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NFP Tomorrow + 4th of July Friday

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

nfp

NFP is tomorrow rather than the usual Friday release!

Stock index futures will close early tomorrow at 12:15 Central time

Take care that the markets are in “holiday mode,” meaning trade participation and thus liquidity can decrease into the Independence Day holiday on Friday. This is more relevant than usual in that it comes along with the early release of this month’s employment report.

NFP

U.S. June Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data will be released tomorrow morning at 7:30 A.M., Central Time, a day earlier that its typical first-Friday-of-the-month release.

Economists are forecasting non-farm payrolls to come in at +110,000 compared to the previous month’s +139,000. The June jobless rate is expected at 4.3%, up +0.1% compared to the previous month. Average hourly earnings are expected up +0.3% month over month. On top of that, weekly Jobless Claims will be released simultaneously.

Please see the schedule below for trading hours tomorrow and Friday. Note that trading hours will be abbreviated tomorrow and Friday.

Found some stock market stats: per data from the St. Louis Federal Reserve, the wealthiest Americans control a majority of shares. The top 1% own half of all corporate equities and mutual funds in the U.S. When factoring in the top 10% of Americans by wealth, ownership of the group rises to close to 90% of all stock market holdings.

This number has not changed meaningfully over time, with the percentage oscillating between 80% and 90% in data that goes back to the end of the 1980’s.

4^th of July Holiday Trading Schedule:

Globex:

Grains

Friday – Closed

Sunday – 7:00 p.m. CT Re-open

Livestock

Friday – Closed

Monday – 8:30 a.m. CT Re-open

Cryptocurrencies

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

Energy

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

Interest Rates

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

Metals

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

Stock Indices

Thursday – 12.15 p.m. CT Close

Thursday – 5.00 p.m. CT Re-open

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

ICE US

Sugar, Coffee, Cotton, Cocoa, FCOJ

Friday – Closed

Monday – Regular Hours (Cotton re-open at 7.00 a.m. CT)

Canola

Friday – Regular Hours

U.S. Dollar Index

Friday – 12:00 p.m. CT Close

Sunday – 5:00 p.m. CT Re-open

Sept. Mini SP 500

Although the weekly chart is trading at an all-time high, the September Emini S&P daily chart is challenging its contract high. At this point, a breakout with new sustained highs would project a run to the second upside PriceCount objective to the 6479 area.

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.