Market Outlook: May Wheat Satisfies, Key Earnings, Fed Speeches, and Economic Data for the Final Trading Week of the Month

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

May MN Wheat

wheat

In Today’s Issue #1231

  • May Minnesota Wheat – Hot Market of the Week
  • Permanent Demo Available
  • The Week Ahead – NVIDIA, PCE, Housing Numbers, Fed Speeches and More!
  • Futures 102 – Understanding mini NASDAQ 100
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Trading Demo Available with your StoneX Futures Platform:

This permanent demo is available to all clients using the StoneX futures ( CQG desktop) platform as long as you have a balance.

If you live account is subscribed to live data, your demo will also have live data.

Demo data will run off the market data subscriptions you have.

See example below:

Login to your live trading account: https://m.cqg.com/stonexfutures

In the upper right corner, you should be able to click on your account number and select the demo account, which will be highlighted in yellow.

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Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

The final trading day of the month Next Friday with a full week packed with housing and other economic data, Fed Speak and a hot earning report or two.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue. Home Depot before the open, Intuit post close
  • Wed. NVIDIA , Sales Force post close
  • Thu.  quiet
  • Fri. quiet

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon Quiet
  • Tues. Barr 10:45 am CST, Barkin 12:00pm CST
  • Wed. Barkin 7:30 am CST, Bostic 11 am CST
  • Thu. Barr 9 am CST, Bowman 10:45 am CST, Hammack 12:15pm CST, Harker 2:15 CST
  • Fri. Quiet

Economic Data week:

 

  • Mon. Dallas Fed Manufacturing
  • Tue. RedBook, Case Schiller, Consumer confidence, Dallas Fed,
  • Wed. Richmond Fed, Bldg Permits, New Home Sales
  • Thur. Initial Jobless Claims, Durable Goods Q2 advance,
  • Fri. Core PCE, Chicago PMI

Futures 102: Understanding the E-mini Nasdaq-100

Course Overview

Learn more about the E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures contract. You will gain an understanding of the E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures contract specifications, spreading between different equity index futures contracts, and the tools available to help investors.

Start Now

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

May MN Wheat

May MN wheat satisfied its third upside PriceCount objective where it would be normal to get a near term reaction in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade, at least. At this point, IF the chart can resume its rally into new sustained highs, we are left with the low percentage fourth count to aim for to the $7.27 area. It takes a trade above the October reactionary high to formally negate the remaining unmet downside counts. That’s May MN Wheat!

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been, but where we might be going next!

 

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

ES NZL

PRODUCT

Mini SP500

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$36,000

COST

USD 199 / monthly

Get Started

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for February 24th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Corn Futures Contract

The corn futures contract remains one of the most actively traded agricultural commodities in the futures markets. As global demand for corn continues to rise due to its essential role in food production, animal feed, and ethanol production, futures traders seeking profitable opportunities often turn to corn futures as a key component of their portfolio.

10 Essential Tips for Trading Corn Futures in 2025

  1. Understand Supply and Demand Dynamics
    Corn prices are highly sensitive to global supply and demand. Factors such as droughts, floods, and geopolitical trade policies can drastically affect supply, while increased biofuel production and livestock feed demand can drive prices higher.
  2. Monitor USDA Reports
    The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) publishes reports such as the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE), Crop Progress Reports, and Grain Stocks Reports. These provide valuable insights into corn production, yield forecasts, and potential price movements.
  3. Follow Seasonal Trends
    Historically, corn futures contracts tend to follow seasonal price patterns. Prices often drop during harvest (September-November) when supply increases and rise in the planting months (April-May) when weather concerns create uncertainty.
  4. Choose a Reliable Futures Broker
    Working with a reputable futures trading broker is essential for executing trades efficiently. Firms like Cannon Trading Company offer a wide selection of futures trading platforms and have a solid track record with 5-star ratings on TrustPilot, making them a great choice for traders of all levels.
  5. Hedge Against Price Volatility
    Agribusinesses and institutional investors often use corn futures contracts to hedge against price fluctuations. Understanding how to use these contracts for risk management can provide a strategic edge.
  6. Utilize Technical and Fundamental Analysis
    Successful futures traders rely on both technical indicators (such as moving averages and Fibonacci retracements) and fundamental analysis (such as crop reports and geopolitical news) to make informed decisions.
  7. Watch for Inflation and Interest Rate Trends
    Economic factors such as inflation and interest rates influence the overall commodity markets. Rising interest rates can strengthen the U.S. dollar, making corn exports more expensive and potentially lowering demand.
  8. Stay Updated on Trade Agreements
    Global trade agreements and tariffs, particularly between the U.S., China, and the European Union, significantly impact corn prices. Keeping track of new trade deals is crucial for trading futures successfully.
  9. Consider Algorithmic and Automated Trading
    Advanced trading technology has made futures contract trading more accessible through algorithmic and automated trading strategies. Platforms offered by Cannon Trading Company enable traders to execute trades with precision and speed.
  10. Diversify with Other Agricultural Futures
    While trading futures in corn can be profitable, diversifying with soybean, wheat, and other crop futures can reduce risk and enhance overall portfolio stability.

