The Week Ahead: Independence Day, NFP, Brazilian Real, Levels & Reports; Your 5 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures the Week of June 30th, 2025

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1248

  • The Week Ahead – 4th of July Hours, NFP on Thursday

  • Futures 102 – Podcast – Day Trade Futures Part 1

  • Hot Market of the Week – Sept. Brazilian Real

  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Bund Swing Trading System

  • Trading Levels for Next Week

  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Independence Day Week!

independence day

Subdued Volatility, for the moment as tensions between Iran/Israel have relaxed for the near term.

Will permanent income tax breaks survive this week as the “Big, Beautiful Bill” may become reality.

Although Friday is the 4th of July holiday you may be as surprised as we were when we saw the trading schedule for this upcoming week.  In addition to market hour changes we also have the All important Non-Farm Payrolls report, ordinarily released on the first Friday of the month, the release will occur on Thursday this month @ 7:30 am CDT. If you are an index trader, the markets will have abbreviated hours on Both Thursday and Friday. Regular hours on Thursday for all other futures contracts with many of the AG’s closed until Monday morning; Metals, Energies, Interest Rates, Currencies and indices will have early closings on the 4th itself.

Remember that current market drivers for Equities are hard data on Jobs, Inflation, Trump tweets and Geopolitics, clearly the Israel/Iran conflict jumps to the top of the list here. Watch for a correction in the Gold market. The short term MA has approached the longer term MA and threatening to penetrate.

Continued volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting to whatever comes out of the Israel/Iran conflict, The FRB, U.S. Govt leadership relating to conflicts cessation and trade deals.

Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Progress software
  • Tue. Constellation Brands
  • Wed. UniFirst Corporation
  • Thu. Catena AB
  • Fri.  4th of July 

FED SPEECHES: (all times CDT)

  • Mon.   Bostic 9:00 am,
  • Tues.  Chair Powell 8:30 am
  • Wed.  Quiet
  • Thu.    Quiet
  • Fri.     4th of July

Economic Data week:

  • Mon.  Chicago PMI, Dallas MFG Index
  • Tue.    S&P Global MFG PMI Final, ISM PMI , Jolts,  Dallas Fed Svcs Index,
  • Wed. ADP Employment Change, EIA Crude oil stocks, New Home Sales
  • Thur. Jobless claims, NFP, EIA NAT GAS Storage,
  • Fri. 4th of July   – click below for detailed modified schedule
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Ask a Broker: What is Day Trading Futures, Part 1?

Watch Video Now 

Ask a Broker: Why Trade Bitcoin Futures?

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

Brazilian Real

The weekly Brazilian real chart established a long term low last fall. Now, on the correction higher, we have activated upside PriceCount objectives to aim for.

 

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Watto Sonic BUND – Extralonses

Markets Traded:   BUND futures ( EUR)

System Type: Swing Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Partially Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $25,000

Developer Fee per contract: $85.00 Monthly Subscription

Get Started

Learn More

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Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

IMPORTANT RISK DISCLOSURE

Futures trading is complex and carries the risk of substantial losses. It is not suitable for all investors. The ability to withstand losses and to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can adversely affect investor returns.

The returns for trading systems listed throughout this website are hypothetical in that they represent returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real-time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on backadjusted data (backadjusted).

Please read carefully the CFTC required disclaimer regarding hypothetical results below.

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING.

FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

Please read full disclaimer HERE.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?

Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for June 30th, 2025

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Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?

Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. 

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

You may lose all or more of your initial investment.

Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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