with 3,730 contracts trading on March 5.

Canada planned to retaliate against President Trump’s 25% tariff on Canadian exports in early March. Ontario was looking to impose a 25% surcharge on energy exports to Michigan, Minnesota and New York. President Trump then moved to increase Canada’s initial metals tariff to 50%, but both countries revoked these additional tariffs. To navigate world events, such as tariffs, traders continue to look to Weekly Energy options. WTI Weekly Energy options ADV in March is up 17.8% compared to February 2025, with an average of 24,222 contracts traded in March to February’s 20,562 contracts.

The Trump administration also placed a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports to the U.S. in early March, which also applies to certain products such as nails, wires and car body and bumper stampings. The steel and aluminum tariffs of President Trump’s first term were subject to a product exclusion application process; this exemption process does not exist for the updated steel and aluminum tariffs. Metals traders can turn to Metals Weekly options to hedge risk that may come with volatility in the markets.

GET DAILY MARKET UPDATES VIA VIDEO – FREE

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May Crude Oil

May crude oil stabilized its break earlier this month and now has activated upside PriceCount objectives on the correction higher. The first count projects a possible run to the 71.12 area.

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Chart above is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normalfor the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for March 28th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Triple Witching Friday; Powerful Market Shift! 3 Crucial Facts About Triple Witching Friday

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Triple Witching!

triple witching

Triple Witching tomorrow!

Stock Index March contracts (i.e., the E-mini and Micro S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones and Russell 2000.) expire Friday, March 21st (8:30 A.M., Central Time). At that point, trading these contracts halts. Stock index futures are CASH SETTLED contracts. If you hold any March futures contracts through 8:30 A.M., Central Time on Friday, they will be offset with the cash settlement price, as set by the exchange.

Triple Witching!

FRONT MONTH IS NOW JUNE, the symbol is M25, example for MICRO mini SP is MESM25

Things to know about Triple Witching

A “triple witching,” is NOT without risk for holders of futures and futures option contracts.

A triple witching is the simultaneous expiration of stock options, index futures, and index futures options that occurs four times a year.

The first triple witching of 2025 will take place this Friday. Futures Stock indices and futures Options cease to allow trading at the opening bell of the Cash Stock market and settle, NOT to the final traded price at that time but, at a fixed settlement price based on where all the stocks making up the index have opened, this becomes the cash settled price for those contracts not offset prior to the trading halt.

Triple Witching!

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Bloomberg Commodity Index

The Bloomberg Commodity Index is a basket of 24 commodities spread across energy, grains, softs, livestock, industrial and precious metals. The weekly chart has developed a 2-year sideways range of trade. IF the chart can break out to the topside, there are upside PriceCount objectives in place which suggest that this index would have significant potential to run.

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Chart above is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normalfor the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for March 21st, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day!

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Future Trading Brokers

Futures trading is a complex and dynamic sector of the financial markets, requiring traders to navigate volatility, leverage, and strategic execution. While many traders master the basics, advanced futures traders often encounter unexpected challenges. In this article, we explore ten uncommon problems in trading futures and provide detailed, risk-assessed solutions. We will also examine why futures trading has been a cornerstone of global financial markets and how Cannon Trading Company, a legacy commodity brokerage firm based in Los Angeles since 1988, has successfully weathered decades of market innovation.

  1. Latency Arbitrage Risks in High-Frequency Trading

  2. Problem: Even sophisticated futures traders underestimate how milliseconds of latency can impact execution in high-frequency trading (HFT). Certain firms exploit minor discrepancies in price feeds, engaging in latency arbitrage against slower participants.

    Solution: Traders should utilize direct market access (DMA) with co-located servers near exchanges to reduce execution time.

    Risk Assessment: While co-location fees can be high, the alternative—being consistently front-run by faster traders—can lead to significantly larger financial losses over time.

    Why This Solution? Compared to conventional retail brokerage solutions, DMA provides superior execution speeds and minimizes the risk of adversarial HFT strategies exploiting slower market orders.

