Energy Volatility Amidst FOMC Decision PLUS: June US Dollar Index, CannonEdge Snapshot, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on March 19th, 2026

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FOMC Decision, Energy Volatility

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— April (#GC)

4717.80 4783.40 4902.70 4968.30 5087.60

Silver (SI)

— May. (#SI)

72.65 74.36 77.34 79.04 82.02

Crude Oil (CL)

— April. (#CL)

88.73 93.22 95.95 100.44 103.17

 June Bonds (ZB)

— June. (#ZB)

113 10/32 113 24/32 114 17/32 114 31/32 115 24/32

energy

General:

For the second consecutive meeting, the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady today and preserved a path to cutting rates this year.  Fed officials voted 11-1 to hold the benchmark federal-funds rate in a range between 3.5% and 3.75%. Twelve of the nineteen meeting participants penciled in at least one cut this year, the same as in December.

The Fed’s post-meeting statement acknowledged uncertainty from the war in the Middle East as higher energy prices from the Iran war threaten to prolong their yearslong inflation fight.

Energy:

Israel struck Iran’s South Pars gas field, the largest such facility in the world, prompting immediate threats of retaliation from Iran. The Iran government’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps stated that it considered refineries and other energy infrastructure across Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar to be “legitimate and prime targets.”  Gulf oil officials said evacuations have already started for the sites on the list, as well as for other energy facilities in the region.

Oil:

Oil prices jumped on the news with Brent Crude oil on the ICE Exchange trading within pennies of $110/barrel intraday. West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures traded on CME Group’s NYMEX Exchange reached $99.41/barrel overnight last night (basis the April contract) as is poised to close at its second highest price level since the start of the Middle East conflict.

Heads up (reiterating from last week):

Keep in mind that day trading margins can change at your clearing firm / FCM – for certain markets, entire asset classes, i.e., energies, precious metals, stock indexes, etc., particular gateways, i.e., Rithmic, CQG, Sierra/Teton. They can also vary during overnight hours and prior to certain events, i.e., important economic report releases, scheduled statements by important people, agencies, etc. Contact your Cannon Trading Co. broker for specifics.

Plan your trades and trade your plans

Cannon Edge for March 19th

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Introducing Cannon Edge — Your Daily Futures Snapshot Above

Cannon Edge is our new daily feature designed to give traders a fast, actionable overview of key futures markets. Each post delivers:

  • Current price and daily % change

  • 30‑day and 52‑week highs/lows

  • PROPRIETARY Short‑term and long‑term trend signals

June US Dollar Index

The June US Dollar Index satisfied its first upside PriceCount objective early this month and corrected. The chart resumed its rally into a new high but faltered. If it can sustain further strength, the second count projects a possible run to the 100.83 area.

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for March 19th, 2026

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All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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FOMC Rate decision tomorrow PLUS: May Cotton, CannonEdge Snapshot, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on March 18th, 2026

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 FOMC Rate decision tomorrow

1:00 pm CDT, Powell presser 1:30 pm CDT

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— April (#GC)

4939.87 4975.13 5012.27 5047.53 5084.67

Silver (SI)

— May. (#SI)

75.76 77.53 80.15 81.92 84.53

Crude Oil (CL)

— April. (#CL)

91.55 93.85 96.14 98.44 100.73

 June Bonds (ZB)

— June. (#ZB)

113 25/32 114 11/32 114 21/32 115 7/32 115 17/32

Don’t forget! June (M) is front month for stock index futures like MES, NQ and others. ESM26

fomc

 The following are suggestions on trading during FOMC days:

·      Reduce trading size

·      Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade

·      Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini SP at 6825.00 with a stop at 6815.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 6810.00 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example (consider current volatility along with support and resistance levels).

·      Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement

·      Expect to see some “vacuum” (low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.

·      Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.

·      Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues

·      Be patient and be disciplined

·      If in doubt, stay out!!

I am sharing a very important question I had with a prospective client recently.

He asked me, “How many day trades are too many with a $10,000.00 account valuation?”.

This question is more important than most think as we see too many accounts that overtrade leading to a kind of Hari Kari in this industry.

There isn’t a fixed “too many,” but with a 10,000‑dollar futures account you should anchor everything to risk per trade and max daily loss, not trade count.

Start from RISK PER TRADE

That means your stop distance and contract size must be chosen so a full stop‑out costs no more than that amount; if you can’t get the stop that tight, you must drop size ( e.g., use micros)

Common guideline is risking about 0.5–1% of the account per trade when you’re still building consistency, so roughly 50-100 dollars per trade in a $10,000.00 account.

Define a Hard Daily Loss Limit

A Typical daily loss limit for a 10,000 dollar account is 2-3% of equity. roughly 2-300 dollars per day.

What that implies for “How Many” day trades.

If you risk 15 per trade and cap a daily loss at 3%, then 3 full trades is your daily limit: you’re done for the day if you’re wrong 3 times.

If you risk .5% per trade, that’s 4-6 trades before you hit your max loss of 2-3% per day even if you haven’t used all the slots!

Why “Too Many” is dangerous for a small account

As the number of intraday trades rises, you will tend to: overtrade marginal set-ups, pay more in commissions/fees, and increase the chance of revenge trading.

A reasonable starting point for a $10,000.00 account might be something like 2-5 trades per day and a rule you live by that you also stop if you exceed a certain number of consecutive losers.

What to discuss with me, myself and I

Discipline is essential to success. Plan your trades and trade your plans.

Tell your Broker

If you tell your broker what market(s) you’re trading and your typical risk per trade in ticks or points, he or she can translate this into a concrete max contract(s) and a sensible max contracts per day given the avg. volatility for the contracts you like to trade (they may even suggest different contracts that may be more suitable given your style and account size)

Don’t forget! June (M) is front month for stock index futures like MES, NQ and others. ESM26

Cannon Edge for March 18th

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Introducing Cannon Edge — Your Daily Futures Snapshot Above

Cannon Edge is our new daily feature designed to give traders a fast, actionable overview of key futures markets. Each post delivers:

  • Current price and daily % change

  • 30‑day and 52‑week highs/lows

  • PROPRIETARY Short‑term and long‑term trend signals

May Cotton

May Cotton accelerated its rally to complete the third upside PriceCount objective. It would be normal to get a near term reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade, at least. IF the chart can sustain further strength, the low percentage fourth count would project a possible run to the 74. 34 area.

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for March 18th, 2026

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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FOMC Tomorrow PLUS: Lunar New Year Notice, Dual Dissent Comparison, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on February 18th, 2026

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FOMC Approaching!

Lunar New Year Holiday Notice – Hong Kong & China

Please note that February 17–19 is a public holiday in Hong Kong and China in observance of the Lunar New Year.

We wish all our traders across the Far East a Happy Lunar New Year and a prosperous year ahead.

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— April (#GC)

4721.33 4808.67 4951.53 5028.87 5161.73

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

67.88 70.55 74.49 77.16 81.09

Crude Oil (CL)

— Mar. (#CL)

60.43 61.31 62.63 63.51 64.83

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar. (#ZB)

117 9/32 117 19/32 118 118 10/32 118 23/32

FOMC Minutes Ahead!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

fomc

Tomorrow marks the first time this year investors receive the fed minutes from the January 26-27 meeting. Additional volatility could be the order of the final hours of trading tomorrow as these minutes included 2 dissenting opinions.

Based on FOMC press releases, the eight FOMC meetings in 2025 saw significant divisions, with nine total dissents among 95 votes cast, making unanimous decisions relatively rare. Dissenting votes occurred in multiple 2025 meetings, including two at the July meeting and two at the October meeting, reflecting high disagreement.

In July 2025, a rare dual dissent occurred with two governors opposing a rate decision.

It had been more than three decades since two Federal Reserve Board governors dissented on an interest-rate decision at the same Fed policy meeting for the same reason, two dissenters Bowman and Waller both supported a rate cut (October had 1 governor wanting a .50 point cut while the other dissenter opted for a remail policy what actually happened was a .25 point cut.) Investors treated this news with disappointment generating a nearly 400-point 3-week slide in the S&P 500 index.

That kind of internal division is rare, and markets pay attention to it.

Investors are watching for discussions on inflation, the labor market, and the “one-time” effect of tariffs, which may influence future policy decisions.

According to Mark Spitznagel, Founder and Chief investment officer at Universa Investments,

“The upward momentum in US Equities is likely to persist”

He suggested in an interview that investor exuberance could propel the S&P 500 to 8,000 or beyond before a sharp reversal occurs. As of Tuesday morning, the index was trading close to 6,800.

The Fed Minutes will be released @ 1:00pm CST.

He expressed concern that if the Fed keeps Interest Rates elevated for an extended period, companies may find it difficult to secure funding.

“With the Fed holding steady, markets are likely to anticipate further rate cuts as economic conditions gradually weaken”

Introducing Cannon Edge — Your Daily Futures Snapshot

Cannon Edge is our new daily feature designed to give traders a fast, actionable overview of key futures markets. Each post delivers:

  • Current price and daily % change

  • 30‑day and 52‑week highs/lows

  • PROPRIETARY Short‑term and long‑term trend signals

  • Coverage across equity indices, metals, energies, currencies, and ags

Whether you’re scanning for breakout setups, trend reversals, or just staying informed — Cannon Edge puts the data in your hands before the open.

Built for speed. Backed by insight. Powered by CQQ.

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Daily Levels for February 18th, 2026

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

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FOMC Not Looking Good for Powell PLUS: Currencies, March – May Meal Spread, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on January 28th, 2026

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FOMC Tomorrow

Chairman Powell is not the only one under pressure

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4938.13 5054.47 5120.83 5237.17 5303.53

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

98.80 105.34 109.45 115.99 120.10

Crude Oil (CL)

— Feb (#CL)

59.28 60.90 61.77 63.39 64.26

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

114 28/32 115 4/32 115 15/32 115 23/32 116 2/32

Chairman Powell is not the only one under pressure – FOMC Tomorrow

fomc

The US Dollar is under pressure due to fading interest rate support. Geopolitical risks rising.

Markets expect the federal reserve to continue, or at a minimum, be in a cut cycle. Tomorrow’s Interest Rate decision is expected to be a no cut event for this meeting (according to the CME Fed watch tool).\

FOMC

The language of the meeting and the presser to follow is EXPECTED to tell the tale of continued, future reductions…if the language doesn’t echo expectations? Watch out.

Currency – Dollar, Euro, Yen

By cutting rates, models tie currency value to interest-rate differentials pointing to a weaker U.S. Dollar versus the Euro and Yen.

Trump threats and investigations into Chairman Powell in the open, (rather than other Presidents quietly going after fed chairs in the past) have a yet to be quantified, confidence undermining the fed’s independence. This also tends to be negative for the U.S. Dollar.

U.S. Naval assets in the middle east mobilizing, leads to additional speculation, increasing investor caution as geopolitical risks raise the aura if an Iran strike. Domestic political tension and unrest do very little to calm the dollar bears.

From a technical perspective, the dollar has broken key support levels and testing support in the 96 area.

The On again off again tariff edicts create less stability in the safe haven dollar asset and in some circles, it has been reported the US Government may” enjoy” a weaker dollar to stimulate exports and assist the strengthening of the yen. Japan is an important geopolitical partner in their area of the globe.

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Introducing Cannon Edge — Your Daily Futures Snapshot

Cannon Edge is our new daily feature designed to give traders a fast, actionable overview of key futures markets. Each post delivers:

  • Current price and daily % change

  • 30‑day and 52‑week highs/lows

  • PROPRIETARY Short‑term and long‑term trend signals

  • Coverage across equity indices, metals, energies, currencies, and ags

Whether you’re scanning for breakout setups, trend reversals, or just staying informed — Cannon Edge puts the data in your hands before the open.

Built for speed. Backed by insight. Powered by CQQ.

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March – May Meal Spread

The March – May Meal Spread satisfied its third upside PriceCount objective where we are seeing a clear reaction with the potential for a key reversal out of a new high. At this point, IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, we are left with the low percentage fourth count to aim for at a 3.60 inverse.

FREE TRIAL AVAILABLE

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for January 28th, 2026

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

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FOMC Minutes, Gold and Silver Highs, Top Assets by Market Cap, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on December 30th, 2025

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FOMC Minutes Tomorrow on a Short Trading Week

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4151.67 4252.63 4416.97 4517.93 4682.27

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

62.59 67.41 75.04 79.87 87.50

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

56.29 57.07 57.68 58.46 59.07

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

115 5/32 115 17/32 115 27/32 116 7/32 116 17/32

Last FOMC of the Year

fomc

General:

Keep an eye out for tomorrow’s release of the Minutes of the Federal Reserve’s December FOMC meeting (1:00 P.M., Central Time).

Metals:

Gold and silver futures markets tumbled after touching record highs, bringing a parabolic move in the precious metals space to a screeching halt.

Gold

After touching Friday’s all-time intraday high of $4,584 per ounce, Feb gold futures tumbled more than $200 per ounce today – a $20,000 per contract move – to hover near $4,340 per ounce.

Gold All-Time Intraday High

As well, after trading up more than $5.00 per ounce from Friday’s close to its own intraday all-time high of $82.67 per ounce, March silver futures dropped more than $12.00 per ounce to near $70.00 per ounce – a whopping ~15% intraday decline and a $60,000 per contract move – and is currently trading slightly above $71.00 per ounce.

Silver

Traders were on edge going into Monday’s session after the Chicago Mercantile Exchange raised the initial margin requirement on the March 5,000-oz. silver futures contract to $22,000, forcing higher leveraged traders to either add cash to their accounts or reduce their positions.

Despite today’s sell-off, silver’s whopping +174% rise this year has turned the metal into the third most valuable asset in the world, trailing only gold and Nvidia and outstripping tech titans such as Apple, Alphabet (Google) and Microsoft.

Silver Market Cap

According to CompaniesMarketCap, silver’s market cap stands at $4.485 trillion dollars. Gold tops the list with a market cap of $31.719 trillion, followed by Nvidia at $4.638 trillion.

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Daily Levels for Dec. 30th, 2025

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Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

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All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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New Years Trading, FOMC Minutes, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures the Week of December 29th, 2025

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Happy Holidays and Trading on the last week of 2025!

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4488.83 4525.67 4554.83 4591.67 4620.83

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

70.58 74.69 76.84 80.95 83.10

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

55.25 56.08 57.48 58.31 59.71

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

115 1/32 115 10/32 115 22/32 115 31/32 116 11/32

 New Years Holiday Schedule, FOMC Minutes and no stocks report earnings.

new year

·        3 full trading days left in 2025 to capitalize on!

·        4 trading days in the week (all markets are closed Thursday, New Years Day)

·        Tuesday FOMC Minutes released from the December meeting. 1 PM CST

We’ll see you next week! Please enjoy a safe and memorable weekend.

Earnings Next Week:

·        Mon. Quiet

·        Tue. Quiet

·        Wed. Quiet

·        Thu.  Happy New Year!

·        Fri.   Quiet

FED SPEECHES: (all times CST)

·        Mon.  None

·        Tues.   None

·        Wed. None

·        Thu.  None

·        Fri.   None

Econ Data: (all times CST)

·        Mon. Retail and Housing Data with Dallas fed sprinkled in

·        Tue. Redbook, More housing data and FOMC Minutes

·        Wed. Jobless numbers, Chitown PMI and EIA Crude numbers

·        Thu. Happy New Year!

·        Fri. PMI Final, Fed Balance sheet, All Markets open regular hours.

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Daily Levels for Dec. 29th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

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Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Post FOMC, February Unleaded Gasoline, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on December 12th, 2025

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Markets Post December FOMC

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4198.17 4251.23 4284.27 4337.33 4370.37

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

60.54 62.24 63.48 65.18 66.42

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

55.99 56.89 57.92 58.82 59.85

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

114 30/32 115 8/32 115 25/32 116 3/32 116 20/32
 

fomc

Post FOMC

The FOMC decision is behind us, with a rate cut that has impacted market sentiment. Meanwhile, silver and gold have reached new all-time highs, signaling strong demand and market shifts. This has contributed to increased volatility, as seen in the VIX index. For futures traders, managing risk is crucial, and keeping a trade journal can help track strategies and improve decision-making.

Staying informed about these market movements is key to navigating the current landscape. With the FOMC now behind us and the Fed signaling a cautious pivot in December, markets are recalibrating around a lower-for-longer rate path that has already shifted flows into commodities and risk assets.

That backdrop helped push silver and gold to fresh all‑time highs this month as investors chase safe havens and physical demand tightens—silver’s rally has been especially dramatic, doubling year‑to‑date in some feeds, while gold has repeatedly printed new records through 2025. Those moves have come with higher intraday volatility—options and VIX dynamics show spikes around policy events and rapid repricing as traders digest Fed language and macro headlines.

For futures traders that means wider ranges, faster margin signals, and more false breakouts; the best defense is disciplined position sizing and a simple, consistent trade journal: record your thesis, entries, exits, size, and the market context for every trade so you can separate skill from luck, refine setups, and survive the next volatility swing.

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February Unleaded Gasoline

February unleaded gasoline has resumed its break into a new recent low where we satisfied the second downside PriceCount objective. From here, the chart has support against the fall low but if the break can be sustained, the third count projects a potential deeper slide to the 1.68 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Dec. 12th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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FOMC Day Strategy, NEW WEBINAR THURSDAY, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Important Can’t Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on December 10th, 2025

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FOMC Day Strategy Consideration

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4175.67 4207.43 4229.57 4261.33 4683.47

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

56.87 59.05 60.17 62.36 63.48

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

57.51 57.95 58.56 59.00 59.61

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

114 21/32 114 30/32 115 10/32 115 19/32 115 31/32

FOMC Day Strategy Consideration

FOMC Tomorrow

FOMC tomorrow and the markets are expecting .25 BPS cut in rates, however, traders will pay close attention to the verbiage in an attempt to predict future moves in 2026 based on the presser with Jerome Powell 30 minutes after the data release.

As of now, markets see opportunities for additional reductions in the three meetings before the June 2026 meeting and will that change as a result of the presser?

The following are suggestions on trading during FOMC days:

·      Reduce trading size

·      Be extra picky = no trade is better than a bad trade

·      Choose entry points wisely. Look at longer time frame support and resistance for entry. Take the approach of entering at points where you normally would have placed protective stops. Example, trader x looking to go long the mini–SP at 6825.00 with a stop at 6815.00, instead “stretch the price bands” due to volatility and place an entry order to buy at 6810.00 and place a stop a few points below in this hypothetical example (consider current volatility along with support and resistance levels).

·      Expect the higher volatility during and right after the announcement

·      Expect to see some “vacuum” (low volume, big zigzags) right before the number.

·      Consider using automated stops and limits attached to your entry order as the market can move very fast at times.

·      Know what the market was expecting, learn what came out and observe market reaction for clues

·      Be patient and be disciplined

·      If in doubt, stay out!!

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Daily Levels for Dec. 10th, 2025

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Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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FOMC Announcement, Powell’s Speech Wednesday, Levels, Reports; Your 4 Quick but Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on December 9th, 2025

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At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4180.37 4200.63 4224.27 4244.53 4268.17

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

57.14 57.80 58.44 59.10 59.74

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

57.66 58.25 59.28 59.87 60.90

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

114 13/32 114 25/32 115 8/32 115 20/32 116 3/32
fomc

JOLTS tomorrow is a market moving event, but the “star” of the week is FOMC announcement followed by Powell’s speech Wednesday.

Watch a quick video on the Fed Watch tool below.

✅ Schedule a one on one No Obligation Broker Consultation

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Daily Levels for Dec. 9th, 2025

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Want to feature our updated trading levels on your website? Simply paste a small code, and they’ll update automatically every day! 

Click here for quick and easy instructions.

Economic Reports

 U.S. government data may be impacted by the shutdown. ‘Tentative’ events are subject to delay, revision, or cancellation

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Central Time ( Chicago)

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

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FOMC Ahead! Fed History, January Natural Gas, NEW TRADING CONTEST NEXT WEEK!!! Levels, Reports; Your 6 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures the Week of December 8th, 2025

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1269

  • The Week Ahead – FOMC Ahead!

  • Futures 101 – Trading Contest Starts Sunday Evening!

  • Hot Market of the Week – Jan Natural Gas

  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – NQ Day Trading System 

  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— Feb(#GC)

4182.70 4206.70 4248.60 4272.60 4314.50

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

56.14 57.53 58.72 60.11 61.30

Crude Oil (CL)

— Jan (#CL)

58.94 59.55 60.02 60.63 61.10

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar (#ZB)

114 28/32 115 7/32 115 25/32 116 4/32 116 22/32

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

A Fed History Tutorial

fomc

The FRB December Rate decision looms:

Wednesday, the 10th at 1 PM CST. Followed by Jerome Powell’s presser. I’ve been listening long enough to the financial new press about the “independence of the fed” and the open criticism applied By President Trump of fed funds rates not being reduced quick enough and the open criticism of Trump and his option as President to use the bully pulpit.

Historians will tell you it is somewhat difficult to determine how many Presidents over the years since the Fed was created, pressured the FED quietly.

A secret gathering that laid the groundwork for the federal reserve took place in November 1910, specifically from about November 20th to November 30th, at the Jekyll Island Club off the coast of Georgia. Convened by Senator Nelson Aldrich, powerful bankers and financial figures met to devise a plan to reform the U.S. banking system and prevent future financial panics, leading to the eventual Federal Reserve Act of 1913.

In 1912 Democrats won the White House and majorities in both houses of Congress. Even before his inauguration, President-elect Woodrow Wilson began encouraging congressional leaders to enact banking and currency reform. In March 1913 the Democratic Senate created its first Banking and Currency Committee.

On December 23, 1913, the Senate adopted the conference report to Create the FED by a vote of 43 to 25, with every Democrat present voting for the measure and all but four Republicans voting against it. (Twenty-seven senators were “paired” or chose not to vote.).

Well documented major cases

Most academic and historical discussions highlight at least the following presidents as having directly and personally challenged the Fed over interest rates:

  • Harry Truman (conflict with Chair Thomas McCabe over keeping rates low during the Korean War, leading to the 1951 Fed–Treasury Accord).​
  • Lyndon B. Johnson (clash with Chair William McChesney Martin in 1965 over rate hikes during Vietnam War and Great Society spending).​
  • Richard Nixon (pressure on Chair Arthur Burns to ease policy before the 1972 election, documented in White House tapes and archival research).​
  • George H. W. Bush (complaints that Chair Alan Greenspan kept rates too high and did not cut fast enough after the 1990–91 recession, though Bush was relatively restrained in public).​
  • Donald Trump (sustained, public attacks on Chair Jerome Powell for raising and then not cutting rates enough, calling the Fed a threat to the economy and questioning Powell’s job

With all the talk about Jerome Powell’s tenure ending, Jerome Powell will still have the January, March and April meetings to preside over as Chairman of the Fed.

Economic Data reporting catching up but still behind.

Due to the recent government shutdown (ending November 12, 2025), many standard monthly reports (e.g., jobs, CPI, retail sales) for October and possibly November have been delayed. Agencies like the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), and Census Bureau are still finalizing revised schedules, with updates expected imminently. As of November 21, here is a calendar for Report Due dates from BLS, notes at the bottom will offer the deepest clarity since the appropriations shutdown.  https://www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lapse-revised-release-dates.htm

As for earnings reports? Next week we will see the numbers for 88 stocks. Broadcom is the only mkt cap over 1T while Adobe and oracle round out tech Autozone, Costco and Lululemon will give us a deeper look into consumer spending

What Market has been range bound and now breaking out? The longer the range trade the harder and faster the breakout becomes. Two weeks ago I said this: Watch the Nat Gas as a breakout to the upside has been looming and ready to rock. (check out today’s Chart of the Day, free trial available)

Expect continued volatility next week as the markets are sorting out the data morass.

We’ll see you next week! Please enjoy a safe and memorable weekend.

 Earnings Next Week:

·        Mon. Quiet

·        Tue. Autozone

·        Wed. Oracle, Adobe, 

·        Thu. Broadcom, LULU, Costco

·        Fri.  Quiet

FED SPEECHES: (all times CDT)

·        Mon.  Quiet 

·        Tues.  FOMC Starts

·        Wed.   Dec 10th final rate decision of the year Followed by Chair Powell presser

·        Thu. Quiet

·        Fri.  Quiet

December Trading Challenge

Prepare to face off against fellow traders in a risk-free, simulated environment to see who comes out on top and wish CASH prizes!

Register Today! Contest Starts Sunday!

 Are you ready to showcase your trading expertise? Cannon Trading is proud to sponsor the CME Group Futures Trading Challenge, where you can compete against traders nationwide, sharpen your strategies, and win exciting prizes.

STARTS

Sunday, December 7th

5:00 p.m. CT / 22:00 UTC

ENDS

Friday, December 12th

12:00 p.m. CT / 17:00 UTC

PRIZE DETAILS

Overall Leaderboard

First Place Prize: $2,500

Second Place Prize: $1,750

Third Place Prize: $1,250

Fourth-Fifteenth Prize: $100 each

Event Information

·    All trades during the competition will be completed in the Challenge Simulator.

·    All traders will begin with a virtual account of $25,000, aiming to maximize their balance by the competition’s close.

·    Cash prizes will be awarded to the top eligible traders with the highest account balances in the Overall Leaderboard (up to 15 total prizes available, each with a cash value as set forth to the right; traders are only eligible for one prize).

