FOMC Eve – 4 Important Announcements, June Cattle; Trade a Plan – YOUR Plan

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FOMC Tomorrow

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

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Day trade margins are back to normal valuations.

Please speak with your broker about ways that you may not be aware of to assist you with your risk management plans. They may surprise you with the creative solutions you may find more efficient than simple stop orders or the old “hand on the mouse blow yourself out” strategy.

FOMC

Chairman Powell speaks rate decision tomorrow @ 1:30 CDT ,30 minutes following the official DECISION ON THE FED FUND RATE., U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent will testify to the House Financial Services Committee hearing on the international finance system Wednesday morning around 9:00 am CDT.

Economists and the CME FED Watch tool are expecting no change in the fed funds rate for tomorrows Fed Meeting. That tempers the rate at 4.25-4.50, the same as it has been since the December meeting.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  Used Car Prices. EIA Energy stocks.

FED Speak/FOMC: Powell @ 1:30PM CDT

Earnings: Novo Nordisk, Advanced Micro Devices, Duke energy, Doordash

Tariff newsAnything goes!

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June Live Cattle

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June live cattle extended its rally into a new contract high. This has us approaching the third upside PriceCount objective to the 215.67 area. Upon satisfying the count it would be normal for the chart to react with a near term consolidation or corrective trade, at least. the low percentage fourth count to 262 (not shown here for presentation purposes) is not seen as a realistic target for this contract.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for May 7th, 2025

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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