Last Trading Day of the Month + Levels & Reports; Your 4 Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures on September 30th, 2025

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Trading Futures on the Last Trading Day of the Month

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Last Trading Day of September: What You Need to Know

On the last trading day of the month, futures markets often see elevated volume and more abrupt intraday swings as large participants—CTAs, hedge funds, commodity pools, and corporates—rebalance, roll, or close positions for performance reporting and risk alignment. Those flows can cluster around key reference windows (e.g., settlement periods and cash-market closes), creating brief liquidity vacuums where spreads widen, slippage increases, and stop cascades are more likely.

Even when overall volume is high, liquidity can be uneven, with deeper book liquidity alternating with thin pockets—so an order that would normally fill cleanly may experience partial fills or adverse selection. It’s also common to see basis and calendar spreads move sharply as rolls concentrate, especially in equity index, rates, energy, and metals.

Practical pointers: come in with a predefined plan and smaller initial size, use limit or passive orders where possible, and avoid chasing late-month breakouts unless your setup and risk budget justify it. Keep an eye on roll calendars, first notice day (for deliverable commodities), margin changes, and any month-end economic releases that can amplify flows (e.g., regional PMIs, rebalancing signals).

Monitor depth-of-book and implied spread quotes; if spreads widen, consider adjusting targets and stops rather than forcing entries. Be wary of Trade-at-Settlement/settlement-period prints if you’re not deliberately targeting the fix.

Finally, tighten process discipline: mark your levels early, define max slippage, and be comfortable standing down if the tape becomes disorderly—not trading is a position. (Educational only—this is not investment advice; manage risk according to your plan and account constraints.)

Have a question about ANY futures market? Trading techniques? Platforms? Trading Algos? Most of our brokers have over 12 years experience and can be one of the most valuable resource you have access to! Speak/chat/email a broker now.

That’s the Last Trading Day of the Month! Plan your Trade and Trade Your Plan!

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November Canola

November canola resumed its break into a new low. If sustained, the third downside PriceCount objective projects a slide to the 592 area. It takes a trade below the December reactionary low to formally negate the remaining unmet upside count.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Sept. 30th, 2025

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Economic Reports

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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