Coffee, Cattle, and Crops: Market Swings Amid Powell & CPI Anticipation

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Coffee

Movers & Shakers by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

Movers and Shakers: Tomorrow (CPI) before the open, CSCO After the close

 

Fed Powell’s testimony in the Senate had the market moving today.

Gold started to sell off well before the testimony began, down $25.00 then as Powell spoke @ 10 EST, the market rallied from that point in somewhat of a slough to unchanged, but struggled to breakout and looks to close a shade off yesterday, down 8 bucks. Holding rates for quite some time longer didn’t add fuel to the current rally. Powell testifies tomorrow in the House, same time.

 

The S&P 500 rallied from Powell’s opening remarks 20 points, then fell back at the 2-hour mark to where it began:6070.00 only to rally NEARLY 30 POINTS FROM THERE AFTER THE CONCLUSION. However, they look to close unchanged at the time of this writing. 6088.00.  This was a very tradeable day.

 

After scanning several markets Energies, Bonds, Dollar index. They all finished the day right about where they were prior to Powell’s opening remarks except for the US Dollar, which closed lower as Gold retained some of its luster.

 

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Corn

WASDE was released this morning as well, whose results weighed on domestic Ag row crop prices, Beans down 6 cents, Corn down 7.5-6.25 for old crop, new crop Dec down a penny (will grains in the future be quoted in pennies with the dissolution of the one cent coin?) Wheat down between 2.5 to 7 cents across the board and protein spectrum. Cotton bucked the trend and had a strong rally after the numbers, up .74 basis the May contract.

 

Coffee

As for the softs, Coffee lost some caffeine today, down from its all-time highs, 15 + cents per pound @ 413.45. This drop comes after a strong rally in recent sessions, fueled by supply concerns and robust demand. However, profit-taking and shifting sentiment in the broader commodities market may have contributed to today’s pullback. Traders will be watching for any signs of renewed momentum or further correction in the days ahead, particularly with currency fluctuations and weather patterns in key coffee-growing regions influencing price action. That’s Coffee!

 

Market volatility is here to stay for the foreseeable future.

Choose your opportunities wisely.

 

Tomorrow: CPI (Consumer Price Index) before the open, Fed Powell Testimony in the House of Representatives 9 am CST, Fed Bostic 11:00 am CST. Earnings: Cisco After the close, CME Group, before the open

March Feeder Cattle

The January 21st QT Chart of the Day alerted readers that the March feeder cattle chart was approaching its third upside PriceCount objective. After reaching this target area, the chart corrected lower and activated downside PriceCounts in the process. At this point, if you can extend its break with new sustained lows, the second count would project a slide to the 261.59 area.

 

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Daily Levels for February 12th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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Feeder Cattle futures, Economic Reports & Levels 9.04.2014

Hello Traders,

For 2014 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading!

Not much to share today to be honest but found this little factoid VERY interesting….

 

Morning MoneyBeat Daily Factoid: On this day in 1929, the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average finished at 381.17. The closing level proved to be the Dow’s peak before the Crash of 1929 and the subsequent Great Depression. Stocks didn’t reclaim this level until 1954.

On a different note, yours truly analysis of Feeder Cattle market available at:

http://experts.forexmagnates.com/feeder-cattle-leading-meat-sector-back/

 

 

 

GOOD TRADING !

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past performance is not indicative to future results.

If you like Our Futures Trading Daily Support and Resistance Levels, Please share!

 

 

Futures Trading Levels

Contract Sept. 2014 SP500 Nasdaq100 Dow Jones Mini Russell Dollar Index
Resistance 3 2022.50 4153.92 17241 1201.57 83.22
Resistance 2 2016.75 4133.83 17198 1194.73 83.15
Resistance 1 2007.75 4102.67 17134 1182.27 83.00
Pivot 2002.00 4082.58 17091 1175.43 82.93
Support 1 1993.00 4051.42 17027 1162.97 82.79
Support 2 1987.25 4031.33 16984 1156.13 82.72
Support 3 1978.25 4000.17 16920 1143.67 82.57
Contract December Gold Dec.Silver Oct. Crude Oil Dec. Bonds Sept. Euro
Resistance 3 1285.1 19.43 99.22 140 15/32 1.3205
Resistance 2 1278.8 19.36 97.52 139 26/32 1.3183
Resistance 1 1274.6 19.29 96.45 139 14/32 1.3167
Pivot 1268.3 19.21 94.75 138 25/32 1.3145
Support 1 1264.1 19.14 93.68 138 13/32 1.3129
Support 2 1257.8 19.07 91.98 137 24/32 1.3107
Support 3 1253.6 19.00 90.91 137 12/32 1.3091
Contract Dec Corn Dec. Wheat Nov. Beans Dec. SoyMeal Dec. bean Oil
Resistance 3 366.8 538.8 1039.33 368.93 32.35
Resistance 2 363.5 537.9 1032.67 363.87 32.22
Resistance 1 357.8 536.8 1026.33 357.13 32.09
Pivot 354.5 535.9 1019.67 352.07 31.96
Support 1 348.8 534.8 1013.3 345.3 31.8
Support 2 345.5 533.9 1006.67 340.27 31.70
Support 3 339.8 532.8 1000.33 333.53 31.57
Economic Reports

source: http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

All times are Eastern time Zone (EST)

 

Date 3:50pm Currency Impact Detail Actual Forecast Previous Graph
ThuSep 4  2:00am EUR German Factory Orders m/m 1.6% -3.2%
4:10am EUR Retail PMI 47.6
Tentative EUR Spanish 10-y Bond Auction 2.69|2.1
Tentative EUR French 10-y Bond Auction 1.77|2.7
7:30am USD Challenger Job Cuts y/y 24.4%
7:45am EUR Minimum Bid Rate 0.15% 0.15%
8:15am USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 218K 218K
8:30am EUR ECB Press Conference
USD Trade Balance -42.5B -41.5B
USD Unemployment Claims 298K 298K
USD Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q 2.5% 2.5%
USD Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q 0.6% 0.6%
9:45am USD Final Services PMI 58.5 58.5
10:00am USD ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 57.3 58.7
10:30am USD Natural Gas Storage 72B 75B
11:00am USD Crude Oil Inventories -0.9M -2.1M
12:30pm USD FOMC Member Mester Speaks
7:00pm USD FOMC Member Powell Speaks
8:15pm USD FOMC Member Fisher Speaks
9:00pm USD FOMC Member Kocherlakota Speaks

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading