Choppy Price Action Calls for Different Strategies + Futures Trading Levels 9.23.2022

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Price action yesterday during FOMC and today leads me to talk about the “type of market environment you are trading”.

Yesterday we saw extremely volatile action both sides of the market with the end result a sharp down move.

Today we saw again, volatile, at times sporadic price moves both up and down.

Volume both days was heavy.

  • My opinion is that there are 3 main types of trading days.

 

1. Most common is two sided trading action with swings up and down – this type of trading day is most suitable for using support and resistance levels along with overbought/oversold indicators.

2. Strong trending day, mostly one directional – this type of trading day is the least common, many times will happen on Mondays and maybe 3-5 times a month at most – this type of trading day is most suitable for using ADX, MACD crossovers and pretty much looking for pullbacks to jump on the trend

3. Slow and/ or choppy trading day – this type of trading day is best suited for taking small profits from the market by looking at volume spikes, using stochastics as possible entry signals and usually wait for a pullback before jumping in.

 

  • Good question is how can one asses what type of trading day we will have while the market is still trading….I am doing some work about it and will be happy to hear feedback via email but here are some initial observations:
  1. Was the overnight session a wide, two sided trading range? If the answer is yes, good chances for similar trading day during the primary session ( primary session is when the cash/ stock market is open)
  2. Mondays have the highest chance for trending days
  3. The behavior of the first hour of trading can also suggests the type of action for the rest of the day.
  4. If the first 30 minutes have good volume, better chances for type 1 or type 2 trading days.
  5. low volume during first 30 minutes can suggest a choppy (type 3 trading day)

As always, plan your trade and trade your plan. Please contact your broker or Cannon Trading with any questions.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

09-23-2022

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SP500 #ES_FNasdaq100  #NQ_FDow Jones  #YM_FMini Russell #RTY_FBitCoin Index #BRTI SP500 Dec. Gold #GC_F Dec. Silver #SI_F Oct. Crude Oil #CL-F Dec. Bonds  #ZB_F Dec. 10 yr  #ZN_F Dec. Corn #ZC_F Dec.  Wheat #ZW_F Nov. Beans #ZS_F Dec. SoyMeal #ZM_F Oct. Nat Gas #NG_F Dec. Coffee #KC_F Dec. Cocoa #CC_F October Sugar #SB_F Dec. Cotton #CT_F Sept.  Euro Currency

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Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

WYNTK before trading tomorrow, Aug 18 2022 Futures Trading Levels

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Bullet Points: Highlights and Announcements

By Mark O’Brien Senior Broker
Financials: On Monday, the People’s Bank of China cut two key interest rates by ten basis points and pumped the equivalent of ±$60 billion into the financial system to rev up lending and prod wider economic growth. A number of economists viewed the unexpected move as a small opening move toward future support by China’s central bank for the country’s economy, and may foreshadow deeper cuts to borrowing costs down the line. The rate cuts came on the heels of data released Monday showing economic activity slowed across the board in July, including factory output, investment, consumer spending, youth hiring and real estate.
Today the U.S. Federal Reserve released its minutes of their prior meeting showing the board was unanimous in the central bank’s last rate decision – a second 75-point increase in as many meetings – and in their outlook that further rate increases were needed, but were sensitive to the risk of going too far. “Participants judged that, as the stance of monetary policy tightened further, it likely would become appropriate at some point to slow the pace of policy rate increases while assessing the effects of cumulative policy adjustments on economic activity and inflation,” the minutes said.
Energy (Crude oil): After trading to 6-month lows Tuesday, September WTI crude oil advanced ±$1.20/barrel to ±$87.75 after the EIA’s weekly supply report showed a steeper-than-expected draw down in U.S. crude stocks.
(Natural gas): Today, September Natural gas traded to new intra-day high of 9.677 – also a new life-of-contract high as analysts warned European natural gas prices could rise an additional 60% this winter.
Softs (Cotton): on Friday the USDA supply/demand report dramatically lowered estimates for the U.S. cotton crop and slashed the 2022/23 projected ending stocks to their lowest level on record – primarily due to the extended drought in Texas. Since the mid-July lows near 83 1/2 cents/pound, Dec. cotton advanced to near $1.20 / pound yesterday, a ±$18,000 move.
Livestock (Cattle): Today, Dec. live cattle traded to within .40/lb. of its contract high close of $152.07/lb. on April 21. The cattle market remains in a steady 2 1/2-month uptrend as traders see tightening supply over the next three quarters.
Sierra Charts Teton Order Routing demo

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

08-18-2022

Support + Resistance Levels 8.18.2022

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Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

CPI Results Today + Aug 11th Futures Trading Levels, Reports

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CPI came and definitely had an impact on the market, ES jumped about 50 points in less than 20 seconds.
PPI tomorrow.
A bit on both below:
  • CPI — Consumer Price Index follows inflation of consumer purchased goods. Essentially it’s the cost of goods from the view of the retail buyer.
  • PPI — Producer Price Index follows the inflation of the cost to create goods/services. Basically inflation in the eyes of the producer.
Plan your trade and trade your plan!
Sierra Charts Teton Order Routing demo

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

08-11-2022

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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter 1109: Measuring Your Trading Progress & Futures Support Resistance Levels for the Week Ahead

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1109

Dear Traders,

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10 Key Questions on Measuring Your Trading Progress, Success

At some point in nearly everyone’s trading timelines, they wonder how their trading successes (or failures) compare with those of other traders. Wondering just how well you stack up to other traders in the industry is a natural curiosity and a human psychological tendency. However, actually knowing the success or failure rates of others doesn’t do a lot to move you farther down the road of where you want to be regarding trading success.
Most traders also wonder about the success rates of the “professional” traders—the ones who make their living solely by the profits they generate from trading. I will provide you with an answer to this question at the end of this feature.
Below are 10 questions regarding measuring your own trading progress and success. These questions should help you determine where you stand in this challenging field of endeavor.
1. What is trading “success?” This is a most basic question. Most would agree that ultimate trading success is defined as being profitable at trading—making more money than you lose. There are other secondary factors that also define success in trading, such as finding a “balance” between trading and other life activities. But it’s being profitable at trading that is the benchmark of defining success.
2. What is trading “progress?” Beginning traders should not expect to have immediate and ultimate success trading futures, stocks or FOREX markets. What they can expect in the early going is to make steady progress through gaining knowledge and experience. Even veteran successful traders continue to make trading progress. Achieving and maintaining trading success requires continual progress—namely continuing to seek out trading and market knowledge. Traders who truly enjoy the “progress” and process of trading do have a significant trading edge over those who do not enjoy learning and gaining experience.
3. At what point in my trading timeline should I expect trading “success?” Trading success (winning trades) can come right away—even for the beginning traders. What is less likely for the inexperienced traders is sustained trading success. Beginners can even run into a “hot streak” that skews the overall reality of trading. Immediate (and likely fleeting) success for a beginning futures trader can do longer-term psychological harm—if he or she does not fully recognize and understand the hard work and perseverance required on the road to trading success. Many times I get questions from less-experienced traders that go something like this: “I’ve been trading two years and I’ve only been able to about break even.” My reply to them is, “Hey, you should not be too discouraged with those results. Many traders don’t have that kind of success in the early going.”
Would you like to contact any of our brokers for more feedback? We are happy to help!
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If so, look no further, Cannon can assist you in getting set up!
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Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

08-08-2022

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Weekly Levels

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Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates
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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading

WYNTK before trading July 29th + Futures Trading Levels & Reports 7.29.2022

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What you need to Know before trading July 29th

December gold is now front month.
More Earnings numbers tomorrow , most before market opening Exxon Mobil XOM and Chevron CVX along with Procter and Gamble PG all three with the inflation piece as part of their stories. In addition , another hot inflation data point is Personal income and Outlays released at 7:30 am CDT before Equity market open.
Tomorrow is last trading day of the month. First and last trading days of the month can at times have unique characteristics.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

07-29-2022

Futures Trading Levels 7.29.2022

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Invaluable FedWatch Tool + Futures Trading Levels for July 20th 2022

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Invaluable FedWatch Tool

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker
I have highlighted this tool before. the totally neat feature of this tool is it is based in the Fed Funds futures contract price movements. Because it is a reflection of market sentiment, this makes it relatively easy to see and sense the actual price discounting that is going on in the equity and bond markets and what represents “Fair Market Value” as this tool changes on a day to day basis. Imagine a zero news day. This tool would not provide any percentage changes, the FF Futures wouldn’t have moved much and the only “wiggle” in the stock indices would not be news driven and of only a technical nature. Now Imagine a day with a lot of information, as that information streams into the consciousness of traders “discounting of future prices” moves the market. As the importance of interest rate decisions have been providing market direction recently, I recommend every traded keep this link saved to your browser favorites as we approach the next and subsequent Fed Meetings . ( you can look at what the market expects for Futures Meetings as well using this tool) Spend some time with this tool https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
As always, plan your trade and trade your plan. Please contact your broker or Cannon Trading with any questions.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

07-20-2022

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Improve Your Trading Skills

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 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Unemployment Report & Support and Resistance Levels 5.06.2022

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NFP tomorrow. The Non Farm Payrolls report in a very volatile environment we are in can be interesting to say the least….be careful out there….
Below are the contracts which are entering First Notice or Last Trading Day for the upcoming month. Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day. If you have any questions please contact your broker!
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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

05-06-2022

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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

Forexfactory.com

9f81e6c7 a061 4d70 8b8a 5f5d4ee7bf50

 

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter #1092 Get An Edge Real-Time Breaking News & Support and Resistance Levels for the Week Ahead

Cannon Futures Weekly Newsletter Issue # 1092

Dear Traders,

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Get An Edge With Real-Time Breaking News and Analysis

The world is currently experiencing global inflation, a war involving a nuclear superpower and consequently, real concerns about food and energy security for countries and entire regions around the world. The magnitude of these events and the almost around-the-clock news related to them has caused an excitability in commodity futures prices not seen in decades.
Can you benefit from AUDIO/TEXT breaking news service?
TradeTheNews.com (TTN)
The First to provide audio news squawks in 1998.
Entering second decade of market moving analysis.
*In-Depth Coverage
*Professional analysts broadcasting 24 hrs
for American, European and Asian markets
*Diverse Platform Offerings
Audio, text headlines, calendars (listen to a sample here!)
and ability to ask questions to analysts live through platform.

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Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

04-04-2022

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Weekly Levels

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Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates
MRCI Reports

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading

What to Watch for as we close Q1 2022 & Futures Support and Resistance Levels 3.31.2022

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Coming Up As We Close Q1 2022

By Mark O’Brien
If the war in Ukraine wasn’t disruptive enough for commodity prices, keep an eye out for a few noteworthy potential market movers stacked up over these next two days.
Tomorrow the U.S. Dept. of Agriculture will release its annual Prospective Plantings report. The report establishes acreage estimates for principal crops and leading commodities including corn, wheat, soybeans, oats and cotton for the upcoming crop year. The report is serves as a record of the planting intentions of the nation’s farmers. Acreage estimates are based on surveys conducted during the first two weeks of March. This year the survey reached 78,900 farm operators in 48 states.
Tomorrow is also the date for the 27th OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting. Members meet at this event to determine the output levels for production beginning in May. OPEC+, an expanded group that includes non-OPEC members like Russia and Mexico, has immense power because its members control more than 40% of global oil production.
U.S. private employment payrolls rose by 455,000 in March, according to this morning’s ADP National Employment Report. Up next, on Friday the Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish its official nonfarm payroll report. This is one of the most important monthly economic data points on the calendar. It’s intended to represent the total number of paid workers in the U.S., minus farm employees, government employees, private household employees and employees of nonprofit organizations. Economists – polled by The Wall Street Journal – forecasted a gain of 450,000 private sector jobs in March.
https://www.cannontrading.com/services/FreeVideos
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes
Sierra Charts, Teton Order Routing
Contact us for a demo and/ or more information here!

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Futures Trading Levels

03-31-2022

 

Futures Support and Resistance Levels 3.31.2022

 

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Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker
 1-800-454-9572 Explore trading methods. Register Here


Economic Reports, Source: 

http://BetterTrader.Co

Better Trader Economic Reports 3.31.2022

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Futures Trading Risk Management: The Advantages of Futures Trading

Futures Trading Risk Management

Futures Trading Risks and Advantages

Understanding the nature of risk as a futures trader is a critical element to success. While a risky environment, the advantages of the futures market are obvious to an educated trader. Leverage, long trading hours, hasty order executions, and powerful platforms are all worth mentioning. The best trading environments also attract stiff competition. The words trader and risk management become synonymous with one another. What risks need to be managed exactly?

First and foremost, the risk of capital loss or “losing money.” Capital is the lifeblood of a trading business. It may seem trivial or obvious, but the emotional and mental tax that comes from spending time to lose money can be significant. Small problems and habits quickly compound which amplifies the risks associated with trading derivatives or leveraged positions. Leverage amplifies mistakes which may cause persistent challenges with psychology and mental fortitude. This cycle can exist perpetually so long as a trader continues to allow it.

All Traders Face Loss

All traders face risk of loss, it’s the nature of the industry. What differs among each trader is the collective experiences that make up how they manage the reaction to the losses. This is true of all trading, but particularly important when using leverage. Sometimes overprotecting a trade or being afraid to lose can add risk to a system. Smothering multiple trades with stop losses may have a similar effect as letting a bad trade run.

Risk management is multi-dimensional. The proper location for a stop loss might be relative to several factors in the risk management system. It’s a dynamic environment with multiple inputs. Occasionally, risk can be created from outside factors such as weather interrupting power or an internet service provider outage. Risk comes in many shapes, but the trader that actively mitigates and manages ALL types of risk should have an increased chance for success.

What are the “Alternative Risks” that can effect trading?

Here is a list of “alternative risks” that may go unnoticed at first. These risks may correlate directly to trading results by hindering a trader’s mental, emotional, or physical performance.

  • Stress or adversity caused from a personal situation outside of trading
  • Lack of hydration or healthy diet
  • Distractions by phone, social media, etc.
  • Resulting – or weighing the validity of a strategy on the immediate or short-term result, rather than testing it over time.

This list communicates just a few of the risks that exist outside of the trade itself. These variables can impact how a trader follows rules, rationalizes, and behaves.

The Advantages of Trading

Though risky, the futures market may prove advantageous to the savvy trader. Capital efficiency and liquidity provide the opportunity to scale, and short-term gains on futures are taxed more favorably than stocks (Always check with a CPA before trading.) The futures provide a way for traders to actively hedge investments outside of what could be considered “regular business hours.” Many markets trade overnight which allows access to hedge nearly round the clock. The advantages of commodity futures are unparalleled when used in the proper context. Commodity businesses across the world can use the futures market to aid in pricing forward their products, and preparing for the future.

Another notable benefit of the futures market is the availability of futures options. A great example is how agricultural options provide a way to gradually manage the risk of their commodities. A farmer may use a protective put as a means to hedge corn prices before the harvest. These are just a few examples of the advantages of trading futures and futures options. As always, consult with a broker to learn more about the risks associated with trading or trading strategies. Being educated before diving into a challenging atmosphere is a true demonstration of discipline and risk management.

You can download one of our trading platforms with live data and the options board here

E-Futures International | Futures Trading Platform & Broker Demo Account (cannontrading.com).

We will be happy to screen share with you and answer any questions you may have about futures related inquiries.

Author: Josh Meyers, Broker at Cannon Trading Company

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. Therefore, recommendations contained in this letter are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits. There is not an actual account trading these recommendations and past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.