NFP Tomorrow amidst Volatility

Volatility across major commodity futures remains elevated as the situation in the Middle East continues to expand into a broader international crisis.

NFP

Up next, the Labor Department releases its monthly Non‑Farm Payrolls (NFP) report tomorrow at 7:30 A.M. Central Time—one of the most impactful economic releases for U.S. markets. Historically, this report can trigger sharp and fast price swings across equity, interest rate, energy, and metals futures.

What to do with upcoming NFP

Based on past experience (and these are strictly my personal opinions), here are a few reminders that may help you navigate the volatility:

Trading Considerations Ahead of Non Farm Payrolls (NFP)

1. Reduce trading size. Volatility can amplify both gains and losses.
2. Be highly selective. No trade is better than a forced or low‑quality setup.
3. Choose entries wisely.
4. Use longer‑timeframe support/resistance to guide entries.
5. Consider “stretching the price bands” during high volatility.
6. Example: If a trader planned to go long the mini S&P at 6825.00 with a stop at 6815.00, in a volatile environment they might instead look for an entry around 6810.00 with a stop placed slightly below—adjusted for volatility and key levels.
7. Expect fast, erratic movement during and immediately after the announcement.
8. Watch for low‑liquidity “vacuum behavior” (wide zig‑zags, thin volume) right before the number.
9. Use automated brackets (stops and limits attached to your entry) as markets can accelerate quickly.
10. Know the expectations and compare the actual number to the forecast—then observe the market’s reaction rather than guessing.
11. Stay patient and disciplined. High‑impact releases reward preparation, not prediction.
12. If in doubt, stay out. Preserving capital is also a trading decision.

NFP: Plan your Trade and Trade your Plan

Cannon Edge for March 6th

Introducing Cannon Edge — Your Daily Futures Snapshot Above

Cannon Edge is our new daily feature designed to give traders a fast, actionable overview of key futures markets. Each post delivers:

• Current price and daily % change

• 30‑day and 52‑week highs/lows

• PROPRIETARY Short‑term and long‑term trend signals

Bloomberg Commodity Index

The Bloomberg Commodity Index is a weighted index of commodities from the grains, meats, energies, metals, and the softs sectors. The weekly chart broke out of tis extended range this fall and more recently corrected after satisfying the second upside PriceCount objective.

If the chart can break out and sustain new highs, the third count would project a move of about another 6% that would be consistent with a challenge of the 2022 high which represented peak inflation.

The run has been led by meats and metals, but now energies have joined the party and to a lesser extent, the grains. The low percentage fourth objective, not shown here for presentation purposes, is 176.

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for March 6th 2026

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Economic Reports

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All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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