Govt Reports, Earnings and the Fed Blackout period.
On the close of Business June 16th the S&P was at 4453.00, today we have a hi as of this writing, with 3.5 more hours to go in the session, of 4553.50 Up 100 points and of course, not in a straight line.
This does illustrate a continued bullish undertone. S&P + .022%, The NQ is up .035% and the broadest market index, the Russell index, the winner over this time period, up .041% .
This brings us to a number of questions: can the rally that begin in March continue through the summer? What factors is the market watching for clues and direction?
This week the most meaningful economic numbers to be released should be the June data on retail and food services sales at 7:30am CT on Tuesday. Inflation expectations are overall well-anchored, if at levels a bit above where they were before the current episode began in 2021.
Earnings season has arrived. Last week the JPM and C released their numbers, This week the Regional Banks will start reporting results in addition to B of A, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, the Tech and consumer stocks the market will be very interested with are Tesla and Netflix. United Airlines reports as well.
Expectations are certainly muted from a year ago, and the lowered expectations have already been inserted on the game board by most analysts and ratings firms. Therefore, any good news should have a positive impact on the indices continued grind higher.
Of note this week is the Fed Black out period in advance of the July 25-26 meeting where traders are currently expecting another .25 rate hike after the last sessions pause.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Trading Resource of the Week – Trading Pattern: Rectangle Trading
Hot Market of the Week – August Live Cattle
Broker’s Trading System of the Week – ES Day Trading System
Trading Levels for Next Week
Trading Reports for Next Week
Important Notices – FX Trading Contest
Participate in the upcoming Currency Cup: FX Trading Challenge where you’ll trade our suite of highly liquid benchmark FX contracts in a risk-free environment while competing against other traders for the chance to win cash prizes.
Learn how to trade FX futures and options
Through participation in our challenge, you’ll receive daily exclusive educational videos where you’ll learn about the key benefits of trading FX futures contracts.
This competition is open to residents in the United States (US), Canada (CA) excluding Quebec, *Brazil (BR), United Kingdom (UK), Germany (DE), Netherlands (NL), Switzerland (CH), United Arab Emirates (UAE), Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC), Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM), Republic of Korea (KR), Taiwan (TW), and Japan (JP).
*Residents of Brazil must have a bank account in the United States to be eligible to receive a prize.
Trading Resource of the Week – : Rectangle Trading Pattern
By Joe Easton, Senior Broker
Formation:
This pattern is defined as price coming into a tight range between support and resistance
This pattern is a continuation pattern. If the trend was up it will continue up and down it will continue down
Typically, volume is lower through this period of consolidation.
Try a FREE demo of the platform used to show the charts in this educational article. The platform is FREE and has charts, news, DOM, T&S, Alerts, advanced order entry, options and MUCH MORE!
In the examples above the range is creating a rectangle pattern in an uptrend. Ideally this pattern breaks higher without breaking lower support. If lower support is broken this pattern would no longer be a rectangle.
How to Trade:
The ideal entry is toward the bottom of the rectangle support. If entered on this line your stop should be below support. Price should bounce off support 2 to 3 times to be confident support is present.
The more conservative entry would be when the resistance in the rectangle is broken. This can happen very quickly and needs to be timed more accurately. The lower support line then becomes your stop. You could also make the resistance line become your stop.
When price breaks out you can measure the width of rectangle and project the price to move from the breakout that same distance at a minimum.
Summary:
Rectangles patterns exist in low volume consolidation in both uptrends and downtrends. Price corrects in two ways, time and price. This would classify more as a time correction considering price stays relatively consistent. Once price closes above the resistance you can expect the price to not retrace back into the rectangle. If there is a false breakout, the continuation is less likely to occur. Generally, if you are able to spot a rectangle you can expect the price trend to continue.
Important: Trading commodity futures and options involves a substantial risk of loss.
The recommendations contained in this chart are of opinion only and do not guarantee any profits.
Past performances are not necessarily indicative of future results
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
August Live cattle Is extending its rally into new highs where the chart is taking aim at its low percentage fourth upside PriceCount to the 183.30 area. This objective is consistent with the weekly chart High established last month it should be enough to satisfy this phase of the bull market.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
An introductory guide to trading futures. If you’re a trader who is interested in branching out from equities or cash FX into futures, this guide will provide a great starting point. If you already know something about futures trading, you can jump to any chapter for a review or to the back of the booklet and test your knowledge in our Futures Quiz.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Hot Market of the Week – August Feeder Cattle
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
August feeder cattle satisfied the low percentage fourth upside PriceCount objective to the $250 area. This suggests that we may have come far enough to satisfy this phase of the bull market.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
The Labor Dept. releases its monthly Non-farm payrolls report tomorrow at 7:30 AM Central. Known as NFP ( non farm payrolls), unemployment report.
It’s widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy and the report is released at 7:30 A.M., Central Time on the first Friday of the month.
Aluminum futures continue to gain market adoption and provide market participants the confidence they need to manage their aluminum price risk.
Volume in Q2 has hit record levels with average daily volume (ADV) over 4K contracts, up 197% year-over-year as of June 30. Q2 average open interest (OI) was 3,420 contracts, up from 457 contracts in Q2 2022, with 275 unique counterparties trading through the quarter.
The active outright for Aluminum is September, and the Bloomberg code is ALE3 . It will roll to October, ALE4 , on Monday, July 17.
See daily chart below and feel free to contact us with ANY questions.
Trading Contest – Win Real Cash Trading Simulated Account!
Sign up for the Cannon Trading via clearing partner StoneX + CME Group Equity Index Futures Trading Challenge for your chance to sizzle the competition this summer – Trade Micro, E-mini, and Standard size contracts on the S&P, NASDAQ, Russell, and Dow Jones in a risk-free environment while competing with fe11ow traders for a cash prize•.
Tomorrow, Friday, July 7th is the LAST DAY to register for FREE!
Use the Cannon Futures Trader Simulated Trading Environment and a virtual account of $100,000 to trade CME Group Equity Index futures. Increase your balance as much as possible between July 9th and July 21st for your chance to win!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
General: it’s that time of the month again: we’re a couple of days from when the Labor Dept. releases its monthly Non-farm payrolls report. It’s widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy and the report is released at 7:30 A.M., Central Time on the first Friday of the month.
To review, the Labor Dept.’s Bureau of Labor Statistics surveys about 141,000 businesses and government agencies, representing approximately 486,000 individual work sites. The report excludes farm workers, private household employees, domestic household workers and non-profit organization employees. The report also includes other detailed industry data including the overall unemployment rate as a percentage of the total labor force that is unemployed but actively seeking work, wages, wage growth and average workday hours.
Energy:West Texas crude oil futures (basis Aug.) is trading up ±$2.50/barrel / ±3% today near $72/barrel on the heels of joint Saudi Arabia / Russia announcements of supply cuts. The former announced it would extend its voluntary output cut of 1 million barrels per day out to August. Russia committed to lowering its August output and export levels by 500,000 barrels per day. Typically, the Fourth of July holiday marks the peak of the U.S. travel season.
Sign up for the Cannon Trading via clearing partner StoneX + CME Group Equity Index Futures Trading Challenge for your chance to sizzle the competition this summer – Trade Micro, E-mini, and Standard size contracts on the S&P, NASDAQ, Russell, and Dow Jones in a risk-free environment while competing with fe11ow traders for a cash prize•.
Use the Cannon Futures Trader Simulated Trading Environment and a virtual account of $100,000 to trade CME Group Equity Index futures. Increase your balance as much as possible between July 9th and July 21st for your chance to win!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
Sign up for the Cannon Trading via clearing partner StoneX + CME Group Equity Index Futures Trading Challenge for your chance to sizzle the competition this summer – Trade Micro, E-mini, and Standard size contracts on the S&P, NASDAQ, Russell, and Dow Jones in a risk-free environment while competing with fe11ow traders for a cash prize•.
