Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for September 17, 2013

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday September 17, 2013

Hello Traders,

For 2013 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading! 

Big moves took place last night when the markets reopened in reaction to news about Syria, but by the time the markets closed today, most of the markets went back to levels from Friday session, so we are still waiting to see the actual direction for many different markets. I am sure we will see some whipsaw both ways over the next few days.

 

In the field of day-trading, my tip for today is:

 

Try to limit the amount of time you are trying to day-trade as well as try to choose the RIGHT period of time during the day to day-trade.

 

I think the more hours one spends in front of the charts trading, the higher chances one has to be prone for mistakes, frustration and more.

 

The other part is to choose the right period of time in the day for the markets you trade. Different markets have different period of times during the day when they are more active, perhaps more volatile etc.

 

This also has to coincide with your schedule and other constraints.

 

 

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Rollover+ Trading Levels & Economic Reports for Sept. 13th 2013

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Friday September 13, 2013

Hello Traders,

For 2013 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading! 

December is now the front month for stock index futures. The symbol for December is Z, so if you are trading the mini SP you need to start trading ESZ3.

 

Also currencies will switch over to December as of tomorrow, make sure you are careful as currencies can be assigned delivery notice after this Monday.

 

If you have any questions, please contact your broker.

 

 

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Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for September 12, 2013

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday September 12, 2013

Hello Traders,

For 2013 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading! 

I was asked today ( and many times before…) what I think are the top two reasons so many traders lose money day-trading?
My answer was ” if I had to pick the top 2 reasons, it would be: 1. Inability to accept losses 2. Over leveraging the already leveraged futures contracts”

Each one of these topics deserves quite a bit of ink but until I expand on each and other factors I believe are contributors, I recommend reading the following:

 

https://www.cannontrading.com/tools/education-8-steps

 

 

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Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for September 5, 2013

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday September 5, 2013

Hello Traders,

For 2013 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading! 

 

If you are a client using our TransactAT platform, make sure you have the latest version installed. The current version is 5.5.4

 

If you are running an older version, please download the current one at:www.tfutures.com/download.htm

 

Are you an eSignal user? looking to save on your monthly cost you are paying to receive different quotes/charts from different exchanges? If so, please reply to this email for information on the CME exchange fee waiver.

 

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Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for September 4, 2013

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Wednesday September 4, 2013

Hello Traders,

For 2013 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading! 

 

Markets are quite sensitive to news breaks, especially with the Syria situation.

 

I think the following holds true EVERY day and every trade but even more so when the markets are tense like they are with the Syria situation right now:

 

When you think you are are about to get into a trade, take a few extra seconds to answer yourself the following:

Where will I place a stop?

Do I have a first target profit?

If I get my first profit target, what do I do with the remaining of the trade?  Do I use a trailing stop?

Do I have a final target?

What is the trade size I will use?

 

I know that sometimes you have to trade with the flow and make decisions on the fly but the more often you will think these steps out and plan your trade, the better chances you have to follow your plan and stay disciplined.

 

In between a daily chart of the mini NASDAQ 100 for your review as I feel the NASDAQ 100 is the leader of the indices recently.

 

Many have asked me for the meaning of the diamonds, arrows, plus signs etc.

It is actually part of a trading methodology I came up with and plan to have a series of webinars in the next few weeks where I review my indicators, money mgmt concept and more but to give a brief explanation:

 

Red Diamond is possible sell if we can take out previous bar low.

Blue diamond= possible buy if we can takeout previous bar high.

Same applies for Blue/ red triangles AS LONG as we get what I call price confirmation.

 

The lines are either FIBONACCI retracement or extension. More details will be explained in the first webinar which will be next Wednesday and an invite will follow this Friday.

mini NASDAQ daily chart

 

 

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Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for August 30, 2013

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Friday August 30, 2013

Hello Traders,

For 2013 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading! 

 

We will observe modified trading hours for Labor Day. Make sure to check the times and contact your broker if you have any questions.  Please scroll down to the previous blog below to see the schedule.  Thank you!

 

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Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for August 29, 2013

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday August 29, 2013

Hello Traders,

For 2013 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading! 

 

The mental part of trading is so hard….

 

Today for example I had excellent signals on the crude oil yet barely managed to scratch…

 

It started with me trying to trade while doing other things (not a good idea…)

Then I would miss a good trade and get anxious to jump in even though the signal was done with…also not a good thing.

 

Once I did get in, since my psyche was already off, I did not have the patience to stay in the trade and let my stops and targets work, so I would get out. Sure enough seconds after I get out, the market goes my way and drives me crazy…not a good thing again….Luckily the signals were good enough otherwise this could have been a bad day.

 

The points I am trying to make today?

Make sure you are focused and not distracted.

If you sense that you are not in the right frame of mind, take a small break.

Plan your trade and then have patience to trade your plan.

I highly recommend using daily stops and profit targets. Set a profit target for the day and when achieved take your profit and walk away. Set a daily loss limit, i.e the most you are willing to risk on any given day. When that happens, walk away. Might be a losing day but if you stop it can not turn into a TERRIBLE day….

 

I wrote a full article about my day trading money management approach for SFO magazine few years back. If you like a copy, please email me and I will send you the PDF.

 

If you are a client, simply include your account number.

If you are a prospect, please answer the following:

 

 

1. Have you traded futures before?

2. What markets interest you at this time?

3. Are you planning to daytrade, longer term trades? options/futures?

4. What is the amount of capital you are planning to open an account with or working with currently?

5. Have you taken a course or been mentored by anyone?

6. Do you currently have your own charts that you are using?

 

 

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Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for August 27, 2013

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Tuesday August 27, 2013

Hello Traders,

For 2013 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading! 

 

 

Situation in Syria is heating up and over the next few days/ weeks you may see some erratic moves in markets like SP 500 ( and other indices), gold, crude oil, bonds and others.
I personally always like to use stops and actually have my software checked with auto bracket each time I enter a daytrade. I like to have a stop entered right away and then be able to adjust according to the charts. Moves like we saw today ( see mini SP chart below) can happen frequently in times of Geo-political uncertainty. The SP500 dropped over 13 points in matter of 11 minutes. I actually seen much bigger and faster moves happen before but my main point here is that I recommend using stops and placing stop orders rather than using “mental stop”.
If you need help on how to set up the auto bracket on either E-futures Int’l orTransactAT, feel free to email me and I will be happy to assist.
7 tick range bar chart, mini S&P

 

 

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Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for August 23, 2013

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Friday August 23, 2013

Hello Traders,

For 2013 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading! 

 

 

Another big day in stock index futures. Push lower overnight and then a powerful rally the rest of the day session.

 

The big question of course is….is this a short covering rally or the start of another leg up?

 

No one has the answer but we can all speculate on different scenarios. Looking at both the SP500 ( mini) and the NASDAQ 100 ( mini ) charts below, I think the following need to happen in order for the markets to have continued momentum to the upside: Nasdaq has to break above 3115 and mini sp needs to break 1657.75 followed by 1562 . Even then the question is does one think these markets can make new highs or not?

 

Either way price action was bullish today, we took out yesterdays low and closed above yesterday’s high. I think it’s called outside day reversal but don’t quote me on that….

 

NASDAQ 100 is the stronger sector leading the way so far.

 

On the downside, I want to see SP 500 “entering the cloud” below 1640 and the NASDAQ going below 3064.

 

Lots of technical chatter today and bottom line is the way price action will be tomorrow..Hence futures trading (-:

 

Charts for your review below:

 

mini nasdaq 100 daily

 

 

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Futures Trading Levels and Economic Reports for August 22, 2013

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1. Market Commentary
2. Futures Support and Resistance Levels – S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000, Dollar Index
3. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Gold, Euro, Crude Oil, T-Bonds
4. Commodities Support and Resistance Levels – Corn, Wheat, Beans, Silver
5. Futures Economic Reports for Thursday August 22, 2013

Hello Traders,

For 2013 I would like to wish all of you discipline and patience in your trading! 

FOMC minutes came out and was actually better than advertised….This is the first time in a while where I felt we saw legitimate , free market action. The market had volatility, wide ranges and moved both ways on one of the better trading volumes in weeks.

 

Don’t get me wrong, I am not saying that every trading day should like this but we have witnessed over the past 3-4 years been a market guided by QE where traders and large institutions were just looking to buy the dips. I am sure that this will not be over in one day and it is a process but I have a feeling that this is a start of going back to “normal”, free market conditions. “normal”, free markets can and will have strong corrections and moves both up and down.

 

What does it mean to you the day-trader? Look back at intraday charts from 2007- 2009 and you will get an idea.

 

In between I am sharing a small  piece from a booklet I wrote where I outline some of my day-trading theories and techniques.

 

 

My opinion is that there are 3 main types of trading days.

 

    1. Most common is two sided trading action with swings up and down – this type of trading day is most suitable for the main aspect of this model, which is taking trades based on the arrows.
    2. Strong trending day, mostly one directional – this type of trading day is the least common, many times this will happen on Mondays and maybe 3-5 times a month at most – this type of trading day is most suitable for using the color scheme I have on the charts. Green bars mean strong up trend, red bars mean strong down trend. If you determined that this is a trend day, then use pull backs to enter with the direction of trend and use the parabolic (little dashes) as you trailing stop.
    3. Slow and/ or choppy trading day – this type of trading day is best suited for taking small profits from the market by either using the main model or taking the diamonds as entry signal, and going for quick profits and tight stops.

 

Assessing the Type of Trading Day

  • A good question is how can one assess what type of trading day we will have while the market is still trading? I am doing some work about it and will be happy to hear feedback via email, but here are some initial observations:

 

1)    Was the overnight session a wide, two sided trading range? If the answer is yes, good chances are for a similar trading day during the primary session (primary session is when the cash/ stock market is open).

2)    Mondays have the highest chance for trending days.

3)    The behavior of the first hour of trading can also suggests the type of action for the rest of the day.

4)    If the first 30 minutes have good volume, better chances for type 1 or type 2 trading days.

5)    Low volume during the first 30 minutes can suggest a choppy (type 3 trading day).

6)    Is there a big report today? monthly employment situation? FOMC statement? The major reports can create volatility in the market, so be aware of what reports are scheduled.

 

 

 

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