4 Timely Lessons from the Week’s Sharpest Index Futures Decline, May Meal, Non Farm Payroll

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Index Futures

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Extreme Volatility

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Non Farm Payroll Tomorrow

non farm payroll

By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

As of this typing stock index futures and other futures contracts (but particularly index futures) have experienced single-day downward moves not seen in years:

Index Futures

index futures

→ E-mini Dow Jones: down ±1,600 points / 3.7%

→ E-mini S&P 500: down ±260 points / 4.5%

→ E-mini Nasdaq: down ±1,025 points / 5.1%

→ E-mini Russell 2000: down ±128 points / 6.2%

With tomorrow ushering in the Labor Dept.’s release of its monthly Non-farm payrolls report and the furtherance of what looks to be the beginning of a global trade war, expect no drop-off in market volatility.

Index Futures

Traders not only need to be extra cautious in making trading decisions, it’s also important to be aware of important aspects of the markets they’re trading.

Key among these are the daily price limits of the markets you’re trading. A price limit is the maximum price range permitted for a futures contract in each trading session. When markets hit the price limit, different actions occur depending on the product being traded.

Index Futures

Some markets may temporarily halt until price limits can be expanded or trading may be stopped for the day based on regulatory rules. Different futures contracts will have different price limit rules; i.e. Equity Index futures have different rules than Agricultural futures.

Price limits are re-calculated daily and remain in effect for all trading days (except in certain physically-deliverable markets, where price limits are lifted prior to expiration so that futures prices are not prevented from converging on prices for the underlying commodity).

Index Futures

Equity Indexes futures have a three level expansion: 7%, 13% and 20% to the downside, and a 7% limit up and down in overnight trading.

Follow the links below to the CME Group web site to find more information on price limits generally and specific price limits for the markets you’re trading:

Find daily price limits for CME Group Agricultural, Cryptocurrency, Energy, Equity Index, Interest Rates, and Metals products: click here.

Index Futures

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May Meal

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May meal has resumed its break into fresh contract lows. The chart is approaching its second downisde PriceCount objective in the $287 area where it would be normal to get a near term reaction in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. IF we can sustain further weakness, there is a third count near $249 although we’d first have to contend with formidable weekly chart support in the $280 area.

That’s May Meal

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for April 4th, 2025

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Economic Reports

provided by: ForexFactory.com

All times are Eastern Time (New York)

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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USDA, Non Farm Payroll, & Powell; 3 Poised to Drive Market Volatility in Triple Threat!

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USDA

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1236

  • The Week Ahead – Non-Farm Payroll, Prospective Plantings and Fed Chair Powell
  • Futures 102 – Intro to Crude Oil Futures
  • Hot Market of the Week – Bloomberg Commodity (CRB) Index
  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – Combo Breakout Swing System
  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

Non Farm Payroll Friday!

non farm payroll

June gold is front month!

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

USDA, Non Farm Payroll, Prospective Plantings and Fed Chair Powell?

USDA

One of the most impactful Agricultural reports of the year will be released Monday at 11:00 am CDT. The Prospective Plantings report and Grain Stocks released by the USDA will offer a needed insight into prospective acreage plantings for grains and oilseeds.

I have included commentary from The Progressive Farmers’ DTN top analyst for your review: DTN Pre-Report analysis

usda

More volatility to come as next week all markets will be reacting, as they have been, to the Global Tariff talk.

Non Farm Payroll

Highlights next week will include the aforementioned Grain report. Non farm Payroll (NFP) Friday followed by Fed Chair J. Powell and other Fed Speakers. This may be the final Q4 2024 Earnings guidance as we will see a mere 67 releases the entire week.

USDA, Non Farm Payroll

 Earnings Next Week:

  • Mon. Quiet
  • Tue. Quiet
  • Wed. Quiet
  • Thu. Conagra, Constellation Brands
  • Fri. Quiet

FED SPEECHES:

  • Mon.    Bostic 12:45 CDT, Barr 2:10 CDT,
  • Tues.    Kugler 7:40 CDT, Williams 8:05 CDT ,
  • Wed.    Kugler 3:30 CDT
  • Thu.     Jefferson 11:30 CDT, Cook 1:30 CDT
  • Fri.       Fed Chair J. Powell 10:25 CDT, Barr 11:00 CDT, Waller 11:45 CDT

Economic Data week:

  • Mon. Chicago PMI, Dallas Fed, USDA Prospecting Plantings and Grain Stocks
  • Tue. Redbook, ISM Mfg. Final, JOLTS, Dallas Fed.,
  • Wed. EIA Crude Stocks, ADP, Factory Orders
  • Thur. Initial Jobless Claims, ISM Svcs Final, EIA Nat Gas
  • Fri. Non-Farm Payroll

USDA, Non Farm Payroll

Futures 102: Introduction to Crude Oil futures

Course overview

crude oil

Today’s energy crude oil market is truly global. From West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to Brent and DME Oman, the crude oil market fuels many of the world’s leading economies and impact nearly every nation. Energy crude oil futures and options provide the tools the industry needs to manage risk.

Explore the key concepts and structure of today’s energy markets, including the factors that affect supply and demand and move prices. Learn how to use these instruments to hedge exposure and unlock opportunities.

Start FREE Course Now

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USDA, Non Farm Payroll

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

Bloomberg Commodity Index

The Bloomberg Commodity Index is a basket of 24 commodities spread across energy, grains, softs, livestock, industrial and precious metals. The weekly chart has developed a 2-year sideways range of trade. IF the chart can break out to the topside, there are upside PriceCount objectives in place which suggest that this index would have significant potential to run.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

USDA, Non Farm Payroll

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Combo Breakout 1 Trading System

Market Sector: Diversified / Multiple

Markets Traded:  C , KW , S , W , CL , HO , NG , RB , KC , SB , FGBL , TU , FV , BP , EC , JY , SF , DX , FESX , GC , EMD , NQ , RTY , ES , YM ,

System Type: Swing Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

Trading Rules: Partially Disclosed

Suggested Capital: $50,000

Developer Fee per contract: $200.00 Monthly Subscription

System Description: 

Portfolio Combo Breakout I consists of 5-6 daytrade and swing strategies using different symbols, timeframes, and session templates. All strategies are developed by simple, structured, and proven breakout models based on strong fundamental logics.

All strategies are fully robustness tested as well as stress tested with no position sizing, more contracts can be traded. The 5-6 strategies have very low correlations (Less than 0.1) in order to achieve smoother portfolio equity curve.

Combo Breakout I is specially designed to trade with Combo Breakout II and Combo Breakout III for their low correlations in the portfolio level.

Get Started

Learn More

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USDA, Non Farm Payroll

Disclaimer: The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

Transactions in securities futures, commodity and index futures and options on futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged”.

A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you.

You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position. If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position.

If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit. Please read full disclaimer HERE.

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Trading Levels for Next Week

Daily Levels for March 31st, 2025

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Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.

You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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NFP Report Tomorrow & Support and Resistance Levels 1.07.2021

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

NFP Report Tomorrow: By Mark O’Brien, Senior Broker

Here comes the Labor Department’s December Non-Farm Payrolls Report, long form for the unemployment report.
We just saw the surge in private hiring in the ADP National Employment Report on Wednesday. According to the report, private payrolls jumped by 807,000 jobs last month, the most in seven months and nearly double the early consensus after rising by 505,000 in November. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast private payrolls would increase by 400,000 jobs. The ADP report has a poor record of predicting the Labor Dept.’s numbers – primarily because of each report’s differing means of collecting data. The consensus for tomorrow’s report is to see 400,000 new jobs created, with a consensus range of 300,000 to 500,000. Private payrolls are expected to come in ±363,000.
This month’s backdrop includes a demand for workers reaching historic highs as businesses struggle to meet the rush of demand for goods and services. A record 4.5 million Americans quit their jobs in November as employers sought to fill 10.6 million job openings. Hires rose from 6.5 million in October to 6.7 million in November, a sign that most job-quitters are switching to new firms instead of dropping out of the workforce. On top of these variables, the rapid spread of the Omicron variant and its impact on jobs may not be reflected in this month’s report.

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

01-07-2022

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Economic Reports, Source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Non Farm Payroll Report Out Tomorrow & Support and Resistance Levels 11.04.2021

Dear Futures Trader,

Get Real Time updates and more on our private FB group!

NFP – Non Farm Payroll report out tomorrow at 5:30 AM ( lucky us on the west coast….) or 8:30 AM Eastern time.

This is probably the most watched market report each month and a market mover across the board!
Do your homework, be ready and if in doubt, stay out….
From ForexFactory.com:
Source Bureau of Labor Statistics (latest release) Measures Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry; Usual Effect’ Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for currency;
Frequency Released monthly, usually on the first Friday after the month ends; Next Release Dec 3, 2021
FF Notes This is vital economic data released shortly after the month ends. The combination of importance and earliness makes for hefty market impacts;
Why Traders
Care
Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
Also Called Non-Farm Payrolls, NFP, Employment Change;
If you are looking for other reference material please contact your Cannon Broker for lists of solid, informative and helpful trading tomes

Good Trading

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time when it comes to Futures Trading.

 

Futures Trading Levels

11-05-2021

Futures Support and resistance trading levels 11.05.2021

 


Economic Reports, source: 

https://bettertrader.co/ 

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This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Non Farm Payroll Tomorrow + Rollover Notice!

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Non Farm Payroll tomorrow morning 8:30 AM EST 

Employment situation from Econoday

Employment situation from Econoday 

Rollover notice 

Rollover Notice for Stock Index Futures

Important notice: For those of you trading any stock index futures contracts, i.e., the E-mini S&P, E-mini NASDAQ, E-mini Dow Jones etc., it is extremely important to remember that we are now rolling over and trading the June contract.

Starting March. 8th, the June 2018 futures contracts will be the front month contracts. It is recommended that all new positions be placed in the June 2018 contract as of March 8th. Volume in the March 2018 contracts will begin to drop off until its expiration on Friday March 15th.

The month code for June is M8

Traders with electronic trading software should make sure that defaults reflect the proper contract as of Friday morning.

Please close any open March Currency positions by the close on Friday the 16th.

Good Trading!

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.  You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Futures Trading Levels

3-08-2018

Contract June 2018  SP500 Nasdaq100 Dow Jones Mini Russell BitCoin Index
Resistance 3 2777.00 7080.42 25285 1603.13 10986.67
Resistance 2 2759.75 7045.83 25135 1592.97 10543.33
Resistance 1 2754.50 7012.67 25033 1583.33 9991.67
Pivot 2741.25 6980.08 24883 1573.17 9548.33
Support 1 2734.00 6957.92 24781 1563.53 8996.67
Support 2 2720.75 6911.33 24631 1553.37 8553.33
Support 3 2712.50 6892.17 24529 1543.73 8001.67
Contract Apr. Gold May Silver Apr. Crude Oil June  Bonds Mar.  Euro
Resistance 3 1338.7 16.72 62.61 145 1.2562
Resistance 2 1334.2 16.65 62.00 144 16/32 1.2508
Resistance 1 1328.5 16.57 61.16 144  3/32 1.2413
Pivot 1324.0 16.50 60.55 143 19/32 1.2358
Support 1 1318.3 16.43 59.71 143  6/32 1.2263
Support 2 1313.8 16.36 59.10 142 22/32 1.2209
Support 3 1308.1 16.28 58.26 142  9/32 1.2114
Contract May  Corn May Wheat May Beans May SoyMeal Apr. Nat Gas
Resistance 3 402.3 516.7 1082.08 392.33 2.84
Resistance 2 398.0 509.6 1075.67 389.27 2.81
Resistance 1 395.8 504.4 1069.83 386.33 2.78
Pivot 391.5 497.3 1063.42 383.27 2.76
Support 1 389.3 492.2 1057.6 380.3 2.7
Support 2 385.0 485.1 1051.17 377.27 2.70
Support 3 382.8 479.9 1045.33 374.33 2.67

Economic Reports, source: 

http://app.bettertrader.co

Economic Report - Friday, March 9th

This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but a current market view provided by Cannon Trading Inc. Any statement of facts here in contained are derived from sources believed to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy, nor they purport to be complete. No responsibility is assumed with respect to any such statement or with respect to any expression of opinion herein contained. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgement in trading.

Non Farm Payroll due Tomorrow – Market Moving Report 4.07.2017

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Friday, April 7th 
US March Non-Farm Payroll Report 
Friday 08:30 EST /13:30GMT
(US) Mar Change in Non-farm Payrolls
(US) Mar Change in Private Payrolls
(US) Mar Change in Manufacturing Payrolls

What the News Desk Says

The March employment report is expected to continue the trend of solid job growth seen in recent months. The jobless rate is forecast to stay at 4.7% and nonfarm payrolls gains are expected at 176 thousand.

With the Fed beginning to tighten rates in earnest, major data points like the employment report will influence expectations for the tightening cycle. The baseline expectation is for a total of three rate hike this year, but if the data trends better than expected it could open the door for a fourth rate hike in 2017… More…..