Futures Trading Levels, Costly Hiccups – Do YOU Have Any?

Cannon Trading / E-Futures.com

Costly Hiccups – Do YOU have any?

by RealityTrader

Continuing our mini-series devoted to trading psychology, let’s look into another very common problem traders encounter.

One of the most frequent questions I get: “OK, I seem to have mastered a lot, I can extract money from the markets and I have stretch of winning days BUT… one day comes when I seem to be unable to follow my own rules, I start doing everything against what I learned, dig deeper and deeper hole… and when the day is over I find myself giving back all I made in a week before that! I feel groggy… then I remember everything I learned, pick myself up, glue pieces together, start trading carefully, start making money… only to have another blow-off just like the previous one in a week or two! What’s going on, why can’t I control myself and how do I avoid these frustrating days??”

If all above sounds familiar – it should. I haven’t met many traders who avoided this problem. Good news is, it’s a somewhat good problem to have since it appears at the stage where your method is good enough and mastered well enough so you are able to make money consistently inbetween those disgusting days. Bad news is, there is no other way to overcome this problem but to understand the root of it. This, however, is true for all psychological barriers we encounter in trading – no magic button to push and turn the problem off, have to understand where the problem stems from so you can recognize it when it re-appears and apply the right patch. And this problem is pure psychological – after all, what could change so drastically on the fifth day after four days of winning? Aside of your own behavior that is.

So, what gives? Why the Momentary Lapse Of Reason (yeah, I am old-fashioned enough to love Pink Floyd)?

Mechanics of this phenomenon are fairly intuitive. Remember the saying “When we succeed we tend to stop doing what made us a success in a first place”? This is exactly what happens here. As we make money day after day we start feeling invincible. Worst yet, subconsciously we start assigning the success to our genius. It’s not the rules we follow. It’s not the system we apply. It’s not the favorable market (God forbid market helps us, we BEAT the market, we WIN against it! Right? Right?). It’s US – we are above the rules, above the system, we are THE trader.

If you had to put all above in a single word, which one would you pick? Right. EGO. This eternal “enemy within” finds the way to undermine our success by convincing us that we are the second coming of Einstein. All this happens quietly, in the background, you don’t even notice how paradigm changes… but it does, and somewhere deep inside you don’t believe anymore that rules apply to you.

Catastrophe comes with the next losing trade. Instead of taking our usual pre-determined stop (which was what kept us safe during winning streak) we chose to ignore it. Why, we are the winner. We are having winning streak, uninterrupted for days or weeks. And since it’s our genius that makes it happen, we won’t lose this time too. Why take the loss, winning streak will continue. Rules are beneath us. Market be beaten and crying bitterly. We be laughing.

Know the rest, right? Stock continues against us. Either we take the loss finally, much bigger than the total of our losses for a week before… or we hold… oh, and by the way, while we fought this one, another trade came along, and we went for it, and it went in our favor, but we haven’t taken the profit where we normally would. Why, we needed the size of win to be a bit bigger, to compensate for this darn stubborn losing trade… and new one reversed on us and became a loser too.

Long story short – when this day is over, you dream of never waking up today. You think of how small your loss for the day would be should you take the stop. Worse yet, with that second trade you would even be positive for the day – providing you have taken the profit at your usual level. Instead, week worth of good careful trading is ruined. And why? Because you let your ego trade. It wasn’t you who made that decision to break the rules. It was your ego. But it were you who let it. Don’t. You are not above the market. You are not above the rules. When you win, it’s not because your greatness makes the rules irelevant. You win because you follow the rules. Little humility will go a loooong way. Self-irony helps. As one of the best traders in our trading room says every time when congratulated with winning trade – “Lucky.” And when pressed not to be so humble, adds: “Stops are skill. Wins are luck”. Whether or not it’s so is irrelevant, really. Self-irony and humility make a better trader.

Vadym Graifer is an author of the unique A Taoist Trader course devoted to trading philosophy and psychology

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by third party. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!

Make it a great trading week!! Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels, Costly Hiccups – Do YOU Have Any?”

