Trading the High Volatility Futures Markets

In this post:

1. Market Commentary
2. Support and Resistance Levels
3. December Mini S&P 500 Continuous Futures chart
4. Economic Reports
5. Highlighted Earnings Releases

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1. Market Commentary

What platforms hold up during high volatility futures market trading sessions?

Over the last few weeks and particularly the last 4-5 trading sessions, we have witnessed unprecedented volatility, volume and market speed.

I want to share some of my experience as I have been trading with clients and definitely following the second-to-second moves. I have two very powerful machines along with multiple internet connections that are very fast. I must admit that during these times when the SP moved as much as 20 points in minutes and 10-12 points in seconds, two platforms stood out in keeping up with market data without any delays.

On my two machines I run CQG, eSignal, NINJA, PFG best, MFGlobal and couple more. All very solid, respectable trading and charting packages. However the two that ranked the highest in my opinion in regards to speed, no latency and reliability are TransactAT (TransactAT demo here), and E-Futures (E-Futures demo here). I welcome you to contact us for more information/ feedback and/ or to try a free demo if you not already using one of these two.

On a different note, below you will see a screen shot from today’s live trading signals webinar I hold DAILY. If you have not had the trial before, feel free to register and come visit the live charts and the set ups I share real time.

You can also sign up for my real time intraday charts service. Continue reading “Trading the High Volatility Futures Markets”

Futures Trading Levels, Proceed With Caution – Live to Trade Another Day

To add to such high volatility, we will have FOMC tomorrow morning.

THESE ARE NOT NORMAL MARKET CONDITIONS TO SAY THE LEAST.

If you normally trade 4 lots, I suggest you trade 1 contract or even just stay out of the market.

If you normally trade 50 lots, you may want to reduce your trading size to 10 lots.

Yes, the wide range provide many opportunities but they also provide the risk of getting your account wiped out.

SURVIVE TO TRADE ANOTHER DAY…..

When markets trade with such high volatility, one must understand the enviroment one is trading in, which is quite different from the environment of few weeks ago.

Ranges are wider, speed is faster and volume is higher. You must take that into account, adjust your trading accordingly and make sure that you set limits as far as your daily risk is concerned and don’t allow one trade or one trading day to wipe your trading account.

WITH THE INCREASING DAILY RANGES, IT WOULD BE WISE TO VISIT THE FOLLOWING LINK AND STAY UPDATED ON DAILY LIMIT MOVES, JUST IN CASE:

>>>Daily Limit Moves from the CME Group (.pdf)

>>>Daily Limit Moves from The ICE (.pdf)

LAST BUT NOT LEAST, WEEKLY CHART OF MINI RUSSELL 2000 FOR LONGER TERM VIEW:

Weekly Chart of the Mini Russell 2000 from August 8th, 2011

Weekly Chart of the Mini Russell 2000 from August 8th, 2011

Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels, Proceed With Caution – Live to Trade Another Day”

Futures Trading Levels, Early FOMC Release Tomorrow

Cannon Trading / E-Futures.com

FOMC tomorrow. Keep in mind that the statement now comes out earlier than before, it comes out around 12:30 pm EST and then there is a press conference during the time FOMC used to come out at, around 2:15 PM EST.

Refer to your notes from last FOMC.

Please read below and look at a 5 minutes chart from the last FOMC day . Pay attention to how volume dries up right before and the big spike in volume and price action right during and after the announcement.

Intraday Mini S&P 500 Chart from June 21st 2011

Intraday Mini S&P 500 Chart levels for Monday June 21st, 2011

FOMC days have different characteristics than other trading days. If you have traded for a while, check your trading notes from past FOMC days that may help you prepare for tomorrow.

If you are a newcomer, take a more conservative approach and make sure you understand that the news can really move the market.

My observations suggest choppy, low volume up until announcement, followed by some some sharp volatile moves right during and after the announcement. However, with tomorrow early morning reports, we may see more volatility during first couple of hours as well. Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels, Early FOMC Release Tomorrow”

Futures Trading Levels, Mini S&P Screenshots with Diamond Algorithm

Cannon Trading / E-Futures.com

I think that if we can take out today’s high, we may see 1286 to 1295.

Daily chart for your review below.

Daily Mini S&P 500 Chart from June 20th 2011

Daily Mini S&P 500 Chart levels for Monday June 20th, 2011

Many of you have asked if these DIAMONDS indicators you see in the screen shot above available as a software or available for different markets during different times.

I can now tell you that it is available as a tool that you can use on your own, at your own convenience and time for different markets and different time frames.

Here is another screen shot from today’s end of the session, using volume charts for DAY TRADING.

Intraday Mini S&P 500 Chart from June 20th 2011

Intraday Mini S&P 500 Chart from Monday June 20th, 2011

I have developed this model which is a family of studies and the “DIAMOND” algorithm. I have spent over 2 years developing this model and now I have made them available through Sierra / AT charts for a free trial. If you are a Cannon Trading client, the cost after the two week trail is $119 per month which can be deducted from your account. If you are not a client the cost is $299 per month.

The Diamond ALGO package provides signals and also can be used as a “GPS” for trading methodology. It is accompanied by a 23 page manual which explains the set ups, risk management, model philosophy and much more. I hold a webinar once a week where I review and share my set ups. I have been told by subscribers that this model/”GPS” tool is one of the best they have seen and they have compared it to services and software packages that can cost much more.

The Diamond ALGO and indicators family, can be applied to any market at any time frame!

To get started simply send me an email and if you are a client please include the following:

  1. What trading platform you are using?
  2. Who is the broker you are working with here at Cannon?
  3. If you have sierra or ATcharts, what is your user name?

If you are NOT a client of Cannon, please share the following:

  1. What trading platform you are using?
  2. markets you trade?
  3. What charts you are using?
  4. If you have sierra or ATcharts, what is your user name?

Rule 4.41 – Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown.

Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels, Mini S&P Screenshots with Diamond Algorithm”

Futures Trading Levels, End of Month Statistical Trends

Cannon Trading / E-Futures.com

Last trading day for April is tomorrow…..while the last few months have shown that statistically, the market goes up the last couple of trading days, I am going to take a stab and look for the market to pull back if we can break below 1352 during the pit session….

60 minute chart of the BIG SP 500 ( the “pit session” ) for your review below with potential levels to watch if we do pull back. On the way up , I have 1362.75 as first resistance , followed by 1372. Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels, End of Month Statistical Trends”

8 Steps to Successful Futures Day Trading February 2, 2011

Download and read our guide which outlines some important futures day trading concepts. It may be beneficial to read this guide before trading commodities on the futures market.

My name is Ilan Levy-Mayer and I am the Vice President and Senior Futures Broker at Cannon Trading. I came up with the following personal observations after servingone must keep in mind that futures trading is risky and can involve significant losses.

1. Education

Hopefully if you are already trading you have completed your initial education: contract specs, trading hours, futures brokers, platforms, the opportunities as well as the risk and need to use risk capital in futures, and so on. Understanding this information is essential to futures trading. The second type of education is ongoing: learning about trading techniques, the evolution of futures markets, different trading tools, and more.

2. Find a System

I am definitely not advising you to go on the web and subscribe to a “black box” system (using buy/sell triggers if don’t know why they are being generated). What I am advising is developing a trading technique: a general set of rules and a trading concept. As you progress, you may want to put the different rules and indicators into a computerized system, but the most important factor is to have a focus and a plan. Don’t just wake up in the morning and trade “blank.”

3. Survival

This is the key! Do what you need to do in order to survive this brutal business and give yourself the chance of being here down the road with more experience and a better chance of success. Survival is probably the biggest key for beginning traders. There is a saying in this business: “live to trade another day.” It is so true!

READ THE REST AT:

https://www.cannontrading.com/tools/education-8-steps Continue reading “8 Steps to Successful Futures Day Trading February 2, 2011”

Trading Psychology Stage 1 Blissful Unawareness, January 24, 2011

by RealityTrader on Jan 10, 2011

As we mentioned in the previous article, first stage is usually the one where a newer trader doesn’t acknowledge the role of psyhcology in his trading. It happens out of ignorance or arrogance.

In a former case (ignorance) it’s simply lack of knowledge and mistaken notion that one can trade succeffully if given “right” system or indicator ot tip or whatever causes one to enter and exit his/her positions. It usually takes a while before a trader starts seeing how his mindset influences his trading and how his personal traits shine through his trading decisions. It comes as a surprize realization that different traders will get different results while trying to apply the same system. It is counter-intuitive, isn’t it?

In a latter case (arrogance), a trader shows some kind of denial – it’s “not me” attitude, thinking that goes along the lines “maybe it’s a problem for some but I am in control of myself,” “this stuff is for weak-minded” etc. Needless to say, it’s rarely the case… and even more importantly, it’s not so much about weak vs. strong mind as it is about influence one’s personality has over one’s trading.

In any case, the important thing at this stage is to come to appreciate this aspect of trading. It happens when one sees how much truth there is in saying “everyone gets what they want out of market” (Ed Seykota I think?) Again, seems counter-intuitive, right? After all, don’t we all want to succeed, to make winning trades, to make money? Sure… but it’s not about what our conscious mind wants, it’s about what our inner core dictates, and that is not always easy to realize and control.*

Simple example to illustrate the idea: do you know people who repeat certain behavior patterns harmful to themselves? Getting themselves into relationships with the types that make them miserable, over and over again? Repeating the same mistakes in their interaction with others, obviously not learning from the past? I bet you do (although you personally never act like this, right?) So, why do we do it even though we see (or could see if we looked) that these behavioral patterns hurt us? Because those patterns are not just some easy to break habits; rather they are a part of our personality, of who we are, and it takes much more than simple decision not to do that anymore to change our ways. Pretty much the same thing happens in trading – we know what not to do yet we continue doing it.

As soon as one realizes all this, the first stage is completed. The role of psychology in trading is acknowledged, denial is over – and this forms the foundation for a change.

*My favorite example of this phenomenon is the Russian movie Stalker. The plot line briefly: there is a certain machine granting wishes (stalkers in the movie are the people who take clients to it through the many dangerous traps). The machine grants wishes alright but there is catch: it’s not a wish that you stand in front of the machine and announce that will be granted… it’s a wish that constitutes your essence, your core, your deep desire – and it’s not necessary the one you realize and announce to yourself and to the world. Pretty much what happens in trading and pretty much what the author of that saying (everyone gets what they want in trading) meant.

Vadym Graifer is an author of the unique A Taoist Trader course devoted to trading philosophy and psychology

To read the rest of the articles in this series go to: http://www.traderplanet.com/profile/RealityTrader

GOOD TRADING!

TRADING LEVELS!

futures-trading-levels-20110124

Economics Report Source: http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

Monday, January 24, 2011

Treasury Currency Report
Tentative USD

Tuesday, January 24, 2011

HPI m/m
9:00am USD

CB Consumer Confidence
10:00am USD

HPI m/m
10:00am USD

Richmond Manufacturing Index
10:00am USD

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Company, Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading!

Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for November 16th, 2010

The market feels to me as if it is either ready to pick up some more momentum to the downside or that this small correction ran its course and the trend up will resume….

I am looking at the following levels and price behavior around these levels to give me more clues as to which way the next move will be.

1206 on the way up (Dec. Mini SP 500) and 1189 on the way down.

Hourly chart FYI below:

SP-500-Day-Trading-2010-11-16 Continue reading “Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for November 16th, 2010”