Expected Trends for Corn Futures in 2025

Climate Change and Weather Volatility

Extreme weather conditions are expected to continue affecting global corn production. Unpredictable droughts and flooding could lead to significant price swings in corn futures contracts.

Biofuel and Ethanol Demand

The global push for renewable energy sources will likely keep ethanol demand high, increasing the need for corn as a primary biofuel ingredient.

Rising Input Costs

Fertilizer and transportation costs have been climbing, impacting production expenses and potentially pushing corn prices higher in 2025.

Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Policies

The U.S.-China trade relationship remains a key factor. Tariffs or trade barriers could significantly impact corn exports and futures prices.

Key Reports to Monitor for Corn Futures Trading

  • USDA WASDE Report – Offers supply and demand projections.
  • Grain Stocks Report – Provides insights into corn inventory levels.
  • Crop Progress Report – Tracks planting and harvesting progress.
  • CFTC Commitment of Traders Report – Shows market sentiment among traders.
  • EIA Ethanol Production Report – Measures ethanol demand, affecting corn consumption.

Historical Performance of Corn Futures and Agricultural Commodities

Historically, corn futures contracts have shown cyclical patterns influenced by weather conditions, government policies, and technological advancements in agriculture. The 2012 drought, for example, caused record-high prices, while increased yields in the following years led to price stabilization. Other crop futures contracts, such as wheat and soybeans, have followed similar trends, often correlating with corn prices due to their shared agricultural and economic factors.

Why Choose Cannon Trading Company for Futures Trading?

For traders looking to engage in futures contract trading, selecting a reputable futures trading broker is essential. Cannon Trading Company stands out for several reasons:

  • Top-Performing Trading Platforms: Offering a range of advanced platforms for both beginner and experienced futures traders.
  • Decades of Experience: With a long history in the futures trading industry, Cannon Trading provides expert guidance.
  • Outstanding Customer Support: Rated 5 out of 5 stars on TrustPilot, the firm is recognized for its commitment to client satisfaction.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Fully compliant with NFA regulations, ensuring transparency and security for trading futures.

The corn futures contract presents numerous opportunities for profit in 2025. By staying informed on market trends, monitoring key reports, and partnering with a reputable futures trading broker like Cannon Trading Company, traders can navigate the complexities of futures contract trading with confidence.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

Dollar Index Eyes 105.47 as Economic and Geopolitical Risks Mount

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dollar index

Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Dollar Index Eyes 105.47

Movers and Shakers : QUIET Econ data and fed speak tomorrow

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely.

Updated: February 18, 2025 2:01 pm

Russia – Ukraine War Update

–Ukraine’s military said Russia launched a barrage of 147 attack drones against Ukraine overnight. Out of this, the Ukrainian Air Force reported shooting down 83, while 59 did not reach their targets. Several storage facilities and private residences were reported damaged.

–The Caspian Pipeline Consortium said that Ukrainian drones hit one of its major oil pipelines in southern Russia’s Kropotkinskaya pumping station in the Krasnodar region, affecting supply from neighbouring Kazakhstan.

–Ukraine’s Security Service claimed responsibility for the attack on the oil pipeline and said that Moscow’s Ilsky oil refinery in Krasnodar was also hit, with at least 20 explosions heard in the area.

–Russia’s Defence Ministry said its forces captured the settlement of Fyholivka in eastern Ukraine’s Kharkiv region. A second announcement later said that the village of Sverdlikovo in Russia’s Kursk region was taken back from Ukraine’s forces.

–US Secretary of State Marco Rubio travelled to Saudi Arabia in advance of planned peace talks between United States and Russian officials over the war in Ukraine.

–Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov confirmed that Russia would be represented by Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and foreign policy director Yuri Ushakov at the meetings with the US in Riyadh.

–Peskov also said that Russian officials would talk with US counterparts about restoring ties, negotiating a peaceful settlement to the war in Ukraine and preparing a meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Donald Trump.

 

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–The Kremlin said any plans to deploy European peacekeeping troops after Kyiv and Moscow strike a peace deal would make the matter complex.

–French President Emmanuel Macron hosted an emergency meeting with leaders from key European Union nations at the Elysee Palace in Paris to discuss the EU’s reaction to Washington’s peace talks with Moscow.

–Hungary’s Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto told a media briefing that the Paris meeting, to discuss the US’s policy shift towards Moscow in its war on Ukraine, would be an attempt to prevent peace. -unlike them, we support Donald Trump’s ambitions; unlike them, we support the US-Russian negotiations; unlike them, we want peace in Ukraine,- Szijjarto said.

–Russia’s Lavrov asked why Europe should be invited to join talks on a peace settlement in Ukraine if European politicians want the war to carry on. He also said Russia would not even consider territorial concessions to Ukraine in future peace talks.

–The spokesperson for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Sergii Nykyforov, said that the Ukrainian leader would travel to Saudi Arabia on a long-planned visit the day after the meeting between Russia and US officials wraps up.

–The Ukrainian leader also said he would not recognise any outcome of the Washington-Moscow talks in Saudi Arabia that did not involve Kyiv.

–Zelenskyy met with the United Arab Emirates’s Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan during a visit to the UAE, where Sheikh Mohammed reportedly committed to supporting efforts for a peaceful resolution to the war and continuing initiatives to ease the humanitarian impact.

–Zelenskyy is now in Turkiye to meet with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to discuss prisoner exchanges between Ukraine and Russia.

-The Dollar Index Eyes 105.47.

 

 

 

Tomorrow:

  • FOMC Minutes
  • Housing Starts
  • NO Crude Oil Numbers ( pushed to Thursday)
March US Dollar Index

The March dollar index negated its original downside PriceCounts off the January high early this month. Now, the chart has activated fresh counts off the larrger leg where the first count projects a run to the 105.47 area. It would take a trade below the November reactionary low to formally negarte the remaining unmet upside objectives.

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Daily Levels for February 19th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Coffee, Cattle, and Crops: Market Swings Amid Powell & CPI Anticipation

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Coffee

Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Movers and Shakers: Tomorrow (CPI) before the open, CSCO After the close

 

Fed Powell’s testimony in the Senate had the market moving today.

Gold started to sell off well before the testimony began, down $25.00 then as Powell spoke @ 10 EST, the market rallied from that point in somewhat of a slough to unchanged, but struggled to breakout and looks to close a shade off yesterday, down 8 bucks. Holding rates for quite some time longer didn’t add fuel to the current rally. Powell testifies tomorrow in the House, same time.

 

The S&P 500 rallied from Powell’s opening remarks 20 points, then fell back at the 2-hour mark to where it began:6070.00 only to rally NEARLY 30 POINTS FROM THERE AFTER THE CONCLUSION. However, they look to close unchanged at the time of this writing. 6088.00.  This was a very tradeable day.

 

After scanning several markets Energies, Bonds, Dollar index. They all finished the day right about where they were prior to Powell’s opening remarks except for the US Dollar, which closed lower as Gold retained some of its luster.

 

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Corn

WASDE was released this morning as well, whose results weighed on domestic Ag row crop prices, Beans down 6 cents, Corn down 7.5-6.25 for old crop, new crop Dec down a penny (will grains in the future be quoted in pennies with the dissolution of the one cent coin?) Wheat down between 2.5 to 7 cents across the board and protein spectrum. Cotton bucked the trend and had a strong rally after the numbers, up .74 basis the May contract.

 

Coffee

As for the softs, Coffee lost some caffeine today, down from its all-time highs, 15 + cents per pound @ 413.45. This drop comes after a strong rally in recent sessions, fueled by supply concerns and robust demand. However, profit-taking and shifting sentiment in the broader commodities market may have contributed to today’s pullback. Traders will be watching for any signs of renewed momentum or further correction in the days ahead, particularly with currency fluctuations and weather patterns in key coffee-growing regions influencing price action. That’s Coffee!

 

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future.

Choose your opportunities wisely.

 

Tomorrow: CPI (Consumer Price Index) before the open, Fed Powell Testimony in the House of Representatives 9 am CST, Fed Bostic 11:00 am CST. Earnings: Cisco After the close, CME Group, before the open

March Feeder Cattle

The January 21st QT Chart of the Day alerted readers that the March feeder cattle chart was approaching its third upside PriceCount objective. After reaching this target area, the chart corrected lower and activated downside PriceCounts in the process. At this point, if you can extend its break with new sustained lows, the second count would project a slide to the 261.59 area.

 

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Daily Levels for February 12th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Market Movers This Week: Options on Futures, Grains, Hedging, Powell Testimony, CPI & PPI, WASDE, and Earnings Reports

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1229

  • 1099’s Are Available
  • The Week Ahead –
  • Futures 102 – Hedging With grains, Options on Futures
  • Hot Market of the Week – April Hogs
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

1099’s:

1099 forms will be generated for all futures trading accounts held by US clients that placed any trades during the 2024 calendar year. Traders should expect to receive their 1099 forms via mail, email or through their portal in early February.

 

·    1099 forms will be provided directly from the FCM to the client.

·    To login and retrieve your 1099 for your Cannon account via StoneX click here

·    To login and retrieve your 1099 for your Cannon account via Ironbeam click here

·    To login and retrieve your 1099 for your Cannon account via Dorman click here

For any other FCM’s please contact your broker directly.

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Humphrey Hawkins Testimony week, Fed Chair Powell gives testimony to the Senate Banking Committee beginning @ 9:00 am CST Tuesday the 11th, Wednesday he walks over to the House Financial Committee and answers questions for the congressional body. CPI,PPI! WASDE week! + 5Fed Speakers, 1000’s of midcaps reporting past earnings and future guidance.

Economic releases are relatively light this week with one exception: Consumer Price Index (CPI) pre-market Friday. The Fed Speakers will be at the podium for the foreseeable future as we don’t have another Fed rate decision until late March.

 

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. McDonalds
  • Tue. Coca-Cola, Softbank
  • Wed. Cisco
  • Thu.  Applied materials
  • Fri. Quiet

 

 

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon Quiet
  • Tues. Hammock 7:50 CST, Chair Powell Testimony 9amCST, Bowman and Williams 2:30pmCST
  • Wed. Chair Powell Testimony 9am CST, Bostic 11:00 am CST, Waller 4:05PM,
  • Thu. Quiet
  • Fri. Quiet

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Consumer inflation expectations
  • Tue. WASDE Ag Numbers 9amCST, NIFB Optimism index
  • Wed. CPI
  • Thur. Initial Jobless Claims, PPI
  • Fri. Retail Sales, Capacity Utilization, Business Inventories

Futures 102: Hedging Grains with Options on Futures

Course Overview

Gain an understanding of how buyers and sellers of grains and oilseeds utilize futures and options to hedge their position to manage price risk.  This course will enhance the hedger’s understanding of the different strategies available as well as how the basis affects prices.

Start Now

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading and options on futures needs.

Free Trial Available

December 25 Corn

April Hogs satisfied a second upside PriceCount  objective before turning sideways with a range bound trade. At this point, IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a potential run to the 100.96 area.

PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been, but where we might be going next!

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

ES NZL

PRODUCT

Mini SP500

 

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

 

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$36,000

 

COST

USD 199 / monthly

 

Get Started

 

Learn More

 

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for February 10, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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First and Last Commodity Trading Days February 2025

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First Notice & last trading Days for February

Please see below First Notice and Last Commodity Trading days for February! Make it a disciplined trading month.

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Daily Levels for February 4, 2025

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822b33c5 2339 45ed bc84 e9c8f8c7358e

 

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time ( New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

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Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Russell 2000 Futures

The Russell 2000 Futures contract is a cornerstone of the futures trading world, providing traders with a robust tool to speculate on or hedge against movements in small-cap equity markets. Since its inception, the Russell 2000 Futures, often abbreviated as RUT 2000 Futures, has undergone significant evolution, becoming a vital component of modern futures trading. This piece explores its origins, development, and role in the market, while highlighting why trading futures with Cannon Trading Company is an exceptional choice for traders at all experience levels.

The Birth of the Russell 2000 Futures Contract

The Russell 2000 Index, launched in 1984 by the Frank Russell Company, tracks the performance of the smallest 2,000 stocks within the Russell 3000 Index, representing U.S. small-cap companies. The introduction of the Russell 2000 Futures Contract followed shortly after, in response to increasing demand for products enabling investors to trade on the performance of small-cap stocks in a standardized, liquid manner.

The Key Figures Behind the Inception

Several financial pioneers were instrumental in bringing the Russell 2000 Futures to life. William F. Sharpe, a Nobel laureate and consultant to the Frank Russell Company, helped refine the methodology for index construction. His contributions ensured that the Russell indices offered an accurate reflection of market segments.

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), a leading futures exchange, played a central role in facilitating the trading of these contracts. Key figures at CME, such as Leo Melamed, known as the “father of financial futures,” were advocates for innovation in derivatives markets. Under Melamed’s leadership, the CME expanded its offerings, including equity index futures like the RUT 2000 Futures.

Early Trading Anecdotes and Challenges

When trading began, many small-cap companies featured in the Russell 2000 were relatively unknown. Traders found the RUT 2000 Futures offered an efficient way to manage exposure to this high-risk, high-reward market segment. Anecdotes from early trading sessions illustrate the volatility of small-cap stocks and the corresponding opportunities in the futures market. For instance, a trader who identified a trend in burgeoning tech startups in the early 1990s could leverage RUT 2000 Futures to magnify returns or hedge against broader market risks.

One notable early trade occurred during the dot-com boom. A hedge fund manager, anticipating a bubble in small-cap tech stocks, used Russell 2000 Futures contracts to short the index. When the bubble burst, this strategic use of futures resulted in substantial profits for the fund, solidifying the contract’s reputation as a powerful tool for both speculation and risk management.

Evolution and Modern-Day Use

Over the decades, the Russell 2000 Futures have evolved in terms of accessibility, technology, and utility. Originally traded in open-outcry pits, the advent of electronic trading platforms revolutionized futures trading. CME’s Globex platform, introduced in 1992, allowed traders worldwide to access RUT 2000 Futures, increasing liquidity and efficiency.

Contract Specifications

The modern Russell 2000 Futures contract has standardized terms that make it attractive to a broad range of traders. Key specifications include:

  • Contract Size: $50 times the Russell 2000 Index value.
  • Tick Size: 0.10 index points, equivalent to $5 per tick.
  • Settlement: Cash-settled to the final index value.

These attributes make it suitable for individual traders and institutional investors alike. Additionally, the introduction of E-mini and Micro E-mini RUT Futures has lowered barriers to entry, enabling smaller traders to participate without excessive capital requirements.

Hypothetical Trading Scenario

Consider a trader bullish on small-cap stocks due to favorable economic conditions. With the Russell 2000 Index trading at 1,800 points, the trader buys two RUT 2000 Futures contracts at this level. Each contract’s notional value is $90,000 ($50 × 1,800), requiring a margin deposit of roughly $6,000 per contract.

The index rises to 1,850, yielding a gain of 50 points. For two contracts, the profit is $5,000 ($50 × 50 points × 2 contracts). This example demonstrates how RUT 2000 Futures enable traders to amplify returns with minimal upfront capital, though the risks of leveraged losses must also be acknowledged.

The Role of Futures Brokers

The evolution of futures trading platforms and brokerage services has been crucial in shaping the market. Futures brokers serve as the backbone of trading, offering access to platforms, market data, and educational resources.

Cannon Trading Company: A Premier Futures Broker

Cannon Trading Company has established itself as a top-tier futures broker, earning 5-star ratings on TrustPilot and accolades for its decades of experience. Here’s why Cannon Trading is a standout choice for trading futures contracts:

  • Diverse Platform Selection: Cannon Trading provides access to industry-leading platforms such as NinjaTrader, TradeStation, and CQG. Each platform is tailored to different trading styles, ensuring both novice and seasoned traders have the tools they need.
  • Educational Resources: Cannon Trading offers extensive resources for futures traders, including market analysis, webinars, and trading guides. This focus on education empowers clients to make informed decisions.
  • Regulatory Excellence: With a stellar reputation among regulatory bodies like the NFA and CFTC, Cannon Trading emphasizes transparency and compliance, giving traders peace of mind.
  • Personalized Service: Unlike generic online brokers, Cannon Trading provides personalized service, pairing clients with experienced brokers who understand their unique needs.

Real-Life Case Studies

Case Study 1: Hedging Risk with RUT 2000 Futures

In 2020, a small-cap mutual fund manager faced uncertainty amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Concerned about potential market downturns, they used RUT 2000 Futures to hedge their portfolio. By selling futures contracts, the manager mitigated losses as the index fell, demonstrating the contracts’ value for risk management.

Case Study 2: Leveraged Gains

An individual futures trader, recognizing strong earnings growth in small-cap companies in 2021, decided to go long on E-mini RUT Futures. With precise entry and exit strategies, the trader achieved a 25% return on initial margin, highlighting the profit potential of leveraged futures trading.

The Future of Russell 2000 Futures Trading

As technology advances, the Russell 2000 Futures market will continue to grow. Innovations like AI-driven trading algorithms and blockchain-based clearing systems promise to enhance efficiency and transparency. Moreover, the increasing globalization of markets means more traders from diverse backgrounds will access RUT 2000 Futures, further boosting liquidity.

The Russell 2000 Futures contract has evolved from a niche product into a vital instrument for traders worldwide. With its origins rooted in the vision of financial pioneers, the RUT 2000 Futures now serve as a powerful tool for hedging and speculation in the small-cap equity market. For traders seeking an exceptional futures broker, Cannon Trading Company stands out for its unparalleled platform selection, regulatory excellence, and client-focused approach. Whether you are a novice futures trader or an experienced market participant, Cannon Trading provides the resources and support necessary to succeed in the dynamic world of futures trading.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Tech Turmoil, AI Competition, and the FED Decision: A Pivotal Week for Markets

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C102

Movers and shakers!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

What a reversal!  After yesterday’s huge tech sell off initiated by a realization that a new AI app uses cheaper chips, The AI challenge from China shook the trading consciousness to the very roots of the U.S. AI talking points/ narrative. If true, what a breath of fresh air, think about it, the barriers to entry for innovation have been lowered 10 fold or more!, More competition in the A.I. zeitgeist is critical to reaching innovative success.

Tomorrow is FED Rate decision day, followed by Chairman Powell’s presser at 1PM CDT and 1:30 PM CDT respectively.

According to CME’s FEDWATCH tool , expectations are for no change from the current 4.25-4.50 fed funds rate, the rate charged to borrowing banks. Higher inflation, leads to higher Bond yields, Higher Yields lead to lower bond prices, and greater hesitancy by the FED to lower rates anytime soon.

Watch out for post cash close Earnings tomorrow and a number of other events.

 

Today’s Movers

**US December Advanced Durable Goods: -2.2%; prior -1.2%

**US December Advanced Durable Goods ex Trans: +0.3%; prior -0.1%

**US December Advanced Durable Goods ex Def: -2.4%; prior -0.3%

Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales Headline Recap

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.5% in the first four weeks of January 2025 vs January 2024

**Redbook Weekly US Retail Sales were +4.9% in the week ending January 25th vs yr ago wee

Case Schiller 20 US Metro-Area Home Prices Recap

**Case Schiller 20 US metro area home prices for November Y/Y: +4.3% from the year ago month

**Case Schiller 20 US metro area home prices for November M/M: +0.4% vs prior month

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Headline Recap

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Index: -4.0 ; prior -10.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Shipments Index: -9.0 ; prior -11.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing New Orders: -4.0 ; prior -11.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Employees: +3.0 ; prior -8.0

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Prices Paid: +2.37 ; prior +2.86

**Richmond Fed January Manufacturing Prices Received: +1.21 ; prior +1.71

**Richmond Fed January Service Sector Index: +4.0 ; prior +23.0

Tomorrow’s Movers and Shakers:

7:30 AM CST Goods Trade Balance and Retail/Wholesale inventories.

1:00 PM CDT Fed Rate Decision

1:00 PM CDT Fed Press Conference

  Earnings:

(95 rpts) Pre-Open Alibaba, MSFT, META, TSLA, IBM all after the cash close.

Plan your trade and trade your plan.

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Daily Levels for January 29th, 2024

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Good Trading!
About: Cannon Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm established in 1988 in Los Angeles. Our mission is to provide reliable service along with the latest technological advances and choices while keeping our clients informed and educated in the field of futures and commodities trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

NG Futures

Natural Gas (NG) futures have long captured the imagination of traders and investors worldwide, providing a unique blend of opportunity and volatility. Over the decades, natural gas evolved from a standard utility resource to a speculative commodity that drives significant activity in the futures markets. Understanding how this transition occurred, the factors influencing price movements, and the key figures involved in the rise of NG futures sheds light on their current prominence. Additionally, examining why Cannon Trading Company is a premier choice for trading futures contracts solidifies the importance of aligning with experienced brokers in navigating this dynamic market.

The Evolution of Natural Gas Futures as a Speculative Commodity

Natural gas, historically, was viewed as a straightforward energy resource—a reliable, abundant fuel for heating, electricity, and industrial uses. However, the deregulation of the energy markets in the late 20th century set the stage for its transformation into a speculative commodity. Before deregulation, natural gas prices were tightly controlled by government policies, ensuring stability but limiting market-driven price discovery. The Natural Gas Policy Act of 1978, followed by the full deregulation of wellhead prices in 1989, opened the floodgates for free-market dynamics.

As a result, natural gas began trading on commodity exchanges. The New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) played a pivotal role, launching its first NG futures contracts in 1990. These contracts offered a standardized way to hedge and speculate on natural gas prices, providing transparency and liquidity to the market. Futures traders were drawn to the market’s volatility, driven by weather patterns, geopolitical events, and supply-demand dynamics.

Key Figures in the Rise of NG Futures

  • Richard Sandor: Often dubbed the “father of financial futures,” Sandor’s vision for commodity markets extended to natural gas. His early work laid the groundwork for the development of energy futures, including NG futures.
  • J. Aron & Company: This firm, which later became part of Goldman Sachs, was instrumental in pioneering energy trading strategies. J. Aron’s involvement in the natural gas markets during the early days of deregulation set the tone for speculative activity.
  • Enron Corporation: Enron’s aggressive entry into the natural gas market in the 1990s exemplified the speculative nature of the commodity. The company’s rise and eventual collapse highlighted both the opportunities and risks inherent in NG futures trading.

These key players, alongside innovative traders and market makers, helped shape natural gas into the speculative powerhouse it is today.

Price Movements and Expectations for 2025

Natural gas prices are notoriously volatile due to their sensitivity to supply-demand imbalances, weather conditions, and geopolitical developments. Traders in 2025 can expect this volatility to persist, driven by several key factors:

  1. Weather Patterns and Seasonal Demand
    Natural gas consumption spikes during extreme weather conditions—increasing in winter for heating and in summer for electricity-driven cooling. For instance, during the Polar Vortex of 2021, natural gas prices surged as demand outstripped supply. In 2025, similar weather phenomena could lead to sharp price swings.
  2. Global Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Markets
    The growing role of LNG in connecting U.S. natural gas supplies with global markets introduces new layers of complexity. Price movements in 2025 will likely reflect global economic conditions, international demand, and shipping constraints.
  3. Regulatory and Environmental Policies
    With the global push toward renewable energy, regulations affecting fossil fuels will play a significant role. Policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions or incentivizing renewable energy could impact natural gas demand and, consequently, futures prices.
  4. Technological Innovations in Energy Extraction
    Technological advancements in hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling have made natural gas extraction more efficient, affecting supply levels. Traders will need to monitor these developments closely in 2025 to anticipate changes in production trends and costs.

Hypothetical Trading Scenario for 2025

A futures trader anticipating a colder-than-usual winter might buy NG futures contracts in late summer when prices are typically lower. If severe weather materializes, driving up demand, the trader could sell the contracts at a premium. Conversely, if the forecast proves inaccurate, the trader could face losses. This scenario underscores the importance of market research and risk management.

In another scenario, a futures trader could analyze global LNG shipping trends and identify potential supply chain disruptions. By purchasing NG futures in anticipation of these disruptions, the trader positions themselves to capitalize on the resulting price increases.

Real-Life Anecdotes and Case Studies

One of the most notable cases in natural gas trading involves hedge fund Amaranth Advisors, which lost $6.6 billion in 2006 due to poorly managed NG futures bets. The firm’s trader, Brian Hunter, had taken large positions expecting a rise in natural gas prices that did not materialize. This cautionary tale emphasizes the inherent risks in futures trading and the need for disciplined strategies.

In contrast, savvy traders like John Arnold, a former Enron trader and founder of Centaurus Advisors, have successfully navigated the natural gas markets. Arnold’s ability to anticipate market trends and manage risk made him a legend in the energy trading world.

Another compelling example is the 2021 winter storm in Texas, which disrupted natural gas supply chains. Traders who had hedged their positions effectively managed to profit from the unforeseen supply shortages. This highlights the value of using NG futures to mitigate risk and capitalize on market opportunities.

Why Choose Cannon Trading Company for Futures Trading?

For traders seeking to navigate the complexities of NG futures, partnering with a reputable broker is paramount. Cannon Trading Company stands out as a top choice for several reasons:

  1. Wide Selection of Top-Performing Trading Platforms
    Cannon Trading offers a range of platforms tailored to meet the needs of both novice and experienced traders. Whether you prefer a user-friendly interface or advanced analytics, Cannon has a platform to suit your trading style.
  2. Decades of Experience
    With over 30 years in the futures markets, Cannon Trading has a deep understanding of market dynamics. Their seasoned brokers provide valuable insights and support, helping traders make informed decisions.
  3. Exemplary Reputation with Regulatory Bodies
    Cannon Trading maintains a stellar reputation with regulatory bodies, ensuring compliance and transparency. This commitment to integrity builds trust with traders and reinforces their position as a leading futures broker.
  4. 5 out of 5-Star Ratings on TrustPilot
    Customer satisfaction is a cornerstone of Cannon Trading’s success. The firm’s high TrustPilot ratings reflect its dedication to providing exceptional service and support.
  5. Comprehensive Educational Resources
    Cannon Trading provides a wealth of educational materials to help traders enhance their knowledge. From webinars to in-depth guides on NG futures, these resources empower traders at every experience level.

Natural gas futures have evolved into a vital component of the global energy markets, offering opportunities for hedging and speculation. The market’s journey from a regulated utility resource to a speculative commodity underscores the transformative power of deregulation and innovation. Traders entering the NG futures market in 2025 can expect continued volatility influenced by weather, global LNG trends, regulatory developments, and technological advancements.

For those looking to trade NG futures, Cannon Trading Company provides the tools, expertise, and trustworthiness needed to succeed. With its wide selection of trading platforms, decades of experience, and impeccable reputation, Cannon Trading is an ideal partner for navigating the dynamic world of futures trading.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572(International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

Silver Futures Price

Silver futures price is a topic of immense importance for futures traders, both novice and experienced. The ability to predict and trade silver futures effectively requires a deep understanding of historical price trends, the dynamics of futures contract trading, and the factors influencing the value of this precious metal. This article delves into the evolution of trading silver, its price fluctuations over time, and the advantages and disadvantages of silver futures trading. To illustrate key points, we include real-life anecdotes, case studies, and hypothetical scenarios. Additionally, we explore why Cannon Trading Company stands out as a top choice for trading futures.

Evolution of Trading Silver

Historical Context

Silver has been traded for centuries, with its value historically tied to its dual role as a monetary asset and an industrial commodity. During the Roman Empire, silver coins were a primary medium of exchange, anchoring economies with a standardized weight and purity. Fast forward to the 19th and early 20th centuries, silver’s role shifted as the gold standard dominated monetary policy. However, silver remained integral to global trade and industrial applications.

The establishment of futures markets in the 19th century transformed silver trading. The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) introduced standardized contracts, enabling traders to hedge and speculate on price movements effectively. This innovation made futures trading accessible, offering a regulated platform for trading futures contracts based on silver.

Price Fluctuations

Silver’s price has experienced dramatic fluctuations. For instance, in the late 1970s, the Hunt brothers attempted to corner the silver market, driving prices from $6 per ounce in 1979 to an all-time high of $49.45 in January 1980. This bubble burst shortly after, causing prices to plummet, underscoring the volatility inherent in silver futures trading.

More recently, during the 2008 financial crisis, silver prices dropped to around $9 per ounce as industrial demand waned. However, as investors sought safe-haven assets, prices rebounded to $48 in 2011. These swings highlight the interplay of macroeconomic factors, including inflation fears, currency fluctuations, and industrial demand, that affect silver futures prices.

Advantages and Disadvantages of Silver Futures Trading

Advantages

  • Leverage and Capital Efficiency Futures contract trading allows traders to control large amounts of silver with a relatively small margin. For example, a futures trader can enter a position worth $50,000 with only $5,000 in initial margin. This leverage amplifies potential returns, making futures trading attractive to investors seeking significant profits.
  • Hedging Opportunities Silver futures are a powerful hedging tool for both miners and industrial users. By locking in prices through futures contracts, businesses can mitigate the risk of adverse price movements. For instance, a jewelry manufacturer anticipating a rise in silver prices might buy futures to secure their raw material costs.
  • Liquidity and Price Transparency The silver futures market is highly liquid, ensuring that traders can enter and exit positions with ease. Exchanges like the CME Group provide transparent pricing, fostering confidence among participants.

Disadvantages

  • High Volatility Silver prices are notoriously volatile. While this volatility presents opportunities for profit, it also increases the risk of substantial losses. Traders must use risk management tools, such as stop-loss orders, to protect their capital.
  • Complexity Futures trading requires a nuanced understanding of market dynamics, margin requirements, and contract specifications. Novice traders may find it overwhelming to navigate these complexities without proper guidance.
  • Leverage Risks While leverage magnifies gains, it also amplifies losses. A futures trader who misjudges market direction can quickly face margin calls or account liquidation.

Real-Life Anecdotes and Case Studies

The Hunt Brothers’ Infamous Trade

In the late 1970s, Nelson and William Hunt sought to monopolize the silver market by amassing substantial physical holdings and futures contracts. Initially, their strategy drove prices to record highs, creating immense paper profits. However, regulatory changes, including increased margin requirements, forced the Hunt brothers to liquidate their positions. This led to a catastrophic price crash, resulting in billions of dollars in losses.

This case underscores the importance of understanding regulatory frameworks and using leverage prudently when trading futures.

Hypothetical Trading Scenario

Consider a futures trader anticipating a short-term spike in silver prices due to geopolitical tensions. The trader buys a December silver futures contract at $24 per ounce, with an initial margin of $5,000. Over the next month, silver prices rise to $26 per ounce. The trader closes the position, realizing a profit of $10,000 (2,000 ounces x $2 price increase).

Now, imagine an alternate scenario where silver prices drop to $22. Without stop-loss orders, the trader incurs a $10,000 loss, highlighting the risks associated with leverage.

Why Choose Cannon Trading Company?

Cannon Trading Company is an industry leader in futures trading, offering unparalleled advantages for futures traders of all experience levels. Here’s why it stands out:

  1. Top-Performing Trading Platforms

    Cannon Trading provides access to a wide selection of advanced trading platforms, catering to diverse needs. From user-friendly interfaces for beginners to sophisticated tools for seasoned traders, their platforms enable seamless trading futures.

  1. TrustPilot Ratings and Reputation

    With a 5 out of 5-star rating on TrustPilot, Cannon Trading has earned the trust of its clients. Positive reviews consistently highlight the firm’s exceptional customer service, knowledgeable futures brokers, and commitment to transparency.

  1. Decades of Experience

    Established in 1988, Cannon Trading boasts decades of experience in the futures markets. Their team of seasoned professionals understands the intricacies of futures trading and offers personalized guidance to clients.

  1. Regulatory Compliance

    Cannon Trading maintains an exemplary reputation with regulatory bodies like the National Futures Association (NFA) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Traders can trust that their funds and transactions are handled with the utmost integrity.

Silver futures trading offers a unique blend of opportunities and challenges. Understanding historical price trends, leveraging advantages like hedging and liquidity, and navigating the risks of volatility and leverage are essential for success. With its extensive experience, top-rated platforms, and stellar reputation, Cannon Trading Company is an excellent choice for anyone looking to trade futures contracts. Whether you are an experienced futures trader or new to the world of trading futures, Cannon Trading provides the tools and support necessary to navigate the complexities of the futures markets confidently.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading