FOMC Minutes, NVIDIA Earnings, July Rough Rice; Your 3 Important NEED-TO-KNOWS for Futures Trading on May 28th, 2025

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FOMC Minutes, NVIDIA

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By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

CME is in the process of initial margin reduction.

The Initial margin for the ES is now just 23,996.50 approx. $1000 less than last week.

An important data day tomorrow: 

FOMC Meeting Minutes and NVIDIA earnings release.

From the wires today:

An upbeat earnings report by Nvidia Corp. would bode well for a rally in US equities as investors have about $7 trillion parked in cash funds, according to BBVA strategists.

Institutional positioning in the US technology sector is “undemanding” with hedge funds and mutual funds still substantially underweight, strategist Michalis Onisiforou said. Exposure of trend-following Commodity Trading Advisors (CTA) to the broader stock market is also neutral, while volatility control funds have plenty of room to add to risk, he said.

“With the institutional length in equities far from exuberance levels,” Onisiforou said the setup favors higher exposure to stocks

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future with its ebbs and flows.

Choose your opportunities wisely. Today’s market swings were largely back to normal (pre tariff talk normal)

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  Dallas, Richmond, Redbook and FOMC minutes.

FED Speak: 2

Earnings: NVIDIA

Tariff news: Anything goes!

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July Rough Rice

July rice stabilized its extended decline after satisfying its fourth downside PriceCount objective last month. Now, the chart has activated upside counts on the recovery and completed the first objective to the 1344 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for May 28th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment.

Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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