Use the Cannon Futures Trader Simulated Trading Environment and a virtual account of $100,000 to trade CME Group Equity Index futures. Increase your balance as much as possible between July 9th and July 21st for your chance to win!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
The September Kansas City- Chicago wheat spread completed its second downside PriceCount objective and responded with a key reversal and corrective trade. At this point, IF the chart can resume its break with new sustained laws, the third count would project a possible run to the 43 Cent area.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Questions about the markets? trading? platforms? technology? trading systems? Get answers with a complimentary, confidential consultation with a Cannon Trading Company series 3 broker.
First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week: www.mrci.com
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts herein contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading.
Good Trading!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
Sign up for the Cannon Trading via clearing partner StoneX + CME Group Equity Index Futures Trading Challenge for your chance to sizzle the competition this summer – Trade Micro, E-mini, and Standard size contracts on the S&P, NASDAQ, Russell, and Dow Jones in a risk-free environment while competing with fe11ow traders for a cash prize•.
Use the Cannon Futures Trader Simulated Trading Environment and a virtual account of $100,000 to trade CME Group Equity Index futures. Increase your balance as much as possible between July 9th and July 21st for your chance to win!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
The U.S. is well into summertime and with it agricultural futures, particularly field crops like corn, wheat and soybeans have gained in stature as already-planted crops are growing and developing toward their fall harvest. At the same time, corn, wheat and soybean futures contracts have seen seasonal and meaningful increases in trade volume. Along side this development, this year has seen noteworthy volatility in price movement. To provide some perspective on this year’s U.S. crop season is the futures exchange where these agricultural products’ futures contracts are traded: CME Group. While its exchanges make up the world’s largest operator of financial derivatives, it’s also an important source of futures research and education, with a collection of courses, lessons and webinars on trading, as well as a wealth of academic resources. For example, take a look at their report on corn released this week entitled, “Vol is High by the Fourth of July.” Get an understanding of how this crop year compares to other recent ones and what could be in store for prices.
More general (energy)
Keep an eye on the third-smallest country on the continent and the second-least populated there. It’s also one of the least densely populated countries on Earth (±10 people/mi²) with over 40% of its population living below the country’s poverty line. Because ever since the discovery of a collection of astonishing and promising oil finds in recent years – estimated at over 11 billion barrels of oil reserves off its coast – Guyana in South America has become an enlivened player on the world stage. With infrastructure investment dollars and know-how coming in from major energy players like Exxon Mobile, a formal invitation to join OPEC (so far, rebuffed), Guyana with a population of barely 800,000, has become the world’s fastest growing economy and is now ranked as having the fourth-highest GDP per capita in the Americas after the United States, Canada, and The Bahamas.
What level of attention have energy futures paid to the introduction of the largest addition to global oil reserves in the last 50 years? The early answer is very little, but worthy of monitoring. At ±360,000 barrels per day currently, Guyana barely moves the needle alongside the current ±90 million barrel-per day production globally. Still, oil demand is expected to decline in the coming decades and OPEC’s influence over oil prices has regressed in recent years as non-OPEC countries like the U.S. Brazil, Guyana and Egypt have collectively impacted the global supply/demand dynamic. This puts Guyana in a position to be an influential player as it works to increase production – with a planned 1 million barrels per day output by 2028.
Sign up for the Cannon Trading via clearing partner StoneX + CME Group Equity Index Futures Trading Challenge for your chance to sizzle the competition this summer – Trade Micro, E-mini, and Standard size contracts on the S&P, NASDAQ, Russell, and Dow Jones in a risk-free environment while competing with fe11ow traders for a cash prize•.
Use the Cannon Futures Trader Simulated Trading Environment and a virtual account of $100,000 to trade CME Group Equity Index futures. Increase your balance as much as possible between July 9th and July 21st for your chance to win!
Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.
This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.
RISK DISCLOSURE: Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in futures trading can be substantial, carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.
