Government Shutdown Looming PLUS: Core PCE, Chicago – KC Wheat Spread, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Can’t Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures this Presidents’ Day Weekend 2026

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Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1278

  • The Week Ahead – Core PCE, Earnings, Pres. Day Schedule

  • Futures 101 – Trading Signals AVAILABLE on TradingView!

  • Cannon Edge – Your Futures trading Map for the week ahead!

  • Hot Market of the Week – March KC- Chicago Wheat Spread

  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – NQ Day Trading System

  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— April (#GC)

4848.17 4951.23 5010.17 5113.23 5172.17

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

71.13 74.04 76.65 79.56 82.17

Crude Oil (CL)

— Mar. (#CL)

61.61 62.21 62.73 63.33 63.85

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar. (#ZB)

116 18/32 117 5/32 117 18/32 118 5/32 118 18/32

What Futures Traders Should Watch This Week

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

shutdown

We may come in Monday with a partial government shutdown for the third time in 5 months.

By the way, Presidents Day Monday the financial markets will only be open for a portion of the day and the Ag markets will be closed. Please see the schedule below for trading hours.

Highlights next week will include FOMC minutes, 7 fed speakers, and 4298 earnings reports (significant earnings listed below as well)

DHS runs out of money Friday night, the 13th of Feb.

This time around, FEMA, TSA, ICE, CPB the Coast Guard will not be funded as all agencies are part and parcel of the Department of Homeland Security. The same faction that wanted to defund the police want to defund ICE .Probabilities increased for a stalemate as of this writing, Senators are leaving D.C. for the holiday weekend per U.S. News.

What will air travel in the U.S. Look like without paid TSA employees? What will National Security look like without paid CPB or ICE agents. Secret Service employees also fall under DHS. How will the markets react?

It certainly looks like we’ll be seeing quite a bit of action in the markets next week shutdown or not. We have quite a few economic data points in addition to Energy numbers, for the Natural Gas and Crude markets released the same day, Thursday, rather than Wed. and Thursday.

We’ll see you next week! Please enjoy a safe and memorable weekend.

 Earnings Next Week:

·        Mon. Presidents Day Holiday

·        Tue. Palo Alto Networks, Cadence Design Systems, Republic Services, Vulcan Materials (construction)

·        Wed. Booking Holdings, Analog Devices, DoorDash, Moody’s, Occidental Petrol

·        Thu.  Walmart, Newmont Mining, Deere and Co., Constellation Energy,

·        Fri. Warner Brothers.

FED SPEECHES: (all times CST)

·        Mon.  Bowman, 7:25 am

·        Tues.  Barr, 11:45 am

·        Wed. Bowman 12 noon

·        Thu. Bostic 7:20 am, Bowman 7:30 am, Kashkari 8:00 am

·        Fri.  Jefferson 11:00 am

Econ Data: (all times CST)

·        Mon. Presidents Day Holiday

·        Tue. NY Empire MFG Index.,Redbook YoY, NAHB Hsg Mkt Index,

·        Wed. ADP emp. Change, Bldg Permits, Housing Starts Durable Goods, Ind. Prod, FED MINUTES

·        Thu. Jobless claims, Nat Gas Stocks, and Crude Stocks, Philly Fed, Pending Home Sales

·        Fri. Core PCE, GDP, Consumer Sentiment, New Home Sales Baker Hughes Rig count

President’s Day (Mon, Feb 16th) Holiday Trading Schedule:

Interest Rates

Sunday – 5:00 PM CT Open

Monday – 12:00 PM CT Halt

5:00 PM CT Re-Open

Energy

Sunday – 5:00 PM CT Open

Monday – 1:30 PM CT Halt

5:00 PM CT Re-Open

Equities

Sunday – 5:00 PM CT Open

Monday – 12:00 PM CT Halt

5:00 PM CT Re-Open

Grains

Sunday – Closed

Monday – Closed

5:00 PM CT Re-Open

FX

Sunday – 5:00 PM CT Open

Monday – 4:00 PM CT Close

5:00 PM CT Re-Open

Metals

Sunday – 5:00 PM CT Open

Monday – 1.30 PM CT Halt

5:00 PM CT Re-Open

Livestock

Monday – Closed

Tuesday 8:30 AM CT Re-Open

Cryptocurrencies

Sunday – 5:00 PM CT Open

Monday – 4:00 PM CT Close

5:00 PM CT Re-Open

Sugar, Coffee, Cotton, Cocoa, FCOJ

Monday – Closed

Tuesday – Regular Hours

Canola

Monday – Closed

Tuesday – Regular Hours

U.S. Dollar Index

Monday – Regular Hours

Plug in Trading Signals on TradingView!

We are excited to offer our exclusive TradingView indicators and algos to you with a special 3-week free trial—no credit card required. Experience the power of our private, invite-only tools designed to enhance your trading decisions and performance. Don’t miss this limited-time opportunity to try them risk-free and see the difference for yourself. Sign up today to get started!

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Introducing Cannon Edge — Your Daily Futures Snapshot

Cannon Edge is our new daily feature designed to give traders a fast, actionable overview of key futures markets. Each post delivers:

  • Current price and daily % change

  • 30‑day and 52‑week highs/lows

  • PROPRIETARY Short‑term and long‑term trend signals

  • Coverage across equity indices, metals, energies, currencies, and ags

Whether you’re scanning for breakout setups, trend reversals, or just staying informed — Cannon Edge puts the data in your hands before the open.

Built for speed. Backed by insight. Powered by CQG.

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Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

March KC – Chicago Wheat Spread

The March KC – Chicago wheat spread extended its slide to a new low and satisfied the first downside PriceCount objective. It would be normal for the chart to react from this level in the form of a near term consolidation or corrective trade. If we can sustain further weakness, the second count would project a possible break to the -9 area. A trade below the December reactionary low would formally negate the remaining unmet upside counts.

 Learn more spreads and seasonal patterns in commodity futures HERE

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk.

Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Abacus Raider Xtreme Trading System

System Description

Market Sector: Stock Indexes

Markets Traded:  NQ ,

System Type: Day Trading

Suggested Capital: $9,500

Developer Fee per contract: $175.00 Monthly Subscription

System Description:

A day trading system currently traded by the developer who has 15+ years’ experience. It is based on the successful Abacus Raider NQ system but expanded significantly to generate an average of 15-25 trades a month. By utilizing negative correlations between positions, a low level of capital requirement is retained but with greatly increased profit potential over time. All trades are strictly limited to a duration of only a few minutes to minimize risk and provide an unparalleled risk/reward profile. The system is available in the NQ market only (no MNQ).

Get Started

Learn More

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Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

System Trades Disclosure:

System Description

“System Description” is based upon information obtained from specific system marketing documents, system developers and/or system vendors themselves. While the information is believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its completeness or accuracy.

Actual Monthly Performance

The table and charts represent the monthly/quarterly/annual summation of actual trades based on system-specified contract(s) executed through Striker Securities, Inc. using the referenced trading system or system vendor for the stated time period. Commissions and monthly vendor fees are deducted from the tabulation. Results are based on 1 contract.

If a client trades 2 contracts his gain or loss is twice as displayed (and so on). This table is presented for information purposes only and is not a solicitation for the referenced system or vendor. The purpose of this information is for clients to compare their brokerage statements to what is displayed on Striker’s site. Striker as a matter of policy has no ownership with the referenced system or vendor or any other trading system or vendor. Past trade history may not be indicative of future results.

The results indicated here may or may not be typical of the performance of this system and, ALTHOUGH WE BELIEVE THIS INFORMATION TO BE ACCURATE, CANNON TRADING COMPANY MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE. This is not the only trading system that Striker executes for its clients. Potential traders should carefully investigate, evaluate and compare trading systems before investing capital.