  1. Over-Optimization in Algorithmic Trading

  2. Problem: Traders using algorithmic strategies often curve-fit their models to historical data, leading to poor real-world performance.

    Solution: Implement walk-forward analysis and Monte Carlo simulations to test robustness against unseen market conditions.

    Risk Assessment: Over-reliance on historical data increases drawdown risk. Diversifying strategy inputs can mitigate failures in live markets.

    Why This Solution? Unlike standard backtesting, walk-forward analysis accounts for evolving market structures, reducing reliance on outdated data patterns.

  1. Misinterpreting Order Flow in Thin Markets

  2. Problem: Many futures traders misjudge liquidity in thinly traded contracts, leading to unexpected price slippage.

    Solution: Use iceberg orders and volume-weighted average price (VWAP) algorithms to execute large positions more efficiently.

    Risk Assessment: While VWAP orders can prevent market impact, improper execution timing can still lead to adverse selection.

    Why This Solution? Compared to manual execution, VWAP minimizes slippage in illiquid futures markets, ensuring better entry and exit efficiency.

  1. Neglecting Cross-Exchange Settlement Risks

  2. Problem: Traders using multiple futures trading brokers across exchanges sometimes fail to account for cross-exchange margin calls.

    Solution: Consolidate accounts with a prime futures broker that offers centralized risk assessment.

    Risk Assessment: Single brokerage consolidation increases counterparty risk, but decentralized positions create exposure to conflicting margin policies.

    Why This Solution? Prime brokerage mitigates liquidity fragmentation, reducing inefficiencies associated with collateral management.

  1. Hidden Costs in E-Mini Futures Trading

  2. Problem: Advanced traders often overlook exchange fees, data costs, and hidden liquidity provider markups when trading e-mini futures.

    Solution: Utilize a cost-analysis dashboard from a futures trading broker that provides transparency on fees.

    Risk Assessment: A trader might reduce cost-per-trade but risk losing access to critical order execution tools from premium platforms.

    Why This Solution? Full cost visibility allows better strategy refinement, optimizing profitability over time.

  1. The Fallacy of Static Hedging Strategies

  2. Problem: Many futures traders assume static hedging (e.g., long S&P 500 futures against short crude oil futures) will always perform consistently.

    Solution: Utilize dynamic delta hedging to adjust exposure as volatility fluctuates.

    Risk Assessment: Dynamic hedging requires frequent adjustments, increasing transaction costs.

    Why This Solution? Unlike static hedging, dynamic approaches account for changing market correlations, preventing unexpected losses.

  1. Unexpected Margin Call Liquidity Gaps

  2. Problem: Traders sometimes find themselves liquidated at extreme prices due to margin calls during low-liquidity periods.

    Solution: Implement preemptive margin buffer strategies and monitor overnight funding conditions.

    Risk Assessment: Holding excess capital reduces leverage efficiency but prevents forced liquidation at unfavorable prices.

    Why This Solution? Unlike reactive capital injections, preemptive margin buffers safeguard against adverse execution.

  1. Algorithmic Spoofing and Market Manipulation Risks

  2. Problem: Spoofing—placing fake orders to manipulate prices—can create deceptive liquidity illusions.

    Solution: Use proprietary spoof-detection indicators and confirm trades with time-and-sales analysis.

    Risk Assessment: False positives can lead to over-cautious trading, reducing profit opportunities.

    Why This Solution? Unlike conventional volume analysis, spoof-detection tools actively filter out manipulative activity.

  1. Execution Disruptions from Exchange Halts

  2. Problem: Circuit breakers and exchange halts can trap traders in highly leveraged positions.

    Solution: Diversify execution venues and employ hedge orders in correlated markets.

    Risk Assessment: Spreading orders across exchanges increases counterparty exposure, requiring careful counterparty risk management.

    Why This Solution? A multi-venue approach ensures continued execution flexibility, reducing exposure to exchange-specific disruptions.

  1. The Illusion of Automated Trading Autonomy

  2. Problem: Traders often assume once an algorithm is deployed, it requires little oversight.

    Solution: Employ real-time risk monitoring with automated trade kill-switch mechanisms.

    Risk Assessment: Kill-switches may occasionally halt profitable trades, but they prevent catastrophic automation failures.

    Why This Solution? Unlike passive oversight, active monitoring ensures rogue algorithms don’t cause unchecked losses.

Why Futures Trading Has Thrived for Centuries

Futures trading has been a fundamental part of global financial markets because it provides essential functions—price discovery, hedging, and liquidity. From the early rice futures exchanges in 18th-century Japan to modern electronic markets, futures have enabled risk transfer between producers, speculators, and hedgers. Despite technological advances, the core principles of futures trading remain intact: efficient risk management and speculative opportunities.

Cannon Trading Company: A Legacy Futures Brokerage

Established in 1988, Cannon Trading Company has endured decades of market evolution through innovation and deep market expertise. As one of the longest-standing futures trading brokers in Los Angeles, Cannon Trading provides advanced trading tools, superior risk management solutions, and comprehensive brokerage services. By adapting to technological advancements while maintaining a strong client focus, Cannon Trading has remained a reliable partner for professional traders navigating the ever-changing landscape of futures trading.

Understanding and mitigating uncommon trading challenges can significantly enhance a futures trader’s success. By implementing advanced solutions tailored to each issue, traders can optimize performance and reduce risk. As evidenced by firms like Cannon Trading Company, longevity in the futures trading industry is achieved through adaptability, transparency, and an unwavering commitment to innovation.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

 

 

Standard and Poor 500 Futures

The Standard and Poor 500 futures contract is one of the most actively traded financial instruments in the world. Often referred to as S&P 500 futures contracts, these derivatives allow investors to speculate on the future price movements of the Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures and hedge their portfolios against market volatility. As the cornerstone of futures trading, futures on S&P 500 are widely used by institutions, hedge funds, and individual traders alike.

The Rise of Standard & Poor’s 500 Index Futures

The S&P 500 future didn’t emerge in a vacuum. The foundation for this contract was laid in the early 1980s when financial markets began adopting electronic and index-based trading instruments. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) pioneered the introduction of futures trading based on stock indices, with the launch of futures on S&P 500 in 1982. This marked a watershed moment for the industry, making the SPX index futures an essential trading tool.

Before the introduction of these contracts, traders and institutional investors had limited avenues to hedge against broad market movements without individually trading numerous stocks. The advent of futures SP500 contracts revolutionized risk management and speculation by providing a single, liquid instrument that mirrored the broader market.

Key Figures Behind the Innovation

Several key figures played pivotal roles in developing and popularizing the S&P 500 futures contract. Among them was Leo Melamed, chairman of the CME, who spearheaded the development of financial futures. Working alongside economist Richard Sandor, often dubbed the “father of financial futures,” Melamed championed the concept that stock indices could be effectively used as underlying assets for future trading.

Richard Dennis, a legendary futures trader, also had a profound impact on the early adoption of futures on S&P 500. Dennis, known for his famous “Turtle Traders” experiment, was one of the earliest speculators to see the potential in index-based futures trading. Alongside traders like Paul Tudor Jones, who used Standard and Poor’s 500 futures to hedge his equity exposure, these pioneers helped cement the contract’s place in the financial ecosystem.

Forgotten Terms and Trading Techniques

Many traders today overlook some of the early terminology and trading techniques used in futures trading for stock indices. Terms such as “program trading,” “delta hedging,” and “synthetic futures” were once part of the daily jargon among traders.

  • Program Trading: Introduced in the 1980s, this involved using computer algorithms to execute large buy or sell orders in futures SP500 contracts.
  • Delta Hedging: A strategy used to manage risk by offsetting price fluctuations in the S&P 500 future through options.
  • Synthetic Futures: Created using a combination of options to mimic the price movements of SPX index futures.

Notable Trades and Case Studies

One of the most famous trades in Standard and Poor’s 500 futures history occurred during the 1987 Black Monday crash. Large institutional traders employed portfolio insurance, a strategy involving selling futures on S&P 500 to hedge against falling stock prices. However, this strategy exacerbated the downturn, leading to a record 22% drop in the market.

