Markets Post FOMC + Levels for March 21st 2024

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Life After FOMC …..

by Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

General: 

 

The Federal Reserve took center stage today.  With inflation proving stickier than expected, the central bank has found itself balancing between a hawkish and dovish view.  The policy-setting FOMC held interest rates steady at the 5.25%-5.50% range for the fifth straight meeting.  The bigger indicator traders were eager to see was the Fed governors’ so-called dot plot that updated their rate and economic projections – for the first time since December.  Turns out, it didn’t deviate from the three rate cuts they previously penciled in by the end of 2024.

 

Indexes: 

 

As of this typing, the June E-mini S&P 500 is trading at new all-time highs around 5280.  As well, the June E-mini Dow Jones is trading at its own all-time highs, barely 100 points away from 40,000!

 

Metals: 

 

April gold is on the verge of eking out its own all-time high close above last Monday’s closing price of $2,188.60 per ounce.  It’s currently trading ±$2,191.00 per ounce

 

General pt. II: 

 

Over the weekend, Japan ended its negative interest rate policy, marking a historic shift away from an aggressive monetary easing program that was implemented years ago to fight chronic deflation.  As part of the decision, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years, lifting its short-term rate to “around zero to 0.1%” from minus 0.1%.

 

Plan your trade and trade your plan

 

 

 

 

 

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Daily Levels for March 21st, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Weekly Newsletter: Understanding Price Banding, May Bean Oil Outlook and Automated Gold System

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C27

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1186

In this issue:
  •  Important Notices – FOMC Next Week
  • Trading Resource of the Week – Understanding Price Limits and Banding
  • Hot Market of the Week – May Bean Oil
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Gold Swing System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

 

Important Notices –

  • FOMC Meeting next week. Announcement on Wednesday.
  • Light data most of the week. Housing sales
  • Very few earnings
  • June is front month for indices, currencies and financials.: M = June
  • USA is on daylight savings time – most international countries have NOT changed yet.

 

 

Trading Resource of the Week : What are Price Limits and Price Banding? by CMEgroup.com

As a trader, you want to know that there are mechanisms in place to ensure an orderly market. A regulated marketplace like CME Group provides this order by setting price limits and price banding.
Price Limits
Price limits are the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in each trading session. These price limits are measured in ticks and vary from product to product. When markets hit the price limit, different actions occur depending on the product being traded. Some markets may temporarily halt until price limits can be expanded or trading may be stopped for the day based on regulatory rules. Different futures contracts will have different price limit rules; i.e. Equity Index futures have different rules than Agricultural futures.
Example
Equity Indexes futures have a three level expansion: 7%, 13% and 20% to the downside, and a 7% limit up and down in overnight trading.
When price reaches any of those levels the market will go limit up or limit down.
Calculating Price Limits
Price limits are re-calculated daily and remain in effect for all trading days except in certain physically-deliverable markets, where price limits are lifted prior to expiration so that futures prices are not prevented from converging on prices for the underlying commodity.
Typically, Agricultural futures will go limit up or down most often compared to Equity Index futures which very rarely if ever go limit up or down. When trading a specific product, it is important to be aware of price limits and the mechanisms that occur when limits are hit. Traders also know that it is possible for limits to be reached for more than one session in a row, however the expansion of limit thresholds over the last few years have reduced this occurrence.
Price Banding
Price banding is a similar mechanism which subjects all orders to price validation and rejects orders outside the given band to maintain orderly markets. Bands are calculated dynamically for each product based on the last price, plus or minus a fixed band value. Thus, if markets quickly move in one direction, the price bands dynamically adjust to accommodate new trading ranges.
Conclusion
The rules for each market can be found on cmegroup.com.
It is important to note that traders can place trades outside the daily price limits. These trades will be executed when price limits and price bands move within the specified range. So, traders still have the ability to place good-til-canceled or good-til-date orders inside and outside daily price limits.
In the last few years there are fewer and fewer times that markets will actually go limit up or down, but it is important to be aware of these pricing rules when you trade.
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  • Hot Market of the Week – May Bean Oil
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
May Bean Oil
The rally in May soybean oil accelerated to its second upside PriceCount objective and now the chart is correcting. At this point, IF you can resume the rally with new sustained highs, the third count would project a possible run to the 50.87 area.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week

With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
Spartan Gold
PRODUCT
SYSTEM TYPE
Swing
COST
USD 75 / monthly
Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital
$20,000
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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
Yes
S
No
S

 

Daily Levels for March 18th 2024

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Trading Reports for Next Week

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First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Triple Witching Tomorrow + Futures trading Levels for March 15th

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C26

 

TriPPPle witching tomorrow!

Stock Index March contracts (i.e., the E-mini and Micro S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones and Russell 2000.) expire Friday, March15th (8:30 A.M., Central Time). At that point, trading in these contracts halts. Stock index futures are CASH SETTLED contracts. If you hold any December futures contracts through 8:30 A.M., Central Time on Friday, Mar. 15th, they will be offset with the cash settlement price, as set by the exchange.

FRONT MONTH IS NOW JUNE , the symbol is M24, example for mini SP is ESM24

 Monday, March 18th is Last Trading Day for December currency futures. It is of the utmost importance for currency traders to exit all March futures contracts by Friday, March 15th and to start trading the June futures. Currency futures are DELIVERABLE contracts.

The month code for June is ‘M.’  Please consider carefully how you place orders when changing over.

 

 

Plan your trade and trade your plan

 

Watch video below on how to rollover from March to June contracts if you are a stock index trader on our E-Futures Platform!

 

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Daily Levels for March 15th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Rollover, CPI & Futures Trading Levels for 03.12.24

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C3 1

 

CPI Tomorrow – Trade June ES/NQ/YM and MICROS

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

For all of you index traders, you may have noticed the shrinking Open Interest and Volume in the March contracts. It’s that time when volume shifts to the next quarterly expiration contract. June! the symbol is M.

March volume will be drying up quickly, don’t get stuck Friday morning with a March contract at the crack of dawn when the carousel stops. Start trading the June contract today!

According to Bloomberg, the S&P 500 has averaged an 0.8% move on CPI days over the past six months

Today, stocks are sideways, the dollar and gold are both up marginally as investors nervously await tomorrows 7:30 a.m. CDT Consumer Price Index release.

Last Month, on Feb 13th stocks slid sharply following the release and Treasury yields surged higher when a surprise CPI number, an Increase of 0.3% in January, crossed the newswires. Housing costs accounted for much of the price rise.

Overall prices are expected to rise 0.4% percent after increasing 0.3% percent in January. Annual rates, which in January were 3.1% percent overall and 3.9% percent for the core, are expected at 3.1% and 3.7% percent respectively. Per econoday.

 

 

Plan your trade and trade your plan

 

Watch video below on how to rollover from March to June contracts if you are a stock index trader on our E-Futures Platform!

 

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Daily Levels for March 12th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

NFP Tomorrow, Bitcoin Futures+ Futures Trading Levels for 03.08.24

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C22

 

NFP Tomorrow.

Non Farm payrolls – market moving report.

I personally like to be out few minutes before the report and look to get back in after the “smoke clears”.

I know some traders who try to play the extremes by placing buy orders on the lower bands and/or sell orders on the upper bands and attach automated brackets to these orders, trying to take advantage of the fast market moves.

Refer back to your journal and keep notes.

 

Bitcoin Futures on The Chicago Mercantile Exchange

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With Bitcoin reaching unprecedented levels, investors are seeking dependable ways to participate. Apart from ETFs and complex offshore entities, the CME Group offers straightforward access to Futures on Bitcoin, Micro Bitcoin, Ether, and Micro Ether futures. Utilize a licensed broker to trade these futures on the esteemed CME Group exchange. Opportunities for engagement range from 1. self-directed trading 2. demo trials 3. opening an account seeking advice from a seasoned broker.

 

 

Plan your trade and trade your plan

 

 

 

 

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Daily Levels for March 8th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Ahead of NFP + Futures Trading Levels for 03.06.2024

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C21

 

Bullet Points, Highlights, Announcements

 

Heads up: 

 

Keep an eye out for Friday (7:30 A.M., Central Time) for the release of the monthly Non-farm Payrolls report by the Labor Department.  It’s widely considered to be one of the most important and influential measures of the U.S. economy.

 

To review, the Labor Dept.’s Bureau of Labor Statistics surveys about 141,000 businesses and government agencies, representing approximately 486,000 individual work sites.  The report excludes farm workers, private household employees, domestic household workers and non-profit organization employees.  The report also includes other detailed industry data including the overall unemployment rate as a percentage of the total labor force that is unemployed but actively seeking work, wages, wage growth and average workday hours.

 

General:  

 

It was truly an historical day yesterday.  Both the decades-old 100-oz gold futures contract and the seven-year-old Bitcoin futures contracts traded up to all-time highs.  Apart from any of the stock index futures contracts, rarely do we see simultaneous all-time highs for futures contracts.  April gold touched $2,150.50 per ounce (and is trading at new all-time highs again today), while the March Bitcoin futures hit 70,195 – before a significant ±10,000-point sell-off in a span of four hours around mid-session.

 

But wait, there’s more!  May cocoa traded up to its own all-time high yesterday as well, hitting $6,660/metric ton intra-day.  This is a ±$26,000 move for cocoa in a little more than two months, having closed at $4,048 on Jan. 8.

 

Three consecutive all-time highs in futures: gold, Bitcoin and cocoa.  Oh my!

 

Energy:  

 

Managing Director and Global Head of Commodity Strategy at Royal Bank of Canada’s Capital Markets Division.  That’s quite a title and it’s how Helima Croft’s business card reads.  She’s well regarded as a specialist in geopolitics and energy and along with her team of commodity strategists who cover energy and metals are seeing signs of the higher supply/lower demand imbalance in crude oil tipping in the other direction.  This is a macro prediction and not forecasting any sort of breakneck move to $100/barrel and it rests in part on the view that the U.S. will be unable to replicate its “blockbuster” output of 2023.  It also anticipates OPEC+ will look to press on with its aggressive production cuts having already committed to extending its 2.2 million barrel-a-day production cut through June.  The projection also sees the conflict in the Middle East as instilling a risk premium in energy prices that isn’t going away soon and may increase if the region sees a spread of hostilities.

 

 

 

Plan your trade and trade your plan

 

 

 

 

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Daily Levels for March 7th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Analysis of gold as we hit all time highs!

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C20

 

Gold’s Performance Against U.S., Asian Equities the Past Century

By Erik Norland of CMEGroup.com

Is gold a more profitable investment than equities over the long term? Our finding is that the value of gold has mostly held its own against the U.S. equity market since the S&P 500 time series began over 94 years ago (Figure 1). A well-defined picture of their performance through peaks and troughs is evident when the S&P 500 dollar value is repriced in gold, which is done by dividing the S&P 500 by the U.S. dollar price of one troy ounce of bullion (Figure 2).

Figure 1: Overall, gold has nearly held its own versus equities over the past 100 years.

 

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The S&P 500/gold ratio has been subject to extremely strong trends and occasional periods of consolidation which correspond with different economic and geopolitical situations, some of which benefitted equities relative to gold and vice versa. Generally, equities have done better than gold during periods of geopolitical stability, disinflation and steady economic growth, while gold tends to outperform during periods of instability. Switching from one circumstance to another can set off powerful trends in the S&P 500/gold ratio that can last for years, even decades. The same goes for Asian equity markets when compared to gold, although the price history isn’t as long and the patterns differ both in equity market performance and trends in the currency market.

Since the equity market’s peak on September 3, 1929, the S&P 500/gold ratio has been through six distinct eras:

  • 1929-1942: The Great Depression and the Rise of the Axis Powers: Between 1929 and 1933 S&P 500 fell by 86% in U.S. dollar terms. In 1933, the incoming Roosevelt Administration’s first action was to devalue the dollar versus gold from $23 to $35 per ounce, a 52% gain for anyone who was still able to hold on to gold. Between 1933 and 1942, equities stagnated as the U.S. struggled to recover from the Depression and as the Axis Powers of Germany, Italy and Japan reached their peak of expansion in 1942.
  • 1942-1968: Allied Victory, Bretton Woods and Superpower Parity: as the Allies turned the tide in the war, equity markets began to rally. Stocks continued upward with only brief pauses around the time of the Korean War and the Cuban missile crisis. Under the post-war Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates, the dollar remained fixed at $35 per ounce and foreign currencies were pegged to the dollar. The S&P 500 soared 1,165% versus the dollar and gold.
  • 1968-1980: Overheating and Stagflation: The combination of the Great Society program and Vietnam War overheated the U.S. economy, leading to successive waves of inflation. Amid rising prices, the U.S. dollar peg to gold was no longer tenable. In 1971, the Nixon Administration pulled the plug on Bretton Woods, setting off a rally in gold prices that took the yellow metal from $35 to $800 per ounce by the end of the decade. Equity prices traded sideways in a wide range during this period of uncertainty which also featured the U.S. withdrawal from Vietnam, the 1973 Arab Embargo, the Iranian Revolution and the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. Relative to gold, the S&P 500 fell by 95%.
  • 1980-2000: Disinflation and Pax Americana: Over the course of two decades the S&P 500 rose by 4,137% versus gold as stock prices soared and precious metals retreated amid tight money, falling inflation and improved economic growth.
  • 2000-2011: The Tech Wreck, War on Terror and the Global Financial Crisis: during this period, the S&P 500 lost 89% in gold terms.
  • 2011-2021: Pax Americana Part 2: From 2011-2019 equities soared amid a slow, low-inflation recovery in the U.S. that sent the price of gold substantially lower. While equities fell in the early stages of the Covid-19 pandemic, fiscal stimulus and $4.9 trillion of Federal Reserve quantitative easing (QE) purchases initially benefitted equities more than gold. Overall, the S&P 500 outperformed gold by 337% during this time.

What’s next? The S&P fell 28% versus gold from late 2021 through 2022, and despite its 2023 rebound led by mega-cap companies dubbed the Magnificent Seven, it remains 5% lower versus gold as of late February 2024 despite being about 6% above its 2021 highs when expressed in dollar terms. A few points are clear:

  • The S&P has lost its upside momentum versus gold.
  • The world may have entered a lasting period of geopolitical instability with Russia and other powers challenging the U.S.-led order.
  • It’s not clear if the U.S. and its peers will return to lastingly low levels of inflation or not.
  • Central banks have conducted the biggest tightening cycle in over 40 years, which may increase the risk of a global economic downturn and subsequent monetary easing.

These points have the potential to turn the tide against U.S. equities, which are highly valued (see our related article here), in favor of hard assets like gold. But what about much less expensive equity markets like those in China, Japan and Korea? South Korea’s KOSPI Index, Japan’s Nikkei 225 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index have their own strong trends versus gold.

READ THE REST

 

Plan your trade and trade your plan

 

 

 

 

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Daily Levels for March 6th, 2024

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b0ba1776 c0cd 4536 92c1 eef6595d7173

Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Heavy Data Week Ahead + Futures Trading Levels 3.05.2024

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C3

 

Stock Indices at all time highs…

by John Thorpe, Senior Broker

 

Where did the volatility go? Are the market prices of stock indices and interest rates now more data dependent than ever?

I was reading a financial services Blog on Friday ,You may have read from Reuters, the WSJ, Bloomberg or other financial media outlets on Friday , the Fed published it’s semi-annual MPR or Monetary Policy Report in which the Fed warned of possible Financial sector risks. I wondered if this new data would impact the price of the stock indices we trade and if so how. With the VIX at pre-pandemic price levels, near lifetime lows, 13.62 as of this writing, what new data will create volatility this week, if any?

For Data this week we have several potentially impactful events. ISM tomorrow would not be one of them.

Wednesday @ 9:00 A.M. CST, the Honorable Jerome Powell will be giving congressional testimony on exactly that topic, the semi-annual MPR. I found an interesting paper for those who like to read and research the stock market reactions to testimony; here is a link to the PDF Cleve Fed White paper on the affect of FED Chair MPR testimony on Stock and Bond prices If you want the short version, Stock indices have historically been more volatile on Day 1 of any MPR testimony.. I’ve provided you with the link to the House Financial Services committee so you can watch live on Wednesday. https://financialservices.house.gov/

Day 2 testimony on the Senate Floor, according to the research, has far less of an impact on stock index prices.

As for another Data point this week, Look for Friday’s pre market, Monthly Non Farm Payrolls to “stir the drink” , especially if we see a surprise from current expectations. Here is the consensus from Econoday.com

 

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Plan your trade and trade your plan

 

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Daily Levels for March 5th, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

3b644da2 2bee 4d39 8d98 5208a20bec39

* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1184 + Futures Trading Levels for the week of 3.04.2024

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COMMODITIES 240131

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter Issue # 1184

 

In this issue:
  •  Important Notices – Monetary Policy Congressional Testimony
  • Trading Resource of the Week – Trade Alerts Via Email/Text
  • Hot Market of the Week – April Unleaded
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – NQ Day Trading System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Plan your trade and trade your plan

Important Notices –
  • Earnings: incl. Broadcom,Costco,Target,Oracle and Crowdstrike
  • Hon. J.Powell: semiannual Monetary Policy Congressional Testimony/Wed
  • Data: NonFarm Payrolls/Employment Situation/Fri
  • Ag Data: WASDE and USDA Supply/Demand/Fri
  • June is front month for Bonds
Trading Resource of the Week :
 Real Time Email and/or Text Alerts
Directly to your Phone!
  • You will receive an email each time there is an entry or exit in a simple language along with the current price for that specific market.
  • Example: Buy April Crude Oil at 79.76 on limit. Target will be 83.54. Stop at 76.36
  • A licensed series 3 broker at your fingertips
  • Email alerts available to US and Canada and Int’l clients
  • Alerts available for: Stock Indices, Grains, Metals, Rates, Currencies, Meats & Softs
  • Alerts are SWING Trades
  • See an example of a recent trade alert for Crude Oil Futures in the image below – a new trade alert from Friday, March 1st

Trade Alert Sample for Crude Oil futures below

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  • Hot Market of the Week – April RBOB (unleaded)
Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.
April RBOB completed its first upside PriceCount objective this month before setting back in a consolidation trade. At this point, IF the chart can resume its rally with new sustained highs, the second count would project a run to the $2.73 area which is consistent with a challenge of the fall high.
PriceCounts – Not about where we’ve been , but where we might be going next!
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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved. It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com
Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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   Broker’s Trading System of the Week
With algorithmic trading systems becoming more prevalent in portfolio diversification, the following system has been selected as the broker’s choice for this month.
 Anansi mini nasdaq 5
PRODUCT
Mini NASDAQ 100
SYSTEM TYPE
Intraday
Recommended Cannon Trading Starting Capital
$30,000
COST
USD 245 / monthly

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The performance shown above is hypothetical in that the chart represents returns in a model account. The model account rises or falls by the average single contract profit and loss achieved by clients trading actual money pursuant to the listed system’s trading signals on the appropriate dates (client fills), or if no actual client profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by the system’s trading signals on that day in real time (real‐time) less slippage, or if no real time profit or loss available – by the hypothetical single contract profit and loss of trades generated by running the system logic backwards on back adjusted data. Please read full disclaimer HERE.
Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?
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Daily Levels for March 4th, 2024

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Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?
Yes
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No
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Weekly Levels

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First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Trade Management + Futures Trading Levels 3.01.2024

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C19

 

 

Trade management is more important than Market Analysis….

I have done this so many times before, my colleagues tell me when it happens to them as well as some of my clients….You have the perfect read on the market. The market actually ends up doing what you thought it would and in a BIG way…yet somehow you managed to LOSE money despite your perfect analysis. To me this is sometimes more frustrating than having a bad losing day.

What happened?

Poor trade management, that’s what happened.

Yes, reading the market well is a much needed quality if you plan on making money rather than contributing donations to the market but more important is how you manage the trade / position once you read the market. Much easier said than done, especially after the fact but here are some tips that I am hoping will assist you in the next time you have a good market read.

By the way, the reason to this quick trading tidbit is the stock market rally we saw today in stock indices. Both my colleague and I “had the right analysis” on this possible rally yet he managed to lose and get stopped out twice while I took a small piece of the rally BUT not nearly as much as I should have….

1.      You don’t have a crystal ball. To think you can buy an ES contract in this volatility and use a 2 point stop in hopes of making 20 points profit is a very low probability event…you would need to buy it at the PEREFECT time for this to happen. Point is, with higher volatility you need to use WIDER stops to give yourself a chance. That may mean using SMALLER trade size.

2.      If you are able to, share your read with another trader, it may provide you with a better perspective just by sharing.

3.      If you think there is room for a big move or what we call a “runner” – be prepared to for the pullbacks. Use multiple time frames to gain a better perspective and hang in there for the big move, if this is what you think can happen.

4.      If you have enough risk capital, try to use multiple contracts, example buying 2 rather than 1. Taking profit on the first part of the position will help you relax and look at what the market is really telling you rather than what you would like it to say. It helps reduce both the fear and the greed.

5.      “Plan your trade, trade your plan”

Again these are just some short pointers, written quickly after today’s session in hopes of helping you when you face a similar situation.

 

Plan your trade and trade your plan

 

 

 

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Daily Levels for March 1st, 2024

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Economic Reports
provided by: ForexFactory.com
All times are Eastern Time ( New York)
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Improve Your Trading Skills

Get access to proprietary indicators and trading methods, consult with an experienced broker at 1-800-454-9572.

Explore trading methods. Register Here

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* This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.