Some or all trading systems may involve an inappropriate level of risk for potential traders. It is the nature of commodity trading that where there is the opportunity for profit, there is also the risk of loss. In opening an account through CANNON TRADING COMPANY, Customer acknowledges and agrees that he/she will rely solely upon the information that CANNON TRADING COMPANYprovides to you. Thus, all prior third-party materials provided are superseded by the information and disclosures provided by CANNON TRADING COMPANY.

Important Information About this Trading System Analysis

Statistics, tables, charts and other information on trading system monthly performance are based on actual trading unless otherwise specified. Actual dollar and percentage gains/losses experienced by investors would depend on many factors not accounted for in these statistics, including, but not limited to, starting account balances, market behavior, developer fees, incidence of split fills and other variations in order execution, and the duration and extent of individual investor participation in the specified system.

While the information and statistics given are believed to be complete and accurate we cannot guarantee their completeness or accuracy as they results are key punched and subject to human error. Performance information is not the performance of a single account, but a compilation of several accounts over time, and is based on the physical trading ticket.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED FOR EDUCATIONAL/ INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND USED BY CURRENT CLIENTS TO AUDIT THEIR STATEMENTS TO STRIKER SITE. These results are not indicative of, and have no bearing on, any individual results that may be attained by the trading system in the future.

This trading system, like any other, may involve an inappropriate level of risk for prospective investors.

THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. Prior to purchasing or leasing a trading system from this or any other system vendor or investing in a trading system with a registered commodity trading representative, investors need to carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for them in light of their own specific financial condition.

In some cases, futures accounts are subject to substantial charges for commission, management, incentive or advisory fees. It may be necessary for accounts subject to these charges to make substantial trading profits to avoid depletion or exhaustion of their assets. In addition, one should carefully study the accompanying prospectus, account forms, disclosure documents and/or risk disclosure statements required by the CFTC or NFA, which are provided directly by the system vendor and/or CTA’s.

The information contained in this report is provided with the objective of “standardizing” trading systems measurements, and it is intended for educational /informational purposes only.

All information is offered with the understanding that an investor considering purchasing or leasing a system must carry out his/her own research and due diligence in deciding whether to purchase or lease any trading system noted within or without this report. This report does not constitute a solicitation to purchase or invest in any trading system which may be mentioned herein.

CANNON TRADING COMPANY AND STRIKER SECURITES, INC. MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY OTHER TRADING SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE. THIS IS NOT A SOLICITATION TO PURCHASE OR SUBSCRIBE TO ANY TRADING SYSTEM.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

Transactions in securities futures, commodity and index futures and options on futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged”.

A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you. You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position.

If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position. If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?

Daily Levels for Feb. 16-17th 2026

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Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?

Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

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Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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NFP out amidst the possibility of government shutdown PLUS: New Crypto and Gold Contracts, March Wheat, Levels, Reports; Your 5 Important Can’t-Miss Need-To-Knows for Trading Futures the Week of February 2nd, 2026

nfp

Cannon Futures Weekly Letter

In Today’s Issue #1276

  • The Week Ahead – NFP, Iran, Govt. Shutdown?

  • Futures 101 – XRP, Solana, 1 ounce Gold & More are Now Available on CannonX

  • Cannon Edge – Your Futures trading Map for the week ahead!

  • Hot Market of the Week – March Wheat

  • Broker’s Trading System of the Week – SP500 Swing Trading System

  • Trading Levels for Next Week
  • Trading Reports for Next Week

At-a-Glance Levels

Instrument S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2

Gold (GC)

— April (#GC)

4868.80 4926.60 4959.00 5016.80 5049.20

Silver (SI)

— Mar. (#SI)

93.95 98.46 100.73 105.23 107.50

Crude Oil (CL)

— Mar. (#CL)

58.93 60.09 60.67 61.83 62.41

 Mar. Bonds (ZB)

— Mar. (#ZB)

114 22/32 115 2/32 115 11/32 115 23/32 116

Important Notices: The Week Ahead

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

The Week Ahead: NFP amidst a possible government shutdown

We may come in Monday with a government shutdown for the second time in 4 months. Probabilities increased for a stalemate as of this writing, Friday noon eastern after the funding deals stall in the Senate per U.S. News.

