Shocking Surge: 3 Powerful Ways to Survive Expanding Volatility in Trading

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Volatility Expands

volatility

See below NQ 15 minute chart for an illustration of the expanded volatility, speed, size of moves etc.

The “bands” are expanding, consider reducing trading size? Possibly trading MICROS?

Evaluating your stops and targets to make sure they adjust to volatility?

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Daily Levels for March 11th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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⚠️ 5 Market Hazards Ahead – Soybean, Volatility, CPI & The Fed’s Blackout Shaking up Markets!

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

Soybean

March Soybean

In Today’s Issue #1233

  • Time Change
  • The Week Ahead – CPI, PPI, Fed Blackout
  • Futures 102 – Intro to Treasury Futures
  • Hot Market of the Week – May July Beans Spread
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

USA Time Change!!

Final Week of Standard time in the U.S. “Spring Forward!” Begins Sunday, March 9th.

Advance your clocks 1 hour @ 2 A.M.

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Final Week of Standard time in the U.S. “Spring Forward!” Begins Sunday, March 9th.

Advance your clocks 1 hour @ 2 A.M.

More volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to the potential for tariff implementations creating uncertainty in the marketplace. Therefore, increased volatility expectations.

Highlights next week will also include CPI and PPI Wednesday and Thursday respectively prior to cash market open. No fed speakers as we enter the official “BlackOut” period. The next Fed Rate decision is do out the following week.

Earnings reports continue to dwindle with 302 total reports while we are in the top of the 9th inning of earnings season, the reports will be impacting the indices much less than in past weeks.

I am including the European carmakers as a benchmark. My belief is the market will be much more interested in the earnings of these companies in future quarters as bell weathers for potential tariff effects. Finally, for Indices traders, at the end of next week, Friday, this should be the last day you will want to trade the March contract. June will become the front month. M25.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Oracle post close
  • Tue. Volkswagen AG
  • Wed. Adobe post close, Porsche.
  • Thu.  Quiet
  • Fri. BMW

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon.     Fed Blackout period
  • Tues.     until the day after
  • Wed.     the next rate announcement
  • Thu.     On Wednesday March 19th
  • Fri.       3/19/25 Chair Powell will Speak, 30 minutes after the rate decision.

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue. Redbook, Jolts, WASDE
  • Wed. CPI, EIA Crude Inventories, Beige Book
  • Thur. PPI, Initial Jobless Claims, EIA Nat Gas
  • Fri. Michigan Consumer Sentiment

Futures 102: Introduction to Treasuries

Course Overview

Central banks like the U.S. Federal Reserve help shape short- and long-term economic growth by restricting or expanding the supply of money circulating in an economy. They do this through the use of debt obligations called treasuries — such as bills, notes and bonds – in which the government borrows money from the holder for a specified period of time. Because treasuries are viewed as being among safest of all investments, they can be in high demand.

Treasury futures offer one way to gain exposure without trading the individual securities themselves. Learn the basics behind trading Treasury futures, from the delivery process, contract specifications, key concepts like basis and Cheapest to Deliver (CTD) and more. Discover the different ways these contracts are used, from price discovery to risk management to profit speculation, and how they are intertwined with other financial markets like stocks and currencies.

 

Start Now

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

Soybean Spread

May – July

The May – July soybean spread accelerated with a gap higher where it completed its second upside PriceCount objective off the February low. The chart is correcting and closed the gap. IF you can resume the rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a possible run to the -9 area, which would be consistent with a challenge of the January spike reversal.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

ES NZL

The NZL automated trading system utilizes two main ALGOS in an attempt to identify either an early trend in the trading day and/or high percentage counter trend set ups.

The system is fully automated and runs between the hours of 4 AM central and 3:15 PM Central.

The model relies on volume charts rather than time charts.

PRODUCT

Mini SP500

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$36,000

COST

USD 199 / monthly

Get Started

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for March 10th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Copper Prices Surge $6,500 per Contract After Trump’s 25% Tariff Bombshell!

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Markets Highlights on Copper

Copper

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

General:

The big one! It’s that time of the month again: we’re a couple of days from when the Labor Dept. releases its monthly Non-farm payrolls report. It’s widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy and the report is released at 7:30 A.M., Central Time on the first Friday of the month.