Register Today! Contest Starts Sunday!

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

January Natural Gas

January Natural Gas is accelerating through the second upside PriceCount objective and taking aim at the third count to the 5.63 area. This is consistent with a challenge of the March contract high.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Abacus NQ

Markets Traded:   Mini Nasdaq

System Type: Day Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Not Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $14,000

Developer Fee per contract: $70 Monthly Subscription

Get Started

Learn More & Detailed Results

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Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

System Trades Disclosure:

System Description

“System Description” is based upon information obtained from specific system marketing documents, system developers and/or system vendors themselves. While the information is believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its completeness or accuracy.

Actual Monthly Performance

The table and charts represent the monthly/quarterly/annual summation of actual trades based on system-specified contract(s) executed through Striker Securities, Inc. using the referenced trading system or system vendor for the stated time period. Commissions and monthly vendor fees are deducted from the tabulation. Results are based on 1 contract. If a client trades 2 contracts his gain or loss is twice as displayed (and so on). This table is presented for information purposes only and is not a solicitation for the referenced system or vendor. The purpose of this information is for clients to compare their brokerage statements to what is displayed on Striker’s site. Striker as a matter of policy has no ownership with the referenced system or vendor or any other trading system or vendor.

Past trade history may not be indicative of future results.

The results indicated here may or may not be typical of the performance of this system and, ALTHOUGH WE BELIEVE THIS INFORMATION TO BE ACCURATE, CANNON TRADING COMPANY MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE. This is not the only trading system that Striker executes for its clients. Potential traders should carefully investigate, evaluate and compare trading systems before investing capital. Some or all trading systems may involve an inappropriate level of risk for potential traders. It is the nature of commodity trading that where there is the opportunity for profit, there is also the risk of loss.

In opening an account through CANNON TRADING COMPANY, Customer acknowledges and agrees that he/she will rely solely upon the information that CANNON TRADING COMPANYprovides to you. Thus, all prior third-party materials provided are superseded by the information and disclosures provided by CANNON TRADING COMPANY.

Important Information About this Trading System Analysis

Statistics, tables, charts and other information on trading system monthly performance are based on actual trading unless otherwise specified. Actual dollar and percentage gains/losses experienced by investors would depend on many factors not accounted for in these statistics, including, but not limited to, starting account balances, market behavior, developer fees, incidence of split fills and other variations in order execution, and the duration and extent of individual investor participation in the specified system.

While the information and statistics given are believed to be complete and accurate we cannot guarantee their completeness or accuracy as they results are key punched and subject to human error. Performance information is not the performance of a single account, but a compilation of several accounts over time, and is based on the physical trading ticket. THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED FOR EDUCATIONAL/ INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND USED BY CURRENT CLIENTS TO AUDIT THEIR STATEMENTS TO STRIKER SITE. These results are not indicative of, and have no bearing on, any individual results that may be attained by the trading system in the future.

This trading system, like any other, may involve an inappropriate level of risk for prospective investors. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. Prior to purchasing or leasing a trading system from this or any other system vendor or investing in a trading system with a registered commodity trading representative, investors need to carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for them in light of their own specific financial condition. In some cases, futures accounts are subject to substantial charges for commission, management, incentive or advisory fees. It may be necessary for accounts subject to these charges to make substantial trading profits to avoid depletion or exhaustion of their assets. In addition, one should carefully study the accompanying prospectus, account forms, disclosure documents and/or risk disclosure statements required by the CFTC or NFA, which are provided directly by the system vendor and/or CTA’s.

The information contained in this report is provided with the objective of “standardizing” trading systems measurements, and it is intended for educational /informational purposes only. All information is offered with the understanding that an investor considering purchasing or leasing a system must carry out his/her own research and due diligence in deciding whether to purchase or lease any trading system noted within or without this report. This report does not constitute a solicitation to purchase or invest in any trading system which may be mentioned herein. CANNON TRADING COMPANY AND STRIKER SECURITES, INC. MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY OTHER TRADING SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE. THIS IS NOT A SOLICITATION TO PURCHASE OR SUBSCRIBE TO ANY TRADING SYSTEM.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

Transactions in securities futures, commodity and index futures and options on futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged”. A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you. You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position. If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position. If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?

Daily Levels for Dec. 8th 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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