It certainly looks like we’ll be seeing quite a bit of action in the markets next week shutdown or not. We have quite a few economic data points in addition to Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) out the first Friday of every month.

Fed Speakers are back as well. Re: the Fed, of note, in a surprise move, the market was expecting President Trump to appoint as the next Fed Chair a Dove to the seat, President Trump appointed Kevin Warsh, a Stanford Economist considered to be a hawk on inflation. (precious metals sell-off?). 7318 earnings reports.

We’ll see you next week! Please enjoy a safe and memorable weekend.

 Earnings Next Week:

·        Mon. Palantir, Disney, Mitsui, NXP Semiconductors

·        Tue. AMD, Merck, NovoNordisk, Pepsi, Amgen, Pfizer

·        Wed. Alphabet, Ili Lilly, Novartis, Shell, Uber, Qualcomm, CME Group

·        Thu.  Amazon, Unilever, Conoco Phillips, KKR, ICE Exchange,

·        Fri. Exxon Mobil, Chevron, AMEX, Verizon, Charter Communications

FED SPEECHES: (all times CST)

·        Mon.  Bostic 11:25 am

·        Tues.   Barkin 7:00 am

·        Wed. Cook 4:30 PM

·        Thu.  Bostic 9:50 am

·        Fri.   Jefferson 11:00 am

Econ Data: (all times CST)

·        Mon. ISM Mfg., Treasury Refunding Estimates

·        Tue. Redbook YoY, JOLTS,

·        Wed. ADP emp. Change, Treasury Refunding Announcement, ISM Svcs. PMI, EIA Crude stocks.

·        Thu. Jobless claims, Nat Gas Stocks,

·        Fri. NFP, Mich. Consumer Sentiment, Baker Hughes Rig count

Review below some Crypto contracts and new gold contracts!

Name Exchange Class Exchange Symbol CannonX Symbol Liquidity
1-oz. Gold CME 1 Troy Ounce 1OZ M1OZ Very liquid: 10’s of thousands of contracts per day
10-oz. Gold CME 10 Troy Ounces MGC MGC Extremely liquid: 100’s of thousands of contracts per day
XRP CME 50,000 XRP XRP GXRP Illiquid: less than 1000 contracts per day
Micro XRP CME 2,500 XRP MXP GMXP Moderately liquid: 1,000-5,000 contracts per day
XRP CoinBase 10,000 XRP XRP XRL Looks extremely liquid: CoinBase XRP Price Page
Solana CME 500 SOL SOL SLC Moderately liquid: 1,000-5,000 contracts per day: CME Solana Vol. & Open Int.
Micro Solana CME 25 SOL MSL Moderately liquid: 1,000-5,000 contracts per day: CME Micro Solana Vol. & Open Int.

Introducing Cannon Edge — Your Daily Futures Snapshot

Cannon Edge is our new daily feature designed to give traders a fast, actionable overview of key futures markets. Each post delivers:

  • Current price and daily % change
  • 30‑day and 52‑week highs/lows
  • PROPRIETARY Short‑term and long‑term trend signals
  • Coverage across equity indices, metals, energies, currencies, and ags

Whether you’re scanning for breakout setups, trend reversals, or just staying informed — Cannon Edge puts the data in your hands before the open.

Built for speed. Backed by insight. Powered by CQQ.