Ahead of that, today the ADP National Employment Report showed payrolls increased by 77,000 jobs in February, the smallest gain since July 2024, after rising 186,000 in January. Economists had forecast private employment advancing 140,000.

The ADP report, jointly developed with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, likely exaggerates the labor market slowdown and has no correlation with the government’s employment report.

 Softs:

Arabica coffee futures rose sharply today with the market heading back up towards recent record highs. May ICE coffee rose almost 5% to $4.1855 per lb. intraday. Traders indicated the market showing signs of resuming its upward trend after suffering a sharp setback which took prices from a record high of $4.2995 on Feb. 11 to a low of $3.6630 a week ago – a ±$23,900 per contract correction! The market was keeping a close watch on the weather in top grower Brazil with hot, dry conditions raising some concerns about the upcoming crop.

Energy:

Crude oil futures settled down for the fourth consecutive session today after U.S. crude oil stockpiles posted a larger-than-expected build, adding a further headwind as investors worried about OPEC+ plans to increase output in April and U.S. tariffs on Canada, China and Mexico. April West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) settled down $1.95, or 2.86%, to $66.31 a barrel, its lowest since November ’24. OPEC+, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia, decided on Monday to proceed with a planned April oil output increase of 138,000 barrels per day, its first since 2022.

Metals:

Copper

CME/COMEX copper futures soared today following President Donald Trump’s announced 25% tariffs on copper imports during his Tuesday night speech to Congress. May copper rose ±26 cents/lb. (±5.7% as of this blog post – a $6,500 per contract move – to a $4.825/lb. intraday high.

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April Crude Oil

April crude oil is completing its second downside PriceCount objective to the 66.53 area. It would be normal to get a near term reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. At this point, IF the chart can sustain further weakness, the third count would project a possible slide to a new contract low around 62.78. A trade below the October reactionary low would formally negate the remaining unmet upside objectives.

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Daily Levels for March 6th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Micros Futures

Micros futures have revolutionized futures trading by providing traders with lower capital requirements and greater flexibility. Whether you are an experienced futures trader or a novice looking to enter the world of futures trading, understanding the intricacies of e mini micro futures can help you make informed decisions. In this comprehensive guide, we will explore 10 obscure facts about micros futures contracts, highlight past case studies, and examine the risks involved in trading futures. Additionally, we will discuss why Cannon Trading Company is a top-tier futures broker for trading futures contracts.

  1. Micros Futures and Their Etymology
    The term “micros futures” originates from the broader category of e mini futures. E mini micro futures represent an even smaller contract size compared to traditional e mini futures, designed to make futures trading more accessible to traders with smaller account sizes. The creation of micro-sized contracts was a direct response to demand from retail traders who wanted exposure to commodity brokerage markets without requiring the large capital commitments of standard futures contracts.
  1. How Micros Futures Have Democratized Futures Trading
    Historically, futures trading was dominated by institutional investors due to the high margin requirements. However, the introduction of micros futures has allowed retail traders to participate in commodity brokerage with smaller position sizes. For example, while a standard S&P 500 futures contract controlled $250 per index point, an e mini futures contract controls $50 per point, and e mini micro futures control just $5 per point. This allows traders to hedge, speculate, and manage risk with much smaller capital exposure.
  1. Unusual Strategies for Trading Micros Futures
    Most traders use common strategies such as trend following and scalping, but there are obscure yet effective strategies that some futures traders employ:

