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U of Michigan Consumer Sentiment, Inflation Expectations; July Ethanol – Your 3 Important Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures on June 13th, 2025

Posted on June 12, 2025 by Cannon Operations

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Univ. of Michigan Numbers

By Ilan Levy-Mayer, VP

michigan

U of Michigan NEED-TO-KNOWS

Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations

Source University of Michigan (latest release)

Measures Percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months;

Usual Effect ‘Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for currency;

Frequency Released monthly, around the middle of the current month;

Next Release Jul 18, 2025

FF Notes There are 2 versions of this data released 14 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earlier and thus tends to have the most impact;

Why Traders Care Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise;

Derived Via Survey of about 420 consumers which asks respondents where they expect prices to be 12 months in the future

;Acro Expand University of Michigan (UoM);

July Ethanol

February top formed a tough resistance and the failure to break higher activated a downside PriceCount with first target at 1.63

The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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