8632990d 9d13 4455 b42a 8fae44b98ed6

Hot Market of the Week

Hot market of the week is provided by QT Market Center, A Swiss army knife charting package that’s not just for Hedgers, Cooperatives and Farmers alike but also for Spread traders, Swing traders and shorter time frame application for intraday traders with a unique proprietary indicator that can be applied to your specific trading needs.

Free Trial Available

March Wheat

The recovery rally in March Wheat is approaching the first upside PriceCount objective to the $5.47 area. It would be normal to get a reaction from this level in the form of a consolidation or corrective trade. IF the chart can sustain further upside, the second count would project a potential run to the $5.63 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors. Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Brokers Trading System of the Week

Abacus Upside ES Trading System

Market Sector: indices

Markets Traded:   ES- Mini SP500

System Type: Swing Trading

Risk per Trade: varies

System Description: An ES swing trading system currently traded by the developer who has 15+ years’ experience. All stock indexes trend upwards over the long term but with some significant daily declines and occasional longer bear markets. The system seeks to take advantage of this bias by actively entering on those days when the upside probability is increased whilst filtering out as many downward movements as possible.

The system logic has historically been very effective in achieving this outcome in both normal rising markets and by catching the frequent upward “bounce” days in more volatile periods. It trades long only and relatively frequently but generally only holds positions for 1-2 days. For greater diversity and smoother returns trade this system with: (1) Abacus Raider NQ; and/or (2) Abacus Momentum.

Broker’s Suggested Capital: $28,000

Developer Fee per contract: $175.00 Monthly Subscription

Get Started

Learn More

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Disclaimer The risk of trading can be substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

System Trades Disclosure:

System Description

“System Description” is based upon information obtained from specific system marketing documents, system developers and/or system vendors themselves. While the information is believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its completeness or accuracy.

Actual Monthly Performance

The table and charts represent the monthly/quarterly/annual summation of actual trades based on system-specified contract(s) executed through Striker Securities, Inc. using the referenced trading system or system vendor for the stated time period. Commissions and monthly vendor fees are deducted from the tabulation. Results are based on 1 contract. If a client trades 2 contracts his gain or loss is twice as displayed (and so on). This table is presented for information purposes only and is not a solicitation for the referenced system or vendor.

The purpose of this information is for clients to compare their brokerage statements to what is displayed on Striker’s site. Striker as a matter of policy has no ownership with the referenced system or vendor or any other trading system or vendor.

Past trade history may not be indicative of future results. The results indicated here may or may not be typical of the performance of this system and, ALTHOUGH WE BELIEVE THIS INFORMATION TO BE ACCURATE, CANNON TRADING COMPANY MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE.

This is not the only trading system that Striker executes for its clients. Potential traders should carefully investigate, evaluate and compare trading systems before investing capital. Some or all trading systems may involve an inappropriate level of risk for potential traders. It is the nature of commodity trading that where there is the opportunity for profit, there is also the risk of loss.

In opening an account through CANNON TRADING COMPANY, Customer acknowledges and agrees that he/she will rely solely upon the information that CANNON TRADING COMPANYprovides to you. Thus, all prior third-party materials provided are superseded by the information and disclosures provided by CANNON TRADING COMPANY.

Important Information About this Trading System Analysis

Statistics, tables, charts and other information on trading system monthly performance are based on actual trading unless otherwise specified. Actual dollar and percentage gains/losses experienced by investors would depend on many factors not accounted for in these statistics, including, but not limited to, starting account balances, market behavior, developer fees, incidence of split fills and other variations in order execution, and the duration and extent of individual investor participation in the specified system.

While the information and statistics given are believed to be complete and accurate we cannot guarantee their completeness or accuracy as they results are key punched and subject to human error. Performance information is not the performance of a single account, but a compilation of several accounts over time, and is based on the physical trading ticket.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED FOR EDUCATIONAL/ INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND USED BY CURRENT CLIENTS TO AUDIT THEIR STATEMENTS TO STRIKER SITE. These results are not indicative of, and have no bearing on, any individual results that may be attained by the trading system in the future.

