Currency & Stock Index Futures: Avoid Costly Mistakes with these 3 Critical Deadlines

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1234

  • Rollover
  • The Week Ahead – FOMC, Housing
  • Futures 102 – Can you handle Drawdowns??
  • Hot Market of the Week – May KC/ Chi Wheat Spread
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – NQ intraday System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

currency

Currencies Last Trading Day & Stock Index rollover

Time to start trading June Stock Index futures like MESM25 and MNQM25.

Symbol for June is M.

Monday, March 17th is Last Trading Day for all currency futures contracts, except the Canadian Dollar (Last Trading Day for the Canadian Dollar is Tuesday, March 18th). Currency futures contracts are DELIVERABLE CONTRACTS. You need to exit ALL LONG and SHORT open positions or be required to deliver or take delivery of the ACTUAL NOMINAL VALUE of the respective futures contract, i.e. $12,500 Euros, or $12,500,000 Japanese Yen. DO NOT put your account is this position. Exit all March ‘25 currency futures. Start trading currency futures with the June ’25 futures contracts.

Friday, March. 21st is Last Trading Day for March stock index futures contracts, i.e., the E-mini S&P, E-mini NASDAQ, E-mini Dow Jones and their Micro relatives. These futures contracts will halt trading at 8:30 A.M., Central Time and are cash settled, meaning any remaining open positions will be offset/settled using a to-be-determined settlement price. It is recommended that all new positions be placed in the June ‘25 futures contracts as of this Sunday night’s opening of trading. Volume in the March ‘25 contracts will begin to drop off until their expiration Friday, March. 21th.

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

FOMC Week!

Indices traders roll to June, —M25

The Senate will vote today on a continuing resolution spending bill to keep the govt. open until Sept. 30. It must be on the Presidents desk by 11:59 pm EST to avoid a shut down, This may occur during market hours or after.

More volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to the potential for tariff implementations creating uncertainty in the marketplace. Therefore, increased volatility expectations.

Highlights next week will include Housing Data as well as the Wednesday Rate decision. Earnings reports continue to dwindle with 271 total reports while we are in the top of the 9th inning of earnings season, the reports will be impacting the indices much less than in past weeks Highlighted by many Chinese corp. reports. Finally, for Indices traders, contract rollover Monday. June will become the front month. M25. If you are on the new StoneX Platform, click on your current month tab at the top of your DOM or HOT to open the menu. Then slide down to Replace, now type in EPM25 if you are trading the Mini-S&P or ENQM25 for the Mini Nasdaq.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue. Quiet
  • Wed. Tencent
  • Thu. Micron, Nike
  • Fri. Quiet

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon.     Fed Blackout period
  • Tues.     Fed Blackout Period persists
  • Wed.     Fed Rate Decision 3/19/25 Chair Powell will Speak, 30 minutes after the rate decision.
  • Thu.      Last day of Fed Blackout period
  • Fri.       Williams 8:05 am CDT

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Empire State Mfg., NAHB Housing Market Index
  • Tue. Bldg. Permits, Housing Starts, Redbook, Industrial Production
  • Wed. EIA Crude Stocks, FOMC I.R. Decision 1:00 pm followed by Fed Presser 1:30 pm CDT
  • Thur. Initial Jobless Claims, Philly Fed, Existing Home Sales, EIA Nat Gas
  • Fri Quiet

Futures 102: System Traders: Can you handle the drawdowns?

Many investors may think, “I can handle drawdown”, but honestly you have no idea how much drawdown you can handle until you have been stuck in the eye of a number of your own personal drawdown storms.

While drawdown is a natural part of trading and investing, what does differ is how much drawdown each investor can mentally handle. As humans, we all ‘see’ the world differently. What appears as something normal to one person can appear completely disastrous to another. While a 10% portfolio drawdown could be extreme for one investor, the next investor may be able to trade through periods of 50% plus drawdown.

