FOMC Eve – 4 Important Announcements, June Cattle; Trade a Plan – YOUR Plan

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FOMC Tomorrow

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

fomc

Day trade margins are back to normal valuations.

Please speak with your broker about ways that you may not be aware of to assist you with your risk management plans. They may surprise you with the creative solutions you may find more efficient than simple stop orders or the old “hand on the mouse blow yourself out” strategy.

FOMC

Chairman Powell speaks rate decision tomorrow @ 1:30 CDT ,30 minutes following the official DECISION ON THE FED FUND RATE., U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent will testify to the House Financial Services Committee hearing on the international finance system Wednesday morning around 9:00 am CDT.

Economists and the CME FED Watch tool are expecting no change in the fed funds rate for tomorrows Fed Meeting. That tempers the rate at 4.25-4.50, the same as it has been since the December meeting.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  Used Car Prices. EIA Energy stocks.

FED Speak/FOMC: Powell @ 1:30PM CDT

Earnings: Novo Nordisk, Advanced Micro Devices, Duke energy, Doordash

Tariff newsAnything goes!

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June Live Cattle

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June live cattle extended its rally into a new contract high. This has us approaching the third upside PriceCount objective to the 215.67 area. Upon satisfying the count it would be normal for the chart to react with a near term consolidation or corrective trade, at least. the low percentage fourth count to 262 (not shown here for presentation purposes) is not seen as a realistic target for this contract.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for May 7th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Cattle! 5 Powerful Signals That Cattle Prices Are Breaking Records – Are You Positioned Right?

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Cattle! Gold! Your Summer of ‘25 burgers will be the most expensive in your lifetime!

Cattle

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Buckle your seatbelts, Huge Rally in equities and Commodities on the move.

Your Summer of ‘25 burgers will be the most expensive in your lifetime!

Please speak with your broker about ways that you may not be aware of to assist you with your risk management plans. They may surprise you with the creative solutions you may find more efficient than simple stop orders or the old “hand on the mouse blow yourself out” strategy.

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future

Choose your opportunities wisely.

Have you looked at the Cattle market lately? All time high prices?

I bet you have checked the recent price of your favorite cut of beef at the local Piggly Wiggly.

The Live cattle futures and Feeder cattle futures contracts are at all-time highs. The biggest supporting data, you ask? The US Cattle herd is the smallest it has been in over 65 years.

Think about that for a minute. The US Population in 1960 was a mere 179,323,000 souls. In 2025? Estimates are near the 341,662,000 mark. I doubt the 162,339 000 Americans that represent this population growth can’t all be Vegan! Low supply meets big demand until……

The overnight initial margin req. for 1 Live Cattle contract (40,000 lbs) is 3025.00 and for the Feeder cattle, 4537.00. Please call for more details.

Mini Dow’s range today? 1203 points $value? = $6015.00 from hi to lo

Mini S & P’s range today? 167.50 points $ Value? = $8375.00 from hi to lo

Mini Nasdaq’s range today? 650.25 points $value? = $13005.00 from hi to lo

How gold is your portfolio?

All time highs in the yellow metal today. 3509.9 per troy ounce currently trading @ 3366.00 +/- over $144.00 per oz. what a correction for this over bought market as it reacted to the recovery in the equities. We offer all exchange traded contract sizes, from 1 oz to 100 ounces.

Tomorrow:

Econ Data:  New Home Sales, Beige Book, EIA Energy stocks.

FED Speak: Musalem and Waller @ 8:35am CDT

Earnings: IBM, AT&T, Phillip Morris

Tariff news: Anything goes!

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Daily Levels for April 23rd, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Coffee, Cattle, and Crops: Market Swings Amid Powell & CPI Anticipation

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Coffee

Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Movers and Shakers: Tomorrow (CPI) before the open, CSCO After the close

 

Fed Powell’s testimony in the Senate had the market moving today.

Gold started to sell off well before the testimony began, down $25.00 then as Powell spoke @ 10 EST, the market rallied from that point in somewhat of a slough to unchanged, but struggled to breakout and looks to close a shade off yesterday, down 8 bucks. Holding rates for quite some time longer didn’t add fuel to the current rally. Powell testifies tomorrow in the House, same time.

 

The S&P 500 rallied from Powell’s opening remarks 20 points, then fell back at the 2-hour mark to where it began:6070.00 only to rally NEARLY 30 POINTS FROM THERE AFTER THE CONCLUSION. However, they look to close unchanged at the time of this writing. 6088.00.  This was a very tradeable day.

 

After scanning several markets Energies, Bonds, Dollar index. They all finished the day right about where they were prior to Powell’s opening remarks except for the US Dollar, which closed lower as Gold retained some of its luster.

 

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Corn

WASDE was released this morning as well, whose results weighed on domestic Ag row crop prices, Beans down 6 cents, Corn down 7.5-6.25 for old crop, new crop Dec down a penny (will grains in the future be quoted in pennies with the dissolution of the one cent coin?) Wheat down between 2.5 to 7 cents across the board and protein spectrum. Cotton bucked the trend and had a strong rally after the numbers, up .74 basis the May contract.

 

Coffee

As for the softs, Coffee lost some caffeine today, down from its all-time highs, 15 + cents per pound @ 413.45. This drop comes after a strong rally in recent sessions, fueled by supply concerns and robust demand. However, profit-taking and shifting sentiment in the broader commodities market may have contributed to today’s pullback. Traders will be watching for any signs of renewed momentum or further correction in the days ahead, particularly with currency fluctuations and weather patterns in key coffee-growing regions influencing price action. That’s Coffee!

 

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future.

Choose your opportunities wisely.

 

Tomorrow: CPI (Consumer Price Index) before the open, Fed Powell Testimony in the House of Representatives 9 am CST, Fed Bostic 11:00 am CST. Earnings: Cisco After the close, CME Group, before the open

March Feeder Cattle

The January 21st QT Chart of the Day alerted readers that the March feeder cattle chart was approaching its third upside PriceCount objective. After reaching this target area, the chart corrected lower and activated downside PriceCounts in the process. At this point, if you can extend its break with new sustained lows, the second count would project a slide to the 261.59 area.

 

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Daily Levels for February 12th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Call Now

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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