    • Calendar Spread Trading: A technique where traders go long on one micros futures contract while simultaneously shorting a different contract month to profit from price differences over time.
    • Gamma Scalping in Micros Futures: A complex options-related strategy applied to micros futures, though rarely discussed in trading forums.
    • Short Squeeze Trapping: A strategy where traders buy micros futures ahead of a suspected short squeeze, capitalizing on rapid price movements.
  1. The Forgotten Role of Open Interest in Micros Futures
    Many traders focus solely on volume but ignore open interest, which can be a hidden indicator of price movements. Open interest measures the total number of outstanding contracts that have not been settled. If open interest rises alongside price increases in e mini micro futures, it indicates strong bullish sentiment. Conversely, if prices rise but open interest declines, it might signal a potential reversal.
  1. Micros Futures Have Lower Tick Value, But Can Still Be Risky
    While the lower tick value of micros futures makes them appealing, risk is still a significant factor. Consider the micro Nasdaq-100 futures (MNQ), which move in increments of 0.25 index points, with each tick worth $0.50. However, with enough contracts, a trader can still experience substantial gains or losses. One real-life case study involves a retail trader who attempted to hedge a portfolio using micro S&P 500 futures (MES) but miscalculated leverage, leading to an unexpected $10,000 loss in a matter of hours.
  1. Liquidity Concerns with Micros Futures
    Although micros futures have gained traction, they still have lower liquidity compared to standard e mini futures. This can lead to wider bid-ask spreads, which can impact trade execution. Some traders overlook slippage risks in micros futures, only to find that in fast-moving markets, execution prices differ significantly from their intended entry points.
  1. The Impact of Algorithmic Trading on Micros Futures
    High-frequency trading (HFT) algorithms actively participate in the micros futures market, often creating rapid price fluctuations. Some traders use the “iceberg order” technique to hide their true order size and avoid being exploited by algorithms that hunt for liquidity. This trading technique is especially useful when dealing with micros futures contracts, where market depth can vary.
  1. Unique Risk Factors Associated with Micros Futures
    While micros futures offer smaller contract sizes, traders must still account for the following risk factors:

    • Margin Call Risks: Due to the leverage involved in trading futures, even micros futures can result in margin calls if not managed correctly.
    • Gaps in Overnight Trading: Unlike equities, micros futures trade nearly 24 hours a day, which means significant price gaps can occur outside of regular trading hours.
    • Psychological Biases: Some traders falsely assume that because micros futures are smaller, they carry minimal risk. However, an overleveraged micros futures position can be just as devastating as a poorly managed standard futures trade.
  1. Case Study: Micros Futures and the 2020 Market Crash
    During the market crash of 2020, many retail traders turned to micros futures to hedge their portfolios. A notable example involves a futures trader who strategically shorted micro crude oil futures (MCL) ahead of the historic drop into negative territory. This trader correctly anticipated the lack of storage capacity for oil and managed to turn a $5,000 account into $50,000 in just weeks.
  1. Why Cannon Trading Company Is an Ideal Futures Broker
  2. Choosing the right futures broker is critical for success in trading futures. Cannon Trading Company stands out as a premier choice for several reasons:

    • Wide Selection of Trading Platforms: Cannon Trading offers access to top-tier trading platforms like NinjaTrader, TradeStation, and MultiCharts, ensuring that futures traders can execute trades seamlessly.
    • 5-Star Ratings on TrustPilot: With stellar customer reviews, Cannon Trading has built a reputation for excellent customer service and reliability.
    • Decades of Experience: With over three decades of experience in the futures trading industry, Cannon Trading provides expert insights to traders of all levels.
    • Regulatory Excellence: The firm maintains exemplary compliance with the National Futures Association (NFA) and other regulatory bodies, ensuring a safe trading environment.
    • Dedicated Customer Support: Unlike many online brokers, Cannon Trading offers personalized customer service, making it an excellent choice for both novice and experienced futures traders.

Micros futures have transformed the landscape of futures trading, making it more accessible while still offering significant opportunities and risks. Understanding the nuances of e mini micro futures, applying advanced trading techniques, and working with a reputable futures broker like Cannon Trading Company can significantly enhance a trader’s experience and profitability. As more traders turn to micros futures to gain exposure to the markets, staying informed about these lesser-known aspects of futures trading will be key to long-term success.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

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March Contract Notices Coming in Hot! First Notice Day & Last Trading Day Guidelines

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march 2

First & Last trading Days for March 2025

March Contract Notices

FND/LTD:

Below are the March contracts which are entering First Notice or Last Trading Day for March.

Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day.

March Contract:

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June 10 Year Notes:

112’02 next target?

