Shocking Risks of Non-Farm Payrolls—Are You Prepared for the Volatility?

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Non-Farm Payrolls

non farm payrolls

Tomorrow

Non-Farm Payrolls tomorrow is a market moving event.

Non-Farm Payrolls: Be aware and don’t get in right before if you CANNOT handle the increased risk and volatility.

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Daily Levels for March 7th, 2025

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Copper Prices Surge $6,500 per Contract After Trump’s 25% Tariff Bombshell!

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Markets Highlights on Copper

Copper

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

General:

The big one! It’s that time of the month again: we’re a couple of days from when the Labor Dept. releases its monthly Non-farm payrolls report. It’s widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy and the report is released at 7:30 A.M., Central Time on the first Friday of the month.

Ahead of that, today the ADP National Employment Report showed payrolls increased by 77,000 jobs in February, the smallest gain since July 2024, after rising 186,000 in January. Economists had forecast private employment advancing 140,000.

The ADP report, jointly developed with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, likely exaggerates the labor market slowdown and has no correlation with the government’s employment report.

 Softs:

Arabica coffee futures rose sharply today with the market heading back up towards recent record highs. May ICE coffee rose almost 5% to $4.1855 per lb. intraday. Traders indicated the market showing signs of resuming its upward trend after suffering a sharp setback which took prices from a record high of $4.2995 on Feb. 11 to a low of $3.6630 a week ago – a ±$23,900 per contract correction! The market was keeping a close watch on the weather in top grower Brazil with hot, dry conditions raising some concerns about the upcoming crop.

Energy:

Crude oil futures settled down for the fourth consecutive session today after U.S. crude oil stockpiles posted a larger-than-expected build, adding a further headwind as investors worried about OPEC+ plans to increase output in April and U.S. tariffs on Canada, China and Mexico. April West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) settled down $1.95, or 2.86%, to $66.31 a barrel, its lowest since November ’24. OPEC+, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia, decided on Monday to proceed with a planned April oil output increase of 138,000 barrels per day, its first since 2022.

Metals:

Copper

CME/COMEX copper futures soared today following President Donald Trump’s announced 25% tariffs on copper imports during his Tuesday night speech to Congress. May copper rose ±26 cents/lb. (±5.7% as of this blog post – a $6,500 per contract move – to a $4.825/lb. intraday high.

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April Crude Oil

April crude oil is completing its second downside PriceCount objective to the 66.53 area. It would be normal to get a near term reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. At this point, IF the chart can sustain further weakness, the third count would project a possible slide to a new contract low around 62.78. A trade below the October reactionary low would formally negate the remaining unmet upside objectives.

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Daily Levels for March 6th, 2025

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Micro E-Mini & Micro Grains: Expanding Futures Trading Flexibility

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1232

Micro Grains in the Spotlight!

micro grains

  • MICRO Grains are available!

  • The Week Ahead – Non Farm Payrolls, Powell Speaking & More Volatility
  • Futures 102 – Understanding MICRO e-minis
  • Hot Market of the Week – May Cotton
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Micro Grains are available:

Micro Grains: This permanent demo is available to all clients using the StoneX futures ( CQG desktop) platform as long as you have a balance.

CME Group, the world’s leading derivatives marketplace, announced in late January that it will launch a suite of micro grain and oilseed futures contracts. These contracts will be cash-settled and be one-tenth the size of the exchange’s Corn, Wheat, Soybean, Soybean Oil and Soybean Meal futures contracts.

Their first day of trading was this last Monday, Feb. 24.

Quoting John Ricci, Managing Director and Global Head of Agriculture from CME Group’s press release: “Our benchmark grain and oilseed futures products are the most liquid and highly-utilized markets in global agriculture today. These smaller-sized contracts will provide additional flexibility for market participants to manage their agricultural portfolios with greater precision.”

Micro Corn, Wheat, Soybean, Soybean Oil and Soybean Meal futures will be listed by and subject to the rules of CBOT. For more information and additional contract specs, please visit www.cmegroup.com/microags.

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Final Week of Standard time in the U.S. “Spring Forward!”

More volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to the potential for tariff implementations creating uncertainty in the marketplace. Therefore, increased volatility expectations.

Highlights next week will also include Nonfarm Payrolls on Friday prior to cash market open. 9 fed speakers including Fed Chair J. Powell on Friday morning as earnings reports begin dwindling with 378 total reports while we are in the 8th inning of earnings season, the reports will be impacting the indices much less than in past weeks.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. quiet
  • Tue. Crowdstrike post close
  • Wed. quiet
  • Thu.  Costco and Broadcom post close
  • Fri. quiet

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon. Musalem 10:35 am CST
  • Tues. Williams 1:20 pm CST
  • Wed. quiet
  • Thu. Waller 2:30 pm CST, Bostic 5:00 pm CST
  • Fri. Bowman 9:15 am, Williams 9:45 am, Kugler 11:20 pm, Fed Chair J. Powell 11:30 am, Kugler 12:00 pm all times CST.

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. S&P Global Mfg. PMI, ISM Mfg. PMI,
  • Tue. RedBook,
  • Wed. ADP, S&P Global Svcs. PMI, Factory orders, ISM Svcs. PMI, EIA Crude Inventories, Biege Book
  • Thur. Balance of Trade, Initial Jobless Claims, EIA Nat Gas
  • Fri Non-Farm Payrolls

Futures 102: MICRO E-Mini Futures

Course Overview

The next big thing in equities trading

This course will provide insight into the Micro E-mini futures, including a size comparison to classic E-mini contracts, a look at enhanced exposure and the benefits Micro E-mini futures can offer you.

More precisely hedge index exposure and manage your positions with more versatility, since Micro E-mini futures are fungible with classic E-mini contracts. Even get examples of how to hedge more precisely with Micro E-mini futures.

Start Now

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

May Cotton

May cotton has resumed its break with a new contract low. This has the chart taking aim at its third downside PriceCount objective to the 64.60 area.

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been, but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

ES NZL

The NZL automated trading system utilizes two main ALGOS in an attempt to identify either an early trend in the trading day and/or high percentage counter trend set ups.

The system is fully automated and runs between the hours of 4 AM central and 3:15 PM Central.

The model relies on volume charts rather than time charts.

PRODUCT

Mini SP500

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$36,000

COST

USD 199 / monthly

Get Started

 

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for March 3rd, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Market Prep: Last Trading Day of February, March Bitcoin, PCE Report & Key Trading Checklist

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Different Markets for Day Trading, March Bitcoin

bitcoin

March Bitcoin:

Tomorrow is the last trading day for February. Last and first trading days of the months can at times be more volatile and at times have a chance to become a trending day.

Also tomorrow is PCE ( Personal Consumption Expenditures, an inflation indicator watched closely by the market).

Last but not least if you are trading bonds and ten years, time to trade the June contract.

Day Trading

Trader’s Check List:

·        Review prior day statement

·        Check for any working orders on your platforms.

·        Be aware of contract rollover dates

·        Set a daily loss limit and learn NOT to overtrade

·        Understand what reports are coming out today

·        Make sure you are not distracted

·        Calculate appropriate trading size based on current volatility and account size

·        Start with Larger Time Frame charts to get proper perspective

·        Understand what your goal is

·        Measure your success or lack of

·        Spend time furthering your trading education and exploring different methods

·        Put trading in perspective and make sure the overall psychology of trading fits you.

 

 

 

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March Bitcoin

The rally in March bitcoin ran out of momentum, leaving behind an interim top in December. Now, on the correction lower, the chart has activated downside PriceCount objectives. The first count has been completed. IF you can sustain further weakness, the second count would project a possible slide to the 76,000 area..

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Daily Levels for February 28th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Gold Drops to $40, Silver Freefalls as Looming Recession Fears Weigh Heavy on Markets

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Movers & Shakers: Gold, Silver, Recession Fears

gold silver

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Movers and Shakers: QUIET Econ data and fed speak tomorrow

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely.

The S&P experienced an 85 point slide ($4250.00 per contract) 65 points immediately following the negative consumer confidence number release that declined by 7 points. The market has continued to recover from the initial loses and look to close in the _0 to 20 point range near 5990.00 basis the March contract. The NQ also took a drubbing, down 225 points as of this writing after being down over 400 points earlier in the session while the DOW looks to add 150 + points today.

Gold, Silver, Recession Fears

Gold, Silver: Recessionary concerns as a result of the building lack of confidence also impacted the Gold and Silver markets , with gold taking a $40.00 per ounce whack and Silver taking a .68 drubbing per troy ounce basis the May contract.

Not to be left out, the US 30 yr Bond, ( ZBM25) was up ( lower interest rates) 42 32nds basis the June contract.

Crude oil will be closing under $70.00 bbl for the first time since the day after Christmas at what looks to be 69.10 basis the April contract.

Updated: February 25, 2025 7:28 am

Dallas Fed President put forth the idea of using a modest portion of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet to holding daily auctions of discount window loans, arguing that it will improve efficiency and effectiveness in implementing policy, and encourage banks needing liquidity to borrow at the Fed. The US Fed discount window lend to banks in need of cash, exchanging for less liquid collateral held by banks.

Updated: February 25, 2025 7:55 am

Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales Headline Recap

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +5.9% in the first three weeks of February 2025 vs February 2024

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +6.2% in the week ending February 22 vs yr ago week

Updated: February 25, 2025 8:01 am

Case Schiller 20 US Metro-Area Home Prices Recap

**Case Schiller 20 US metro area home prices for December Y/Y: +4.4% from the year ago month

**Case Schiller 20 US metro area home prices for December M/M: -0.1% vs prior month

Updated: February 25, 2025 9:02 am

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Headline Recap

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 **Richmond Fed February Manufacturing Index: +6.0 ; prior -4.0; expected -2.0

**Richmond Fed February Manufacturing Shipments Index:+12.0 ; prior -9.0

**Richmond Fed February Manufacturing New Orders: 0.0 ; prior -4.0

**Richmond Fed February Manufacturing Employees: +9.0 ; prior +3.0

**Richmond Fed February Manufacturing Prices Paid: +2.23 ; prior +2.37

**Richmond Fed February Manufacturing Prices Received: +1.62 ; prior +1.21

**Richmond Fed February Service Sector Index: +11.0 ; prior +4.0

Updated: February 25, 2025 9:06 am

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® declined by 7.0 points in February to 98.3 (1985=100).

Tomorrow:

  • Rich. Fed, Bldg Permits, New Home sales.,
  • NVIDIA Earnings after the close!
  • Fed Barkin 7:30 am CST, Fed Bostic 11:00 am CST .
  • Crude Oil Inventories
  • G20 all day

Daily Levels for February 26th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Natural Gas & Copper Eye Upside Amid Post-Holiday Market Turbulence; Softs & Metals Lead the Charge

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Busy Friday to Finish a Short Trading Week

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

natural gas 2

It has been a volatile short trading week post President’s Day long weekend.

Wild swings across the board with softs and metals leading the way.

Tomorrow we have new home sales, flash PMI and University of Michigan reports which will be watched closely for the inflation outlook.

Watch both natural gas and copper as these markets are establishing a tend to the upside.

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Daily Updates & Market Research

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Daily Levels for February 21st, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Platinum Futures

Platinum futures remain one of the most compelling precious metals contracts for traders looking to hedge risk, speculate on price movements, or diversify their portfolios. As 2025 unfolds, futures traders must equip themselves with the right knowledge, reports, and strategies to navigate the evolving market landscape. In this comprehensive guide, we will explore the key factors influencing platinum futures, historical trends, and why Cannon Trading Company is an ideal futures trading broker for traders of all experience levels.