Another significant case study involves the 2008 financial crisis. During this period, hedge funds and proprietary trading firms leveraged futures SP500 to hedge against credit defaults. Traders such as John Paulson and Michael Burry made billions betting against subprime mortgage securities while managing risk through S&P 500 futures contracts.

Risks Associated with Trading Standard & Poor’s 500 Index Futures

Despite their benefits, futures trading in the S&P 500 future market is not without risks. Some of the most significant risks include:

  • Leverage Risk: Because futures trading involves significant leverage, traders can experience amplified gains or losses.
  • Market Volatility: Standard and Poor 500 futures are highly sensitive to macroeconomic events, geopolitical risks, and Federal Reserve policies.
  • Liquidity Risk: While SPX index futures are highly liquid, sudden market shocks can lead to slippage and unexpected losses.
  • Margin Calls: Traders must maintain sufficient margin in their accounts to avoid forced liquidations.

The Role of a Good Futures Broker

Navigating future trading successfully requires the right futures broker. This is where Cannon Trading Company excels. With decades of experience, Cannon Trading Company provides traders with access to high-performance trading futures platforms, professional guidance, and a robust regulatory standing. Their commodity brokerage services cater to traders of all experience levels, offering:

  • Top-tier Trading Platforms: Access to cutting-edge tools for futures trading e mini futures and micros futures.
  • 5-Star Ratings on TrustPilot: A testament to their superior customer service and reliability.
  • Comprehensive Educational Resources: Helping traders understand what is futures trading and how to navigate the complexities of futures SP500 markets.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Ensuring transparency and adherence to industry best practices.

The Standard and Poor 500 futures contract has cemented itself as an indispensable financial instrument for traders and institutional investors alike. Its evolution from an innovative financial tool in 1982 to a globally traded contract has been marked by influential figures, technological advancements, and historic market events. While futures trading offers immense potential, understanding the risks, strategies, and market nuances is crucial for success.

For traders looking to excel in futures on S&P 500, choosing the right futures broker is critical. Cannon Trading Company stands out with its top-tier commodity brokerage services, commitment to client success, and a range of powerful trading platforms. Whether engaging in futures SP500, S&P 500 futures contracts, or micros futures, partnering with an experienced broker like Cannon Trading Company can make all the difference in achieving trading success.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572(International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

The High-Stakes Crude Oil & CPI Report: 3 Critical Signals for Market Movers

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Crude Oil

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Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

CPI and EIA Petroleum Stocks

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely.

Prepare for shocks, on CPI and Stocks.

CPI Tomorrow before the Cash Open 7:30 am CST

Updated: March 11, 2025, 12:20 pm

US February consumer price index (CPI) data is forecast by analysts up +0.3% month-to-month, which compares to the previous month’s +0.5%. Core CPI on monthly terms is expected +0.3% in February compared to the prior month’s +0.4%. The data will be released at 7:30 am CT Wednesday morning. CPI on annualized terms is forecast up +2.9% from the year ago month, the core year-over-year figure is expected up +3.2%.

EIA Crude Oil Inventories Tomorrow

EIA Weekly Petroleum Stocks Estimates for Wednesday, March 12 at 9:30 AM CT

in million barrels per day (mln bpd)

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  CPI, EIA Crude Inventories, Beige Book

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Daily Levels for March 12th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Shocking Surge: 3 Powerful Ways to Survive Expanding Volatility in Trading

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Volatility Expands

volatility

See below NQ 15 minute chart for an illustration of the expanded volatility, speed, size of moves etc.

The “bands” are expanding, consider reducing trading size? Possibly trading MICROS?

Evaluating your stops and targets to make sure they adjust to volatility?

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Daily Levels for March 11th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Oil Futures Contracts

The world of futures trading is vast, intricate, and, at times, obscured by layers of jargon and complexity. Among the most actively traded financial instruments in this domain are oil futures contracts, a crucial commodity derivative that influences global economies. Understanding these contracts—how they work, the potential risks, and their historical impacts—can make a critical difference for any futures trader seeking success.

What Are Oil Futures Contracts?

An oil futures contract is a legal agreement to buy or sell a specific amount of crude oil at a predetermined price at a future date. These contracts are standardized and traded on exchanges such as the CME Group’s New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). They allow producers and consumers to hedge against price fluctuations while providing opportunities for commodity brokerage firms and traders to speculate on oil price movements.

Oil futures come in various forms, including e-mini futures and micros futures, which allow for different contract sizes to cater to traders with varying risk appetites and capital.

10 Obscure Facts About Oil Futures Contracts That Traders Should Know

  1. The Market Has Negative Prices—And It Happened in 2020
    • On April 20, 2020, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures for May delivery fell to -$37.63 per barrel. Due to an extreme storage shortage, holders of contracts were willing to pay others to take the contracts off their hands.
  2. Contango vs. Backwardation Can Make or Break a Trade
    • In futures trading, a market in contango means that future prices are higher than spot prices, often due to storage costs. In backwardation, future prices are lower, typically due to high demand. Understanding these states helps traders plan their strategies effectively.
  3. ‘Crack Spread’ Trading Exploits Oil Product Refining Margins
    • Futures traders use the “crack spread” strategy to hedge or profit from the difference between crude oil and refined products like gasoline or diesel. This spread reflects refinery margins and demand shifts.
  4. Oil Futures Contracts Expire Differently Than Stock Options
    • Unlike stock options, which expire monthly, oil futures have contract rollovers that can create price volatility around expiry dates. If a trader doesn’t roll over before expiry, they may have to accept physical delivery.
  5. Oil Price Moves Don’t Always Correlate With Global Events Immediately
    • While geopolitical events (like wars and OPEC decisions) impact oil, price reactions can be delayed due to hedging and algorithmic trading, making predictive trading challenging.
  6. Hedging by Airlines and Trucking Companies Influences Prices
    • Large-scale fuel consumers like airlines hedge fuel costs using oil futures contracts, impacting market dynamics. For example, Southwest Airlines famously saved billions by hedging its jet fuel costs during the 2000s.
  7. The ‘Tanker Trade’ Can Affect Oil Futures Prices
    • Oil traders sometimes buy physical crude oil and store it in tankers, waiting for higher prices in a contango market. This floating storage impacts oil futures market liquidity.
  8. Algorithmic Trading Dominates Oil Futures
    • High-frequency trading (HFT) algorithms execute over 50% of futures trading volume, reacting to news, order flow, and price trends faster than human traders.
  9. Oil Futures Are Prone to Flash Crashes
    • Sudden price collapses (flash crashes) can happen due to electronic trading malfunctions or massive stop-loss triggers. One example occurred in 2018 when oil prices dropped 7% in a matter of minutes.
  10. ‘The Widowmaker’—A Dangerous Spread Trade
    • The natural gas futures spread trade between winter and summer contracts is nicknamed “The Widowmaker” because of its extreme volatility. Though unrelated to oil, it often moves in correlation, impacting oil-based hedging strategies.

Understanding the Risk Potential of Oil Futures Contracts

Like all futures trading, oil futures contracts come with significant risks:

  • Leverage Risk: Futures contracts use leverage, meaning traders can control large positions with relatively small amounts of capital. However, leverage magnifies both gains and losses.
  • Volatility Risk: Oil prices can swing wildly due to geopolitical events, natural disasters, or economic reports.
  • Margin Calls: If a trader’s position moves against them, brokers may issue margin calls, requiring additional capital to maintain the position.
  • Liquidity Risk: While oil futures are generally liquid, extreme events can lead to price gaps and limited exit opportunities.
  • Regulatory Risk: Governments and regulatory bodies can impose new rules affecting oil trading. For example, position limits or increased margin requirements can change market conditions suddenly.