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Daily Levels for March 4th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Market Prep: Last Trading Day of February, March Bitcoin, PCE Report & Key Trading Checklist

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Different Markets for Day Trading, March Bitcoin

bitcoin

March Bitcoin:

Tomorrow is the last trading day for February. Last and first trading days of the months can at times be more volatile and at times have a chance to become a trending day.

Also tomorrow is PCE ( Personal Consumption Expenditures, an inflation indicator watched closely by the market).

Last but not least if you are trading bonds and ten years, time to trade the June contract.

Day Trading

Trader’s Check List:

·        Review prior day statement

·        Check for any working orders on your platforms.

·        Be aware of contract rollover dates

·        Set a daily loss limit and learn NOT to overtrade

·        Understand what reports are coming out today

·        Make sure you are not distracted

·        Calculate appropriate trading size based on current volatility and account size

·        Start with Larger Time Frame charts to get proper perspective

·        Understand what your goal is

·        Measure your success or lack of

·        Spend time furthering your trading education and exploring different methods

·        Put trading in perspective and make sure the overall psychology of trading fits you.

 

 

 

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March Bitcoin

The rally in March bitcoin ran out of momentum, leaving behind an interim top in December. Now, on the correction lower, the chart has activated downside PriceCount objectives. The first count has been completed. IF you can sustain further weakness, the second count would project a possible slide to the 76,000 area..

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Daily Levels for February 28th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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April Unleaded Gasoline & New Micro Futures – Grains, Oilseeds: Market Insights for Tomorrow

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unleaded gasoline

April Unleaded Gasoline takes the spotlight!

Different Markets for Day Trading

April Unleaded Gasoline.

Busy trading day tomorrow with many different reports – please check the calendar below!!

Micro Futures – Grains, Oilseeds.

CME Group, the world’s leading derivatives marketplace, announced in late January that it will launch a suite of micro grain and oilseed futures contracts. These contracts will be cash-settled and be one-tenth the size of the exchange’s Corn, Wheat, Soybean, Soybean Oil and Soybean Meal futures contracts.

Their first day of trading was this last Monday, Feb. 24.

Quoting John Ricci, Managing Director and Global Head of Agriculture from CME Group’s press release: “Our benchmark grain and oilseed futures products are the most liquid and highly-utilized markets in global agriculture today. These smaller-sized contracts will provide additional flexibility for market participants to manage their agricultural portfolios with greater precision.”

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Micro Futures

Corn, Wheat, Soybean, Soybean Oil and Soybean Meal futures will be listed by and subject to the rules of CBOT. For more information and additional contract specs, please visit www.cmegroup.com/microags.

April Unleaded Gasoline

April unleaded gasoline activated downside PriceCount objectives off the January top and is completing the first count to 2.20. It would be normal to get a near term reaction in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade from this level. If the chart can sustain further weakness, the second count would project a possible run to the 2.15 area. It would take a trade below the October reactionary low to formally negate the remaining unmet upside objectives.

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Daily Levels for February 27th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Treasury Bonds & Notes make Bold Moves!

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Treasury Bonds Notes
Treasury Bonds

 

Treasury Bonds, Notes

Treasury Bonds & Notes – Different market, different trading environments

Each market has different personality, different behavior along with different times of the day when it is most active. If you are finding that the ES (mini SP) is not giving you enough risk/opportunities, then start monitoring a couple of other markets and perhaps explore them in demo / simulated mode.

There are more than a few markets I think are suitable for day-trading. Below you will find some observations, tips along with what is unique about these markets, personality and most active trading hours.

Interest rates, mostly the ten year and 30-year.

In most platforms, the symbols are ZB for 30-year bonds and ZN for 10-year notes.

Product Symbol

ZB

Treasury Bonds

Contract Size

The unit of trading shall be U.S. Treasury Bonds having a face value at maturity of one hundred thousand dollars ($100,000) or multiples thereof

Price Quotation

Points ($1,000) and 1/32 of a point. For example, 134-16 represents 134 16/32. Par is on the basis of 100 points.

Product Symbol

ZN

Underlying Unit

One U.S. Treasury note having a face value at maturity of $100,000 < Treasury Bond.

Price Quote

Points ($1,000) and halves of 1/32 of a point. For example, 126-16 represents 126 16/32 and 126-165 represents 126 16.5/32. Par is on the basis of 100 points.

Tick Size

(minimum fluctuation)

One-half of one thirty-second (1/32) of one point ($15.625, rounded up to the nearest cent per contract), except for intermonth spreads, where the minimum price fluctuation shall be one-quarter of one thirty-second of one point ($7.8125 per contract).

Contract Months

The first five consecutive contracts in the March, June, September, and December quarterly cycle.

These contracts are often affected by many of the economic reports that come out at 8:30 Am Eastern and there is very active volume between the hours of 8 am EST and 3 PM EST

Volume on both contracts is very good. Ten years will often have 1 million contracts traded per day (might be the second most active US futures market after the mini SP 500) and the bonds will avg. around 1,300,000 contracts.

These markets can experience very volatile movements during and right after different reports but then will often trade smooth or in an intraday trend the rest of the day.

Another advantage for these markets is that the exchange fees per trade are LOWER than the ones on the stock index futures.

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May Sugar Chart for your review below!

May sugar is completing its second upside PriceCount objective to the 19.96 area. It would be normal to get a near term reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. At this point, if the chart can sustain further strength, the third count would project a possible run to the 21.57 area which is consistent with a challenge of the fall highs.

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Daily Levels for February 25th, 2025

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Market Updates: S&P 500, Crude Oil, and Gold Movements

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The Day Ahead in Futures Trading

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

S&P 500, Gold, Crude Oil

Gold

Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

Indexes:

The March E-mini S&P 500 traded within striking distance of its life-of-contract high posted back on Dec. 4th and 6th (6164.00) breaching that price intraday with a 6166.50 print and closing today at 6163.00

Energy:

Oil prices rose on Wednesday, extending gains to a third-consecutive session amid growing supply worries.

March futures for West Texas Intermediate Crude traded briefly above $73.00 per barrel, a ±75 intraday increase and trading up ± 46 cents per barrel at ±$72.31.

If you missed it, EIA Energy Stocks were NOT released today, as is usual.  Due to the Presidents’ Day holiday, the report will be release tomorrow, 30 minutes after the EIA Gas Stocks report: 7:30 A.M., Central Time (gas), 8:00 A.M. (energy).

Metals:

Gold prices wavered near unchanged at this blog’s submission after trading ±$15 above and below yesterday’s settlement and near its all-time highs near $2,950 per ounce.

Fueling safe-haven demand for the precious metal, the Trump administration plans to impose tariffs of around 25% on U.S. bound autos and auto-building components, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals as early as April 2.

April gold futures have gained about 12% so far this year, with analysts expecting higher prices in a trade war.  On Monday, Goldman Sachs raised its year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,100 per ounce.

Daily Levels for February 20th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Stock Futures suffer Eye-Opening Tumble as CPI Exceeds Expectations

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Trading in Front of Reports – Like Today’s CPI – Stock Futures – a Word to the Wise

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

This morning the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its scheduled Consumer Price Index and to the market’s surprise, it jumped more than anticipated, showing a higher-than-expected 0.5 percent increase from December. It was the fastest monthly increase since August 2023.

Stock Futures

The reaction by the major stock futures contracts was immediate and pronounced. Within a single minute of the report’s release, the E-mini Dow Jones stock futures contract dropped over 400 points, the E-mini S&P 500 stock futures contract dropped 60 points, a $3,000 move and within that same minute the E-mini Nasdaq stock futures contract dropped 311 points, a $6220 move.

CPI

CPI is one of several regularly scheduled reports that can have an impact on the futures markets. There are many such reports on things like crude oil stocks, crop conditions, interest rate decisions and several that look at aspects of the economy.

 

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They all can impact related futures markets’ movement, even if for a span of time as short as a minute.

So, it’s important for traders to take care when trading into an approaching report, as well as afterwards if volatility continues. Even if you’re incorporating STOP orders to offset a position going into a report’s release, fast markets can “jump” over your STOP price and leave your trade exposed to further risk.

1 minute chart from this morning for illustration purposes below!

 

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Daily Levels for February 13th, 2025

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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