Energies and Equities Volatility & Support and Resistance Levels 1.20.2022

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Be Watchful for Stock Market & Petroleum Product Oscillations

By Mark O’Brien
The prevailing downward bias in stock indexes has plenty of justification: a 1.4 million single-day case spike in infections last week, market expectations for up to four interest rate hikes this year, less-than-robust readings for last week’s initial jobless claims and retail sales, potential Russian military action against Ukraine, surging energy prices (crude oil traded up to a 7-year high yesterday).
Yet, there are supportive elements capable of counteracting the equity index sell-off of recent days: traders may look at this latest correction as sufficient to compensate for future Fed. policy actions, rate hike fears will tend to moderate with softening economic data. The latest Omicron developments continue to be encouraging. New Covid-19 cases are plummeting in a growing list of places. Since early last week, new cases in Connecticut, Maryland, New Jersey and New York have fallen by more than 30 percent. They’re down by more than 10 percent in Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Massachusetts and Pennsylvania. In California, cases may have peaked. Acknowledging the tensions between Washington and Moscow, U.S. Secretary of State Anthony Blinken will meet with his Russian counterpart on Friday and promised “relentless diplomatic efforts to prevent renewed aggression and to promote dialogue and peace.”
Crude oil traders should expect the recent price increase to be met with increased volatility as political tensions involving major producers such as the United Arab Emirates and aforementioned Russia could exacerbate the already tight supply outlook. Blow-off tops should not be downplayed.

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

01-20-2022

Futures Support & Resistance Levels 1.20.2022

 

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Economic Reports, Source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

Better Trader Economic Reports 1.20.2022

 

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter 1078: Rollover Notice and Trading Tips During Rollover & Support and Resistance Levels for the Week Ahead

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1078

Dear Traders,

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Trading 201: Trading During Rollover

Rollover Notice for U.S. Stock Index, Currency and Financial Futures
Heads up traders! We’re approaching important dates on the trading calendar.
Monday, December 13th is Last Trading Day for December currency futures. It is of the utmost importance for currency traders to exit all December futures contracts and start trading the next quarterly futures contract and the new front month: March ’22. Currency futures are DELIVERABLE contracts. By holding any December futures contracts through the close of Last Trading Day, you will be subject to delivering (short positions) or taking delivery of (long positions) the full notional value of the futures contract.
For stock index futures traders, on Friday, Dec. 17th, the Dec. ’21 futures contracts will officially halt trading and the exchange will cash settle all open positions at 8:30 A.M., Central Time.  Thursday, December 9th marked the traditional date traders started rolling Dec. stock index futures trades to the next quarterly futures contract and the new front month: also March ’22. Come forward to the new front month for the next ±90 days.
Finally, for financial futures traders (Ultra bonds, 30-yr. T-bonds, 2-, 5-, 10-yr. T-notes, etc.) the traditional roll-over day was Nov. 30th/First Notice Day (the date all open LONG positions became subject to delivery). The next front month – and now by far the more liquid – is also March ’22. For all longs and shorts not in the deliverables market, it’s time to trade March ’22 contracts.
The March exchange symbol for all these futures contracts is “H.” Check for the appropriate complete symbol for these new front month futures contracts on your trading/charting software. Make sure your quotes, charts, DOM’s are set to the correct futures contract month.
 Keep in mind the following:
  • Currencies are DELIVERABLE and you must be out and trading March as of today, Friday Dec. 10th
  • Stock index futures are cash settled on Friday Dec. 17th at 9:30 AM Eastern Time.
  • During the rollover period, especially with stock index futures, I noticed that the first few days will have two sided, volatile action. Think about it, you have large traders and institutions who are NOT day traders and carry large positions as speculation or a hedge and now they need to rollover from Dec. to March.
  • In my opinion, counter trend methods, mean reversion techniques can work better during rollover period but one must be very aware as past performance is not indicative of futures results.
  • Keep in mind, back in the days, many floor traders would “trade the spread” specifically with different techniques. I believe some traders still do using the screen.
  • Bottom line is know that this is rollover period, do research on past rollover periods, start trading the March contract and good trading and happy holidays!
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Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

12.13.2021

Support & Resistance Levels 12.13.2021

 

Weekly Levels

Weekly Support & Resistance Levels

 

Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading

Advice from a Seasoned Broker w/ Current Market Conditions & Support and Resistance Levels 12.08.2021

I am often asked by clients and prospects the following:
“I am not doing very well in my current trading – any ideas you can share?”
While the answer will vary from one individual to another based on their experience, risk capital, personality and much more, here are a few common themes one can explore and try to educate oneself:
  1. Try a different market. Many will trade the NQ and ES but perhaps trading markets like bonds, gold and crude oil will fit your situation better?
  2. Try using different time frames. Most common is use higher time frames and less leverage
  3. Get confidence using MICROS. Practice and confidence are extremely important. After a while demo lacks the main Ingredients: fear and greed. Trading live using MICROS can be a worthy extra step.
  4. Have you looked at using options for short term trading rather than futures?
  5. Have you explored trading futures alongside options and using the options as risk management?
  6. What about future spreads?
  7. Option Spreads?
The bottom line is that trading futures is a tough task but there are many different ways to try and get an edge. Not all ways will fit all traders. Learn, explore and try to find your niche.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

12-08-2021

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Economic Reports, Source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter 1077: Adjust your Trading with Volatility & Futures Levels for the Week Ahead

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1077

Dear Traders,

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Trading 201: Adjust your Trading with Volatility

Unemployment report along with Omicron along with an already “very spicy markets” encouraged me to share some of the following pointers.
Hope it helps.
*While I have no idea were the market is going from day to day, minute to minute, week to week etc. I do know that in the past, some of the sharpest and largest rallies were short covering after a large sell off. More often than not market sell offs and volatility like we are seeing do not end up as V type of action but more like U or W when it is all said and done.
*Expect the unexpected…
* Have an idea of what you are looking to do, keep in mind possible risk and have a game plan. Now more than ever, plan your trade and than trade your plan!
* Think money management, hedging risk while you are still trying to figure out how to profit.
* Know what is going on, reports, current margins, current limits and more.
  • Consider short term options instead of futures and/or MICROS
*Trade smaller. The bands are much larger. Watch the VIX.
* DO NOT assume anything…if you are not sure, contact us and we will try our best to assist with the combined, vast experience we have here as a team.
* Wash hands, take this seriously and do your best to stay healthy….
My colleague, John Thorpe, Ex floor broker, contributed the following on the VIX and the VVIX:
We recommend all stock indices intraday traders to keep an eye on the VIX for directional clues and study, many of you have access through other means to view this critical trading barometer, VIX now trades 5 days per week ,23 hours per day. if you need to add the VIX data to your trading platforms , it’s 3 bucks per month, penny wise and pound foolish if you don’t. Contact your broker on how to add the Volatility Index traded through the CBOE to your trading platform
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Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

12.05.2021

Futures Trading Support & Resistance Levels 12.05.2021

 

Weekly Levels

Futures Trading Support & Resistance Weekly Levels

 

Reports, First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

https://mrci.com

Date Reports/Expiration Notice Dates

MRCI Reports

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading

Risk & Trade Management in Volatile Markets, NQ Chart review & Support and Resistance Levels 12.01.2021

Dear Futures Trader,

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On Friday, Omicron, the new COVID-19 variant took the oxygen out of newsrooms. Detected first in South Africa, this mutation is being described as potentially more contagious than the Delta variant. It is unknown whether the currently available vaccines will provide protection from it.
On Monday the markets shrugged the news and bounced hard….
Today, Tuesday fear, greed and everything in between took over again and we witnessed strong sell off across different markets with high volatility in many segments:
Stock indices, rates, grains, softs, energies…..
See 30 minute chart of the Mini NASDAQ from today below. In less than one hour, the difference from high to low was approximately $7750!! That is extreme leverage and can be a double edge sword…..This is when possibly trading smaller size, like 1-2 MICRO NQ may be a better fit for smaller accounts.
  1. Learn to reduce trading size. Perhaps trade smaller contracts like the micros.
  2. Adjust stops and entries based on volatility ( ATR/ Parabolics).
  3. Be extra picky on entries without chasing trades.
  4. Understand that loses are part of trading and this is definitely not a good time to “fight the markets”.
  5. Focus more on risk management and ways to protect certain positions as needed. Survive to trade another day.
  6. Consider possibly utilizing short term options rather than futures.
Useful link, just in case – -Example, cotton was down limit today, only sellers, no buyers….:
eMini NQ 30 minute chart

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

12-01-2021

Futures Support and Resistance Trading Levels 12.01.2021

 


Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Micro Mini NQ Chart Review / Fibonacci Extensions; Thanksgiving Holiday Schedule & Support and Resistance Levels 11.24.2021

Dear Futures Trader,

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An exercise in Fibonacci extensions….

As the NQ started moving lower today ( I actually prefer the MNQ as it causes less stomach ache when moves against me….), I was looking for a target profit on a short position a client of mine had.
I draw FIB extension for yesterday sell off move and applied it to the high on the bounce made early this morning….Today it turned out out to be an excellent tool (click for LARGER IMAGE)….gave me targets, possible trailing stops, possible re-entry and more ( always easier looking back after the fact)….Of course there are many times where this will NOT work but you may want to take a look at Fibonacci extensions as another tool in your arsenal and just Fibonacci retracement….
Micro Nasdaq #MNQ 15 Minute Chart
Short Trading week ahead with Thanksgiving Holiday this week.
See trading schedule below, be aware of the different reports, what is the market focusing on and the different closing times for the different markets between tomorrow and Friday/Sunday evening.
CME Globex Thanksgiving Holiday Futures Schedule 2021

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

11-24-2021

Futures Support and Resistance Levels 11.23.2021

 


Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Simpler Approach To Trading Using ALGOS And Trade Management, Mini NQ Chart & Support and Resistance Levels 10.22.2021

Dear Traders,

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🙂

Simpler Approach To Trading Using ALGOS And Trade Management

Sign up to receive family of studies along with trading ALGORITHMS you can place on your own charts, your own time frame and the markets you prefer.
Once you register to the free 3 weeks trial, you will also receive a 23 page PDF eBook that details the logic, concept and trading applications that can be used while applying these indicators.
Examples from today’s session using the mini NASDAQ chart below for your review.
What you see are signals in the form of either RED or GREEN Squares, trying to suggest possible market turn is coming.
If price action confirms, the turns, the logic behind the model says there is a better chance for continuation.
Mini Nasdaq Chart

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

10-22-2020

Support and Resistance Levels 10.22.2021

 


Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

VIX Volatility futures Index & Support and Resistance Levels 10.12.2021

Dear Traders,

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🙂

Correlational Observations of Indices Market Behavior.

VIX Volatility futures Index.

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker
VIX futures expiration is a monthly occurrence. The expiration is somewhat varied, the remaining 2021 schedule is included below, typically, middle of the month on Wednesday mornings. Take a look at your daily chart for any of the indices and you see the sell offs during the week of or the week prior to VIX
 expiration days.
My belief is there would be a smaller probability of a correlational relationship during a Bear stock market, However, Since we are in the 12th year of a bull market, I believe the underling price action is created by portfolio managers rolling their hedges and adjusting their risk for the coming month. They often use the week prior to Short the VIX at higher prices (lower equity index prices) for the first week of the new VIX contract month as they are buying back their old contract shorts pushing the VIX prices higher, thereby pushing negative sentiment into the marketplace. If there are more extreme price movements in their favor, they will elect to have the hedges expire to cash as the contracts are financially settled.
Coincidentally, September VIX expired Wednesday morning September 15th at 8:00 a.m. CDT and the October VIX expires in 10 days.
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You can trade both the VIX and Equity index futures with multiple leverage options, Reach out to your Cannon Trading representative for more details.
Here is a VIX contract description from the CBOE “
The CBOE Volatility Index – more commonly referred to as the “VIX Index” – is an up-to-the-minute market estimate of expected volatility that is calculated by using real-time prices of options on the S&P 500® Index listed on CBOE Exchange, Inc. (“CBOE Options”) (Symbol: SPX). Only SPX options with Friday expirations are used to calculate the VIX Index. The VIX Index is calculated between 2:15 a.m. CT and 8:15 a.m. CT and between 8:30 a.m. CT and 3:15 p.m. CT. Only SPX options with more than 23 days and less than 37 days to the Friday SPX expiration are used to calculate the VIX Index. These SPX options are then weighted to yield a constant, 30-day measure of the expected volatility of the S&P 500 Index”
The above is the opinion of John Thorpe, Cannon’s broker since 2002. Do your homework, take a look at charts, see if you can find any correlations and understand that this is provided as trading insight/ opinion and readers are urged to use their own due diligence.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

10-12-2020

Futures Trading Levels 10.12.2021

 


Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Large Swings & Big Intraday Moves, Reminder of Limit Moves & Circuit Breakers & Support and Resistance Levels 9.21.2021

Dear Traders,

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Some very large swings and intra-day moves across more than a few markets!
Volatility is increasing.
When that happens, my personal opinion says:
*Reduce trade size
*Be a bit more stubborn in entry points with the thought of, “No trade is better than a bad trade”
Just in case….Here is a refresher about limit moves and circuit breakers:
A price limit is the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in each trading session.  When markets hit the price limit, different actions can occur depending on the product being traded. Markets may temporarily halt until price limits can be expanded, they may remain in a limit condition or they may stop trading for the day, based on regulatory rules.
CME Group U.S. equity index price limits (and corresponding CME and CBOT rules) are designed to coordinate with circuit breakers provisions as applied by the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
  • 7%, 13%, and 20% price limits are applied to the futures fixing price and are effective from 8:30 a.m. CT – 2:25 p.m. CT. Mondays through Fridays. From 2:25 p.m. to 3:00 p.m. CT, only the 20% price limit will be applied to the futures price fixing.
  • 7% up-and-down limits are effective 5:00 p.m. – 8:30 a.m. CT. Sundays through Fridays; and 3:00 p.m. – 4:00 p.m. CT, Mondays through Fridays. Between 3:00 p.m. – 4:00 p.m. the 7% price limit will not be allowed to breech the 20% daily limit.
  • The fixing price is the volume weighted average price, VWAP, calculated during the 30 seconds of trading from 2:59:30 p.m. – 3:00:00 p.m. CT. View Equity Index Fixing Prices page
If you don’t understand how the circuit breakers/ price limits work…make sure you call us and talk to a broker at + 1 310 859 9572, feel free to reach out even if you are not a current client – we will be happy to assist.
So we went from 6 weeks of lower volatility, overall higher stock prices to Dow being down over 1000 points at one point today!!
This is MAJOR alert in my opinion that market sentiment may have changed.
Be aware and if the below applies, you are in a better spot….
If you know how to take a loss.
If you know how to reduce trading size based on volatility.
If you know how to trade spreads ( NQ vs ES?)
If you understand options spreads.
THAN there are some very interesting set ups out there ( STILL with HIGHER RISK than normal). However if none of the above applies to you, the risks outweighs the potential opportunities. – PERSONAL opinion
On a different note, if you are NOT a Cannon client yet, you may want to read this recent review!!

Bookmap Real-Time Order Flow Analysis Webinar

 

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

9-21-2021

Support & Resistance Levels 9.21.2021

Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

BetterTrader Economic Reports 9.21.2021

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.

Quadruple Witching Tomorrow & Support and Resistance Levels 9.17.2021

Dear Traders,

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!
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Quadruple witching tomorrow….

Futures, futures options, stock options and single stocks all expire tomorrow morning right on the open of the stock market.
Keep in mind that September mini SP and it’s relatives ( mini Dow, mini Nasdaq etc.) EXPIRE tomorrow and cash settle based on special settlement price….Markets can get volatile tomorrow morning right before and around the open.
The September contract will simply cease to trade. If you have not switched to December yet, now is the time…..
Know the rules, understand current margins, know where the circuit breakers are/ limit moves.
Figure out your max risk.
After you do all that, feel free to trade but jumping in and trying to trade without the basic knowledge above is like jumping into a stormy ocean without a life vest…..

 

Bookmap Real-Time Order Flow Analysis Webinar

 

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

9-17-2021

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Economic Reports, source: 

 www.BetterTrader.co

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading as well as options on futures.