Case Studies: Real-Life Oil Futures Trading Lessons

Case Study 1: The 2020 Oil Price Crash

As mentioned earlier, WTI crude oil prices went negative in April 2020. Some traders who failed to roll over their contracts in time were forced to take delivery of oil, with no storage options available. The lesson: Always have an exit strategy before contract expiry.

Case Study 2: The 2008 Oil Price Surge and Crash

In 2008, crude oil surged to an all-time high of $147 per barrel, only to plummet to $33 by year-end. Many traders who went long near the peak suffered devastating losses. The takeaway? Markets can remain irrational longer than traders can stay solvent.

Case Study 3: How a Small Trader Profited from the Crack Spread

A trader noticed gasoline refining margins widening and strategically went long on gasoline futures while shorting crude oil. This classic crack spread trade yielded substantial profits as gasoline prices rose.

Why Cannon Trading Company is a Great Choice for Trading Oil Futures

For both new and experienced traders, having the right futures broker is essential. Cannon Trading Company stands out for several reasons:

  • Wide Selection of Trading Platforms: Offering cutting-edge platforms like CQG, Rithmic, and Sierra Chart, Cannon Trading ensures traders have the best tools.
  • TrustPilot 5-Star Ratings: With consistently high ratings, Cannon Trading has built a reputation for reliability and client satisfaction.
  • Decades of Experience: Established in 1988, the firm has deep industry expertise in commodity brokerage and futures trading.
  • Regulatory Excellence: Fully compliant with NFA and CFTC regulations, Cannon Trading provides a secure and transparent trading environment.
  • Support for All Trader Levels: Whether trading e-mini futures, micros futures, or full-sized contracts, Cannon Trading accommodates all experience levels.

Trading oil futures contracts is a high-risk, high-reward endeavor requiring deep market knowledge. From forgotten trading techniques like the crack spread to modern risks such as algorithmic-driven volatility, futures traders must stay informed. Cannon Trading Company, with its best-in-class platforms, compliance, and experience, is an excellent choice for anyone looking to engage in future trading with confidence.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

Future S&P 500

Trading futures, particularly the future S&P 500 contracts, offers substantial opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on market movements. However, beyond common concerns like leverage and margin requirements, advanced traders may face complex and lesser-known issues that can significantly impact their strategies. Understanding these uncommon problems is crucial for futures traders, and finding effective solutions requires experience, insight, and risk management expertise. This article outlines ten uncommon challenges in trading futures, ranking multiple solutions for each in terms of effectiveness and risk mitigation.

10 Uncommon Problems Advanced Traders May Not Know About in Trading S&P 500 Futures

  1. Hidden Liquidity Gaps in After-Hours Trading

  2. While the E-mini futures and other S&P 500 derivatives appear liquid during regular market hours, unexpected liquidity gaps occur in after-hours trading, leading to severe slippage.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Limit Orders – The best way to mitigate this risk is to strictly use limit orders, ensuring that trades execute at predetermined prices. (Low risk)
    2. Monitor Market Depth with DOM (Depth of Market) Tools – This allows traders to see actual liquidity and adjust strategies accordingly. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade Only During High Liquidity Periods – If possible, stick to high-liquidity windows (e.g., overlap between European and U.S. sessions). (Moderate risk)
    4. Utilize Market Makers or Algorithmic Trading Strategies – Some market makers provide liquidity in off-hours, but it requires algorithmic expertise. (High risk)
    1. Sudden Margin Requirement Changes

    Futures brokers and clearinghouses can change margin requirements unexpectedly, affecting capital allocation.

    Solutions:

    1. Keep Excess Margin in Reserve – The safest way to combat this is to maintain excess margin in accounts to withstand unexpected changes. (Low risk)
    2. Use Brokers with Predictable Margin Policies – Some futures trading brokers offer transparency in advance about margin shifts. (Moderate risk)
    3. Hedge Positions with Options – Using options to hedge S&P 500 futures can minimize exposure to margin increases. (High risk due to premium costs)
    1. Volatility-Induced Stop Hunting

    Some traders notice that during high volatility, stop orders are frequently triggered just before the price reverses.

    Solutions:

    1. Place Stops Beyond Key Levels – Understanding market psychology allows traders to place stops beyond resistance/support levels. (Low risk)
    2. Utilize Time-Based Exits Instead of Stop Orders – This prevents premature exits but requires discipline. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade with Larger Capital to Avoid Stops Altogether – High capital can weather swings but is capital-intensive. (High risk)
    1. Decoupling of S&P 500 Futures from the Index

    At times, futures prices diverge significantly from the underlying index.

    Solutions:

    1. Arbitrage with ETFs (SPY) or Other Instruments – Professional traders arbitrage these discrepancies for profit. (Low risk)
    2. Monitor Premium/Discount Metrics on Bloomberg – Awareness of fair value premium can guide better entries. (Moderate risk)
    3. Avoid Trading During Key Economic Announcements – Futures prices often decouple during major news events. (High risk if mismanaged)
    1. Technical Failure of Trading Platforms

    Even with the best futures trading brokers, platform failures can occur during crucial moments.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Redundant Trading Accounts – Keeping accounts with multiple brokers mitigates risk. (Low risk)
    2. Automate Emergency Phone Orders with Broker Support – Calling a broker to execute trades manually during downtime can save losses. (Moderate risk)
    3. Use Cloud-Based Trading Over Locally Installed Software – Some traders rely on cloud platforms, but they still face latency issues. (High risk)
    1. Execution Delays During Flash Crashes

    High-frequency traders (HFTs) dominate the market, sometimes causing delays in execution.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Marketable Limit Orders – These ensure fast execution while controlling price slippage. (Low risk)
    2. Monitor Order Flow Through Level II Data – Helps gauge when to enter/exit trades. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade Away from Peak HFT Periods – Some traders avoid key HFT periods, but it limits trading opportunities. (High risk)
    1. Exchange Circuit Breaker Halts

    Trading halts due to extreme movements can trap traders in positions.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Hedging Strategies with Inverse ETFs – This helps mitigate loss during trading halts. (Low risk)
    2. Keep Cash Reserves for Post-Halt Trading – Allows capitalizing on post-halt movements. (Moderate risk)
    3. Preemptively Close Positions Before Expected Volatility – Difficult to time accurately. (High risk)
    1. Frontrunning by Large Institutions

    Institutional traders often place massive orders before retail traders, shifting the market.

    Solutions:

    1. Use Iceberg Orders – Hides trade size from the market. (Low risk)
    2. Trade During Off-Peak Hours – Reduces exposure to large players. (Moderate risk)
    3. Follow Institutional Order Flow Analysis – Helps mimic large orders but is difficult. (High risk)
    1. Tax Complexity in Futures Trading

    Futures taxation (60/40 rule) can be confusing and impact net returns.

    Solutions:

    1. Work with a Tax Professional Specializing in Futures – Ensures correct tax handling. (Low risk)
    2. Utilize Tax-Efficient Trading Structures – Certain entities reduce tax burdens. (Moderate risk)
    3. Trade Through Tax-Advantaged Accounts – Limited accessibility for all traders. (High risk)
    1. Broker Insolvency Risk

    Not all futures trading brokers are financially stable, leading to potential fund losses.

    Solutions:

    1. Trade with Well-Capitalized Brokers like Cannon Trading – Choosing established brokers minimizes risks. (Low risk)
    2. Use Segregated Accounts for Funds – Reduces risk in case of broker collapse. (Moderate risk)
    3. Split Trading Capital Among Multiple Brokers – Adds complexity but mitigates single-point failures. (High risk)

The Legacy of Futures Trading and Cannon Trading Company

Futures trading has been an integral part of financial markets for centuries due to its role in hedging, speculation, and price discovery. The commodity brokerage sector has evolved, but firms like Cannon Trading Company, a premier futures broker since 1988, have consistently adapted to industry innovations. By prioritizing trader support, transparent execution, and compliance with NFA regulations, Cannon Trading remains a trusted name in futures trading. The firm’s resilience through market shifts, technological advances, and regulatory changes underscores why trading futures continues to be a cornerstone of global financial markets.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading