Introduced in the year 1982, Index futures or stock index futures are extremely popular among trading commodities today. While trading, an index future is settled in cash on the value of a certain stock market index. One of the most traded indices is the S&P500.
These are quoted on the basis of either an underlying or a spot price for an index value. There are a number of technicalities involved, most of which you should understand. However, even if you find it tough to comprehend what Index futures are, you can take assistance from the trade experts at Cannon Trading.
We at Cannon Trading want you to understand the basics and the details about Index Futures like our experts do. There are a number of blogs that we list here in our category archive. We recommend that you read these to know for yourself what Index Futures trading is all about.
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In this issue:
Important Notices – Daylight saving officially ends
Trading Resource of the Week – 25 Options Strategies
Hot Market of the Week – December Mini SP
Broker’s Trading System of the Week – NQ Day Trading System
Trading Levels for Next Week
Trading Reports for Next Week
Important Notices – Daylight saving officially ends
Heads up traders in the United States. Get ready to set your clocks back one hour this Sunday, November 5th. Daylight saving officially ends on the first Sunday in November for the United States, which is this coming Sunday.
This follows the UK and European Union adjustment, which takes place the last Sunday in October, so our European traders have already “fallen back.”
Over 1900 stocks report earnings next week . Main feature for Equities markets with an over quiet week of Govt Rpts, Consumer Credit Tuesday and Jobless claims on Thursday would be the two majors the Fed will be looking at hence may impact short term market direction.
On the Ag front the Monthly WASDE numbers will be released on Thursday and will be an important one for the size of our harvested crops.
There will be 7 speeches / presentations next week by Fed Governors, 2 by Fed Chair Powell. The first, Wednesday @ 8:15 am CST @ the Research and Statistics Centennial Conference in D.C. . The second Thursday@ 1:00 p.m. CST At the 24th Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference, Washington, D.C.
Lastly , in a salute to all US Vets, Friday is Veterans Day is a federal holiday, most government agencies and schools are closed. Many banks are also closed on Veterans Day, as it’s a designated federal holiday. All markets will remain open for your trading pleasure.
click above for a LIVE demo, streaming prices
Trading Resource of the Week
Strategies For Trading Options
Learn about the 25 Proven Strategies for trading options on CME Group Futures for FREE!
If you are currently trading options on futures or are interested in exploring them further, check out our newly updated trading guide, featuring 25 commonly used options strategies, including butterflies, straddles, strangles, backspread and conversions. Each strategy includes an illustration demonstrating the effect of time decay on the total option premium involved in the position.
Options on futures rank among our most versatile risk management tools, and are offered on most of our products. Whether you trade options for purposes of hedging or speculating, you can limit your risk to the amount you paid up-front for the option while maintaining your exposure to beneficial price movements. To learn more about CME Group options, you can also visit our Options page.
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
December Mini SP500 satisfied it’s second downside PriceCount objective last month and is correcting higher. At this point, IF the chart can resume its break into new sustained lows, the third count would project a possible run to the 4,015 area. It would take a trade below the December reactionary low to formally negate the remaining unmet upside objectives.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Broker’s Trading System of the Week
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
The past two weeks have seen very choppy price action especially in stock indices futures, with sudden and sharp swings from highs and lows.
This contrasts with the smoother and steadier price action we witnessed before the terrible October 7 attack on Israel. As a trader, you need to evaluate the market conditions and the instruments you are trading, and how they respond to geopolitical events and overall market rhythm and price action.
You also need to adapt and be alert to what is changing, because what worked six weeks ago may need some adjustment in order for it to work for the next six weeks. Day trading is challenging, and many times price movement is just noise in a trending or non-trending environment. Some people try to use order flow to get clues and capture a small part of the market, while others trade based on the news and overall market feel.
In my opinion, using counter trend techniques and respecting the VWAP has been more effective in these past two weeks than other methods. Plan your trade, trade your plan!
Ready to start trading futures? Call 1(800)454-9572 and speak to one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and start your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.
Disclaimer – Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
The Week Ahead: Fed Speakers, Housing Permits, Earnings….
By Senior Broker, John Thorpe
This is the last week for Fed policy makers to “Stir the Drink” before the communication’s blackout period that begins at midnight Saturday the 21st and runs through Nov. 2nd. the Rate decision will be announced on Nov. 1 In lieu of that, the Fed Fund futures market has been bouncing around between 80 and 93% probability of a no change decision.
There will be no less than 8 fed speakers for the remainder of this week, Wednesday will be the heavy day with 5 .
Wednesday will also feature Housing starts and permits @ 7:30 CDT, with the Beige Book @ 1PM. Earnings reports will be picking up as well with TSLA reporting after the close on Wednesday with Analysts expect the company’s Q3 2023 revenue to rise 13% year-over-year to $24.3 billion.
However, they project adjusted earnings per share (EPS) to decline by about 30% to $0.73 due to lower margins. NFLX will also be reporting after the close As a group, industry analysts expect Netflix to report third-quarter earnings of $3.49 per share (+12.6% YoY) on revenue of $8.5 billion (+9.0% YoY).
Wednesday should provide plenty of excitement for traders in the Stock Indices , Bonds and precious metals markets.
Thursday brings the Philly Fed and Jobless claims both earmarks for the Fed Folks to watch, ponder and 7;30 CDT is blast off time in the markets for these two numbers. react to. Econoday.com’s consensus is here
Existing Home sales released at 9am CDT are expected to report Year over year sales greater than -16%
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
What you need to know before trading futures tomorrow – October 6th 2023
by Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP
NFP is tomorrow! Non Farm Payrolls also known as employment numbers. Big report, This is a market moving event and we expect high volatility, right before, during and right after.
Crude Oil and energies trading at extreme volatility
Take a look at the 1 minute chart of the last NFP report from Sept. 1st below as well as a 15 min chart of the rest of the same session. Notice the ES (mini SP500) had a 22 point move from high to low in 45 seconds!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Nasdaq 100 ( NQ and MNQ) sitting on decision levels in my opinion.
A break below 14720 can trigger a visit to the 14220 area. A close above 14930 can open the door for an oversold rally towards the 15300 area.
See daily chart below.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Mini SP 500 futures are approaching an important support levels on the daily chart as seen below.
4325-4350 zone.
The big question is “Will support hold or will price break through towards the next levels?”
Mini S&P ES Daily Chart / #ES
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
FOMC tomorrow and the markets are expecting NO CHANGE in rates tomorrow, however, traders will pay close attention in an attempt to predict future hikes the rest of 2023.
The following are suggestions on trading during FOMC days:
· Reduce trading size
· Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade
· Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 4425.00 with a stop at 4419.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 4419.75 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example ( consider current volatility along with support and resistance levels).
· Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement
· Expect to see some “vacuum” ( low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.
· Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.
· Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
What you need to know before trading futures on Sept. 15th
by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker:
For those of you trading stock index futures and options, remember that tomorrow is Last Trading Day for the September stock index futures contracts and their quarterly options. At 8:30 A.M., Central Time, the September contracts will stop trading and the CME will post a settlement price which will serve to offset any open September futures positions. It will also determine the status of the contracts’ options – whether they’re in or out of the money. Note that this does not apply to Friday Week-3 options tied to the December futures contracts. Those expire at their usual afternoon time.
Tomorrow is nicknamed quadruple witching which refers to the simultaneous expiration of not only stock index futures and options, but also stock options and single-stock futures, which actually ceased trading in 2020 – and was never a much of asset class in the U.S. since their arrival in 2002.
The new front month for the major stock index futures contracts is now December.
For currency futures traders, Monday is an even more important date on the calendar. It’s also Last Trading Day for these futures contracts, however these contracts are true deliverables. Instead of receiving a settlement price with which your open positions will be offset, your open long or short positions will be exchanged for actual cash-based positions in the type of currency your position represents. For example, if you hold a single September British Pound futures contract through Last Trading Day, you will be assigned a short cash position of futures contract’s value of 62,500£, the current U.S. dollar value of which is ±$77,500.
The long and short of it (pun intended), keep a very close eye on the calendar and steer well clear of becoming contractually obligated to deliver or take delivery of a futures contract’s underlying asset.
Volume in the September contracts will begin to drop off until their expiration Friday, September 15th (8:30 A.M., Central Time). At that point, trading in these contracts halts. Stock index futures are CASH SETTLED contracts. If you hold any September futures contracts through 8:30 A.M., Central Time on Friday, Sept. 15th, they will be offset with the cash settlement price, as set by the exchange.
Monday, September 18th is Last Trading Day for September currency futures. It is of the utmost importance for currency traders to exit all September futures contracts by Friday, September 15th and to start trading the December futures. Currency futures are DELIVERABLE contracts.
The month code for December is ‘Z.’ Please consider carefully how you place orders when changing over.
Watch the video below on how to rollover your market depth and charts!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Volume in the September contracts will begin to drop off until their expiration Friday, September 15th (8:30 A.M., Central Time). At that point, trading in these contracts halts. Stock index futures are CASH SETTLED contracts. If you hold any September futures contracts through 8:30 A.M., Central Time on Friday, Sept. 15th, they will be offset with the cash settlement price, as set by the exchange.
Monday, September 18th is Last Trading Day for September currency futures. It is of the utmost importance for currency traders to exit all September futures contracts by Friday, September 15th and to start trading the December futures. Currency futures are DELIVERABLE contracts.
The month code for December is ‘Z.’ Please consider carefully how you place orders when changing over.
Watch the video below on how to rollover your market depth and charts!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Volume in the September contracts will begin to drop off until their expiration Friday, September 15th (8:30 A.M., Central Time). At that point, trading in these contracts halts. Stock index futures are CASH SETTLED contracts. If you hold any September futures contracts through 8:30 A.M., Central Time on Friday, Sept. 15th, they will be offset with the cash settlement price, as set by the exchange.
Monday, September 18th is Last Trading Day for September currency futures. It is of the utmost importance for currency traders to exit all September futures contracts by Friday, September 15th and to start trading the December futures. Currency futures are DELIVERABLE contracts.
The month code for December is ‘Z.’ Please consider carefully how you place orders when changing over.
Watch the video below on how to rollover your market depth and charts!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.