This trading system, like any other, may involve an inappropriate level of risk for prospective investors. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. Prior to purchasing or leasing a trading system from this or any other system vendor or investing in a trading system with a registered commodity trading representative, investors need to carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for them in light of their own specific financial condition.

In some cases, futures accounts are subject to substantial charges for commission, management, incentive or advisory fees. It may be necessary for accounts subject to these charges to make substantial trading profits to avoid depletion or exhaustion of their assets. In addition, one should carefully study the accompanying prospectus, account forms, disclosure documents and/or risk disclosure statements required by the CFTC or NFA, which are provided directly by the system vendor and/or CTA’s.

The information contained in this report is provided with the objective of “standardizing” trading systems measurements, and it is intended for educational /informational purposes only. All information is offered with the understanding that an investor considering purchasing or leasing a system must carry out his/her own research and due diligence in deciding whether to purchase or lease any trading system noted within or without this report.

This report does not constitute a solicitation to purchase or invest in any trading system which may be mentioned herein. CANNON TRADING COMPANY AND STRIKER SECURITES, INC. MAKES NO ENDORSEMENT OF THIS OR ANY OTHER TRADING SYSTEM NOR WARRANTS ITS PERFORMANCE. THIS IS NOT A SOLICITATION TO PURCHASE OR SUBSCRIBE TO ANY TRADING SYSTEM.

Futures Trading Disclaimer:

Transactions in securities futures, commodity and index futures and options on futures carry a high degree of risk. The amount of initial margin is small relative to the value of the futures contract, meaning that transactions are heavily “leveraged”. A relatively small market movement will have a proportionately larger impact on the funds you have deposited or will have to deposit: this may work against you as well as for you.

You may sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and any additional funds deposited with the clearing firm to maintain your position. If the market moves against your position or margin levels are increased, you may be called upon to pay substantial additional funds on short notice to maintain your position. If you fail to comply with a request for additional funds within the time prescribed, your position may be liquidated at a loss and you will be liable for any resulting deficit.

Would you like to get weekly updates on real-time, results of systems mentioned above?

Daily Levels for Feb. 2nd, 2026

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Would you like to receive daily support & resistance levels?

Trading Reports for Next Week

First Notice (FN), Last trading (LT) Days for the Week:

www.mrci.com

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Find us on Trustpilot

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Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

Join our Private Facebook group

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel

Listen to our podcast: Subscribe on AppleSpotify, Amazon

or wherever you listen to podcasts!

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Gold continues its Breakout Amid Potential Gov. Shutdown, December Bean Oil, Hedging Strategies, Levels, Reports – The Important Must-Knows for Trading Futures on September 24th, 2025

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Movers and Shakers: Gold Breakout Meets Shutdown Risk: Hedging Strategies Explained

By John Thorpe, Senior Broker

gold

The U.S Governments’ fiscal year concludes at the end of the third quarter. Expect more volatility as we wait to see how traders bet on whether or not Congress can pass appropriations bills to keep the U.S. Government open for business. The Government, in the past, shut down most recently in 2018. Prior to that? 2013, 1995 and 1994. Gold prices rallied during the shutdowns in the past. But what if there is no shutdown?

Gold has been on the move since we had a breakup! (breakout to the upside) from the 5-month rangebound trade, ($3200-$3500) basis the December gold contract. Since September 2nd, gold has rallied in 3 weeks over $300 per troy oz. to $3810.00, if your crystal ball had you long Gold and you want to protect your current gains, what follows are a few Ideas you can implement using futures options. Consult with your Cannon Trading broker (800 454 9572 or 310 859 9572) for clarity.

Calculate the size you will be hedging: Calculate the number of contracts as (Portfolio Value / Gold Price × 100 oz)). For a $760,000 long position at $3,800/oz, use ~2 contracts.

Strategy 1: Protective Put (Straightforward Downside Insurance)

Buy put options on gold futures to gain if gold prices fall, offsetting losses in your long position. This is ideal for strong bullish views but with short-term downside concerns.

Steps to Implement:

  1. Assess Exposure: Determine your long position’s value.
  2. Choose Strike and Expiration: Out-of-the-money (OTM) puts (e.g., 5-10% below current price, like $3,600 strike at $3,800 spot) for cheaper premiums; at-the-money (ATM) for fuller protection. Use 1-3 month expirations for flexibility.
  3. Execute: Buy puts via a futures-approved broker (e.g., Cannon Trading). Premium: ~1-5% of notional (e.g., $500-$2,000 per contract at 20% implied vol).

Example:

  • Gold at $3,800; buy $3,600 put expiring in 2 months for $150/oz premium ($15,000/contract).
  • If gold drops to $3,400: Put worth ~$200/oz (intrinsic value), hedging $20,000 loss per contract in your long position.
  • If gold rises: Lose only the premium, but keep gains.

Pros: Retains unlimited upside; simple. Cons: Premium decays over time (theta); costly in low-vol environments.

Strategy 2: Collar (Low-Cost or Zero-Cost Hedge)

Buy a protective put and sell an OTM call to finance it. This caps upside but provides free/cheap downside protection—suitable for neutral to mildly bullish outlooks in volatile markets.

Steps to Implement:

  1. Buy Put: OTM (e.g., $3,600 strike).
  2. Sell Call: OTM above spot (e.g., $4,000 strike) with same expiration.
  3. Match Sizing: Same number of contracts as your exposure.
  4. Execute: Net premium near zero if call income matches put cost (adjust strikes for balance).

Example:

  • Buy $3,600 put ($150/oz premium); sell $4,000 call (collect $150/oz).
  • Net cost: $0.
  • Protection below $3,600; upside capped at $4,000 (may need to close if called away) Pros: Minimizes upfront cost; effective in sideways markets. Cons:                                   Limits gains; potential assignment on calls.

Strategy 3: Bear Put Spread (Defined-Risk, Lower-Cost Protection)

Buy a higher-strike put and sell a lower-strike put for partial hedge at reduced cost. Best for moderate downside expectations without full insurance.

Steps to Implement:

  1. Select Strikes: Buy ATM/OTM put (e.g., $3,800); sell further OTM (e.g., $3,400).
  2. Expiration: 1-6 months.
  3. Contracts: Match exposure.
  4. Execute: Net debit = Long put cost minus short put premium (e.g., $200/oz debit = $20,000/contract).

Example:

  • Buy $3,800 put ($250/oz); sell $3,400 put (collect $50/oz). Net: $200/oz.
  • Max hedge benefit: $400/oz spread minus debit ($200/oz profit if gold < $3,400).
  • Limited protection to spread width.
  • Pros: Cheaper than naked puts; caps max loss. Cons: No protection below short strike; less flexible.
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December Bean Oil

December soybean oil completed the first downside PriceCount objective to the 49 area where we are getting a reaction in the form of a potential spike reversal trade. At the point, if the chart can resume its break with the new sustained lows, the second count would project a possible slide in the 47 area.

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The PriceCount study is a tool that can help to project the distance of a move in price. The counts are not intended to be an ‘exact’ science but rather offer a target area for the four objectives which are based off the first leg of a move with each subsequent count having a smaller percentage of being achieved.

It is normal for the chart to react by correcting or consolidating at an objective and then either resuming its move or reversing trend. Best utilized in conjunction with other technical tools, PriceCounts offer one more way to analyze charts and help to manage your positions and risk. Learn more at www.qtchartoftheday.com

Trading in futures, options, securities, derivatives or OTC products entails significant risks which must be understood prior to trading and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Past performance of actual trades or strategies is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Daily Levels for Sept. 24th, 2025

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