Futures Trading Levels, Crude Oil Leading Commodity Markets

Cannon Trading / E-Futures.com

With the Mid East situation, Crude Oil has been the leader of the commodities markets affecting movements in markets like metals, stock indices and more.

Daily chart of Crude oil for your review below along with a small picture that expresses what one can expect of tomorrow’s unemployment report better than I can…..
Either way, higher volatility, wider ranges = trader must asses their daily risk settings, their stops/ targets per trade, trading size etc.

Daily E-Mini S&P 500 Futures Trading Chart

Stock futures trading chart levels Friday March 4th 2011
Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels, Crude Oil Leading Commodity Markets”

Futures Trading Levels, Mini Russel 2000 Futures

Cannon Trading / E-Futures.com

March started out with strong down move, perhaps to signal the shift in market bias going forward?

Time will tell.

Hourly chart of Mini Russell 2000 for your review below. We need to see the TF goes above 809.50 for any significant bounce to follows, otherwise we may visit 793 first….

Either way, higher volatility, wider ranges = trader must asses their daily risk settings, their stops/ targets per trade, trading size etc.

Daily E-Mini S&P 500 Futures Trading Chart

Stock futures trading chart levels Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels, Mini Russel 2000 Futures”

Futures Trading Levels for Online Commodities Trading

Life After Mini SP – Day Trading Crude Oil Futures “Buying the Fear, Selling the Greed”

Join us for a Webinar on February 23

Space is limited.
Reserve Your Webinar Seat Now at: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/477215826

This Wednesday, February 23rd , Ilan Levy-Mayer, Vice President of Cannon Trading and President / AP of LEVEX Capital Management Inc., a registered commodity trading advisor, will hold a live educational day trading webinar starting at 8:15 AM central time.

During the webinar you will see chart like the one below from today’s sessions and Ilan will:

  • Share his approach to day trading futures and review other markets he scans for day trading other than the ES (mini SP 500)
  • Explain his day trading strategies that can be applied to futures markets such as crude oil futures
  • Review some of his technical indicators
  • Detail his day trading money management philosophy
  • Walks through live trade set ups as they happen real-time

Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels for Online Commodities Trading”

Futures Trading Charts, February 16, 2011

Low volume on the Mini SP 500 today.

That should change tomorrow with a variety of economic reports due.

Daily chart of Mini Russell 2000 for your review below:

S&P500 daily trading levels Tuesday February 16 Continue reading “Futures Trading Charts, February 16, 2011”

Futures Trading Levels and Weekly Newsletter February 3, 2011

Next two days are full of economic numbers, plus lets not forget Egypt and Middle East….

I expect higher volatility than we witnessed today but then again, sometimes the market does what it wants, including the un- expected…..

Good quick article at:


https://www.cannontrading.com/community/newsletter/ Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels and Weekly Newsletter February 3, 2011”

Futures Trading Levels and Economic Report for February 1, 2011

A new month starting and below you will see my WEEKLY chart for the mini SP. I have sell set up in this market as well and if the short side pick speed, I would look for around 1230 and 1186 within the next few weeks. If i am wrong and the market breaks above 1300, I would play defense and wait for the next set up.

I wish you all a great trading month in February.

SP-500-Day-Trading-2011-02-01 Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels and Economic Report for February 1, 2011”

Futures Trading Levels and Weekly Newsletter, January 20, 2011

Great articles about trading psychology on our weekly newsletter at:
*****************************************************************

https://www.cannontrading.com/community/newsletter/

*****************************************************************

I think every trader should read these articles and the new ones to folow next week. Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels and Weekly Newsletter, January 20, 2011”

Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for January 14, 2010

Stock futures indices are “boring”..slow movement, lack of “fear” and just gradual, slow move up.

On the other hand we have markets like Euro, Crude, grains etc. that have large intraday ranges, volatility and speed. Factors i think day-traders are looking for.

With that being said, we do have a day full of reports tomorrow ahead of long MLK weekend, so we’ll see if this wakes up stock indices a bit. Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for January 14, 2010”