From the behavioral finance point of view, some of the main negative facts of the human brain related to trading are:

  1. The fact that weak traders tend to be reluctant to realize losses and quick to realize gains. They are more risk averse when dealing with profitable positions and more risk seeking when dealing with losses.
  2. The fact that weak traders make inconsistent and irrational economic decisions over the same scenario depending on how it is described.
  3. The fact that weak traders deals with positions as if they were expecting mean reversion of prices. They are expecting the price to return to a long term average. This is the principle that makes them think they are buying expensive positions on volatility breakout or trend following strategies.

It is out of the scope of this article to talk much more about this science, but I will just point that:

  1. Weak traders know nothing about behavioral finance, so they think that his gut feeling is right and base their decisions on his gut feeling.
  2. Smart traders knows about behavioral finance. A smart trader has already studied about this and trained himself to overcome this limitations.  At least they know how to deal with their brain to avoid most of the damage it can create on their trading accounts. The best traders knows even how to monetize from this herd behavior.

Are drawdown periods a bad thing?

 

In my opinion, they are not a bad thing, in fact I believe that drawdown periods are a very sane and good thing for any solid strategy. Drawdown periods are very efficient to shake out weak traders from the strategy while smarter traders can pick up their money (which is the name of the game after all).

The time that passes since the first equity high until we reach a new equity high is the drawdown period.

So a drawdown period has two dimensions:

  • The drawdown depth
  • The drawdown length

Most people mostly care about the drawdown depth as this is what is easier to see on back tests. But human the brain is much more affected by drawdown length. During live trading, it is easier to deal with a 10% drawdown for one week than with a 5% drawdown for five months.

  • Detailed statistical information about the strategy: Expected profit, expected drawdown, maximal drawdown depth and length, average win percentage, reward to risk ratio, …
  • Different scenarios and the actions to take (if any): intense and/or deep drawdown periods and what to do (or do nothing), whether to trade during Christmas time or summer time, whether to keep opened positions during weekends or not, what to do after a losing year (or do nothing), funding and withdrawing plan, …
  • A very clear worst case scenario: it is basically the “line in the sand” where we know that the strategy has lost it’s edge and something must be done (stop trading the strategy, adapting parameters, …). There are many ways to calculate it (double the max historical drawdown, using montecarlo simulations, using regression lines multiplied by x times the standard deviation on the equity curve, …). In the end it is a number. The important thing is to have it written in the trading plan.

When facing a problem that generates pain or panic such as a sudden deep drawdown, most of the time, when analyzed with rigor and care, the problem is not so important, and everything is within expected statistics. You will see that there were many periods in the past with similar characteristics.

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

May KC – Chicago Wheat Spread

The KC-Chicago wheat spread has resumed its rally into a new high. If the chart can sustain further strength, the second upside PriceCount projects a possible run to the 32-cent area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.

Intra Nasdaq

PRODUCT

Mini NASDAQ

SYSTEM TYPE

Day Trading

Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital

$20,000

COST

USD 85 / monthly

Get Started

Learn More

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for March 17th, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com 

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Volatility Warning: 3 Crucial Adjustments to Avoid Devastating Losses in High Volatility!

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Volatility Expands

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Volatility is high!!

Volatility alert: The “bands” are expanding, consider reducing trading size? Possibly trading MICROS?

Evaluating your stops and targets to make sure they adjust to volatility?

Daily Levels for March 14th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Future Trading Brokers

Futures trading is a complex and dynamic sector of the financial markets, requiring traders to navigate volatility, leverage, and strategic execution. While many traders master the basics, advanced futures traders often encounter unexpected challenges. In this article, we explore ten uncommon problems in trading futures and provide detailed, risk-assessed solutions. We will also examine why futures trading has been a cornerstone of global financial markets and how Cannon Trading Company, a legacy commodity brokerage firm based in Los Angeles since 1988, has successfully weathered decades of market innovation.

  1. Latency Arbitrage Risks in High-Frequency Trading

  2. Problem: Even sophisticated futures traders underestimate how milliseconds of latency can impact execution in high-frequency trading (HFT). Certain firms exploit minor discrepancies in price feeds, engaging in latency arbitrage against slower participants.

    Solution: Traders should utilize direct market access (DMA) with co-located servers near exchanges to reduce execution time.

    Risk Assessment: While co-location fees can be high, the alternative—being consistently front-run by faster traders—can lead to significantly larger financial losses over time.

    Why This Solution? Compared to conventional retail brokerage solutions, DMA provides superior execution speeds and minimizes the risk of adversarial HFT strategies exploiting slower market orders.

  1. Over-Optimization in Algorithmic Trading

  2. Problem: Traders using algorithmic strategies often curve-fit their models to historical data, leading to poor real-world performance.

    Solution: Implement walk-forward analysis and Monte Carlo simulations to test robustness against unseen market conditions.

    Risk Assessment: Over-reliance on historical data increases drawdown risk. Diversifying strategy inputs can mitigate failures in live markets.

    Why This Solution? Unlike standard backtesting, walk-forward analysis accounts for evolving market structures, reducing reliance on outdated data patterns.

  1. Misinterpreting Order Flow in Thin Markets

  2. Problem: Many futures traders misjudge liquidity in thinly traded contracts, leading to unexpected price slippage.

    Solution: Use iceberg orders and volume-weighted average price (VWAP) algorithms to execute large positions more efficiently.

    Risk Assessment: While VWAP orders can prevent market impact, improper execution timing can still lead to adverse selection.

    Why This Solution? Compared to manual execution, VWAP minimizes slippage in illiquid futures markets, ensuring better entry and exit efficiency.

  1. Neglecting Cross-Exchange Settlement Risks

  2. Problem: Traders using multiple futures trading brokers across exchanges sometimes fail to account for cross-exchange margin calls.

    Solution: Consolidate accounts with a prime futures broker that offers centralized risk assessment.

    Risk Assessment: Single brokerage consolidation increases counterparty risk, but decentralized positions create exposure to conflicting margin policies.

    Why This Solution? Prime brokerage mitigates liquidity fragmentation, reducing inefficiencies associated with collateral management.

  1. Hidden Costs in E-Mini Futures Trading

  2. Problem: Advanced traders often overlook exchange fees, data costs, and hidden liquidity provider markups when trading e-mini futures.

    Solution: Utilize a cost-analysis dashboard from a futures trading broker that provides transparency on fees.

    Risk Assessment: A trader might reduce cost-per-trade but risk losing access to critical order execution tools from premium platforms.

    Why This Solution? Full cost visibility allows better strategy refinement, optimizing profitability over time.

  1. The Fallacy of Static Hedging Strategies

  2. Problem: Many futures traders assume static hedging (e.g., long S&P 500 futures against short crude oil futures) will always perform consistently.

    Solution: Utilize dynamic delta hedging to adjust exposure as volatility fluctuates.

    Risk Assessment: Dynamic hedging requires frequent adjustments, increasing transaction costs.

    Why This Solution? Unlike static hedging, dynamic approaches account for changing market correlations, preventing unexpected losses.

  1. Unexpected Margin Call Liquidity Gaps

  2. Problem: Traders sometimes find themselves liquidated at extreme prices due to margin calls during low-liquidity periods.

    Solution: Implement preemptive margin buffer strategies and monitor overnight funding conditions.

    Risk Assessment: Holding excess capital reduces leverage efficiency but prevents forced liquidation at unfavorable prices.

    Why This Solution? Unlike reactive capital injections, preemptive margin buffers safeguard against adverse execution.

  1. Algorithmic Spoofing and Market Manipulation Risks

  2. Problem: Spoofing—placing fake orders to manipulate prices—can create deceptive liquidity illusions.

    Solution: Use proprietary spoof-detection indicators and confirm trades with time-and-sales analysis.

    Risk Assessment: False positives can lead to over-cautious trading, reducing profit opportunities.

    Why This Solution? Unlike conventional volume analysis, spoof-detection tools actively filter out manipulative activity.

  1. Execution Disruptions from Exchange Halts

  2. Problem: Circuit breakers and exchange halts can trap traders in highly leveraged positions.

    Solution: Diversify execution venues and employ hedge orders in correlated markets.

    Risk Assessment: Spreading orders across exchanges increases counterparty exposure, requiring careful counterparty risk management.

    Why This Solution? A multi-venue approach ensures continued execution flexibility, reducing exposure to exchange-specific disruptions.

  1. The Illusion of Automated Trading Autonomy

  2. Problem: Traders often assume once an algorithm is deployed, it requires little oversight.

    Solution: Employ real-time risk monitoring with automated trade kill-switch mechanisms.

    Risk Assessment: Kill-switches may occasionally halt profitable trades, but they prevent catastrophic automation failures.

    Why This Solution? Unlike passive oversight, active monitoring ensures rogue algorithms don’t cause unchecked losses.

Why Futures Trading Has Thrived for Centuries

Futures trading has been a fundamental part of global financial markets because it provides essential functions—price discovery, hedging, and liquidity. From the early rice futures exchanges in 18th-century Japan to modern electronic markets, futures have enabled risk transfer between producers, speculators, and hedgers. Despite technological advances, the core principles of futures trading remain intact: efficient risk management and speculative opportunities.

Cannon Trading Company: A Legacy Futures Brokerage

Established in 1988, Cannon Trading Company has endured decades of market evolution through innovation and deep market expertise. As one of the longest-standing futures trading brokers in Los Angeles, Cannon Trading provides advanced trading tools, superior risk management solutions, and comprehensive brokerage services. By adapting to technological advancements while maintaining a strong client focus, Cannon Trading has remained a reliable partner for professional traders navigating the ever-changing landscape of futures trading.

Understanding and mitigating uncommon trading challenges can significantly enhance a futures trader’s success. By implementing advanced solutions tailored to each issue, traders can optimize performance and reduce risk. As evidenced by firms like Cannon Trading Company, longevity in the futures trading industry is achieved through adaptability, transparency, and an unwavering commitment to innovation.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

Follow us on all socials: @cannontrading

 

 

Standard and Poor 500’s Brutal 10% Drop: Is a Rebound or a Bigger Crash Coming?

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Markets Highlights

by

Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Standard and Poor 500 Futures: Market Next Move?

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It was only three weeks ago that the March E-mini Standard and Poor 500 futures contract hit an all-time high.  Markets have been dealt a blow by growth and recession fears, the unpredictability of trade policy, and risks to sector-wide investment and spending.

Whether it’s a good buying opportunity or another growl towards a bear market is still up for debate, the Standard and Poor 500 index futures contract fell into correction territory yesterday, registering a decline of 10% in the span of less than a month.  While the Standard and Poor 500 futures contract trimmed some of the losses, big questions are still swirling over what lies ahead. The Trump administration is attempting to engineer a long-term structural change to the U.S. economy.  The reality of that goal is hotly debated, but it is no doubt taking a toll on the short-term animal spirits that enveloped the market since November.

Here’s a 10-point checklist that will determine the market’s future trajectory:

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Daily Levels for March 13th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Nasdaq, S&P 500 Ride the Volatility Lightning! Market Insights & Economic Highlights

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nasdaq

Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Nasdaq

Movers and Shakers: Volatile Day Ahead, Full of Reports

President Trump addressing joint session of congress this evening @ 9 PM Eastern, 6 PM Pacific

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 sliding downward at a serious clip.

Choose your opportunities wisely. Don’t miss out on the market news highlights of the day recap below!

Nasdaq, S&P 500

The S&P 500 experienced an 114-point slide ($5700 per contract) The market has continued to recover from the initial losses and look to close in – 50-point range near 5820.00 basis the March contract. The Nasdaq, after taking a drubbing down over 400 points earlier in the session, was running as positive as up 200. As, the Nasdaq is virtually unchanged now as of this typing while the DOW looks to subtract over .1% into the 43000 area.

Tariff concerns creating a lack of confidence in the US Dollar as a safe-haven currency has pushed thru support at 106.00 looking to close in the 105.70 area for the first time since December 10th. The Grain markets should have been lower by much more than they were, Soybeans down 14 cents, Wheat down 11 and Corn down 4 /12 cents, if the dollar were stronger today, our old crop supply is getting cheaper by the day.

Crude oil, after experiencing a $1.70 range will be closing near unchanged around the 68.40 area basis the April contract just .70 lower than one week ago.

Econ Data: ADP, S&P Global Svcs. PMI, Factory orders, ISM Svcs. PMI, EIA Crude Inventories, Beige Book

FED Speak: Quiet

Earnings: Quiet

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May Soybeans

May soybeans activated downside PriceCount objectives off the February recovery peak and accelerated to the second objective. It would be normal to get a near term reacion from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. IF the chart can sustain further weakness, the third count would project a slide to the 9.73 area. The trade below the January reactionary low formally negated the remaining unmet upside objectives.

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Daily Levels for March 5th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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March Contract Notices Coming in Hot! First Notice Day & Last Trading Day Guidelines

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First & Last trading Days for March 2025

March Contract Notices

FND/LTD:

Below are the March contracts which are entering First Notice or Last Trading Day for March.

Be advised, for contracts that are deliverable, it is requested that all LONG positions be exited two days prior to First Notice and ALL positions be exited the day prior to Last Trading Day.

March Contract:

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June 10 Year Notes:

112’02 next target?

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Daily Levels for March 4th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Market Prep: Last Trading Day of February, March Bitcoin, PCE Report & Key Trading Checklist

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Different Markets for Day Trading, March Bitcoin

bitcoin

March Bitcoin:

Tomorrow is the last trading day for February. Last and first trading days of the months can at times be more volatile and at times have a chance to become a trending day.

Also tomorrow is PCE ( Personal Consumption Expenditures, an inflation indicator watched closely by the market).

Last but not least if you are trading bonds and ten years, time to trade the June contract.

Day Trading

Trader’s Check List:

·        Review prior day statement

·        Check for any working orders on your platforms.

·        Be aware of contract rollover dates

·        Set a daily loss limit and learn NOT to overtrade

·        Understand what reports are coming out today

·        Make sure you are not distracted

·        Calculate appropriate trading size based on current volatility and account size

·        Start with Larger Time Frame charts to get proper perspective

·        Understand what your goal is

·        Measure your success or lack of

·        Spend time furthering your trading education and exploring different methods

·        Put trading in perspective and make sure the overall psychology of trading fits you.

 

 

 

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March Bitcoin

The rally in March bitcoin ran out of momentum, leaving behind an interim top in December. Now, on the correction lower, the chart has activated downside PriceCount objectives. The first count has been completed. IF you can sustain further weakness, the second count would project a possible slide to the 76,000 area..

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Daily Levels for February 28th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Treasury Bonds & Notes make Bold Moves!

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Treasury Bonds Notes
Treasury Bonds

 

Treasury Bonds, Notes

Treasury Bonds & Notes – Different market, different trading environments

Each market has different personality, different behavior along with different times of the day when it is most active. If you are finding that the ES (mini SP) is not giving you enough risk/opportunities, then start monitoring a couple of other markets and perhaps explore them in demo / simulated mode.

There are more than a few markets I think are suitable for day-trading. Below you will find some observations, tips along with what is unique about these markets, personality and most active trading hours.

Interest rates, mostly the ten year and 30-year.

In most platforms, the symbols are ZB for 30-year bonds and ZN for 10-year notes.

Product Symbol

ZB

Treasury Bonds

Contract Size

The unit of trading shall be U.S. Treasury Bonds having a face value at maturity of one hundred thousand dollars ($100,000) or multiples thereof

Price Quotation

Points ($1,000) and 1/32 of a point. For example, 134-16 represents 134 16/32. Par is on the basis of 100 points.

Product Symbol

ZN

Underlying Unit

One U.S. Treasury note having a face value at maturity of $100,000 < Treasury Bond.

Price Quote

Points ($1,000) and halves of 1/32 of a point. For example, 126-16 represents 126 16/32 and 126-165 represents 126 16.5/32. Par is on the basis of 100 points.

Tick Size

(minimum fluctuation)

One-half of one thirty-second (1/32) of one point ($15.625, rounded up to the nearest cent per contract), except for intermonth spreads, where the minimum price fluctuation shall be one-quarter of one thirty-second of one point ($7.8125 per contract).

Contract Months

The first five consecutive contracts in the March, June, September, and December quarterly cycle.

These contracts are often affected by many of the economic reports that come out at 8:30 Am Eastern and there is very active volume between the hours of 8 am EST and 3 PM EST

Volume on both contracts is very good. Ten years will often have 1 million contracts traded per day (might be the second most active US futures market after the mini SP 500) and the bonds will avg. around 1,300,000 contracts.

These markets can experience very volatile movements during and right after different reports but then will often trade smooth or in an intraday trend the rest of the day.

Another advantage for these markets is that the exchange fees per trade are LOWER than the ones on the stock index futures.

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May Sugar Chart for your review below!

May sugar is completing its second upside PriceCount objective to the 19.96 area. It would be normal to get a near term reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. At this point, if the chart can sustain further strength, the third count would project a possible run to the 21.57 area which is consistent with a challenge of the fall highs.

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Daily Levels for February 25th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Market Updates: S&P 500, Crude Oil, and Gold Movements

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The Day Ahead in Futures Trading

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

S&P 500, Gold, Crude Oil

Gold

Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

Indexes:

The March E-mini S&P 500 traded within striking distance of its life-of-contract high posted back on Dec. 4th and 6th (6164.00) breaching that price intraday with a 6166.50 print and closing today at 6163.00

Energy:

Oil prices rose on Wednesday, extending gains to a third-consecutive session amid growing supply worries.

March futures for West Texas Intermediate Crude traded briefly above $73.00 per barrel, a ±75 intraday increase and trading up ± 46 cents per barrel at ±$72.31.

If you missed it, EIA Energy Stocks were NOT released today, as is usual.  Due to the Presidents’ Day holiday, the report will be release tomorrow, 30 minutes after the EIA Gas Stocks report: 7:30 A.M., Central Time (gas), 8:00 A.M. (energy).

Metals:

Gold prices wavered near unchanged at this blog’s submission after trading ±$15 above and below yesterday’s settlement and near its all-time highs near $2,950 per ounce.

Fueling safe-haven demand for the precious metal, the Trump administration plans to impose tariffs of around 25% on U.S. bound autos and auto-building components, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals as early as April 2.

April gold futures have gained about 12% so far this year, with analysts expecting higher prices in a trade war.  On Monday, Goldman Sachs raised its year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,100 per ounce.

Daily Levels for February 20th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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Corn Futures Contract

The corn futures contract remains one of the most actively traded agricultural commodities in the futures markets. As global demand for corn continues to rise due to its essential role in food production, animal feed, and ethanol production, futures traders seeking profitable opportunities often turn to corn futures as a key component of their portfolio.

10 Essential Tips for Trading Corn Futures in 2025

  1. Understand Supply and Demand Dynamics
    Corn prices are highly sensitive to global supply and demand. Factors such as droughts, floods, and geopolitical trade policies can drastically affect supply, while increased biofuel production and livestock feed demand can drive prices higher.
  2. Monitor USDA Reports
    The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) publishes reports such as the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE), Crop Progress Reports, and Grain Stocks Reports. These provide valuable insights into corn production, yield forecasts, and potential price movements.
  3. Follow Seasonal Trends
    Historically, corn futures contracts tend to follow seasonal price patterns. Prices often drop during harvest (September-November) when supply increases and rise in the planting months (April-May) when weather concerns create uncertainty.
  4. Choose a Reliable Futures Broker
    Working with a reputable futures trading broker is essential for executing trades efficiently. Firms like Cannon Trading Company offer a wide selection of futures trading platforms and have a solid track record with 5-star ratings on TrustPilot, making them a great choice for traders of all levels.
  5. Hedge Against Price Volatility
    Agribusinesses and institutional investors often use corn futures contracts to hedge against price fluctuations. Understanding how to use these contracts for risk management can provide a strategic edge.
  6. Utilize Technical and Fundamental Analysis
    Successful futures traders rely on both technical indicators (such as moving averages and Fibonacci retracements) and fundamental analysis (such as crop reports and geopolitical news) to make informed decisions.
  7. Watch for Inflation and Interest Rate Trends
    Economic factors such as inflation and interest rates influence the overall commodity markets. Rising interest rates can strengthen the U.S. dollar, making corn exports more expensive and potentially lowering demand.
  8. Stay Updated on Trade Agreements
    Global trade agreements and tariffs, particularly between the U.S., China, and the European Union, significantly impact corn prices. Keeping track of new trade deals is crucial for trading futures successfully.
  9. Consider Algorithmic and Automated Trading
    Advanced trading technology has made futures contract trading more accessible through algorithmic and automated trading strategies. Platforms offered by Cannon Trading Company enable traders to execute trades with precision and speed.
  10. Diversify with Other Agricultural Futures
    While trading futures in corn can be profitable, diversifying with soybean, wheat, and other crop futures can reduce risk and enhance overall portfolio stability.

Expected Trends for Corn Futures in 2025

Climate Change and Weather Volatility

Extreme weather conditions are expected to continue affecting global corn production. Unpredictable droughts and flooding could lead to significant price swings in corn futures contracts.

Biofuel and Ethanol Demand

The global push for renewable energy sources will likely keep ethanol demand high, increasing the need for corn as a primary biofuel ingredient.

Rising Input Costs

Fertilizer and transportation costs have been climbing, impacting production expenses and potentially pushing corn prices higher in 2025.

Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Policies

The U.S.-China trade relationship remains a key factor. Tariffs or trade barriers could significantly impact corn exports and futures prices.

Key Reports to Monitor for Corn Futures Trading

  • USDA WASDE Report – Offers supply and demand projections.
  • Grain Stocks Report – Provides insights into corn inventory levels.
  • Crop Progress Report – Tracks planting and harvesting progress.
  • CFTC Commitment of Traders Report – Shows market sentiment among traders.
  • EIA Ethanol Production Report – Measures ethanol demand, affecting corn consumption.

Historical Performance of Corn Futures and Agricultural Commodities

Historically, corn futures contracts have shown cyclical patterns influenced by weather conditions, government policies, and technological advancements in agriculture. The 2012 drought, for example, caused record-high prices, while increased yields in the following years led to price stabilization. Other crop futures contracts, such as wheat and soybeans, have followed similar trends, often correlating with corn prices due to their shared agricultural and economic factors.

Why Choose Cannon Trading Company for Futures Trading?

For traders looking to engage in futures contract trading, selecting a reputable futures trading broker is essential. Cannon Trading Company stands out for several reasons:

  • Top-Performing Trading Platforms: Offering a range of advanced platforms for both beginner and experienced futures traders.
  • Decades of Experience: With a long history in the futures trading industry, Cannon Trading provides expert guidance.
  • Outstanding Customer Support: Rated 5 out of 5 stars on TrustPilot, the firm is recognized for its commitment to client satisfaction.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Fully compliant with NFA regulations, ensuring transparency and security for trading futures.

The corn futures contract presents numerous opportunities for profit in 2025. By staying informed on market trends, monitoring key reports, and partnering with a reputable futures trading broker like Cannon Trading Company, traders can navigate the complexities of futures contract trading with confidence.

For more information, click here.

Ready to start trading futures? Call us at 1(800)454-9572 – Int’l (310)859-9572 (International), or email info@cannontrading.com to speak with one of our experienced, Series-3 licensed futures brokers and begin your futures trading journey with Cannon Trading Company today.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Carefully consider if trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss. The recommendations contained in this article are opinions only and do not guarantee any profits. This article is for educational purposes. Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results.

This article has been generated with the help of AI Technology and modified for accuracy and compliance.

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