10 Tips and Pointers for Trading Platinum Futures in 2025

  1. Understand Supply and Demand Dynamics
    The price of platinum futures is heavily influenced by supply and demand. South Africa and Russia dominate global platinum production, meaning any geopolitical instability, labor strikes, or production halts in these regions can significantly impact futures contract trading.
  2. Follow Automotive Industry Trends
    Platinum is widely used in catalytic converters for vehicles. Any regulatory changes related to emission standards, shifts in electric vehicle (EV) adoption, or automotive production trends can influence platinum futures prices.
  3. Monitor Interest Rates and Inflation
    Precious metals, including platinum, often act as a hedge against inflation. With potential shifts in Federal Reserve policies, traders must watch interest rate decisions closely, as they impact investor sentiment toward precious metals.
  4. Track Global Economic Growth
    Platinum is an industrial metal, meaning global economic growth can affect demand. Rising manufacturing activity and GDP growth often correlate with increased platinum consumption, impacting futures contract trading.
  5. Study Historical Platinum Futures Trends
    Historically, platinum has exhibited high volatility compared to gold and silver. Futures traders should analyze past market cycles to identify patterns that may help them predict price movements in 2025.
  6. Consider Seasonal Trends
    Like other commodities, platinum has seasonal price tendencies. Historically, platinum prices tend to rise in the first quarter due to increased industrial activity after the holiday season.
  7. Leverage Technical Analysis
    Using technical indicators like moving averages, RSI, and Fibonacci retracements can help futures traders time their platinum futures trades more effectively.
  8. Stay Updated on Mining Reports
    Major mining reports from companies such as Anglo-American Platinum and Impala Platinum Holdings provide insights into production levels and potential supply shortages that can impact futures contract trading.
  9. Hedge with Options and Spread Strategies
    To manage risk, futures traders can utilize option contracts and spread strategies when trading platinum futures. Spreads, such as bull call spreads, can provide downside protection while allowing participation in potential upside movement.
  10. Choose a Reliable Futures Trading Broker
    Selecting a trustworthy broker is crucial for success in futures trading. Cannon Trading Company stands out due to its diverse trading platforms, top-tier regulatory reputation, and high customer satisfaction.

Trends to Expect in Platinum Futures and Corn Futures in 2025

Platinum futures are expected to be influenced by multiple key factors in 2025:

  • Green Energy Transition: The hydrogen fuel cell industry, which uses platinum as a catalyst, is likely to see continued investment, increasing demand for the metal.
  • Supply Chain Disruptions: As global supply chains continue to recover from the pandemic and geopolitical uncertainties, platinum availability may fluctuate.
  • U.S. Dollar Strength: A stronger dollar typically pressures platinum prices downward, while a weaker dollar can support price gains.
  • Federal Reserve Policies: Interest rate cuts could drive investment in precious metals, benefiting platinum futures traders.

Meanwhile, corn futures are expected to experience volatility driven by:

  • Weather Conditions: Droughts, floods, and unexpected weather events will impact supply and price movements.
  • Export Demand: China and other major importers’ buying patterns will heavily influence price trends.
  • Biofuel Policies: Corn is a primary component in ethanol production, and regulatory policies on biofuels can significantly impact futures trading.

Key Reports to Analyze Before Trading Platinum Futures

When assessing potential platinum futures trades, traders should monitor the following reports:

  • Commitment of Traders (COT) Report: This report provides insight into the positions of institutional traders, helping traders gauge market sentiment.
  • U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Report: Employment data impacts inflation and economic growth projections, influencing platinum demand.
  • Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Statements: Interest rate decisions affect the attractiveness of precious metals.
  • World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC) Reports: Provides insights into supply-demand forecasts for platinum.
  • Auto Industry Production Reports: Key for understanding platinum demand from catalytic converter manufacturing.

Historical Trends in Platinum Futures and Other Precious Metals

Platinum has a unique history in the commodities market. Unlike gold and silver, which are primarily monetary metals, platinum has a more industrial focus. Some notable historical trends include:

  • Early 2000s Boom: Platinum prices surged due to increasing demand from the auto industry and a weaker dollar.
  • 2008 Financial Crisis: Prices crashed alongside other assets but rebounded as economic recovery began.
  • 2010-2014 Rally: Strong industrial demand and investor interest pushed platinum to highs above $1,800 per ounce.
  • 2015-2020 Decline: Rising palladium substitution in automotive applications and mining oversupply contributed to price stagnation.
  • 2021-Present Recovery: Increased interest in green energy and supply chain disruptions have sparked renewed volatility.

Gold and silver futures have historically been more stable but still follow macroeconomic and geopolitical trends. Traders should compare these metals to platinum futures to identify relative value opportunities.

Why Cannon Trading Company is the Best Futures Trading Broker for Platinum Futures

For traders looking for a reliable futures broker, Cannon Trading Company stands out for several reasons:

  • Wide Selection of Free Trading Platforms: Cannon offers top-tier platforms such as E-Futures International, CQG, and Trade Navigator, providing traders with excellent execution speed and analytical tools.
  • Decades of Experience: Established in 1988, Cannon Trading has a long-standing reputation for integrity and service excellence in the futures trading industry.
  • 5-Star TrustPilot Ratings: With consistently high ratings from satisfied clients, Cannon Trading provides excellent customer support and trading guidance.
  • Regulatory Compliance: As a member of the National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Cannon upholds the highest industry standards for transparency and security.
  • Personalized Service: Whether you’re a novice or experienced trader, Cannon Trading offers tailored solutions to fit your trading style and risk tolerance.

If you’re serious about trading platinum futures, choosing a seasoned futures trading broker like Cannon Trading Company ensures you have the best tools, support, and expertise at your disposal.

Trading platinum futures in 2025 requires a deep understanding of market fundamentals, technical strategies, and macroeconomic influences. By following key reports, monitoring industrial demand, and leveraging expert futures brokers like Cannon Trading Company, traders can position themselves for success in the evolving futures trading landscape.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

 

Market Updates: S&P 500, Crude Oil, and Gold Movements

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The Day Ahead in Futures Trading

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

S&P 500, Gold, Crude Oil

Gold

Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

Indexes:

The March E-mini S&P 500 traded within striking distance of its life-of-contract high posted back on Dec. 4th and 6th (6164.00) breaching that price intraday with a 6166.50 print and closing today at 6163.00

Energy:

Oil prices rose on Wednesday, extending gains to a third-consecutive session amid growing supply worries.

March futures for West Texas Intermediate Crude traded briefly above $73.00 per barrel, a ±75 intraday increase and trading up ± 46 cents per barrel at ±$72.31.

If you missed it, EIA Energy Stocks were NOT released today, as is usual.  Due to the Presidents’ Day holiday, the report will be release tomorrow, 30 minutes after the EIA Gas Stocks report: 7:30 A.M., Central Time (gas), 8:00 A.M. (energy).

Metals:

Gold prices wavered near unchanged at this blog’s submission after trading ±$15 above and below yesterday’s settlement and near its all-time highs near $2,950 per ounce.

Fueling safe-haven demand for the precious metal, the Trump administration plans to impose tariffs of around 25% on U.S. bound autos and auto-building components, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals as early as April 2.

April gold futures have gained about 12% so far this year, with analysts expecting higher prices in a trade war.  On Monday, Goldman Sachs raised its year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,100 per ounce.

Daily Levels for February 20th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Dollar Index Eyes 105.47 as Economic and Geopolitical Risks Mount

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dollar index

Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Dollar Index Eyes 105.47

Movers and Shakers : QUIET Econ data and fed speak tomorrow

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely.

Updated: February 18, 2025 2:01 pm

Russia – Ukraine War Update

–Ukraine’s military said Russia launched a barrage of 147 attack drones against Ukraine overnight. Out of this, the Ukrainian Air Force reported shooting down 83, while 59 did not reach their targets. Several storage facilities and private residences were reported damaged.

–The Caspian Pipeline Consortium said that Ukrainian drones hit one of its major oil pipelines in southern Russia’s Kropotkinskaya pumping station in the Krasnodar region, affecting supply from neighbouring Kazakhstan.

–Ukraine’s Security Service claimed responsibility for the attack on the oil pipeline and said that Moscow’s Ilsky oil refinery in Krasnodar was also hit, with at least 20 explosions heard in the area.

–Russia’s Defence Ministry said its forces captured the settlement of Fyholivka in eastern Ukraine’s Kharkiv region. A second announcement later said that the village of Sverdlikovo in Russia’s Kursk region was taken back from Ukraine’s forces.

–US Secretary of State Marco Rubio travelled to Saudi Arabia in advance of planned peace talks between United States and Russian officials over the war in Ukraine.

–Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov confirmed that Russia would be represented by Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and foreign policy director Yuri Ushakov at the meetings with the US in Riyadh.

–Peskov also said that Russian officials would talk with US counterparts about restoring ties, negotiating a peaceful settlement to the war in Ukraine and preparing a meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Donald Trump.

 

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–The Kremlin said any plans to deploy European peacekeeping troops after Kyiv and Moscow strike a peace deal would make the matter complex.

–French President Emmanuel Macron hosted an emergency meeting with leaders from key European Union nations at the Elysee Palace in Paris to discuss the EU’s reaction to Washington’s peace talks with Moscow.

–Hungary’s Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto told a media briefing that the Paris meeting, to discuss the US’s policy shift towards Moscow in its war on Ukraine, would be an attempt to prevent peace. -unlike them, we support Donald Trump’s ambitions; unlike them, we support the US-Russian negotiations; unlike them, we want peace in Ukraine,- Szijjarto said.

–Russia’s Lavrov asked why Europe should be invited to join talks on a peace settlement in Ukraine if European politicians want the war to carry on. He also said Russia would not even consider territorial concessions to Ukraine in future peace talks.

–The spokesperson for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Sergii Nykyforov, said that the Ukrainian leader would travel to Saudi Arabia on a long-planned visit the day after the meeting between Russia and US officials wraps up.

–The Ukrainian leader also said he would not recognise any outcome of the Washington-Moscow talks in Saudi Arabia that did not involve Kyiv.

–Zelenskyy met with the United Arab Emirates’s Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan during a visit to the UAE, where Sheikh Mohammed reportedly committed to supporting efforts for a peaceful resolution to the war and continuing initiatives to ease the humanitarian impact.

–Zelenskyy is now in Turkiye to meet with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to discuss prisoner exchanges between Ukraine and Russia.

-The Dollar Index Eyes 105.47.

 

 

 

Tomorrow:

  • FOMC Minutes
  • Housing Starts
  • NO Crude Oil Numbers ( pushed to Thursday)
March US Dollar Index

The March dollar index negated its original downside PriceCounts off the January high early this month. Now, the chart has activated fresh counts off the larrger leg where the first count projects a run to the 105.47 area. It would take a trade below the November reactionary low to formally negarte the remaining unmet upside objectives.

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Daily Levels for February 19th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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President’s Day, Natural Gas, & Market Moves: Key Trading Levels & Insights

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1230

  • President’s Day Modified trading Schedule
  • The Week Ahead – FOMC minutes, Housing Starts
  • Futures 102 – Options Strategies
  • Hot Market of the Week – March Natural Gas
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

natural gas

President’s Day Modified Trading Schedule:

Natural Gas Hot Market of the Week + Monday, February 17th is Presidents Day here in the US.

Many markets will close at noon central and some markets are closed.

Click Here for Full Schedule

PRES DAY 2025 2

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. President’s day
  • Tue. quiet
  • Wed. quiet
  • Thu. WMT
  • Fri. quiet

 

 

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon Quiet
  • Tues. Quiet
  • Wed. FOMC Minutes pm CST
  • Thu. Goolsbee 8:35 am CST
  • Fri. Quiet

 

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Presidents Day
  • Tue. Empire state Manu. Index, NAHB Housing index
  • Wed. Bldg. Permits, Housing starts, FOMC Minutes
  • Thur. Initial Jobless Claims, Philly Fed, CB Leading Index
  • Fri. SP PMI, Existing Home sales, Mich. Consumer sentiment

Futures 102: Options Strategies

Course Overview

Option Strategies are an integral part of a trader’s routine. Learn about common option strategies utilized by traders that express their view of market direction and expected volatility. Some option strategies are designed to mitigate risk while others are designed to profit by accepting risk.

Start Now

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

March Natural Gas

March Natural Gas is attempting to resume its rally as it challenges the January high. At this point, new sustained highs would project a potential run to the low percentage fourth upside PriceCount objective to the 4.06 area.

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

ES NZL

PRODUCT

Mini SP500

 

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

 

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$36,000

 

COST

USD 199 / monthly

 

Get Started

 

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for February 17/18, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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